Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 53, NWS Juneau, AK

January 16, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Jan 16, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 16, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Jan 16, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

506 
FZAK51 PAJK 161306
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-170100-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NW CANADA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. A LOW OVER THE SE GULF OF AK SUN MORNING DRIFTS EAST AND
INTO CANADA SUN NIGHT. A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF SUN NIGHT AND DRIFT EAST INTO MON. 

$$

PKZ011-170100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT BECOMING 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-170100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 55 KT DIMINISHING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS AROUND 75 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-170100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT BECOMING 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS 70
KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-170100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-170100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT BECOMING 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
AROUND 60 MPH. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S
SWELL. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-170100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
80 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 60 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-170100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-170100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-170100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-170100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-170100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$
2 follow-up statements
052 
FZAK51 PAJK 162217 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-170115-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NW CANADA WILL SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH SUNDAY
NIGHT. A LOW OVER THE SE GULF OF AK SUN MORNING DRIFT EAST AND
INTO CANADA SUN NIGHT. A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN
GULF SUN NIGHT AND DRIFT EAST INTO MON. 

$$

PKZ011-170115-
GLACIER BAY-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED TODAY

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
LIGHT SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-170115-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED TODAY

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N WIND 45 KT. GUSTS TO AROUND 70 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. LIGHT SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-170115-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED TODAY

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
LIGHT SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-170115-
ICY STRAIT-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-170115-
CROSS SOUND-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED TODAY

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. LIGHT
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. S
SWELL. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-170115-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED TODAY

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.THIS AFTERNOON...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. LIGHT SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 60 KT DECREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-170115-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW LATE. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-170115-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-170115-
FREDERICK SOUND-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED TODAY

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.THIS AFTERNOON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 60 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-170115-
SUMNER STRAIT-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

UPDATED TODAY

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.THIS AFTERNOON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-170115-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
114 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT
IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$
742 
FZAK51 PAJK 170048
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-171400-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE YUKON WILL WEAKEN WHILE THE LOW IN DIXON
ENTRANCE MOVES INTO CENTRAL BRITISH COLUMBIA THIS EVENING. THIS
ALLOWS THE STRONG NORTHERLY OUTFLOW WINDS THROUGH THE INNER
CHANNELS TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING. A WEAK LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY NIGHT AND DRIFT EAST ACROSS THE NORTHERN
PANHANDLE MONDAY.  

$$

PKZ011-171400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-171400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-171400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-171400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...E WIND 15 K. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-171400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. NW SWELL. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SW SWELL. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-171400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 60 KT ENDING IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-171400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-171400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. SNOW IN
THE EVENING. 
.MON...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-171400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY IN THE EVENING. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-171400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. SNOW IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-171400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST SUN JAN 16 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
EVENING. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE MORNING AND BECOMING SE
20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKST, 12 hours before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST SAT JAN 15 2011

.SHORT TERM... SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE AREA OF CLOUDS AND
SNOW HAS ADVANCED AS FAR NORTH AS JUNEAU HOWEVER THE HIGHER
CLOUDS ARE MORE BANDED THAN SOLID AND AS A RESULT THE SNOWFALL IS
QUITE VARIABLE. SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SHOW LIGHT SNOW IS FALLING
OVER MOST OF THE SOUTHERN TWO THIRDS OF THE PANHANDLE BUT
TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED ABOVE FREEZING IN THE EXTREME SOUTH AND
A SLOW WARMING IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY. BECAUSE OF
THE STRONGER THAN EXPECTED WARM UP A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR
HEAVY SNOW IS CURRENTLY ONLY IN EFFECT FOR ZONE 29 AND A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS CONTINUED FOR ZONE 26. LITTLE CHANGE
IS EXPECTED TO THE THE GENERAL WARM MOIST OVERRUNING CONDITION
THROUGH SUNDAY OTHER THAN A VERY GRADUAL MODIFICATION OF THE
ARCTIC OUTFLOW AIRMASS BELOW.

 MODELS ARE FAIRLY CONSISTENT WITH THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN. STRONG
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE IN THE YUKON THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY
WHICH WILL MAINTAIN THE INTENSE NORTH TO NORTHEAST WINDS IN THE
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR ZONES WHILE KEEPING TEMPERATURES COLD. A
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS WAS ISSUED FOR
ZONE 18 WHICH INCLUDES SKAGWAY AND THE KONDIKE HIGHWAY. THESE
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY.
&&

.LONG TERM...WE WILL BE IN A SLOW WARM UP THROUGH THE LONG TERM.
ONE LAST BURST OF ARCTIC AIR SUNDAY NIGHT BEFORE RIDGE BUILDS INTO
GULF AND GO TO ONSHORE FLOW. DO HAVE A SHORT WAVE IN WESTERLY FLOW
THAT MOVES ACROSS PANHANDLE MONDAY AND A WEAK SYSTEM THAT APPROACHES
FROM SW ON TUESDAY. THESE SYSTEMS WILL BRING SNOW TO THE INNER
CHANNELS WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST.

A STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEMS MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY
WITH GALES. PRECIP WILL INCREASE ACROSS PANHANDLE AND COULD SEE
ADVISORY LEVEL SNOWS FOR INNER CHANNELS WED-THU. HAVE PRECIP GOING
TO ALL RAIN EXCEPT FOR PAHN-PAGY THU NIGHT AND FRI.

MODELS IN GOOD SYNOPTIC AGREEMENT. USED NAM FOR PRES-WIND THROUGH
DAY 3.5 BUT IT IS WAY TOO COLD (HAD A -12C COLD BIAS AT PAKT THIS
MORNING) IN THE BOUNDARY LEVEL. PRIMARILY USED GFS FOR TEMPS AND
OTHER FIELDS THROUGH DAY 4 AND HPC GRIDS DAYS 4-8.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ026.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ017-019-020-022-025.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 3 PM AKST SUNDAY FOR AKZ018-029.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032-043.
         STORM WARNING FOR PKZ011>013.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ021-022-031-032-034-035-042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ033-036-041-043-051.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS FOR PKZ052.

&&

CFD/MM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK48 hr
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK48 hr
Jan 15, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK12 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK24 hr
Jan 16, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Jan 16, 5:52 AM AKSTFreezing Rain AdvisoryAJK10 hr
Jan 16, 11:20 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK17 hr
Jan 16, 12:43 PM AKSTWinter Weather AdvisoryAJK6 hr
Jan 16, 1:14 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK9 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.