Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 49, NWS Juneau, AK

January 16, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jan 16, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 16, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 17, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

742 
FZAK51 PAJK 170048
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171400-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL WEAKEN WHILE THE LOW IN DIXON
ENTRANCE MOVES INTO CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS EVENING. THIS
ALLOWS THE STRONG NORTHERLY OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE INNER
CHANNELS TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT AND DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE MONDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-171400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-171400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-171400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-171400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 15 K. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-171400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NW SWELL. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-171400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 60 KT ENDING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-171400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-171400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-171400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-171400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-171400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING AND BECOMING SE
20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
188 
FZAK51 PAJK 170651 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
945 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-180100-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL WEAKEN WHILE THE LOW IN DIXON
ENTRANCE MOVES INTO CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS EVENING. THIS
ALLOWS THE STRONG NORTHERLY OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE INNER
CHANNELS TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT AND DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE MONDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-180100-
GLACIER BAY-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ012-180100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ013-180100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ021-180100-
ICY STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 15 K. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ022-180100-
CROSS SOUND-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NW SWELL. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 


$$

PKZ031-180100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ032-180100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 


$$

PKZ033-180100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ034-180100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ035-180100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ036-180100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING AND BECOMING SE
20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$
474 
FZAK51 PAJK 170811 AAB
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1115 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-180100-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL WEAKEN WHILE THE LOW IN DIXON
ENTRANCE MOVES INTO CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS EVENING. THIS
ALLOWS THE STRONG NORTHERLY OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE INNER
CHANNELS TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT AND DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE MONDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-180100-
GLACIER BAY-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ012-180100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ013-180100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ021-180100-
ICY STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 15 K. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ022-180100-
CROSS SOUND-
1115 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NW SWELL. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 


$$

PKZ031-180100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ032-180100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 


$$

PKZ033-180100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ034-180100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ035-180100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$

PKZ036-180100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
946 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING AND BECOMING SE
20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 


$$
956 
FZAK51 PAJK 171302
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-180100-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF MON AFTERNOON AND
DRIFT EAST OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. THE LOW
WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD TO BE OVER NORTHERN BC BY TUE.  

$$

PKZ011-180100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-180100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-180100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-180100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-180100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
TO 50 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-180100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-180100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-180100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-180100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-180100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011 

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT...
EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-180100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST MON JAN 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT.
SNOW. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 16, 3:36 PM AKST, 24 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 3:36 PM AKST, 24 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
336 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

.SHORT TERM...THE BIG NEWS IS THAT THE STRONG NORTHERLY OUTFLOW
WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING. A 989 MB LOW IN DIXON ENTRANCES
MOVES EAST INTO CENTRAL B.C. WHILE THE HIGH OVER THE YUKON
WEAKENS. STILL HAVE GALE AND HVY FREEZING SPRAY FOR NRN LYNN
CANAL BUT THIS WILL DIMINISH BELOW SMCR BY MORNING.

 FRONTAL PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THE DIXON ENTRANCE LOW CONTINUES
ACROSS SOUTHERN ZONE AND SOME OF THIS MOISTURE HAS BEEN PICKED UP
BY A AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH THAT IS MOVING ACROSS THE AREA FROM
THE WEST AND IS PRODUCING SNOW ACROSS NORTHERN AREAS NOW.
HEAVIEST PRECIP WILL WILL ALONG SOUTHERN COAST MT'S WHERE IT WILL
FALL AS SNOW AND STILL HAVE WSW IN EFFECT FOR 26 AND 29 TIL
MIDNIGHT. ALONG THE SOUTHERN COASTAL ZONES TEMPS ARE ABOVE
FREEZING WITH RAIN. SHOULD SEE AN ADDITIONAL 2 INCHES OF SNOW
OVER NORTHERN AREAS TONIGHT AND 4 TO 8 INCHES IN 26 AND 29 BY
MIDNIGHT. HAVE ENDED FZ RA ADVISORY WITH COLD ARE SOUTH OF ARCTIC
FRONT NOW MIXED OUT.

 THERE IS A LOW MOVING ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF THAT DISSIPATES
AS IT MOVES ACROSS NORTHERN PANHANDLE MONDAY. THE ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. WILL SEE A BIT OF CCA
LATER TONIGHT BUT SHORT LIVED. BEHIND THIS THROUGH NW WINDS
INCREASE AND REACH GALE FORCE IN COASTAL WATERS. A SECOND TROUGH
PUSHES TO NE GULF MON AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY SPREAD SNOW TO
THE COAST BY MORNING AND INTO INNER CHANNELS BY LATE AFTERNOON.

.LONG TERM...THE PERIOD OF WINDY ARCTIC COLD OVER THE NORTHERN
2/3 OF THE PANHANDLE IS ENDING. WARMER AIR ALREADY OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD AND INLAND ACROSS THE
PANHANDLE DURING THE WEEK AHEAD. THERE WILL BE INCREASING EPISODES
OF PRECIPITATION THIS WEEK AND BY ABOUT THUR PRECIP SHOULD BE IN
THE FORM OF RAIN AT SEA LEVEL EVERYWHERE EXCEPT PERHAPS SKAGWAY.

