Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 393, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 3, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 3, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 4, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
474 FZAK52 PAJK 032326 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-041400- 400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHERN YUKON WILL SLIDE SE INTO CENTRAL BC TONIGHT. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN GULF FROM THE WEST BY FRI MORNING AND OVER THE PANHANDLE BY FRI EVENING. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DRIFT INTO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF BY FRI AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ041-041400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. W SWELL. .FRI...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL IN THE MORNING. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ042-041400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. W SWELL. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-041400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-041400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 ...GALE WARNING FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .SAT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ052-041400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011 ...GALE WARNING TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT LATE. RAIN LATE. .FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
782 FZAK52 PAJK 041135 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-050100- 400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE OUTER COAST WILL WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST WILL DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ PKZ041-050100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ042-050100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-050100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-050100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ052-050100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...THEN DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
691 FZAK52 PAJK 041919 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 1118 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-050100- 1118 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE OUTER COAST WILL WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. A LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST WILL DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH SATURDAY. $$ PKZ041-050100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 1118 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT LATE. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 15 FT. $$ PKZ042-050100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 1118 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .REST OF TODAY...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL IN THE EVENING. RAIN LATE. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ043-050100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 1118 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-050100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 1118 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 20 KT LATE. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. $$ PKZ052-050100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 1118 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .REST OF TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT OVERNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .TUE...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
191 FZAK52 PAJK 042331 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-051400- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A WEATHER FRONT ALONG THE OUTER COAST WILL WEAKEN THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT AS IT MOVES INLAND. A LOW OVER THE NORTH CENTRAL COAST WILL DRIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND WEAKEN THROUGH SATURDAY. A WEAK RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO THE GULF SAT NIGHT. $$ PKZ041-051400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ042-051400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY DUE TO SEAS THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ043-051400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. OUT OF CROSS SOUND...GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...E WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT. W SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. W SWELL. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. W SWELL. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ051-051400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LATE. .SAT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. .SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. .SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$ PKZ052-051400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT LATE. SEAS 19 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT LATE. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. .SAT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SW SWELL. .SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SW SWELL. RAIN. .MON...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 3, 2:43 PM AKDT, 1 hour 17 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 3, 2:43 PM AKDT, 1 hour 17 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
243 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011
.SHORT TERM...TRICKY FORECAST FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS WE
TRANSITION FROM A COLD CONTINENTAL REGIME TO A WARM MOIST MARINE
REGIME. THE TRICKY PART COME FROM FIGURING OUT HOW WELL
ENTRENCHED THE COLD AIR IN THE INNER CHANNELS IS. AS IT IS RIGHT
NOW THE ARCTIC FRONT EXTENDS OVER THE ENTIRE PANHANDLE AND OUT
INTO THE EASTERN GULF AS DEW POINTS AT MOST LOCATIONS, EVEN THE
OFFSHORE BUOYS, ARE IN THE LOW TEENS TO MID 20S. NORTHERLY
OUTFLOW CONTINUES ALONG THE PANHANDLE WITH GALE FORCE WINDS IN
LYNN CANAL AND SOME GUSTY WIND OUT OF TAKU INLET AND THE STIKINE
RIVER VALLEY.
INTO TONIGHT THE REMAINING OUTFLOW WINDS WILL SUBSIDE AS THE
COLD HIGH IN THE CANADIAN INTERIOR MOVES OFF TO THE EAST. WHAT
FOLLOWS IT FOR LATE TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW IS A BATTLE BETWEEN THE
WARM S TO SW FLOW AHEAD OF THE ONCOMING FRONT FROM THE GULF AND
THE LINGERING COLD CALM TO LIGHT EAST FLOW IN THE INNER CHANNELS.
