Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 447, NWS Juneau, AK

November 25, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 25, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 18 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 25, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 26, 2011, 10:28 AM AKST
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

583 
FZAK51 PAJK 260030
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-261400-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE OVER THE
OUTER COAST AND STALL THIS EVENING. A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE NE TO
THE EXTREME SE GULF BY LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INLAND AND
WEAKEN OVER SOUTHERN SE ALASKA SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ011-261400-
GLACIER BAY-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-261400-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT
LATE. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-261400-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-261400-
ICY STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-261400-
CROSS SOUND-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. W SWELL.
SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
W SWELL. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-261400-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N LATE. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-261400-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-261400-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N LATE. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-261400-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-261400-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-261400-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
669 
FZAK51 PAJK 260843 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-270245-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN GULF WILL MOVE OVER THE
OUTER COAST AND STALL THIS EVENING. A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE NE TO
THE EXTREME SE GULF BY LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVE INLAND AND
WEAKEN OVER SOUTHERN SE ALASKA SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ011-270245-
GLACIER BAY-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-270245-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 6 FT
LATE. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.TUE...LIGHT WINDS. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-270245-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-270245-
ICY STRAIT-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-270245-
CROSS SOUND-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. W SWELL. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
W SWELL. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-270245-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-270245-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN...SNOW.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-270245-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 5 FT
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-270245-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF INTERIOR PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-270245-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.REST OF TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-270245-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1140 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT
BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
IN THE MORNING.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$
616 
FZAK51 PAJK 261226
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-270100-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STATIONARY LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
TODAY. A STRONG LOW IN THE FAR SE GULF WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND RAPIDLY WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ011-270100-
GLACIER BAY-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ012-270100-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ013-270100-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ021-270100-
ICY STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ022-270100-
CROSS SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ031-270100-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. OUT OF
INTERIOR PASSES...GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 5 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ032-270100-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ033-270100-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ034-270100-
FREDERICK SOUND-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN IN THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ035-270100-
SUMNER STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW IN THE
MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ036-270100-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
400 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES...SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$
152 
FZAK51 PAJK 261928 AAA
CWFAJK

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ098-271330-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS...
A STATIONARY LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN
TODAY. A STRONG LOW IN THE FAR SE GULF WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AND RAPIDLY WEAKEN THIS AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ011-271330-
GLACIER BAY-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ012-271330-
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 



$$

PKZ013-271330-
SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW...RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ021-271330-
ICY STRAIT-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
OR LESS. 
.SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ022-271330-
CROSS SOUND-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. SNOW IN THE MORNING.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 



$$

PKZ031-271330-
STEPHENS PASSAGE-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF INTERIOR
PASSES. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ032-271330-
NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.REST OF TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ033-271330-
SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS...EXCEPT 6 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 10 FT NEAR
OCEAN ENTRANCES. 
.MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 



$$

PKZ034-271330-
FREDERICK SOUND-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ035-271330-
SUMNER STRAIT-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

PKZ036-271330-
CLARENCE STRAIT-
1028 AM AKST SAT NOV 26 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5
FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT LATE. SEAS 2 FT OR
LESS BUILDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.MON...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 11 FT NEAR OCEAN
ENTRANCES. RAIN.
.TUE AND WED...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 



$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 25, 1:50 PM AKST, 2 hours 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 25, 1:50 PM AKST, 2 hours 10 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
150 PM AKST FRI NOV 25 2011

.SHORT TERM...A COMPLES LOW PRESSURE AREA WILL REMAIN OVER THE
NW GULF AND SLOWLY WEAKEN THRU SAT. A TROF EXTENDS FROM THE NE
GULF SEWD ALONG THE CENTRAL COAST THE CURVES SSW OVER THE SE
GULF. THIS TROF WILL DRIFT JUST ONSHORE THIS EVENING THEN STALL
THERE. A DEVELOPING LOW OVER THE NE PAC WILL MOVE NNE TO THE FAR
SERN GULF BY LATE TONIGHT...THEN MOVE NE ACROSS THE S-CNTRL INNER
CHANNELS AND WEAKEN RAPIDLY SAT MORNING. USED A BLEND OF THE 12Z
NAM AND ECMWF FOR TONIGHT AND SAT.

 MAIN FORECAST ISSUE WILL BE SNOWFALL AMOUNTS. THE 2 MAIN AREAS
OF CONCERN ARE THE NRN THIRD OF THE INNER CHANNELS AND THE ERN
PARTS OF THE SRN INNER CHANNELS. OVER THE N...TROF MOVING ONSHORE
AND STALLING WILL FOCUS PRECIP IN THAT AREA THIS EVENING AND A
DEFORMATION BAND WILL ALSO SET UP OVER THE AREA MAINLY ALONG A
PAHN-PAEL LINE. THINK THIS AXIS WILL BE FOCUS FOR HEAVIEST
SNOWFALL EXCEPT THERE WILL BE SOME DOWNSLOPE DIMINISHING THE SNOW
IN THE PAGS ZONE LATER TONIGHT. THE PAOH ZONE WILL SEE INCREASING
ELY UPSLOPE FLOW SO THEIR SNOW SHOULD BE ENHANCED TONIGHT AS
WELL. THIS SAME FLOW WILL DIMINISH THE PRECIP IN THE PAJN AREA
OVERNIGHT. ATTM THINK MOST SNOW WILL BE AROUND PAHN AREA WHERE
GOOD ISENTROPIC UPGLIDE WILL ALSO OCCUR DUE TO PRESENCE OF COLDER
AIR IN LOWER LEVELS. THEY COULD GET AROUND 1 FOOT OF SNOW. THE
PAOH AND PAEL AREAS COULD SEE 6 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOW...WITH PAJN
AND PAGS GETTING 3 TO 6 INCHES BY 18Z SAT. WILL ISSUE WS WARNINGS
FOR THE PAHN/PAOH/PAEL ZONES...AND WW ADVYS FOR PAGS AND PAJN
ZONES. LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN ANY OF THESE ZONES
THOUGH DUE TO POTENTIAL FOR TRAINING OF HEAVIER EMBEDDED SHOWERS
THIS EVENING...BUT IT IS NOT CERTAIN WHERE THIS WOULD SET UP
ATTM. WILL WATCH SATELLITE/RADAR TRENDS FOR THIS AND MAKE
ADJUSTMENTS IF NEEDED.

