Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011
Storm Warning 98, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Dec 26, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 26, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 27, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
008 FZAK52 PAJK 270034 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-271400- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 960 MB STORM FORCE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER STRONG LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-271400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ042-271400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-271400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ051-271400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-271400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
422 FZAK52 PAJK 270318 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 618 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-271600- 618 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 960 MB STORM FORCE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER STRONG LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-271600- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 618 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ042-271600- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 618 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-271600- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 618 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ051-271600- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 618 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 21 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LATE. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-271600- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 618 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
567 FZAK52 PAJK 270701 AAB CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 943 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-271600- 943 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 960 MB STORM FORCE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES ONSHORE NEAR CAPE SUCKLING TONIGHT. OUTLOOK. ANOTHER STRONG LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF WEDNESDAY. $$ PKZ041-271600- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 943 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...SE GALE INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ042-271600- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 943 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E GALE INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-271600- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 943 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT LATE. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 27 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ051-271600- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 943 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 UPDATED ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-271600- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 943 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .TUE...SW WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. $$
906 FZAK52 PAJK 271224 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-280100- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA TUESDAY. A 970 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF TONIGHT AND MOVE ONSHORE NEAR SITKA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ041-280100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-280100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. $$ PKZ043-280100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26 FT SUBSIDING TO 21 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT LATE. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ051-280100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011 ...GALE WARNING EARLY TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 24 FT SUBSIDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ052-280100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. .WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. .THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Dec 26, 5:48 AM AKST, 10 hours 12 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 5:48 AM AKST, 10 hours 12 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
548 AM AKST MON DEC 26 2011
.SHORT TERM...A COMPLEX 975 MB LOW NEAR 55/143 IS FORECAST TO
DEEPEN TO 960 MB AS IT MOVES TO THE NORTHEAST GULF THIS AFTERNOON
AND THEN MOVE ONSHORE WEST OF PAYA AND WEAKEN OVERNIGHT. LEAD
OCCLUDED FRONT IS CURRENTLY ENTERING THE SOUTHEAST GULF AND WILL
WARP NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON. A
FAIRLY STRONG SECONDARY COLD FRONT IS QUICKLY CATCHING UP TO THE
LEAD OCCLUSION AND WILL PUSH THROUGH SOUTHEAST ALASKA THIS EVENING.
EXPECT VERY STRONG WIND ALONG THE COAST TODAY AS 80 KT BARRIER JET
DEVELOPS AS FRONT APPROACHES. EXPECT STORM FORCE WIND IN COASTAL
WATERS TODAY THAT DROP OFF AND SHIFT A BIT TO THE SOUTH WITH
AFTERNOON. HWW IS IN EFFECT THOUGH THIS AFTERNOON FOR ZONES 22,
23, AND 28. THERE IS A SECOND WRAP WITH SW STORMS THAT MOVE INTO
THE NE GULF THIS EVENING. GALES AND A STRONG NE-SE WIND GUSTS
EXPECTED THROUGH INNER CHANNELS TODAY THAT GO TO SOUTH AND
DIMINISH TONIGHT. WINDS IN NORTHERN AREAS STARTING THE DAY OUT
SOUTHERLY BUT EXPECTED TO SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND INCREASE TO SOLID
SMCR BY THIS AFTERNOON.
HAVE SOME COLD AIR IN PLACE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA. PRECIP WILL
START OUT AS SNOW MOST AREA BUT WILL GO TO ALL RAIN FOR SOUTHERN
AND COASTAL AREAS BY MID MORNING. NE WIND MAY BRING IN SOME
RE-ENFORCING COLD AIR TO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE SO PRECIP
HERE WILL BE MAINLY SNOW. WILL KEEP WWY FOR PAHN AND PAGY AREAS
THROUGH THIS EVENING WITH HIGHEST SNOWFALL NEAR PASSES. THERE
WILL BE SOME DOWN SLOPE WARMING TO DEAL WITH EARLIER MONDAY THAT
COULD PUSH HIGHS INTO THE UPPER 30S BUT WITH LOW DEW POINTS EXPECT
TEMPS TO DROP WITH THE ONSET OF PRECIP. ONCE SECONDARY COLD FRONT
PUSHES THROUGH AND STRONG CAA IN WESTERLY FLOW BEGINS ALL AREAS GO
SNOW.
MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THROUGH SHORT TERM WITH NAM MAIN
OUTLIER. THE NAM IS TAKING MAIN LOW CENTER MUCH CLOSER TO PAYA
WHILE EC AND GFS ARE FARTHER WEST. THIS IS AN IMPORTANT
DIFFERENCES WITH POTENTIAL FOR STORM SURGE AT HIGH TIDE TONIGHT.
USED A BLEND OF GFS AND EC FOR PRES AND WIND WHICH RESULTED IN A
TROUGH LIFTING THROUGH PAYA THIS EVENING.
&&
.LONG TERM...A QUICK RIDGE PUSHES THROUGH REMNANTS OF THE LATEST
FRONTAL FEATURE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA AS THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVE OUT
OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF. A COUPLE OF
DIFFERENCES IN THE MODEL SOLUTIONS FOR THE WEDNESDAY SYSTEM BUT
HAVE CONTINUED THE CURRENT TREND OF THE LOW TRACKING ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PANHANDLE LATER HALF OF WEDNESDAY.
COMBINATION OF THE SOME COOLER TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE NORTHERN
GULF AND SOUTHEAST ALASKA THAT IS BEING REINFORCED AND THEN
REPLACE WITH A SLIGHTLY WARMER AIR MASS AND BACK TO COOLER WITH
THE LOW TRACKING THROUGH. A LOT OF THE EXPECTED TEMPERATURES RUN
FROM THE MID TO UPPER 20S TO LOWER TO MID 30S. THIS MAKES THE
PRECIPITATION TYPE FORECASTING INTERESTING. APPEARS TO BE A LOT OF
SNOWS/WET SNOWS/ MIXED RAIN AND SNOW THROUGH THE TIME PERIOD...ALL
DEPENDING ON WHAT THE TEMPERATURES HOLD ON TO. THERE COULD BE A
POTENTIAL GOOD SNOW EVENT WITH A SECTION OF THE WEDNESDAY SYSTEM
BUT PINNING IT DOWN IS DIFFICULT AT THE TIME BEING. WILL SEE WHAT
NEXT RUN OR TWO HAS IN STORE FOR THE AREA.
FOR END OF THE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND LONG RANGE SOLUTIONS
HAVING HARD TIME WITH THE SYSTEMS IN THE PROGRESSIVE FLOW PATTERN
OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE PACIFIC. SO POSITIONS AND
STRENGTHS OF THE FEATURES ARE A LITTLE DIFFERENT. OVERALL RIGHT
NOW WE ARE NOT EXPECTING A MAJOR SHIFT IF THE WEATHER PATTERN
THROUGH THE REST OF THE YEA.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ020-021-
024>026-029.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ023-027-
028.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ022.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018-
019.
STRONG WIND FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ017.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ022-036-041>043-051.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-021-033>035-052-053.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-031-032.
&&
MM/BEZENEKThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Dec 26, 4:00 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 18 hr | |
| Dec 26, 4:00 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Dec 26, 6:28 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 10 hr | |
| Dec 26, 9:40 PM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 42 hr | |
| Dec 26, 9:43 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Dec 26, 9:57 PM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 42 hr | |
| Dec 27, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Dec 27, 4:00 AM AKST | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Dec 27, 4:00 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Dec 27, 10:23 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 30 hr | |
| Dec 27, 10:32 AM AKST | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 4 days |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.