High Surf Advisory 9, NWS Fairbanks, AK

493 
WHAK49 PAFG 312158
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
158 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

AKZ207-010600-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1400Z-111102T1400Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
158 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING POINT HOPE... SHISHMAREF AND 
  KIVALINA. 

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 6AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ209-010600-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
158 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING AT KOTZEBUE.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ210-010600-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR
158 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING AT DEERING.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ201-010600-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.A.0002.111101T1400Z-111102T1400Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
158 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST.

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING COULD PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE 
  ONSHORE. THE STORM THAT MAY POTENTIALLY PRODUCE COASTAL 
  FLOODING HAS NOT YET DEVELOPED...BUT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE 
  STORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING AT LEAST MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-010600-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.A.0002.111101T1400Z-111103T0000Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
158 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY MORNING
THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT.

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST...INCLUDING BARROW.

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING COULD PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE 
  ONSHORE. THE STORM THAT MAY POTENTIALLY PRODUCE COASTAL 
  FLOODING HAS NOT YET DEVELOPED...BUT INDICATIONS ARE THAT THE 
  STORM WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING AT LEAST MINOR 
  COASTAL FLOODING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS FAVORABLE FOR
FLOODING ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP. COASTAL RESIDENTS SHOULD BE
ALERT FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS...AND TAKE ACTION TO
PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

278 
WHAK49 PAFG 010506
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
906 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

A STORM IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA CONTINUES TO GATHER STRENGTH AS
IT HEADS EASTWARD. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN
ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA TUESDAY MORNING. A RISE IN SEA LEVEL OF 1
TO 2 FEET DOWN BY POINT HOPE AND 2 TO 3 FEET UP BY BARROW IS
EXPECTED TO BE REACHED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. 

THIS STORM WILL BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ONE OF THE REMAINING ICE
FREE SEASON OF THIS YEAR IN THE CHUKCHI SEA. TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THERE WILL BE A LONG WIND FETCH OVER ABOUT NEARLY 400
MILES OF ICE FREE WATERS IN THE CHUKCHI SEA. THE WINDS IN THIS
FETCH ARE EXPECTED TO BE 40 TO 50 MPH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE TEMPERATURE OF THE INBOUND WIND IS IN THE 20S...WELL BELOW
FREEZING. THIS GIVES THE WIND A BETTER GRIP ON THE SEA THAN AIR
ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT. FINALLY...THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT
WILL BE LONG...FROM 24 TO 36 HOURS. ALL OF THESE FACTORS WILL
COMBINE TO DEVELOP A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOOD FROM CAPE LISBURNE
UP TO POINT BARROW.

AS OF 8 PM...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BARROW REPORTED
RISING SURF AND WATER MOVING UP OVER THE LOWEST STRETCHES OF ROAD
NORTH OF TOWN. THE FULL STRENGTH OF THE WIND WILL NOT BE REACHED
UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...SO THE SURF TONIGHT IS ONLY THE BEGINNING. 

AKZ201-011400-
/X.UPG.PAFG.CF.A.0002.111101T1400Z-111102T1400Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.CF.W.0003.111101T1200Z-111102T1300Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
906 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO 5 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST.

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE
  ONSHORE. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL FLOOD LOW LYING PARTS OF
  THE COAST AND ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-011400-
/X.UPG.PAFG.CF.A.0002.111101T1400Z-111103T0000Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.CF.W.0003.111101T1400Z-111102T2300Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
906 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 3 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A COASTAL
FLOOD WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 3 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. THE COASTAL FLOOD WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. 

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST FROM CAPE LISBURNE TO POINT
  BARROW...INCLUDING THE TOWN OF BARROW.

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

* IMPACTS....MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE
  ONSHORE. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL FLOOD LOW LYING PARTS OF
  THE COAST AND ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ207-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1400Z-111102T1400Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
906 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE COAST NEAR POINT HOPE AND THE COAST FROM 
CAPE ESPENBERG TO THE NORTH END OF BERING STRAIT...

