Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 515, NWS Juneau, AK

December 19, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Dec 19, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 14 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 19, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Dec 20, 2011, 6:16 AM AKST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

787 
FZAK52 PAJK 200016
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-201400-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE SE GULF WILL MOVE NE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT.
A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AK GULF TUE. 

$$

PKZ041-201400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 24 FT LATE. RAIN
IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT
SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-201400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO
19 FT LATE.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-201400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO NW 30 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. W
SWELL IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-201400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING
TO 15 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-201400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING
TO 14 FT LATE. SW SWELL IN THE EVENING. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
699 
FZAK52 PAJK 200616 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
916 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-201400-
916 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A LOW IN THE SE GULF WILL MOVE NE ACROSS THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT.
A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AK GULF TUE. 

$$

PKZ041-201400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
916 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT
SUBSIDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-201400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
916 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-201400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
916 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-201400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
916 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-201400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
916 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...NW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$
863 
FZAK52 PAJK 201255
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-210100-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF ON TUESDAY. A FRONT
WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY. OUTLOOK.
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.  

$$

PKZ041-210100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. W SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. W SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING W OVERNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-210100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO
12 FT LATE. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING W OVERNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-210100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT LATE. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W GALE 35 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-210100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
14 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-210100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT CLOSE COASTAL LATE. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE LATE MORNING THEN
DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 

$$
332 
FZAK52 PAJK 201516
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
616 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-210930-
616 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE EASTERN GULF ON TUESDAY. A FRONT
WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE WEST ON WEDNESDAY. OUTLOOK.
A GALE FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEAST GULF BY WEDNESDAY
EVENING.  

$$

PKZ041-210930-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
616 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 10 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 14 FT LATE. W SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 40 KT BECOMING W OVERNIGHT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 



$$

PKZ042-210930-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
616 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO
12 FT LATE. SW SWELL. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING W OVERNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 



$$

PKZ043-210930-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
616 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT LATE. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING W GALE 35 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 



$$

PKZ051-210930-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
616 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. SW
SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO
14 FT. 
.WED...S GALE TO 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 



$$

PKZ052-210930-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
616 AM AKST TUE DEC 20 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. SW SWELL. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT CLOSE COASTAL LATE. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE LATE MORNING THEN
DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Dec 19, 3:02 PM AKST, 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 19, 3:02 PM AKST, 58 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
302 PM AKST MON DEC 19 2011

.SHORT TERM...WET WEATHER CONTINUES OVER THE PANHANDLE TODAY AS
LINGERING SHOWERS FROM LAST NIGHTS FRONT AND THE NEW PRECIP FROM
AN APPROACHING LOW MOVE OVER THE AREA. FOR MOST PLACES IT IS WARM
ENOUGH THAT THE PRECIP IS LIQUID. THE ONLY PLACES THAT STILL
COULD HAVE FROZEN PRECIP IS THE INLAND AND HIGHER ELEVATION AREAS
ON THE HAINES AND KLONDIKE HIGHWAYS AND HYDER. THE WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY REMAINS UP FOR HYDER UNTIL 4 PM TODAY AS STEWART, BC HAS
BEEN REPORTING MODERATE OR HEAVIER SNOW ALL MORNING WITH AN
ACCUMULATION OF ABOUT 7 INCHES SINCE LAST NIGHT SO FAR. THE COOP
STATION IN HYDER ALSO REPORTED 5 INCHES OF NEW SNOW ABOUT 9 AM
THIS MORNING AND STILL SNOWING.

FOR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW, THE APPROACHING LOW IN THE SE GULF WILL
CONTINUE TO HEAD NE TO LAND FALL NEAR SOUTHERN BARANOF ISLAND
EARLY THIS EVENING. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT IS MOVING THROUGH THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AT THE MOMENT AND WILL BE IN BRITISH COLUMBIA
BY THIS EVENING WITH THE NORTHERN PART OF IT BISECTING FROM EAST
TO WEST THE CENTRAL PANHANDLE UNTIL THE LOW MOVES THROUGH. BEHIND
THE FRONT PRECIP SHOULD DIMINISH AS THE DRY SLOT MOVES IN. SNOW
SHOULD TAPER OFF IN HYDER AND ANY ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATIONS SHOULD
BE ONLY A FEW INCHES TONIGHT. AS FOR WINDS SW WINDS WILL BE
INCREASING ALONG THE SOUTHERN OUTER COAST IN THE WAKE OF THE LOW
DUE TO THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEHIND IT. HAVE PUT UP STRONG WIND
HEADLINES FOR HYDABURG FOR LATE THIS EVENING TO LATE TONIGHT. THE
NORTHERN PANHANDLE WILL NOT BE QUITE AS AFFECTED AS SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE AND WINDS WILL EXPERIENCE SOME SHIFTS FROM SOUTHERLY TO
NORTHERLY THIS EVENING AND BACK AGAIN BY EARLY TOMORROW. TOMORROW
LOOKS TO HAVE MOST OF THE AREA UNDER A DRYING TREND AS A RIDGE
BUILDS IN FROM THE SW DURING THE DAY.