 CONSENSUS OPINION IS THE LAST TWO GFS AND ECMWF MODEL RUNS ARE
SIMILAR AND ACCEPTED FOR HANDLING THE PATTERN EVOLUTION THIS
WEEK. GFS ENSEMBLE MEMBERS PRETTY CONSISTENT TOO. MOS TEMPERATURE
GUIDANCE SHOWS WARMING ALL AREAS BUT ENSEMBLE TEMPS WED COVER
BROAD RANGE. THIS IS THE PERIOD OF MOST UNCERTAINTY IN THE
DETAILS OF TEMPS AND PRECIP TYPE /RAIN VS SNOW/ ACROSS THE
NORTHERN HALF OF PANHANDLE BECAUSE THE IMPACTS OF CHANGING TO
FROZEN TO LIQUID PRECIP MAY BE SIGNIFICANT.

 VERY DEEP STORM SFC/ALF WEST OF THE DATELINE AT 45N TODAY WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EAST THIS WEEK. AHEAD OF THIS STORM SEVERAL SMALL
FEATURES MOVE EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF AND MAINTAIN A COOL
NW FLOW ALOFT AND KEEP THE RAIN/SNOW LINE NEAR FREDERICK SOUND
THROUGH TUE NIGHT. BY WED THE DEEPER STORM APPRCHG FROM THE
DATELINE WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO BEGIN STEERING A WARMER SW
JETSTREAM AND SFC WARM FRONT INTO THE ERN GULF. BASED ON GFS
MODEL PREDICTED UPPER AIR SOUNDINGS THE RAIN/SNOW LINE WILL BEGIN
LIFTING N ACROSS ENTIRE PANHANDLE LATER TUES BUT THE WARM LAYER
MAY BE SHALLOW. THE UNCERTAINTY COMES FROM WHETHER THE WARM FRONT
STALLS FOR A WHILE OVER THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE. THIS WOULD ALLOW
FOR A LONGER PERIOD OF SNOW TUE NIGHT AND WED ALONG AND NORTH OF
A JNU-CAPE SPENCER LINE...OR WORSE...LOCALIZED FRZG RAIN. STILL
BELIEVE THE ONSHORE FLOW ALFT WILL BE STRONG ENOUGH THUR-FRI TO
WARM SFC TEMPS ABOVE FREEZING CLEAR INTO NORTHERN LYNN CANAL.
SNOW LEVELS PREDICTED TO RISE BY FRI TO ABOVE 4000 FT FAR SRN
PANHANDLE TO AROUND 1500 FT JNU AND 1000 FEET FAR NORTHERN ZONES.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR
	AKZ026-029.
	FREEZING RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON
	FOR AKZ027- 028.
	WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR
 	AKZ017-019-020-022-025.
 	WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-031.
 	HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ012.
 	GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031>035-041.
 	SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ036-042-043-051-052.

&&

MM/TA

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 16, 2:07 PM AKST, 1 hour 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
207 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 AM     BLIZZARD         WHITE PASS              59.62N 135.14W
01/16/2011                                      AK   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            THE SUMMIT/BORDER RECORDING REPORTED HEAVY BLOWING SNOW
            REDUCING VISIBILITIES LESS THEN A QUARTER OF A MILE.
            TEMPERATURE WAS 18 BELOW ZERO FARENHEIT AT THE SUMMIT
            WITH NORTH WIND 25 MPH GUSTING TO 45 MPH. THIS GIVES A
            WIND CHILL BELOW 55 DEGREES BELOW ZERO FARENHEIT.

0830 AM     SNOW             COFFMAN COVE            56.01N 132.83W
01/16/2011  M7.8 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            COFFMAN COVE CO-OP REPORTED A 24 HOUR TOTAL OF 7.8 INCHES
            WITH 10 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND. SNOW WAS STILL
            FALLING AT THE TIME OF THE CALL.

0900 AM     SNOW             HYDER                   55.91N 130.02W
01/16/2011  M9.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            THE HYDER CO-OP REPORTED A 24 HOUR SNOW TOTAL OF 9.0
            INCHES WITH 25 INCHES ON THE GROUND. IT WAS STILL
            STEADILY SNOWING AT THE TIME OF THE CALL.

0900 AM     SNOW             40 NNW KETCHIKAN        55.87N 132.04W
01/16/2011  M7.0 INCH                           AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            THE MYERS CHUCK CO-OP HAD A 24 HOUR SNOW TOTAL OF 7.0
            INCHES. IT WAS STILL SNOWING LIGHTLY AT THE TIME OF THE
            CALL.

