Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011

Storm Warning 72, NWS Juneau, AK

November 2, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this storm warning at Nov 2, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 2, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 3, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

103 
FZAK51 PAJK 022331
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031400-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
OFF TO THE SE THROUGH WED NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
CANADIAN BORDER WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA WED EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE
FROM THE YUKON THROUGH THU. 

$$

PKZ011-031400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-031400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-031400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-031400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-031400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-031400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-031400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-031400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND BECOMING 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-031400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-031400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-031400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
566 
FZAK51 PAJK 030417 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031500-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
OFF TO THE SE THROUGH WED NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
CANADIAN BORDER WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA WED EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE
FROM THE YUKON THROUGH THU. 

$$

PKZ011-031500-
GLACIER BAY-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-031500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-031500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. GUSTS
TO 65 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-031500-
ICY STRAIT-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-031500-
CROSS SOUND-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-031500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-031500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-031500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 
8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-031500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-031500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-031500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
817 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
344 
FZAK51 PAJK 030657 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-031500-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES
OFF TO THE SE THROUGH WED NIGHT. ANOTHER LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
CANADIAN BORDER WILL MOVE INTO BRITISH COLUMBIA WED EVENING.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD INTO THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE
FROM THE YUKON THROUGH THU. 

$$

PKZ011-031500-
GLACIER BAY-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S GALE TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-031500-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-031500-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. GUSTS
TO 65 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-031500-
ICY STRAIT-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-031500-
CROSS SOUND-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-031500-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING LATE. GUSTS TO 60 KT
OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 6 FT.
.THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 20 KT LATE. GUSTS TO
35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-031500-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-031500-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE.
SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-031500-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 45 KT
LATE. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-031500-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-031500-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1057 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$
674 
FZAK51 PAJK 031149
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-040100-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL SLIDE SE INTO CENTRAL BC BY
THU NIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF FROM
THE WEST BY FRI MORNING. A LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT INTO THE
NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON.  

$$

PKZ011-040100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-040100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING
TO 2 FT LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-040100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT LATE. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-040100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-040100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN THE MORNING BECOMING E
15 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT LATE. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL. SNOW.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-040100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO
2 FT LATE. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-040100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-040100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...
SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-040100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT LATE. OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES...GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-040100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-040100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Nov 2, 2:15 PM AKDT, 1 hour 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 2, 2:15 PM AKDT, 1 hour 45 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
215 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

.SHORT TERM...CURRENTLY THERE IS A LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN
CANADIAN BOARDER AND ANOTHER ONE OVER THE FAR SOUTHERN OFFSHORE
AREA. THESE TWO SYSTEMS ARE CAUSING A STATIONARY BOUNDARY OF
SHOWERS ALONG THE OFFSHORE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...ISOLATED SHOWERS
ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...AND MIXED PRECIP OVER THE HYDER
AREA. AS THE LOW NEAR HYDER MOVES INTO B.C. THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING THE SHOWERS AND HIGH CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH
IT WILL ALSO GRADUALLY MOVE AWAY. TO THE NORTH A RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD IN FROM THE YUKON. THIS WILL BE THE
MAIN FEATURE FOR THE SHORT TERM PERIOD. THE LOWS TO THE SOUTH AND
THE HIGH TO THE NORTH IS ALREADY CAUSING SOME STRONG NORTHERLY
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON AND AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT INCREASES
TONIGHT SO WILL THE WINDS. MAIN AREAS TO SEE THE STRONG WINDS ARE
GAPS/VALLEYS SUCH AS HAINES AND SKAGWAY AS WELL AS THE DOWNTOWN
JUNEAU AREA. HAVE CONTINUED WITH THE STRONG WIND HEADLINE FOR
THOSE LOCATIONS AND INCREASED WINDS THROUGH LYNN CANAL TO STORM
FORCE AND TO GALE FORCE FOR STEPHENS PASSAGE FOR TONIGHT.

 THESE STRONG NORTHERLIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY. UNDER
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TONIGHT AND STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTING (CAA) IN
FROM CANADA...EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO FALL INTO THE UPPER TEENS
OVER THE NORTH RANGING TO NEAR 30 FOR THE FAR SOUTHERN AREAS.
DESPITE ANOTHER DAY OF MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES THURSDAY THE CAA WILL
KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM RECOVERING MUCH...AND BE SEVERAL DEGREES
COOLER THAN WEDNESDAY.

 MODELS HAVE BEEN IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THIS COLD AIR
OUTBREAK OVER THE PAST WEEK ALLOWING FOR ABOVE AVERAGE FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE. GOING FORECAST WAS IN GREAT SHAPE WITH JUST MINOR
CHANGES. MAIN CHANGES WERE TO INCREASE THE WINDS THROUGH N-S
WATERS AND GAP WINDS AND ADJUST THE MAX/MIN TEMPERATURES WITH THE
LATEST TRENDS. USED THE NAM12 FOR MOST UPDATES FOR ITS FINER
RESOLUTION.

 &&

 .LONG TERM...RATHER TRICKY FORECAST FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD AS WE WILL BE TRANSITIONING FROM A COLD
CONTINENTAL OUTFLOW REGIME TO A WARMER WETTER MARINE REGIME. IT
ALL STARTS THURS NIGHT AS THE COLD HIGH IN CANADA IS PUSHED OFF
TO THE EAST AND A MODERATE STRENGTH FRONT WILL BE ADVANCING IN
FROM THE GULF. WIND DIRECTION AND P-TYPE WILL BE THE MAIN
PROBLEMS FRIDAY AND SAT AS THE SYNOPTIC PRESSURE GRADIENT BATTLES
WITH THE REMAINING COLD AIR IN THE INNER CHANNELS.