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING POINT HOPE...AND SHISHMAREF.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 6AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ209-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
906 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE BALDWIN PENINSULA COAST...

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING KOTZEBUE.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ210-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR
906 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE SOUTHERN KOTZEBUE SOUND COAST...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING AT DEERING.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

768 
WHAK49 PAFG 010542 AAA
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
942 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

CORRECTED SECOND PARAGRAPH

A STORM IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA CONTINUES TO GATHER STRENGTH
AS IT HEADS EASTWARD. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN
ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA TUESDAY MORNING. A RISE IN SEA LEVEL OF
1 TO 2 FEET DOWN BY POINT HOPE AND 2 TO 3 FEET UP BY BARROW IS
EXPECTED TO BE REACHED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THIS STORM WILL BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ONE OF THE REMAINING ICE
FREE SEASON OF THIS YEAR IN THE CHUKCHI SEA. TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THERE WILL BE A LONG WIND FETCH OVER NEARLY 400 MILES
OF ICE FREE WATERS IN THE CHUKCHI SEA. THE WINDS IN THIS FETCH ARE
EXPECTED TO BE 40 TO 50 MPH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE TEMPERATURE OF THE INBOUND WIND IS IN THE 20S...WELL BELOW
FREEZING. THIS GIVES THE WIND A BETTER GRIP ON THE SEA THAN AIR
ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT. FINALLY...THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT
WILL BE LONG...FROM 24 TO 36 HOURS. ALL OF THESE FACTORS WILL
COMBINE TO DEVELOP A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOOD FROM CAPE LISBURNE
UP TO POINT BARROW.

AS OF 8 PM...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BARROW REPORTED
RISING SURF AND WATER MOVING UP OVER THE LOWEST STRETCHES OF ROAD
NORTH OF TOWN. THE FULL STRENGTH OF THE WIND WILL NOT BE REACHED
UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...SO THE SURF TONIGHT IS ONLY THE
BEGINNING.

AKZ201-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.W.0003.111101T1200Z-111102T1300Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
942 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO
5 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TUESDAY TO
5 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST.

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE 
  ONSHORE. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL FLOOD LOW LYING PARTS OF 
  THE COAST AND ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.W.0003.111101T1400Z-111102T2300Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
942 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
3 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
3 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST FROM CAPE LISBURNE TO 
  POINT BARROW...INCLUDING THE TOWN OF BARROW. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS....MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE 
  ONSHORE. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL FLOOD LOW LYING PARTS OF 
  THE COAST AND ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ207-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1400Z-111102T1400Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
942 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING POINT HOPE...AND SHISHMAREF.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 6AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ209-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
942 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING KOTZEBUE.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ210-011400-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR
942 PM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TUESDAY TO 6 AM
AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING AT DEERING.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

596 
WHAK49 PAFG 011021
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
221 AM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011


A STORM IN THE WESTERN CHUKCHI SEA CONTINUES TO GATHER STRENGTH
AS IT HEADS EASTWARD. THE STORM IS EXPECTED TO REACH THE WESTERN
ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA TUESDAY MORNING. A RISE IN SEA LEVEL OF
1 TO 2 FEET DOWN BY POINT HOPE AND 2 TO 3 FEET UP BY BARROW IS
EXPECTED TO BE REACHED BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

THIS STORM WILL BE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT ONE OF THE REMAINING ICE
FREE SEASON OF THIS YEAR IN THE CHUKCHI SEA. TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY...THERE WILL BE A LONG WIND FETCH OVER NEARLY 400 MILES
OF ICE FREE WATERS IN THE CHUKCHI SEA. THE WINDS IN THIS FETCH
ARE EXPECTED TO BE 40 TO 50 MPH TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT.

THE TEMPERATURE OF THE INBOUND WIND IS IN THE 20S...WELL BELOW
FREEZING. THIS GIVES THE WIND A BETTER GRIP ON THE SEA THAN AIR
ABOVE THE FREEZING POINT. FINALLY...THE DURATION OF THIS EVENT
WILL BE LONG...FROM 24 TO 36 HOURS. ALL OF THESE FACTORS WILL
COMBINE TO DEVELOP A SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOOD FROM CAPE LISBURNE
UP TO POINT BARROW.

