High Wind Warning 6, NWS Juneau, AK

733 
WWAK77 PAJK 222351
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
351 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

AKZ023-026-230800-
/X.EXB.PAJK.HW.W.0006.110923T0900Z-110923T1500Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG...
WRANGELL...KAKE
351 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM AKDT FRIDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JUNEAU HAS ISSUED A HIGH WIND
WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 7 AM AKDT FRIDAY. 

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE. WIND
  GUSTS TO 50 MPH INCREASING TO 60 MPH LATE. STRONGEST WINDS WILL
  BE OVER THE INNER CHANNELS AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF BARANOF
  ISLAND LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKDT THURSDAY NIGHT OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ027-230800-
/X.EXT.PAJK.HW.W.0006.110923T0600Z-110923T1500Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
351 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
7 AM AKDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE. WIND
  GUSTS TO 50 MPH INCREASING TO 60 MPH LATE.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKDT THURSDAY NIGHT OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-230800-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0006.110923T0900Z-110923T1800Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
351 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 10 AM AKDT
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH
  INCREASING TO 60 MPH FRIDAY MORNING.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 11 PM AKDT THURSDAY NIGHT OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

876 
WWAK77 PAJK 230706
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1106 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

AKZ027-231300-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110923T1500Z/
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
1106 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM AKDT FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE. WIND
  GUSTS TO 60 MPH.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT FRIDAY OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-026-231300-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0006.110923T0900Z-110923T1500Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG...
WRANGELL...KAKE
1106 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM UNTIL 7 AM AKDT
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE. WIND 
  GUSTS TO 50 MPH INCREASING TO 60 MPH LATE. STRONGEST WINDS 
  WILL BE OVER THE INNER CHANNELS AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF 
  BARANOF ISLAND LATE TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. 

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT FRIDAY OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ028-231300-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0006.110923T0900Z-110923T1800Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
1106 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM UNTIL 10 AM AKDT
FRIDAY...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 50 MPH 
  INCREASING TO 60 MPH FRIDAY MORNING. 

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 5 AM AKDT FRIDAY OR
SOONER IF CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

710 
WWAK77 PAJK 231219
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
419 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

AKZ028-231500-
/X.EXT.PAJK.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110923T1500Z/
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
419 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM AKDT THIS MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 60 MPH.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 7 AM AKDT FRIDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

AKZ023-026-027-231500-
/X.CON.PAJK.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110923T1500Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG...
WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...KLAWOCK
419 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM AKDT THIS
MORNING...

* WINDS...SOUTHEAST 30 TO 40 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST LATE. WIND GUSTS
  TO 60 MPH IN EXPOSED LOCATIONS. STRONGEST WINDS WILL BE OVER THE
  INNER CHANNELS AND THE EASTERN SHORE OF BARANOF ISLAND.

A WARNING MEANS THAT HIGH WINDS ARE ALREADY OCCURRING OR
IMMINENT. THESE WINDS COULD POSE A THREAT TO LIFE AND PROPERTY.

THIS STATEMENT WILL BE UPDATED BY 7 AM AKDT FRIDAY OR SOONER IF
CONDITIONS WARRANT.

&&

$$

010 
WWAK77 PAJK 231440
NPWAJK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
640 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011


AKZ023-026>028-231545-
/X.EXP.PAJK.HW.W.0006.000000T0000Z-110923T1500Z/
CAPE DECISION TO SALISBURY SOUND COASTAL AREA-
INNER CHANNELS FROM KUPREANOF ISLAND TO ETOLIN ISLAND-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION COASTAL AREA-
SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...SITKA...PORT ALEXANDER...PETERSBURG...
WRANGELL...KAKE...CRAIG...KLAWOCK...KETCHIKAN...METLAKATLA
640 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...HIGH WIND WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 7 AM AKDT THIS MORNING...

A STORM FORCE LOW MOVED ONSHORE NEAR PORT ALEXANDER ABOUT 4 AM
THIS MORNING AND BEGAN TO WEAKEN. THE HIGHEST WINDS NEAR
POPULATION CENTERS THIS MORNING WERE GUSTS OF 64 MPH AT KETCHIKAN
AND 3 AM AND 62 MPH AT HYDABURG AT 4 AM. AREA WIDE THE GUSTS
HAVE BEEN DIMINISHING AND FELL BELOW 60 MPH BY 6 AM AND
WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.

