Gale Warning 45, NWS Juneau, AK

Issued

Jan 13, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)

Expired

Jan 13, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST

In force

12 hr

Issued by

NWS Juneau, AK

731 
FZAK51 PAJK 131243
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-140100-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE OVER NW CANADA WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD THROUGH FRI.
A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS THE OUTSIDE COASTAL WATERS
WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE NE PACIFIC WILL
MOVE NE TO THE SE GULF BY FRI NIGHT. 

$$

PKZ011-140100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-140100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 60 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-140100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 55 KT. SEAS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-140100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-140100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-140100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 85 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 45 KT. GUSTS TO 80 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-140100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-140100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...N GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-140100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 95 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 90 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-140100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
SNOW.
.SUN...E GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-140100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST THU JAN 13 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT
OF INTERIOR PASSES. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...NE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE GALE TO 40 KT. GUSTS TO 70 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...NE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 12, 4:26 PM AKST, 11 hours 34 minutes earlier.

SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
426 PM AKST WED JAN 12 2011

.SHORT TERM...STRONG COLD HIGH PRESSURE IN THE INTERIOR OF
CANADA IS PROVIDING A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT AND COLD OUTFLOW
TO SUPPORT STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS ACROSS THE AREA AND EVEN A STRONG
TAKU WIND EVENT IN DOWNTOWN JUNEAU AND DOUGLAS. PEAK WIND GUSTS
REACHED 88 MPH AT SOUTH DOUGLAS LAST NIGHT, AND SOME REPORTS OF
DAMAGE WERE RECEIVED. HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS UP AS CONDITIONS
STILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR MORE STRONG GUSTS INTO THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT HOURS. ELSEWHERE A HIGH WIND WARNING WAS HOISTED FOR
FOR THE ELFIN COVE AREA AS WINDS HAVE GUSTED AS HIGH AS 70 MPH
THERE TODAY. WIND ADVISORIES REMAIN UP FOR YAKUTAT, GUSTAVUS,
WRANGELL, AND HYDER DUE TO OUTFLOW WINDS OUT OF THE VARIOUS
INTERIOR PASSES, WITH MOST PLACES REPORTING GUSTS TO 40 OR 45 MPH
AT SOME POINT THIS MORNING. WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ALSO ARE
STILL UP FOR HAINES AND SKAGWAY FOR HIGH WINDS AND LOW WIND
CHILL. THOUGH FOR HAINES MOST OF THE HIGH WINDS AND LOW WIND
CHILL WILL BE ALONG LYNN CANAL.

 FOR THE MARINE ZONES, MOST INNER CHANNEL AREAS ARE EXPERIENCING
AT LEAST SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WINDS AND TEMPERATURES ARE MAKING
THE POSSIBILITY OF FREEZING SPRAY VERY LIKELY WITH HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY VERY LIKELY IN THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS. NORTHERN LYNN
CANAL AND CROSS SOUND ARE CURRENTLY BLOWING STORM FORCE WITH SOME
OF THE OTHER NORTHERN INNER CHANNEL AREAS BLOWING GALE OR SCA.

 THESE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TROUGH TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW. AS THE COLD HIGH IN CANADA CONTINUE TO BUILD SOUTH. THE
INGREDIENTS FOR THE TAKU WINDS NOT BE AS FAVORABLE BY THURSDAY
BUT WILL STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE ADVISORY LEVEL GUSTS
THROUGH THE DAY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA IS
EXPECTED TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY AS THE WEAK LOW THAT IS NEAR THE
CHARLOTTE ISLANDS WEAKENS AND MOVES INLAND THIS EVENING. HOWEVER
A SECONDARY LOW WILL BUILD BEHIND IT KEEPING THE GRADIENT HIGH
THROUGH THURSDAY. THE PRESENTS OF THIS SECONDARY LOW MAY ALSO
BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE TONIGHT THE SOUTHERN OUTER COAST DUE
TO SE FLOW INTO THAT AREA.

 MODEL AGREEMENT WAS RATHER GOOD THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD.
DECIDED TO GO WITH A BLEND TO THE NAM WITH SOME OF THE LOCAL WRF
MODEL MIXED IN FOR WINDS TO INCORPORATE MORE OF THE LOCAL
EFFECTS. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS GOOD FOR THE PERIOD.

 &&
.LONG TERM...LONG RANGE MODELS ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT THROUGH
SATURDAY WITH THE UPPER HIGH OVER THE BERING STRAIGHT DRIFTING
NORTHWARD AS A LOW RETROGRADES ALONG 60N FROM CANADA INTO THE GULF
OF ALASKA BY SATURDAY AND BERING SEA BY SUNDAY. FLOW ALOFT
INCREASES OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BY THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW
MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA.

AT THE SURFACE A LOW MOVES FROM THE PACIFIC TO JUST OFFSHORE
OF DIXON ENTRANCE BY SATURDAY CAUSING THE SURFACE PRESSURE
GRADIENT TO TIGHTEN ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA ONCE AGAIN. SNOW WILL
LIKELY SPREAD INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AS FLOW ALOFT BECOMES
MORE ONSHORE ADVECTING MOISTURE OVER THE COLD AIR. BY EARLY NEXT
WEEK ONSHORE FLOW ALOFT EXTENDS INTO CENTRAL SOUTHEAST ALASKA
INCREASING THE CHANCE OF SNOW AS FAR NORTH AS JUNEAU.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR AKZ026.
         HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 3 AM AKST THURSDAY FOR AKZ025.
         HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING FOR AKZ022.
         WIND ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
AKZ017-020-029.
	 WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST FRIDAY FOR
AKZ018-019.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-021-022-031-032-034-035.
	 STORM WARNING FOR PKZ011>013-022-031-036.
	 GALE WARNING FOR PKZ021-032>035-041>043-051-052.

&&

EAL/CFD

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.