Alert archive / Alaska / Hurricane Force Wind Warnings in 2011
Hurricane Force Wind Warning 1, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this hurricane force wind warning at Oct 25, 2011, 10:09 PM AKDT. It was in force for 6 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 25, 2011, 10:09 PM AKDT (06:09 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 26, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
979 FZAK51 PAJK 260611 AAA CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-270015- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A STORM FORCE LOW OVER THE FAR NW GULF WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE TO THE NE GULF NEAR YAKUTAT WED. THE ASSOCIATED STRONG WEATHER FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE ACROSS SE ALASKA TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ011-270015- GLACIER BAY- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-270015- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-270015- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-270015- ICY STRAIT- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-270015- CROSS SOUND- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING S 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ031-270015- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-270015- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-270015- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 13 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-270015- FREDERICK SOUND- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-270015- SUMNER STRAIT- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-270015- CLARENCE STRAIT- 1009 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011 UPDATED ...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...SE WIND 75 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT...DIMINISHING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN. .WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
587 FZAK51 PAJK 261156 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-270100- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF WILL WEAKEN AS IT MOVES EASTWARD AND INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT BY WED AFTERNOON. A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF LATER WED AND INTO THE PANHANDLE THU. $$ PKZ011-270100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-270100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .THU...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-270100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-270100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-270100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. $$ PKZ031-270100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-270100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-270100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 13 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 15 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ034-270100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ035-270100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN LATE. .THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-270100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED OCT 26 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 10 FT IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this hurricane force wind warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this hurricane force wind warning went out at Oct 25, 3:32 PM AKDT, 6 hours 37 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Oct 25, 3:32 PM AKDT, 6 hours 37 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
332 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011
.SHORT TERM...INTENSE STORM JUST E OF KODIAK WILL WEAKEN AND
MOVE EWD ACROSS THE NRN GULF TO NEAR YAKUTAT BY WED AFTERNOON.
STRONG OCCLUDED FRONT OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE THRU SE
ALASKA TONIGHT.
THERE ARE A MYRIAD OF FORECAST CONCERNS THRU WED. THE BIGGEST
ONE IS THE WIND. AHEAD OF THE FRONT...STORM FORCE SE WINDS ARE
OCCURRING OVER THE FAR ERN GULF...AND GALE FORCE WINDS ARE
DEVELOPING OVER MUCH OF THE INNER CHANNELS. EXPECT WINDS TO PEAK
AT GALE FORCE FOR ALL BUT GLACIER BAY AND NRN CHATHAM STRAIT
WHERE THEY SHOULD PEAK NEAR 30 KT...AND CLARENCE STRAIT WHERE
WINDS WILL PEAK AT STORM FORCE THIS EVENING. WILL KEEP THE PUBLIC
WIND HEADLINES AS THEY WERE FOR THE MOST PART. THERE WILL BE A
BREAK IN THE WIND MOST AREAS AFTER FROPA LATER TONIGHT BEFORE
STRONG WSW FLOW MOVES IN WED AS WEAKENING LOW MOVES INTO THE NE
GULF. EXCEPTION TO THIS TREND WILL BE IN LYNN CANAL...WHERE WINDS
WILL LIKELY INCREASE AFTER FROPA AS MID-LEVEL FLOW VEERS FROM S
TO SW...KEEPING LOWER PRESSURES NEAR PAGY AND SLY GRADIENT
INCREASES AS A RESULT.
NEXT...HAVE UPGRADED THE WINTER WEATHER ADVY FOR THE WHITE PASS
AREA TO A WINTER STORM WARNING...WITH 5 TO 8 INCHES OF SNOW
EXPECTED THERE TONIGHT. TEMPS IN THE PASS WILL BE NEAR 32 DEGREES
SO THE SNOW WILL BE ON THE WET SIDE...BUT STRONG ENOUGH WINDS
THRU THE PASS WILL LIKELY CAUSE SOME BLOWING AND DRIFTING. THIS
SNOW SHOULD DIMINISH EARLY WED AS PRECIP WILL BECOME SHOWERY AND
MOST SHOWERS WILL REMAIN TO THE SW OF THEM.
ANOTHER CONCERN IS POTENTIAL FOR COASTAL FLOODING IN THE PAYA
AREA DURING EARLY AFTERNOON HIGH TIDE. WILL BE NEAR PEAK OF TIDAL
CYCLE MID TO LATE THIS WEEK... GIVEN THAT THERE WILL BE A FAIRLY
DECENT SW FLOW MOVING INTO THE PAYA AREA ALONG WITH HIGH
SEAS...EXPECT SOME TIDAL FLOODING AROUND THE SITUK FISHING CAMP.
