Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 285, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at Sep 18, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 18, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Sep 19, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
233 FZAK52 PAJK 182323 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-191400- 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW NORTH OF KLAWOCK WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF MON WITH A STRONG FRONT REACHING THE EASTERN GULF MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ041-191400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT LATE. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-191400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-191400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-191400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-191400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND INCREASING TO TO 60 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
3 follow-up statements
328 FZAK52 PAJK 190500 AAA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-192300- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW NORTH OF KLAWOCK WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF MON WITH A STRONG FRONT REACHING THE EASTERN GULF MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ041-192300- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-192300- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-192300- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-192300- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-192300- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 UPDATED ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND INCREASING TO TO 60 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
963 FZAK52 PAJK 190923 CCA CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-191400- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A GALE FORCE LOW NORTH OF KLAWOCK WILL MOVE INTO THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE SUN NIGHT THEN GRADUALLY DISSIPATE. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE THEN BUILDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE OVERNIGHT. A STORM FORCE LOW WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF MON WITH A STRONG FRONT REACHING THE EASTERN GULF MON AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ041-191400- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING 20 KT LATE. SEAS 11 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN. .TUE...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ042-191400- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 15 KT LATE. SEAS 8 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ043-191400- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. $$ PKZ051-191400- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 900 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011 ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND TO 50 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-191400- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 0120 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 CORRECTED ...GALE WARNING MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. .MON...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON. .MON NIGHT...SE STORM FORCE WIND INCREASING TO 60 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
040 FZAK52 PAJK 191130 CWFAEG COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA COASTAL WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE SUCKLING OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ099-200100- 400 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS... A 966 MB STORM 300 NM SE OF COLD BAY WILL DEEPEN TO 962 MB 300 NM S OF KODIAK ON MON AFTERNOON AND WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER KODIAK EARLY TUE MORNING. A STRONG ASSOCIATED FRONT WILL MOVE ONTO THE PANHANDLE EARLY TUE MORNING. $$ PKZ041-200100- DIXON ENTRANCE TO CAPE DECISION- 400 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 28 FT. .FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT. $$ PKZ042-200100- CAPE DECISION TO CAPE EDGECUMBE- 400 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 26 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 24 FT. $$ PKZ043-200100- CAPE EDGECUMBE TO CAPE FAIRWEATHER- 400 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S GALE TO 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 22 FT. .FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT. $$ PKZ051-200100- CAPE FAIRWEATHER TO ICY CAPE- 400 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 ...STORM WARNING TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. $$ PKZ052-200100- ICY CAPE TO CAPE SUCKLING- 400 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2011 ...STORM WARNING TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 60 KT LATE. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT LATE. RAIN. .TUE...SE GALE TO 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN. .TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. S SWELL. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. .FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Sep 18, 2:50 PM AKDT, 1 hour 10 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 2:50 PM AKDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
250 PM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2011
.SHORT TERM... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE HAS CAUSED SHOWERS AND STRONG WINDS TODAY. WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS...OCCNLY HEAVY...CONTINUE OVER SOUTHERN AREAS THIS
EVENING. RAIN BANDS EXTENDING OUT FROM THE LOW HAVE SWEPT THROUGH
THE CENTRAL AREAS CAUSING SCATTERED TO ISOLATED SHOWERS.
OTHERWISE TO THE NORTH THE MID LEVEL EAST WINDS HAS KEEP IT
DRY...WITH THIN HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING OVER YAKUTAT. SOUTHERLY
WINDS GUSTING TO 40MPH OVER THE SOUTHERN PANHANDLE WILL GRADUALLY
EASE THIS EVENING AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND FILLS. THIS WILL CAUSE
THE NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGH THE NORTHERN INSIDE WATERS TO BECOME
LIGHT THIS AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTH THIS EVENING
AS A RIDGE BUILDS ALONG THE PANHANDLE. THIS BUILDING RIDGE WILL
INCREASE THE SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT...CONTINUING THE STRONG
WINDS IN CLARENCE STRAIT...AND INCREASING SOUTH WINDS TO SMALL
CRAFT LEVEL FOR LYNN CANAL LATE TONIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING.
SHOWERS ASSOC WITH THE LOW WILL GRADUALLY EASE AS WELL...LASTING
THE LONGEST OVER THE SOUTHERN COASTAL MOUNTAINS. THERE WILL BE A
SHORT BREAK IN THE RAIN MONDAY MORNING BEFORE RAIN WITH THE NEXT
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES IN FROM THE WEST LATER MONDAY
AFTERNOON. WINDS WITH THIS NEXT LOW WILL INCREASE TO GALE FORCE
IN THE OUTSIDE WATERS BY MID DAY AND INTO THE NORTHERN COASTAL
LAND AREAS BY LATE AFTERNOON. HAVE INCLUDED A STRONG WIND
HEADLINE FOR THE YAKUTAT...ELFIN COVE AND SITKA AREAS AS WELL AS
A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR YAKUTAT BAY.
