Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011
Gale Warning 229, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this gale warning at May 4, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- May 4, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
- Expired
- May 4, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT
- In force
- 12 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
578 FZAK51 PAJK 041132 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-050100- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL LIFT INTO THE SE GULF THROUGH WED AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN TO A TROUGH LATE WED NIGHT AS IT DRIFTS OVER THE PANHANDLE. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TODAY. $$ PKZ011-050100- GLACIER BAY- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .TODAY...N WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ012-050100- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ013-050100- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ021-050100- ICY STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE LATE MORNING. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE LATE MORNING. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ022-050100- CROSS SOUND- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SW SWELL. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-050100- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ032-050100- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE EVENING. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ033-050100- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT...EXCEPT 9 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ034-050100- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ035-050100- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ036-050100- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 AM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...GALE WARNING TODAY... .TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
1 follow-up statement
072 FZAK51 PAJK 042254 CWFAJK COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 SOUTHEAST ALASKA INSIDE WATERS FROM DIXON ENTRANCE TO SKAGWAY WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WINDWAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ098-051400- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A WEAKENING LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF WILL BECOME A TROUGH AS IT MOVES ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE BY EARLY THU MORNING. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER THE PANHANDLE TONIGHT THEN WEAKEN AND SHEAR APART THROUGH THU EVENING. OUTLOOK. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL PUSH ANOTHER WEATHER FRONT INTO THE EASTERN GULF LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI MORNING. $$ PKZ011-051400- GLACIER BAY- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ012-051400- NORTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ013-051400- SOUTHERN LYNN CANAL- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ021-051400- ICY STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ022-051400- CROSS SOUND- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN IN THE MORNING. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ031-051400- STEPHENS PASSAGE- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 .TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ032-051400- NORTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ033-051400- SOUTHERN CHATHAM STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT... EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 8 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. $$ PKZ034-051400- FREDERICK SOUND- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN LATE. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ035-051400- SUMNER STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING LATE. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. .SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ PKZ036-051400- CLARENCE STRAIT- 400 PM AKDT WED MAY 4 2011 ...GALE WARNING THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT WITH HIGHER GUSTS...THEN DIMINISHING TO 25 KT LATE. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT LATE. NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES...SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 9 FT LATE. RAIN. .THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT...EXCEPT 7 FT NEAR OCEAN ENTRANCES. RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. .THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at May 3, 3:54 PM AKDT, 12 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 3, 3:54 PM AKDT, 12 hours 6 minutes before
SOUTHEAST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JUNEAU AK
354 PM AKDT TUE MAY 3 2011
.SHORT TERM...EARLY AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS A
WEAKENING RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE...MOVES SLOWLY EASTWARD ACROSS
THE PANHANDLE WITH LIGHT RAIN SPREADING OVER THE FORECAST DOMAIN
FROM YAKUTAT SOUTHEAST TO HYDER EXCEPT NORTHERN MOST AREAS OF
SKAGWAY AND HAINES. ENHANCED SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS
THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS MAINTAINS SMALL CRAFT WIND FOR
NORTHERN LYNN CANAL WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS OVER SKAGWAY AND
HAINES. SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH WINDS ARE ALSO SLIGHTLY INCREASING
ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN OUTER WATERS AHEAD OF THE
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. A DEVELOPING LOW IN THE FAR
SOUTHERN GULF PUSHES AN OCCLUDED FRONT NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL AND EASTERN GULF WITH ITS TRIPLE POINT ORGANIZING NEAR
55N/140W.
MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE WEAKENING RIDGE OF HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS SOUTHEAST ALASKA CONTINUES TO MOVE EAST INTO
CANADA BY WEDNESDAY MORNING. THE DEVELOPING GALE FORCE LOW IN THE
SOUTHERN GULF WILL ENTER THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. THE OCCLUSION WILL MOVE NORTH ACROSS THE EASTERN GULF
AND PANHANDLE COAST TONIGHT THEN STALL OVER THE PANHANDLE ON
WEDNESDAY. THE LOW WILL WEAKEN AS IT DRIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE
EASTERN GULF THROUGH LATE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. THE GFS
AND ECMWF SHOWS BETTER AGREEMENT THAN THE NAM FOR THE LOW TRACK
AND THE GRIDS FOR TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WERE BLEND 50/50 OF THE
GFS AND ECMWF.