AS OF 8 PM...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BARROW REPORTED
RISING SURF AND WATER MOVING UP OVER THE LOWEST STRETCHES OF ROAD
NORTH OF TOWN. THE FULL STRENGTH OF THE WIND WILL NOT BE REACHED
UNTIL TUESDAY MORNING...SO THE SURF TONIGHT IS ONLY THE
BEGINNING.

AKZ201-020215-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.W.0003.111101T1200Z-111102T1300Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
221 AM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 5 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM EARLY THIS
MORNING TO 5 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST.

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE 
  ONSHORE. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL FLOOD LOW LYING PARTS OF 
  THE COAST AND ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-020215-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.W.0003.111101T1400Z-111102T2300Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
221 AM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO 3 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING
TO 3 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST FROM CAPE LISBURNE TO 
  POINT BARROW...INCLUDING THE TOWN OF BARROW. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...FLOODING IS EXPECTED ALONG THE COAST.

* TIMING...BEGINNING EARLY TUESDAY MORNING AND CONTINUING 
  THROUGH WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS....MINOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL PUSH BOTH WATER AND ICE 
  ONSHORE. MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING WILL FLOOD LOW LYING PARTS OF 
  THE COAST AND ALSO CAUSE SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ207-020215-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1400Z-111102T1400Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
221 AM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING POINT HOPE...AND SHISHMAREF.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 6AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ209-020215-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
221 AM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING KOTZEBUE.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ210-020215-
/X.CON.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.111101T1800Z-111102T1400Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR
221 AM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING
TO 6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO
6 AM AKDT WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING AT DEERING.

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL OCCUR.

* TIMING...BEGINNING AT 10AM TUESDAY AND CONTINUING UNTIL 6AM 
  WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...MINOR BEACH EROSION AND COULD PUSH ICE ONSHORE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

464 
WHAK49 PAFG 012245
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
245 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

.A STORM NORTH OF BARROW WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST
OF ALASKA TONIGHT. THIS WILL SPREAD WEST WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH
SLOPE OF ALASKA BY THIS EVENING. THIS STORM IS NOT AS STRONG AS
WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST BUT WILL STILL CAUSE SEA LEVELS T0 BE
ELEVATED TO BETWEEN ONE AND TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT.

AKZ201-020800-
/X.EXT.PAFG.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111102T1400Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
245 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...ALONG THE COAST

* COASTAL FLOODING...HEAVY SURF AND VERY MINOR FLOODING IS
  EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SURF WILL RAFT ICE UP ON THE BEACH AND CAUSE
  BEACH EROSION. ONLY VERY MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS NEAR
  THE BEACH IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-020800-
/X.EXT.PAFG.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111102T1400Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
245 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...FROM POINT BARROW WEST...INCLUDING THE CITY OF
  BARROW.

* COASTAL FLOODING...HEAVY SURF AND VERY MINOR FLOODING IS
  EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SURF WILL RAFT ICE UP ON THE BEACH AND CAUSE
  BEACH EROSION. ONLY VERY MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS NEAR
  THE BEACH IS EXPECTED.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ207-020800-
/X.EXT.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-111102T0800Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
245 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING POINT HOPE...KIVALINA AND
  SHISHMAREF.

* SURF...HIGH SURF IS OCCURRING.

* TIMING...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SURF WILL RAFT ICE UP ON THE BEACH AND CAUSE
  BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ209-020800-
/X.EXT.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-111102T0800Z/
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK
245 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING KOTZEBUE.

* SURF...HIGH SURF IS OCCURRING.

* TIMING...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SURF WILL RAFT ICE UP ON THE BEACH AND CAUSE
  BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ210-020800-
/X.EXT.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-111102T0800Z/
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR
245 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT TONIGHT...