SHORT RANGE MODELS WERE IN DECENT AGREEMENT EXCEPT ON THE SPEED
OF THE LOW AND FRONT FOR THIS EVENING. NAM WAS WAY TOO FAST
PLACING THE LOW A FEW HOURS AHEAD OF WHERE IT ACTUALLY WAS AT THE
TIME. GFS IS A BIT SLOWER BUT STILL WAS A BIT TOO FAST COMPARED TO
THE REAL WORLD. 0Z EC AND THE UK MEANWHILE WERE TOO SLOW. THE NEW
12Z EC DECIDED TO ALSO BE A BIT SLOW BUT WAS FASTER THEN THE
PREVIOUS RUN. SO DECIDED TO STICK WITH THE 12Z EC AND THE GFS FOR
SHORT RANGE UPDATES. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE.

&&

.LONG TERM...PROGRESSIVE PATTERN OF ALTERNATING TROUGHS AND RIDGES
WILL CONTINUE TO THE END OF THE WEEK BEFORE PATTERN BEGINS TO
CHANGES AS UPPER RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC BREAKS DOWN
AND JET STREAM STARTS TO TAKE A FARTHER SOUTH TRACK. STILL HAVE
SEVERAL HIGH ENERGY WAVES THAT WILL AFFECT THE PANHANDLE THIS WEEK
ALTHOUGH THERE IS LITTLE CONSENSUS BETWEEN MODELS ON WHICH WAVE
WILL DEVELOP AND WHICH ONES DO NOT.

FIRST LOW OF INTEREST TRACKS INTO BRISTOL BAY WITH THE ASSOCIATED
FRONT IN CENTRAL GULF TUESDAY NIGHT. THE EC DEVELOPS A WAVE ALONG
THE TRAILING FRONT SOUTH OF KODIAK THAT DEEPENS TO 975 AS IT MOVES
THROUGH WESTERN GULF WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL SEND SOLID GALES TO THE
EASTERN GULF WEDNESDAY. FRONT WEAKENS AS IT MOVES ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ALASKA WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS SOME WARM AIR WITH IT
AND EXPECT MAINLY RAIN WITH FRONT BUT GOING TO SNOW SHOWERS BEHIND
THE FRONT.

SECOND SYSTEM OF INTEREST DEVELOPS IN NE PACIFIC WEDNESDAY AND
TRACKS NE INTO SE GULF THU. GFS SEEMED TO HANDLE THIS FEATURE
BETTER AND DEEPENS TO 978 MB IN SE GULF BEFORE CUTTING ACROSS
CENTRAL PANHANDLE THURSDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE A STRONG LOW LEVEL
JET REACHING 80 KT OVER SOUTHERN ZONES AHEAD OF FRONT LATE
WED/EARLY THURSDAY. UPPED CLARENCE AND SOUTHERN COASTAL WATERS TO
STORM WITH FRONT AND WILL LIKELY NEED A HWW FOR SOUTHERN ZONES BY
THU. THE TRACK OF THIS LOW WILL ALLOW SOME COLD AIR TO DRAIN INTO
NORTHERN PANHANDLE AND WILL LIKELY SUPPORT NORTHERLY GALES IN LYNN
CANAL. DEFORMATION ZONES APPEARS TO ACROSS CENTRAL PANHANDLE AND
STARTING TO TREND JUNEAU BACK TO SNOW ON THURSDAY. SOUTHERN AREAS
SEE MODERATE WAA AND WILL BE RAIN HEAVY AT TIMES.

THE THIRD SYSTEM OF INTEREST HAS A VERY SIMILAR TRACK AS THE
SECOND...MOVING FROM NORTH PAC INTO SE GULF FRI NIGHT AND ACROSS
CENTRAL SE AK ON SAT. AGAIN GALE TO STORM FORCE WIND EXPECTED WITH
A MIX OF RA/SN FOR INNER CHANNELS AND RAIN SRN/COASTAL. USED A
GFS/GEM SOLUTIONS FOR THIS.

A FOURTH STRONG LOW CURVES NORTH THROUGH THE EASTERN GULF ON
CHRISTMAS DAY WITH GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS FOR EASTERN GULF AND
STRONG WINDS ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA. COLDEST OF AIR WILL RETREAT
TO FAR NORTHERN PANHANDLE WITH SNOW POTENTIAL FOR HAINES AND HEAVY
RAIN POTENTIAL FOR PAKT. GFS/GEM WAS USED FOR THIS SYSTEM.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...STRONG WIND FROM 6 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ027.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR
     AKZ029.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ036-041-042.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-022-031>033-035-043-051-052.

&&

EAL/MM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 19, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK7 hr
Dec 19, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Dec 19, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Dec 19, 10:39 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK15 hr
Dec 19, 10:39 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK15 hr
Dec 20, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Dec 20, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Dec 20, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Dec 20, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Dec 20, 6:16 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK10 hr
Dec 20, 1:18 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK3 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.