1200 PM     SNOW             9 N PETERSBURG          56.94N 132.96W
01/16/2011  M3.5 INCH        PKZ034             AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PETERSBURG OBSERVER AT 9 MILE HAD 3.5 INCHES OF SNOW THAT
            FELL FROM 8 AM THIS MORNING TILL NOON. 15 INCHES WAS
            CURRENTLY ON THE GROUND AND IT WAS STILL STEADILY
            SNOWING.

1100 AM     ICE STORM        KLAWOCK                 55.55N 133.09W
01/16/2011                                      AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            ESTIMATED THERE WAS A STORM TOTAL OF 1 INCH OF ICE
            ACCUMULATION FOR THE ENTIRE EVENT. CURRENTLY WAS ALL
            MELTING AND ALL RAIN.

1100 AM     ICE STORM        EDNA BAY                55.95N 133.66W
01/16/2011                                      AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER 6 FROM ZONE 27 SAID THERE WAS NO ICE ACCUMULATION
            BUT ABOUT A FOOT OF SNOW ON THE GROUND. WAS CURRENTLY
            LIGHTLY SNOWING.

1100 AM     SNOW             EDNA BAY                55.95N 133.66W
01/16/2011  M3.5 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER 8 FROM ZONE 27 REPORTED 3.5 INCHES OF SNOW
            OVERNIGHT, 3 INCHES YESTERDAY AND ANOTHER 1 INCH THAT
            FELL THIS MORNING. THERE WAS NO ICE REPORTED. CURRENTLY
            VERY LIGHTLY SNOWING.

1100 AM     SNOW             PETERSBURG              56.81N 132.96W
01/16/2011  M4.0 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            THE PETERSBURG WEATHER OBSERVER REPORTED 7 INCHES OF SNOW
            ON THE GROUND AS OF 0330Z ON THE 16TH WITH 11 INCHES OF
            SNOW ON THE GROUND AT 2000Z ON THE 16TH. THIS GIVES A
            TOTAL OF 4 INCHES THAT FELL IN BETWEEN THAT PERIOD.

1100 AM     SNOW             9 N WRANGELL            56.60N 132.40W
01/16/2011  E7.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER 1 FROM ZONE 26 ESTIMATED THAT 5 INCHES OF SNOW
            HAD FALLEN SINCE 830 PM ON THE 15TH AND THERE WAS 7
            INCHES CURRENTLY ON THE GROUND. THERE WERE HIGHER AMOUNTS
            NEAR THE ROAD OF ALMOST A FOOT.

1100 AM     SNOW             PETERSBURG              56.81N 132.96W
01/16/2011  E2.0 INCH                           AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER 14 FROM ZONE 26 ESTIMATED 2 INCHES OF SNOW HAD
            FALLEN SO FAR IN THE MORNING. WAS STILL SNOWING AT TIME
            OF CALL.

1200 PM     SNOW             PORT ALEXANDER          56.25N 134.64W
01/16/2011  E3.0 INCH                           AK   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

            THE PORT ALEXANDER OBSERVER REPORTED 3 INCHES OF SNOW
            FALLING OVERNIGHT. WAS CURRENTLY STILL SNOWING AND
            VISIBILITY WAS BELOW HALF A MILE DUE TO BLOWING SNOW.

1200 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 3 NNW AUKE BAY          58.42N 134.69W
01/16/2011  E0 MPH                              AK   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER 7 FROM ZONE 25 CALLED REPORTING VISIBILITY OF
            LESS THEN 3 QUARTERS OF A MILE WHEN LOOKING ACROSS THE
            WATER.

1200 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST HAINES                  59.24N 135.44W
01/16/2011  E0 MPH                              AK   CO-OP OBSERVER

            SPOTTER 2 FROM ZONE 19 REPORTED VISIBILITY OF LESS THEN 1
            MILE DUE TO BLOWING SNOW. SNOW HAS BEEN STEADILY
            INCREASING THROUGH THE DAY.

0353 AM     ICE STORM        KLAWOCK                 55.55N 133.09W
01/16/2011                                      AK   ASOS

            THE KLAWOCK ASOS REPORTED FREEZING RAIN BEGINNING ON THE
            16TH AROUND 1300Z AND ENDING AROUND 2100Z ON THE 16TH.

0600 AM     SNOW             HYDER                   55.91N 130.02W
01/16/2011  M3.0 INCH                           AK   OTHER FEDERAL

            THE STEWART, BC WEATHER OBSERVER REPORTED 3.0 INCHES OF
            SNOW HAVING FALLEN SINCE 15Z THIS MORNING TO 22Z THIS
            AFTERNOON.

&&

CJL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 16, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 16, 9:45 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK6 hr
Jan 16, 9:55 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK7 hr
Jan 16, 10:42 PM AKSTWind Chill AdvisoryAJK6 hr
Jan 16, 11:15 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK17 hr
Jan 17, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Jan 17, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Jan 17, 4:57 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAJK28 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.