 FRONTAL PRECIP STARTS IN YAKUTAT THURS NIGHT BUT SPREADS EAST TO
ENCOMPASS THE WHOLE PANHANDLE BY FRI AFTERNOON, BUT OVERRUNNING
PRECIP COULD CAUSE THE PRECIP TO START EARLIER PARTICULARLY OVER
THE NORTHER HALF OF THE AREA. AS FAR AS P-TYPE, IT LOOKS LIKE THE
COLD AIR WILL STICK AROUND ENOUGH THAT AREAS LIKE JUNEAU, HOONAH,
ANGOON AND ELFIN COVE NORTHWARD MAY START OUT AS SNOW FRIDAY. AS
THE SOUTHERLY PUSH CONTINUES MOST AREAS WITH THE EXCEPTION OF
HAINES AND SKAGWAY MAY CHANGE OVER TO RAIN OR AT LEAST A
RAIN/SNOW MIX SOME TIME FRIDAY AFTERNOON OR EVENING. BEFORE THE
CHANGE OVER, THE POTENTIAL IS THERE FOR A FEW INCHES OF SNOW TO
ACCUMULATE. RIGHT NOW I AM EXPECTING UP TO 3 INCHES FRIDAY FOR
GUSTAVUS, HOONAH, AND JUNEAU FRIDAY BEFORE CHANGE OVER. SNOW
AMOUNTS MAY BE LOWER STILL AS THE GROUND IS STILL WARM. FARTHER
NORTH, YAKUTAT IS LOOKING AT ABOUT 1 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH FRIDAY
AFTERNOON BEFORE CHANGE OVER FRIDAY AFTERNOON. HAINES AND SKAGWAY
ARE A BIT HARDER AS IT IS A TOSS UP ON IF THE SIGNIFICANT QPF WILL
GET THERE AND WHETHER HAINES AND THE HIGHWAY WILL EXPERIENCE ONE
OF ITS USUAL OVERRUNNING SNOW EVENTS. GOING FOR 2 TO 5 INCHES IN
HAINES STARTING FRIDAY AFTERNOON WHILE GOING WITH LESSER AMOUNTS
IN SKAGWAY AS IT LOOKS LIKE MOST OF THE PRECIP WILL STAY SOUTH OF
THEM.

 AS FAR AS WIND, MOST AREAS WILL START OUT WITH N OR NE WINDS
THURS NIGHT BUT WILL CHANGE TO S OR SW BY SAT. STRONG WIND
HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED ALONG THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OUTER
COAST AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE FRIDAY AND FRI NIGHT AS THE FRONT
COMES ASHORE. THE MARINE REGIME CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS ANOTHER FRONT AND LOW COMES ACROSS THE GULF
FOR SUN AFTERNOON.

 MODEL AGREEMENT IS NOT TOO BAD FOR FRIDAY'S SYSTEM. NAM IS A BIT
STRONGER WITH THE LOW THAN THE OTHER MODELS BUT NOT BY MUCH.
DIFFERENCE BECOME MORE APPARENT IN FOR THE LATE WEEKEND SYSTEM.
GFS IS TAKING A MORE SOUTHERLY ROUTE WITH THE BERING SEA LOW THEN
THE EC IS. DECIDED TO STICK WITH NAM AND EC FOR THE MID RANGE
FORECAST OUT TO SAT NIGHT THEN TRANSITION TO MORE HPC FOR THE
EXTENDED FORECAST. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE FOR THE
MID RANGE AND BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE EXTENDED.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR AKZ025.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ019.
         STRONG WIND THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012-013.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-022-031-036-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-032>034-041>043-053.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.

&&

HANNON/EAL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 2, 3:33 PM AKDT, 27 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
333 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

AKZ017>022-024>026-031800-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO CAPE SUCKLING COASTAL AREA-
TAIYA INLET AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAY-HAINES BOROUGH AND LYNN CANAL-
GLACIER BAY-EASTERN CHICHAGOF ISLAND-
SALISBURY SOUND TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER COASTAL AREA-
EASTERN BARANOF ISLAND AND SOUTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
JUNEAU BOROUGH AND NORTHERN ADMIRALTY ISLAND-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...YAKUTAT...SKAGWAY...HAINES...GUSTAVUS...
HOONAH...ELFIN COVE...PELICAN...ANGOON...JUNEAU...PETERSBURG...
WRANGELL...KAKE
333 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

...FALLING TEMPERATURES TONIGHT...

ARCTIC AIR FROM CANADA WILL SPREAD SOUTH INTO THE PANHANDLE
AS WELL AS THE NORTH GULF COAST TONIGHT. THE TEMPERATURES FOR
TONIGHT WILL FALL AND RANGE FROM THE TEENS NEAR YAKUTAT, HAINES
AND SKAGWAY TO NEAR 30 FOR PETERSBURG AND WRANGELL. THE FREEZING
TEMPERATURES WILL PRODUCE BLACK ICE ALONG ROADWAYS AND CREATE
HAZARDOUS DRIVING CONDITIONS THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. TRAVEL WITH CAUTION AS ROADS WILL BE SLIPPERY...REDUCE
SPEEDS AND KEEP A SAFE DISTANCE FROM OTHER CARS.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 2, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK20 hr
Nov 2, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Nov 2, 8:17 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK8 hr
Nov 2, 10:57 PM AKDTGale WarningAJK5 hr
Nov 3, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK36 hr
Nov 3, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 3, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK9 hr
Nov 3, 6:47 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK21 hr
Nov 3, 12:26 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 hr
Nov 3, 12:54 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK7 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.