Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 182, NWS Fairbanks, AK
NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this small craft advisory at Nov 28, 2011, 1:59 PM AKST. It was in force for 14 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Nov 28, 2011, 1:59 PM AKST (22:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Nov 29, 2011, 4:27 AM AKST
- In force
- 14 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Fairbanks, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
061 FZAK52 PAFG 282259 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 159 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-291400- 159 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM SIBERIA TO THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUE. A 970 MB LOW NEAR 48N AND 175W WILL CONTINUE MOVING NORTHEAST OUT OF THE NORTH PACIFIC AND WILL BE LOCATED NEAR UNALASKA TUE EVENING. $$ PKZ200-291400- NORTON SOUND- 159 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. .TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. .WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .THU...W WINDS 20 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NW WINDS 20 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. $$ PKZ210-291400- DALL POINT TO WALES- 159 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED...N WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .THU...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. .FRI...N WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ215-291400- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 159 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. .TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. .WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. .THU...E WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. $$ PKZ220-291400- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 159 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. .TUE...N WINDS 25 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT BY NOON. .TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. .WED...N WINDS 35 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 40 KT. .THU...N WINDS 40 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .FRI...N WINDS 25 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. $$ CC/RL NOV 11
2 follow-up statements
477 FZAK52 PAFG 291141 CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 241 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-300015- 241 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM SIBERIA TO THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. A 986 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR BY THURSDAY MORNING. $$ PKZ200-300015- NORTON SOUND- 241 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. .WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. .THU...W WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. $$ PKZ210-300015- DALL POINT TO WALES- 241 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR WINDS IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. .WED...N WINDS 30 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 35 KT. $$ PKZ215-300015- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 241 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 .TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .WED...N WINDS 10 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. .THU...W WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ220-300015- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 241 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT. .TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. .WED...N WINDS 30 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .THU...N WINDS 30 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. $$ SDB NOV 11
058 FZAK52 PAFG 291327 AAA CWFWCZ COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR NORTHWEST ALASKA...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 427 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 UPDATED PKZ220 NORTHWESTERN ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE- THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ299-300415- 427 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR NORTHWEST COAST... A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE STRETCHING FROM SIBERIA TO THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL PERSIST THROUGH TUESDAY. A 986 MB LOW WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY BY WEDNESDAY MORNING...THEN OVER THE CENTRAL INTERIOR BY THURSDAY MORNING. $$ PKZ200-300415- NORTON SOUND- 427 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE WINDS 10 KT. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. .WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. .THU...W WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. $$ PKZ210-300415- DALL POINT TO WALES- 427 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 ...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING... .TODAY...NE WINDS 25 KT. .TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. .WED...N WINDS 30 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .THU...NE WINDS 30 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 35 KT. $$ PKZ215-300415- KOTZEBUE SOUND- 427 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 .TODAY...E WINDS 10 KT. .TONIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .WED...N WINDS 10 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. .THU...W WINDS 15 KT. .THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. .FRI...N WINDS 10 KT. .SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. $$ PKZ220-300415- WALES TO CAPE THOMPSON- 427 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011 UPDATED TODAY ...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N WINDS 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS MORNING. .TONIGHT...N WINDS 20 KT. .WED...N WINDS 30 KT. .WED NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .THU...N WINDS 30 KT. .THU NIGHT...N WINDS 30 KT. .FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. .SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. $$ SDB NOV 11
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 28, 1:48 AM AKST, 12 hours 11 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Nov 28, 1:48 AM AKST, 12 hours 11 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK 148 AM AKST MON NOV 28 2011 .DISCUSSION... MAJOR WARMUP FOR MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND A MODERATE TO STRONG CHINOOK IN THE AK RANGE ARE ON TRACK. CURRENT MODELS INDICATE 700 MB WINDS MAXING OUT AT 70-80 KT OVER THE CNTRL AND ERN AK RANGE. CHINOOK WINDS IN THE ALASKA RANGE PASSES ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN INCREASING TUE NIGHT...REACHING FULL STRENGTH WED. WIND ADVISORIES OR HIGH WIND WATCHES FOR AKZ225-AKZ226 AND POSSIBLY AKZ223 WILL LIKELY NEED TO BE ISSUED THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURES OF 35 TO 45 ARE LIKELY IN AND NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE WED. IN THE FAIRBANKS AREA...TEMPERATURES IN THE HILLS WILL APPROACH FREEZING WED. NOTICEABLY WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO OCCUR IN THE VALLEY AREAS. MEDIUM RANGE DISCUSSION...AN AMPLIFIED AND ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED DURING THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. THE MOST HIGHLY PREDICTABLE FEATURE CONTINUES TO BE A STRONG EAST PAC RIDGE THAT REMAINS CENTERED ALONG OR ABOUT 40N 130W FOR THE DURATION OF THE MEDIUM RANGE PERIOD. AT THE START OF THE MEDIUM RANGE THU MORNING A STRONG CHINOOK SHOULD BE WINDING DOWN AS THE FLOW ALOFT VEERS INTO THE SOUTHWEST AND WEAKENS. THIS WILL CAUSE THE STRONG WIND IN/NEAR THE ALASKA RANGE TO WEAKEN AND ALLOW FOR SOME SLIGHTLY COOLER AIR TO MOVE BACK ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN INTERIOR TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK. A SECOND AND POSSIBLY STRONGER CHINOOK IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP NEXT WEEKEND. THE OPERATIONAL GFS AND ECMWF ARE NOW IN MUCH BETTER AGREEMENT THAN ON PREVIOUS DAYS...BOTH QUITE STRONG WITH THE 2ND CHINOOK AND HAVE 700 MB WINDS IN EXCESS OF 80 KT BY SATURDAY EVENING. BY MON...CURRENT RUNS ENDING THE CHINOOK AND REPLACING IT WITH LIGHTER W TO SW WIND FLOW AND COOLING TEMPERATURES. UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH AS THE NCEP RMOPS HAVE VERY LOW MEASURES OF PREDICTABILITY ACROSS MUCH OF MAINLAND ALASKA TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE STRONG EAST PAC RIDGE. COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE && .AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ210. BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ220-PKZ225. && RF/CB NOV 11
The office that day
Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 7:32 PM AKST | Wind Chill Advisory | AFG | 11 hr | |
| Nov 28, 3:30 AM AKST | Brisk Wind Advisory | AFG | 72 hr | |
| Nov 28, 12:20 PM AKST | High Wind Watch | AFG | 15 hr | |
| Nov 28, 12:51 PM AKST | High Wind Watch | AFG | 15 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.