CONTINUED ONSHORE LOW LEVEL FLOW WITH INCOMING FRONT...THE
FORECAST DOMAIN WILL REMAIN WET WITH CATEGORICAL POPS FOR TONIGHT
AND WEDNESDAY...EXCEPT THE NORTHERN MOST ZONES FROM YAKUTAT EAST
TO HAINES AND SKAGWAY WHERE THE ONSET OF RAIN BAND DELAYED UNTIL
LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. MODERATE RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE AS CONCENTRATED
MID LEVEL DYNAMICS FROM THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY NOSING TOWARDS THE
SOUTHERN PANHANDLE. AS THE LOW ENTERS THE EASTERN GULF AND THE
RIDGE MOVES EAST AWAY FROM THE AREA...SOUTHERLY PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL CEASE OUT ACROSS THE NORTHERN INNER CHANNELS AND MORE EAST-
WEST ORIENTED GRADIENT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE FORECAST AREAS. THE
INCOMING LOW WILL GENERATE GALE FORCE WINDS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
OUTER WATERS AND SOLID SMALL CRAFT WINDS OVER REST OF THE OUTSIDE
WATERS AND THE SOUTHERN INNER CHANNELS INCLUDING CROSS SOUND.
BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE ALSO EXPECTED CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PANHANDLE
COASTAL SECTIONS.
.LONG TERM...THE GALE FORCE WINDS DISCUSSED IN THE SHORT RANGE
SECTION ABOVE WILL EXTEND INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR MARINE ZONES
41 AND 42. NO FURTHER GALE FORCE SYSTEMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
SUNDAY (DAY 5). CONFIDENCE IS AVERAGE. CHANGES ARE SMALL AND
PRIMARILY OCCUR AS RAISED POPS. RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY OF THE
GFS MODEL HAS RESULTED IN IT BEING THE PRINCIPAL GUIDANCE.
FOR 12Z FRI THROUGH 00Z MON THE FIVE-WAVE 500H GFS DEPICTS A
CHANGE TO A MORE ZONAL FLOW. AT 00Z MON THE ACCOCD LONG WAVE FIELD
INCLUDES A LOW AMPLITUDE TROUGH EXTENDING FM A 500H OVER WRANGELL
ISLAND TO OVER A CYDA TO PANT LINE.
LONG-RANGE MODEL CONSENSUS IS GOOD UNTIL THIS WEEKEND, AND THE
AK- HPC DISCUSSION MAKES THE CASE THAT THE GFS HAS A MORE CONSISTENT
SOLUTION WITH THE EC TENDING TO ADJUST TO IT. THEREFORE THE 0312
GFS SOLUTION WAS USED AS PRIMARY GUIDANCE FOR NEARLY ALL FIELDS
ALL THE WAY THROUGH DAY 7. THE EXCEPTIONS ARE MAINLY DUE TO USE OF
ADDITIONAL MODEL FIELDS IN A BLEND FOR TIMES BEFORE THIS WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES FOR LATE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK DID FACTOR IN
SOME CLIMATOLOGY.
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING FOR PKZ041-042.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ012-022-033>036-043-051.
&&
AHN/JBTThe office that day
Everything else NWS Juneau, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 24 hr | |
| May 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 30 hr | |
| May 3, 4:00 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 3 days | |
| May 3, 5:36 PM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 10 hr | |
| May 3, 11:31 PM AKDT | Gale Warning | AJK | 22 hr | |
| May 4, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 38 hr | |
| May 4, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AJK | 18 hr |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.