Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 433, NWS Juneau, AK

November 20, 2011

NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 20, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 20, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST (01:00 UTC)
Expired
Nov 21, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Juneau, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

834 
FZAK52 PAJK 210032
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-211400-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
HIGH PRESSURE IN THE CENTRAL YUKON WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE OFF TO
THE EAST THROUGH MON. A STRONG LOW WILL MOVE N INTO THE EASTERN
GULF SUN NIGHT...THEN MOVE N ALONG THE OUTER COAST THROUGH MON. 

$$

PKZ041-211400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING
TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.MON...S WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE
MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-211400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING
TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.MON...SE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-211400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT LATE. RAIN.
SNOW LATE. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-211400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN LATE. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-211400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011 

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
3 follow-up statements
624 
FZAK52 PAJK 211255
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-220100-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF EARLY MON MORNING WILL WEAKEN
AS IT DRIFTS INTO THE NE GULF BY MON AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL DRIFT INTO THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE CENTRAL GULF 
BY TUE MORNING. 

$$

PKZ041-220100-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-220100-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. W SWELL. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-220100-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-220100-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. SNOW IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-220100-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT
SUBSIDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SNOW
IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SNOW.
RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
913 
FZAK52 PAJK 212124 AAA
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
1223 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-220200-
1223 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A STRONG LOW OVER THE EASTERN GULF EARLY MON MORNING WILL WEAKEN
AS IT DRIFTS INTO THE NE GULF BY MON AFTERNOON. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL DRIFT INTO THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE CENTRAL GULF 
BY TUE MORNING. 

$$

PKZ041-220200-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
1223 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-220200-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
1223 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 22 FT. W SWELL. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-220200-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
1223 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 60 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-220200-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
1223 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

UPDATED

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF INTERIOR BAYS AND
PASSES. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-220200-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
1223 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. SNOW.
RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. S SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. S SWELL. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 

$$
165 
FZAK52 PAJK 220011
CWFAEG

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO
CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ099-221400-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT INTO THE EASTERN GULF AND
ONSHORE TUE AFTERNOON. A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST
OVER THE GULF THROUGH MIDWEEK. 

$$

PKZ041-221400-
DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 

$$

PKZ042-221400-
CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 

$$

PKZ043-221400-
CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF CROSS SOUND.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 

$$

PKZ051-221400-
CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND BECOMING 30 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 12
FT LATE. SNOW...MIXING WITH RAIN IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LATE.
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. 
.WED NIGHT...E GALE TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF
INTERIOR BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ052-221400-
ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING-
400 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2011 

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 10 FT. S SWELL
IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS LATE. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 20, 3:55 PM AKST, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 20, 3:55 PM AKST, 5 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
355 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2011

.SHORT TERM...DEVELOPING WAVE ON FRONT CURVING NORTHWARD TO
SWING PAST THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BEFORE FALLING WEAKENING LATER
THIS EVENING OFF THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE. A PORTION OF THE ENERGY
TO BE KICKING INLAND ACROSS THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE ANOTHER PULLED
WEST OVER THEN NORTHERN GULF. COLD ARCTIC AIR STILL ENTRENCHED
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PANHANDLE. CONTINUED THE FORECAST
AS THE THE MODELS USED HAD BEEN CONSISTENT FOR THE LAST 3 TO
4 RUNS WHILE THE OTHERS KEPT CHANGING TACKS.

WITH A VERY SIMILAR TRACK AND STRENGTH OF THE FEATURES MADE VERY
MINOR ALTERATIONS TO THE FORECAST PACKAGE. FOR THE FAR SW PORTION
FOR THE PANHANDLE ADVISORY FOR SNOW AMOUNTS... WITH WARNINGS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL TO THE NORTHWEST TO ELFIN COVE AND LYNN CANAL
AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY. WINTER STORM WATCH FOR THE HAINES
AREA. WITH THE STRONG NORTH OUTFLOW WINDS HAVE EXTENDED THE WIND
CHILL ADVISORY FOR THE WHITE PASS REGION. LOOKS LIKE THERE MAY BE
ENOUGH DOWN SLOPE FLOW TO KEEP THE JUNEAU ZONE BELOW ADVISORY
LEVELS FOR THE SNOWFALL.

