Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 404, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 4, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 4, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 4, 2011, 11:13 PM AKDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
807 FZAK51 PAJK 042332 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-051400- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THU. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF THROUGH MID WEEK WILL MOVE THE WEAKENING LOW SOUTHEAST TOWARDS HAIDA GWAII...FORMERLY CHARLOTTES BY EARLY THU. $$ PKZ011-051400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 15 KT EASING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE S. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-051400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-051400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-051400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ022-051400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL LATE. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ031-051400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-051400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-051400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-051400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ035-051400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. AREAS OF FOG IN THE EVENING. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ036-051400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$
1 follow-up statement
528 FZAK51 PAJK 050714 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1113 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-051400- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY NIGHT WILL WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THU. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL WEAKEN OVER THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE MONDAY NIGHT. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING OVER WESTERN AND CENTRAL GULF THROUGH MID WEEK WILL MOVE THE WEAKENING LOW SOUTHEAST TOWARDS HAIDA GWAII...FORMERLY CHARLOTTES BY EARLY THU. $$ PKZ011-051400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 15 KT EASING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE S. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-051400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ013-051400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-051400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ022-051400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. S SWELL LATE. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ031-051400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1113 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-051400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1113 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ033-051400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1113 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-051400- FREDERICK SOUND- 1113 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ035-051400- SUMNER STRAIT- 1113 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ036-051400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1113 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 4, 3:59 PM AKDT, 1 minute earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 3:59 PM AKDT, 1 minute before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
359 PM AKDT MON JUL 4 2011
.SHORT TERM /MON NIGHT AND TUE/...THIS MORNINGS MODEL SOLUTIONS
WERE IN RATHER GOOD AGREEMENT WITH WELL DEVELOPED LOW OVER THE
GULF WEST SOUTHWEST OF SITKA NEAR 140W. IT HAD REACHED ITS DEEPEST
THIS MORNING AND HAD BEGUN TO SLOWLY FILL. THE ASSOCIATED FRONTAL
BAND REACHING OUT TO BE JUST OFFSHORE THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE...
WILL SPREAD INLAND ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE PANHANDLE
THROUGH TONIGHT AS IT WEAKENS.
THE EXPECT THE WRAP AROUND PORTION OF THE FRONTAL BAND WILL
ARC BACK AROUND TOWARDS BARANOF AND CHICHAGOF ISLAND WILL BRING
ANOTHER SHOT OF RAIN FOR TUESDAY... AND A BURST OF WINDS AS WELL.
SO HAVE KEPT SOME LOCALLY BREEZY CONDITIONS IN THOSE AREAS.
GALE FORCE WINDS YET THIS EVENING OVER THE SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS
(041>043) AND CLARENCE STRAIT AND THE EASTERN PORTION OF 310
BEFORE DIMINISHING TO SMALL CRAFT. A LARGE PORTION OF THE INNER
WATERS WILL SMALL CRAFT LEVEL WINDS THROUGH THE EVENING AND ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH BY TUE. HAVE KEPT THE CURRENT WIND ADVISORIES
FOR PRINCE OF WALES AND SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS INTO THE EARLY
EVENING TIME FRAME.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUES NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE GULF WILL CONTINUE THE UNSETTLED
WEATHER OF CLOUDS AND RAIN THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AS THE LOW GRADUALLY
FILLS AND MOVES TO THE SE THROUGH THURSDAY CHANCES OF PRECIP WILL
DECREASE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE MOVES IN
FROM THE WEST BEHIND THE FRONT...BUT A BIT SLOWER WITH LATEST
MODEL RUNS. THIS SHOULD HELP TO DIMINISH PRECIP FURTHER AND CLOUDS
WILL DECREASE AS WELL WITH SOME SUNNY BREAKS...MAINLY NORTHERN
HALF...THURS THROUGH SAT. BY LATER SUNDAY THE RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER
THE PANHANDLE TURNING WINDS MORE ONSHORE AND INCREASING CHANCES OF
PRECIP AGAIN.
NUMERICAL MODELS WERE IN BETTER AGREEMENT TODAY...RESULTING IN
AVERAGE FORECASTER CONFIDENCE. USED A BLEND OF THE MODELS WITH THE
GOING FORECAST INITIALLY. THIS WORKED WELL FOR PRESSURE AROUND THE
LOW BECAUSE THE NAM WAS SLIGHTLY FURTHER NORTH AND DEEPER THAN THE
GFS/ECMWF WITH THE INHERITED FORECAST IN THE MIDDLE. OTHERWISE
TRENDED TOWARD THE GFS AND HPC FOR LATER PERIODS...WHICH HAD VERY
SIMILAR PLACEMENT OF THE RIDGE MOVING ON SHORE.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ027.
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036-041>043.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ021-022-032>035-051.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.
&&
/The office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 48 hr | |
| Jul 4, 11:13 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 23 hr | |
| Jul 5, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.