LOOKS LIKE A 1.5 TO 2 FT STORM SURGE WILL OCCUR WED AS WELL. HAVE
ISSUED A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING FOR 19-23Z WED FOR PAYA
AREA...WHICH IS WITHIN 2 HRS OF THE HIGH TIDE.
OTHERWISE...WILL HAVE SOME TSTM POTENTIAL OVER THE NRN GULF
TONIGHT AFTER FROPA. STRONG PVA AND DECENT INSTABILITY ALONG WITH
SLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR STRONG UPDRAFTS TO DEVELOP AS THE
CONVECTIVE CELLS APPROACH THE COAST. WILL ALSO HAVE TO WATCH FOR
POTENTIAL TSTMS ALONG THE OUTER COAST WED IN A FAIRLY STRONG WSW
FLOW...BUT INSTABILITY APPEARS TO BE MARGINAL.
WILL HAVE SOME VERY LARGE SEAS OVER THE GULF ESPECIALLY WED AS A
LONG FETCH WSW GALE FORCE FLOW WILL SET UP. SEAS COULD REACH
30 FT OR MORE DURING THIS TIME.
&&
.LONG TERM...THURS THROUGH TUES PERIOD CAN CHARACTERIZED AS ACTIVE
WITH SEVERAL STRONG SHORTWAVES AFFECTING THE GULF AND PANHANDLE.
OVERALL FORECAST CONFIDENCE BELOW AVE ON DETAILS DUE TO DISSIMILAR
SOLUTIONS BY GLOBAL GFS...EURO CENTER...AND ENSEMBLE MODELS. BASED
ON GUIDANCE FROM NATIONAL CENTERS...DECIDED TO MAKE FEW CHANGES TO
FORECAST...AND TREND TOWARD EURO AND HPC SOLUTIONS AFTER SAT.
UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING SE OUT OF SIBERIA TODAY INTO N PACIFIC
WILL MOVE PAST ALEUTIAN CHAIN THUR AND BE NEAR THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE FRI MORNING. EURO MODEL HAS DEEPER SURFACE LOW WEST OF
HAIDA GWAII FRI MORNING WHILE GFS PUTS SFC LOW CENTER WEST OF
CRAIG. RESULTANT WEATHER WILL BE ANOTHER ROUND OF STRONG WIND FOR
SOUTHERN ZONES BUT WILL HAVE TO WAIT ANOTHER MODEL RUN OR TWO TO
PUT THE DETAILS ON EXACT TRACT OF STORM AND STRENGTH OF WIND.
GALES MENTIONED THERE IN CURRENT FORECAST LOOK LIKELY. LATER FRI
NARROW BUT STRONG RIDGING BUILDS IN FROM SOUTH AS SFC LOW CENTER
FILLS AND WASHES OUT INLAND.
AFFECTS OF NARROW RIDGE WILL BE SHORT LIVED AS ANOTHE SYSTEM
BARRELS EASTWARD ACROSS NORTHERN GULF BY SAT MORNING. MODEL
SOLUTIONS DIFFER AGAIN BUT THEY DO AGREE THE THE LOW CENTER
SLOWS AS IT NEARS THE COAST SETTING UP THE POSSIBILITY FOR A LONG
SOAKING RAIN ACROSS THE PANHANDLE ON SAT. THIS SYSTEM WASHES OUT
SAT NIGHT AND ENERGY IS REFOCUSED ON YET OTHER SYSTEMS CROSSING
THE BERING AND ON PACE TO REACH THE PANHANDLE ABOUT SUN AND AGAIN MID
NEXT WEEK. BECAUSE OF MODEL DIFFERENCES THE LATE FORECAST PERIODS
WERE NOT CHANGED MUCH EXCEPT MAYBE TO INCREASE THE POPS A BIT.
W-SW LOW LEVEL FLOW KEEPS POSSIBILITY OF ROUGH SEAS IN THE OUTLOOK.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND UNTIL 1 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ019-025-026-029.
HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ023-027.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ020-021-024.
STRONG WIND UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ017-022.
HIGH WIND WARNING FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY
FOR AKZ028.
STRONG WIND THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON FOR AKZ018.
WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 5 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...STORM WARNING FOR PKZ036-043-051-052.
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-013-021-022-031-033>035-041-042-053.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-032.
&&
RWT/TAThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 28 hr | |
| Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 4 hr | |
| Oct 25, 4:00 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 6 hr | |
| Oct 25, 5:36 PM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 5 hr | |
| Oct 25, 8:20 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Oct 25, 11:02 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 17 hr | |
| Oct 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Oct 26, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr |
Nearby
Hurricane Force Wind Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every hurricane force wind warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.