THIS IS THE LAST STATEMENT THAT WILL BE ISSUED ON THIS WIND
EVENT. 

$$

JT

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
350 PM AKDT WED SEP 21 2011

.SHORT TERM...STORM FORCE LOW OFF THE COAST OF SITKA HAS
CONTINUED TO TRACK NORTH THROUGH THE DAY MOVING SOUTH OF YAKUTAT.
THIS LOW HAS PRODUCED HEAVY RAIN FROM A LONG FETCH OF TROPICAL
MOISTURE AND STRONG WINDS OVER THE PANHANDLE. STORM FORCE WINDS
ALONG THE COASTAL WATERS HAVE DIMINISHED TO UPPER LEVEL GALES AND
SEAS HEIGHTS, WHILE STILL HIGH, WILL BEGIN TO DROP IN THE EVENING.
STRONG WINDS FROM THE FIRST LOW BAND OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THE SECOND WRAP FROM
THE LOW NOW MOVING OVER THE CENTRAL AND NORTHERN REGIONS HAS
PRODUCED MUCH STRONGER WINDS WITH NUMEROUS GUSTS OF 60 MPH BEING
REPORTED. A HIGH WIND WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR THE CENTRAL
PANHANDLE UNTIL 8 PM WED EVENING. GALE FORCE WINDS IN THE SOUTHERN
INSIDE WATERS WILL DIMINISH THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING WHILE
CENTRAL AND NORTHERN INNER CHANNEL WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO
INCREASE. RIVER LEVELS ARE STILL BELOW ACTION STAGE BUT WITH THE
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL LEVELS WILL JUST REACH ACTION STAGE LATE
TONIGHT. DO NOT EXPECT AND SIGNIFICANT FLOODING AT THIS TIME. RAIN
WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISHED THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT AND
TRANSITION TO SHOWERS. SHOWERS WILL BECOME SCATTERED THROUGH THE DAY
THURSDAY. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS NORTH, BECOMING AN OPEN
WAVE TROUGH THIS EVENING. WIND AND RAIN WILL DIMINISH AS THE LOW
WEAKENS. A WEAK HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE PANHANDLE
THURSDAY. SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL KEEP SOUTHERLY SMALL
CRAFT WINDS IN THE NORTH INNER CHANNELS THU MORNING. ONSHORE FLOW
WILL KEEP MOISTURE FLOW TO SUPPORT SHOWER ACTIVITY THROUGH THE
DAY. NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL ENTER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF
LATE THU.

 MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT TODAY, USED A BLEND OF NAM AND GFS
TO UPDATE INHERITED GRIDS. MAIN CHANGES WERE IN INCREASE WINDS
FOR TONIGHT. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST BEGINS WITH ANOTHER HIGH WIND
EVENT OVER MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND BARANOF ISLAND. A
HIGH WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THIS EVENT AND PERSONS
LOCATED IN THE WATCH AREA SHOULD EXPECT TO SEE THIS WATCH
CONVERTED TO A WARNING BY TOMORROW MORNING. THE LOW IN QUESTION IS
BEING DEPICTED VERY WELL BY ALL GUIDANCE WITH A TIGHT GROUPING AND
CENTRAL PRESSURES RANGING FROM 964 MB TO 973 MB AT LANDFALL EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING VICINITY CAPE DECISION. THIS WIND EVENT WILL WIND
DOWN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AS THE LOW TRACKS TO THE NORTHEAST AND
WEAKENS ON ITS WAY TOWARD BRITISH COLUMBIA. RAIN WILL DIMINISH
FROM WEST TO EAST ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY IS LOOKING LIKE A DRY DAY
WITH A WEAK OFFSHORE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA. THE
BRIEF BREAK WILL BE OVER BY MONDAY MORNING AS THE NEXT LOW TRACKS
INTO THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE SOUTH. THIS ONE IS FORECAST TO
REMAIN FARTHER TO THE WEST BEFORE WEAKENING AND FILLING VICINITY
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TUESDAY AFTERNOON. ASSOCIATED RAINS WILL
PRIMARILY BE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE PANHANDLE.

USED A NAM/ECMWF BLEND THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AND A GFS/ECMWF BLEND
THEREAFTER. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH SATURDAY
MORNING AND AVERAGE THEREAFTER.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WATCH FROM THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
     AKZ027-028.
         HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 8 PM AKDT THIS EVENING FOR AKZ020>023-
     025.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031>036-041>043.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.

&&

PRB/FRITSCH