MODELS CAME INTO BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW TO THE
SOUTH...UPDATED PRESSURE FIELDS WITH THE 00Z ECMWF AS IT
INITIALIZED THE BEST AND USED MAINLY THE NAM FOR OTHER FIELDS
INCLUDING POPS. THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE GULF HAS BEEN
WELL FORECASTED OVER THE PAST WEEK...KEEPING FORECASTER
CONFIDENCE ABOVE AVERAGE.
&&
.LONG TERM...SERIES OF STRONG LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS IN STORE FOR
THE WEEK WITH HEAVY RAIN AND WINDY CONDITIONS. FOR MONDAY NIGHT
THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE PANHANDLE WILL EXIT THE REGION TO
THE EAST AS A STORM FORCE LOW ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF. THE
OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW WILL MOVE ONSHORE MONDAY
NIGHT BRINGING HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS THE THE NORTHERN
COASTAL AREAS. 850 MB BARRIER JET WITH 80 TO 85 KT WINDS FORMS
MONDAY NIGHT WITH SURFACE STORM FORCE WINDS OVER THE NORTHERN
COASTAL WATERS. WIND AND HEAVY RAIN WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH THROUGH
THE DAY MONDAY JUST AS ANOTHER GALE FORCE LOW MOVES UP FROM THE
NORTH PACIFIC INTO THE SOUTHEAST AK GULF. SINCE MODELS ARE IN
BETTER AGREEMENT WITH THE LOW HAVE ADDED MORE DETAILS TO THE
FORECAST WHICH INCREASED WINDS AND POP FOR MID WEEK. MODELS STILL
HAVE SOME TIMING ISSUES FOR THE LOW. FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE AK PANHANDLE WITH A BRIEF BREAK
IN PRECIP, BUT NOT COMPLETELY DRY AS ONSHORE FLOW CONTINUES. FOR
THE WEEKEND ANOTHER GALE FORCE LOW IS TRACKING INTO THE SOUTHEAST
GULF FROM THE NORTH PACIFIC AND ONCE AGAIN MODELS HAVE TIMING
ISSUES, BUT ARE IN FAIR AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL STRENGTH OF THIS
LOW. THROUGH THE WEEK WILL SEE UPPER LEVEL GALES ALONG THE COASTAL
WATERS WITH UPPER LEVEL SMALL CRAFT TO GALE FORCE WINDS OVER THE
INNER CHANNELS. WITH CONTINUED HEAVY RAIN FOR THE WEEK WILL NEED
TO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR HYDROLOGY ISSUES, BUT AS RIVER LEVELS ARE
CURRENTLY BELOW ACTION STAGE NOT YET A PRESSING ISSUE. HOWEVER
WITH THE HEAVY RAIN AND STRONG WINDS WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE OUT
FOR POSSIBLE MUDSLIDES.
MODELS BEGIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM WITH
RESPECT TO PRESSURE FIELDS AND POP. GFS WAS SHOWING HIGHER
SURFACE WINDS WITH THE COASTAL BARRIER JET COMPARED TO THE NAM AND
EC, BUT SHOWING SIMILAR 850 MB WINDS WITH THE NAM AND TO SOME
EXTENT THE EC. BLENDED CURRENT GRID WITH GFS/NAM AFTER
COORDINATION WITH ANCHORAGE REGARDING INCREASING WINDS IN THE
NORTHERN COASTAL ZONES. BY TUE NIGHT BEGAN A BLEND OF GFS AND EC
TO GET DETAILS OF THE MID WEEK LOW. GFS STILL MORE PROGRESSIVE
WITH THIS LOW COMPARED TO THE EC BUT MODELS WERE IN MUCH BETTER
AGREEMENT THAN YESTERDAY. TRANSITIONED TO HPC GUID AS THE LOW
EXITS THE REGION. FORECAST CONFIDENCE BEGINS ABOVE AVERAGE THEN
DROPS WITH THE MID WEEK SYSTEM AND UNCERTAINTY WITH ITS TIMING.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ022-036-041>043-051-052.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-013-021-033>035-053.
&&
HANNON/PRBThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 36 hr | |
| Sep 18, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 18, 8:48 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 7 hr | |
| Sep 19, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 66 hr | |
| Sep 19, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 60 hr | |
| Sep 19, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 19, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| Sep 19, 4:00 AM AKDT | Storm Warning | AJK | 24 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.