THIS WILL BE SIGNIFICANT FOR WHEN THE PRECIP STARTS AS WITH THE
LINGERING COLD AIR THE PRECIP IN MOST PLACES WILL START OUT AS
SNOW. YAKUTAT WILL START PRECIPING LATE TONIGHT AND MAY HAVE
ABOUT 1 TO 3 INCHES ACCUMULATION BEFORE STARTING TO CHANGE OVER
TO RAIN LATE FRI MORNING. FOR THE REST OF THE PANHANDLE THE
PRECIP WILL NOT REACH US UNTIL FRI WITH SOME OVERRUNNING LIGHT
SNOW POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA BEFORE THE MAIN
MOISTURE MASS REACHES THE PANHANDLE IN THE AFTERNOON. EXPECTING
1 TO 4 INCHES OF ACCUMULATION DURING THE DAY FRIDAY FOR AREAS
LIKE GUSTAVUS, HOONAH, AND JUNEAU WITH LESSER AMOUNTS FARTHER
SOUTH BEFORE THE PRECIP STARTS MIXING WITH RAIN IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON. FARTHER NORTH HAINES AND SKAGWAY LOOK LIKE THEY WILL
REMAIN SNOW THROUGH FRIDAY BUT IT DOES NOT LOOK LIKE THE MAIN QPF
WILL REACH THAT FAR NORTH THAT SOON SO ONLY HAVE ABOUT 1 TO
3 INCHES EXPECTED FOR THEM.
AS FOR THE WINDS, GALES IN THE OUTSIDE WATERS WILL BE THE MAIN
THREAT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES FOR FRIDAY. IN THE INNER CHANNELS
MOST AREAS WILL HAVE SWITCHED AROUND TO SOUTH FROM A NORTHERLY
OUTFLOW WIND BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE EXCEPTIONS MIGHT BE LYNN
CANAL, HAINES, AND SKAGWAY WHERE THE WIND MAY STAY NORTH THROUGH
FRI AFTERNOON.
MODEL AGREEMENT WAS GOOD FOR THE PERIOD. DECIDED TO STICK WITH
EC/NAM FOR UPDATES AS IT APPEARED THAT THEY INITIALIZED RATHER
WELL. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IN THE AK GULF FRIDAY WILL
CONTINUE TO TRACK ESE MOVING OVER THE PANHANDLE AND WEAKEN. PRECIP
WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE. SNOW WILL BEGIN TO
TRANSITION TO RAIN OR AN RAIN SOW MIX AS WARMER MID LEVEL AIR MASS
MOVES IN BEHIND THE OCCLUDED FRONT. SOME DISAGREEMENT WITH AMOUNT
OF WARMING, NAM KEEPING THE REGIONS NORTH OF FREDERICK SOUND
BELOW FREEZING THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON WHILE ECMWF AND GFS INCREASE
TEMPS OVERNIGHT. THAT SAID MAY SEE SOME HIGHER SNOW ACCUMULATIONS
BUT AS QPF VALUES ARE TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT NOT EXPECTING
ANYTHING SIGNIFICANT. RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OVER THE AK
GULF AS ANOTHER LOW MOVES INTO THE BERING SEA SUNDAY. THIS LOW
PREDICTED TO MOVES OVER THE AK PENINSULA AND INTO THE AK GULF MON
AFTERNOON. MODELS WERE IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON SYNOPTIC SCALE
FEATURES BEFORE MON THEN BEGIN TO DIVERGE MORE WITH THE POSITION
OF THIS NEXT LOW. PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
USED A BLEND OF 12Z EC AND INHERITED GRIDS THEN 12Z EC AND HPC
GUIDANCE FOR THE REMAINDER. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOUT AVERAGE.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ011>013-021-031>036-041-042.
&&
EAL/PRBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Nov 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Nov 4, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 17 hr | |
| Nov 4, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 12 hr | |
| Nov 4, 7:08 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 9 hr | |
| Nov 4, 7:25 AM AKDT | Winter Weather Advisory | AJK | 13 hr | |
| Nov 4, 12:37 PM AKDT | Winter Storm Warning | AJK | 3 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.