SNOW IS MIXING WITH RAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE BUT THE
WINDS PERSISTING SO EXPECT SOME STRONG WIND HEADLINES THERE ON
MONDAY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...LOW PRESSURE IN THE
GULF WILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER PRODUCER THROUGH THE WEEK AS FRONTS
AND SHORT WAVES WRAP AROUND THE SYSTEM AND LIFT NORTH OVER THE
PANHANDLE. MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING ONE OF THESE WILL BE OVER
THE NORTHERN PANHANDLE WITH ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES IN THE EVENING AND THE WINTER STORM WATCH CONTINUING TO BE IN
EFFECT FOR THE GUSTAVUS AND HAINES AREAS. THIS SHORT WAVE WILL BE
PUSHED OFF TO THE NORTH BY TUESDAY MORNING AS A LOW DEVELOPS ALONG
THE BASE OF THE MAIN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND MOVES NORTH INTO THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. THIS WILL CAUSE MID-LEVEL FLOW TO TURN OFFSHORE
AHEAD OF IT...DECREASING CHANCES OF PRECIP FOR A SHORT TIME TUESDAY
MORNING. THE SURFACE LOW WILL ALSO CAUSE WINDS TO BE OUT OF THE
NORTH WITH COLD AIR ADVECTING IN FROM CANADA AGAIN. THIS NEW LOW
CENTER WILL MORPH INTO A TRIPLE POINT ALONG AN OCCLUDED FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE MAIN LOW IN THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF. THEREFORE AS
THE TRIPLE POINT LIFTS NORTH INTO THE PANHANDLE IT WILL BRING WITH
IT WARMER MID-LEVEL AIR...RETURNING CLOSER TO NORMAL VALUES...AND
RAIN TO THE SOUTHERN AREAS...THEN COOLER AIR AS IT CONTINUES TO LIFT
NORTH AND THE OCCLUDED FRONT PASSES TUESDAY NIGHT. MUCH OF THE AREA
WILL REMAIN COLD ENOUGH TO SEE SNOW UNDER CAA WITH EXCEPTION TO THE
SOUTHERN AREAS THAT END UP IN THE WARM SECTOR.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY THE AREA CONTINUES TO BE UNDER ONSHORE FLOW
AS THE MAIN LOW CENTER...NOW FULLY STACKED...REMAINS IN THE GULF.
THIS WILL BRING SNOW TO AREA DUE TO OROGRAPHIC LIFT AND MIXED PRECIP
AND RAIN TO THE SOUTH UNDER WARM AIR ADVECTION.

LATER FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY A NEW LOW WILL MOVE UP FROM THE SOUTH.
THIS WILL ONCE AGAIN CAUSE CAA OUT OF THE NORTH ALONG WITH A
DRYING OFFSHORE FLOW AND BRING WARMER TEMPERATURES AND RAIN TO
THE SOUTH. THE LOW WILL MOVE NORTH AND OUT OF THE AREA THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT BEFORE THE NEXT LARGER FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO
THE WESTERN GULF SUNDAY.

GOING FORECAST WAS IN GOOD SHAPE. MAIN CHANGES WERE TO TWEAK
TEMPERATURES AND POPS TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION. FORECASTER CONFIDENCE
IS ABOUT AVERAGE.

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 1 PM AKST MONDAY
     FOR AKZ024-026-029.
         STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 AM AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ027.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT FOR AKZ027.
         WINTER STORM WARNING FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM AKST MONDAY
     FOR AKZ021-022.
         WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 3 AM AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ023-028.
         WINTER STORM WATCH FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY EVENING
     FOR AKZ019-020.
         STRONG WIND FROM MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON
     FOR AKZ018.
         WIND CHILL ADVISORY UNTIL 5 AM AKST MONDAY FOR AKZ018.
MARINE...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ011-012.
         STORM WARNING FOR PKZ012-036.
         GALE WARNING FOR PKZ011-013-021-022-031>035-041>043-052.
         SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ051.

&&

BEZENEK/HANNON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK36 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK12 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTStorm WarningAJK20 hr
Nov 20, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAJK36 hr
Nov 21, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK12 hr
Nov 21, 4:00 AM AKSTGale WarningAJK8 hr
Nov 21, 4:00 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK60 hr
Nov 21, 12:23 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK40 hr
Nov 21, 12:24 PM AKSTGale WarningAJK25 hr
Nov 21, 12:24 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAJK52 hr

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.