 OVER THE S...PRECIP WILL SPREAD INTO THE AREA AHEAD OF THE LOW
MOVING TOWARD THEM. LOOKS LIKE THE NE HALF OF ZONE 26 AND NERN
THIRD OF ZONE 29 WILL GET ENOUGH PRECIP AND REMAIN COLD ENOUGH
FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW. HYDER LOOKS LIKE THEY COULD EASILY SEE
ANOTHER FOOT OF SNOW BY 18Z SAT...WITH NERN ZONE 26 GETTING 5 TO
8 INCHES FROM 06Z TO 18Z SAT. WILL ISSUE WS WARNINGS FOR BOTH
AREAS.

 OTHERWISE...WINDS WILL PICK UP OVER THE SRN AREA LATE THIS
EVENING AND CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AS LOW MOVES PAST THEM JUST TO THE
W. WILL HEADLINE STRONG WINDS IN ZONES 27 AND 28 FOR MAINLY THE
LATE EVENING TO EARLY MORNING SAT PERIOD. PEAK WINDS SHOULD OCCUR
AROUND 12Z WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH. WILL SEE RAIN OVER THE SRN ZONES
OUTSIDE THE WS WARNING AREA AND AS FAR N AS THE PASI AREA LATER
TONIGHT. TEMPS MAY RISE THRU THE NIGHT OVER THE SRN AREA AS THE
LOW BRINGS UP WARMER AIR FROM THE SSE...THEN COOLER AIR SHOULD
MOVE BACK IN ON SAT ONCE LOW MOVES INLAND.

 &&

.LONG TERM...MAIN CONCERN IN THE EXTENDED RANGE FORECAST REMAINS
THE FRONT THAT WILL BE IMPACTING THE PANHANDLE SUNDAY NIGHT AND
MONDAY BRINGING MORE PRECIP AND WIND. MODELS ARE IN DECENT
AGREEMENT ON THE TIMING OF THE SYSTEM, BUT SOME OF THE DETAILS ARE
SKETCHY AT BEST. THE MAIN PROBLEM IS HOW FAST WILL THE WARM AIR
GET ADVECTED INTO THE INNER CHANNELS AND AS A CONSEQUENCE HOW MUCH
SNOW WILL PLACES GET BEFORE THE SNOW CHANGES TO RAIN. IF IT
CHANGES OVER AT ALL. THE NAM IS TRENDING A BIT COLDER THEN THE EC
OR THE GFS WITH THE -6 DEGREES C AT 850 LINE NOT EVEN MAKING IT
NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND MIDDAY MONDAY. GFS AND EC ON THE OTHER
HAND SEND THAT LINE A BIT FARTHER NORTH ALMOST TO TAKU INLET.
GENERALLY THOUGH BASED ON THE HIGH QPF AMOUNTS FORECAST FOR EARLY
MONDAY MOST INNER CHANNEL AREAS AND THE NORTHERN OUTER COAST MAY
GET A DECENT AMOUNT OF SNOW LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND EARLY MONDAY
BEFORE THE SNOW CHANGES OVER TO RAIN. TENDED TO FAVOR THE EC AND
GFS OVER THE NAM BECAUSE OF BETTER AGREEMENT AND RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY BETWEEN THE TWO.

WIND WILL ALSO BE A PROBLEM AS GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED FOR
THE OUTSIDE MARINE WATERS LATE SUNDAY NIGHT AND FOR CLARENCE
STRAIT EARLY MONDAY. STRONG WIND HEADLINES MAY BE NEEDED FOR THE
SOUTHERN ZONES AND OUTER COAST AS WINDS SHOULD BE GUSTING UP TO 40
KT AT TIMES.

AFTER THE EARLY WEEK SYSTEM, MODEL AGREEMENT FALLS APART AS
THE EXTENDED MODELS TRY TO RESOLVE SMALLER WEAKER FEATURES THAT
ARE MOVING ACROSS THE GULF. TIMING, PLACEMENT AS WELL AS STRENGTH
ARE OFF WITH EACH MODEL WANTING TO HANDLE THEM SOMEWHAT DIFFERENT.
TRENDED TOWARD THE HPC DATA TO TRY AND GET AN AVERAGE SOLUTION OUT
OF THE MESS.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 9 AM AKST
     SATURDAY FOR AKZ026-029.
         STRONG WIND FROM 9 PM AKST THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ027.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY FOR AKZ020-025.
         WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 9 AM AKST SATURDAY FOR AKZ019-021-022.
         STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR
     AKZ028.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ012-036-041.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>035-042-043-051-
     052.

&&

RWT/EAL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 25, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 25, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK36 hr
Nov 25, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK18 hr
Nov 26, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Nov 26, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK24 hr
Nov 26, 10:28 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK4 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.