THE HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKDT
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...COAST LINE INCLUDING AT DEERING.

* SURF...HIGH SURF IS OCCURRING.

* TIMING...CONTINUING THROUGH MIDNIGHT TONIGHT

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SURF WILL RAFT ICE UP ON THE BEACH AND CAUSE
  BEACH EROSION.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT LOCALIZED BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

708 
WHAK49 PAFG 020537
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
937 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

.A STORM NORTH OF BARROW WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE ARCTIC COAST
OF ALASKA TONIGHT. THIS WILL SPREAD WEST WINDS ACROSS THE NORTH
SLOPE OF ALASKA BY LATE THIS EVENING. THIS STORM IS NOT AS STRONG
AS WAS PREVIOUSLY FORECAST BUT WILL STILL CAUSE SEA LEVELS T0 BE
ELEVATED TO BETWEEN ONE AND TWO FEET ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT.

AKZ207-209-210-020645-
/X.CAN.PAFG.SU.Y.0009.000000T0000Z-111102T0800Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG...
KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK...BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...
COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...
TAYLOR
937 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS CANCELLED THE HIGH
SURF ADVISORY. 


$$

AKZ201-021400-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111102T1400Z/
WESTERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...WAINWRIGHT...ATQASUK...POINT LAY...CAPE LISBURNE
937 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...ALONG THE COAST

* COASTAL FLOODING...HEAVY SURF AND VERY MINOR FLOODING IS 
  EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SURF WILL RAFT ICE UP ON THE BEACH AND CAUSE 
  BEACH EROSION. ONLY VERY MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  NEAR THE BEACH IS EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ202-021400-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.W.0003.000000T0000Z-111102T1400Z/
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST-
INCLUDING...BARROW...ALAKTAK...PITT POINT...NULAVIK
937 PM AKDT TUE NOV 1 2011

...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...FROM POINT BARROW WEST...INCLUDING THE CITY OF 
  BARROW. 

* COASTAL FLOODING...HEAVY SURF AND VERY MINOR FLOODING IS 
  EXPECTED. 

* TIMING...CONTINUING THROUGH TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SURF WILL RAFT ICE UP ON THE BEACH AND CAUSE 
  BEACH EROSION. ONLY VERY MINOR FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS 
  NEAR THE BEACH IS EXPECTED. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT RISING SEA WATER THAT CAUSES
FLOODING IS EXPECTED. COASTAL RESIDENTS IN THE WARNED AREA SHOULD
BE ALERT FOR RISING WATER...AND TAKE ACTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND
PROPERTY.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
438 AM AKDT MON OCT 31 2011

.DISCUSSION...
A DEEP UPPER LOW VORTEX IN THE ARCTIC BASIN WILL BE THE DRIVING
FORCE FOR POTENTIAL HIGH IMPACT WEATHER ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST
TUE-WED.

ALOFT...AT 500 MILLIBARS A VERY DEEP 475 DM LOW NEAR 80N 170W
WILL PINWHEEL AROUND THE NEXT FEW DAYS WITH A SERIES OF SHORTWAVES
TO ROTATE AROUND THE MAIN LOW CENTER. TO THE SOUTH...THERE WILL BE
A MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IN THE NORTH PAC. AN UPPER LOW IN
THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA MOVES INTO THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA BY
TUE AS ANOTHER LOW NOW SOUTH OF KAMCHATKA MOVES SOUTH OF THE
SOUTHERN ALEUTIANS BY WED. BETWEEN THE LOWS THERE WILL BE SOME MID
LEVEL RIDGING THAT DEVELOPS IN THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA WED.

SURFACE...A TROUGH EXTENDS FROM NEAR BARROW AND TO THE NORTHEAST
INTO THE BEAUFORT SEA.  THIS TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO THE EASTERN
BEAUFORT SEA TONIGHT.  ATTENTION TURNS TO THE NEXT SHORT WAVE THAT
MOVES AROUND THE BACKSIDE OF THE HIGH ARCTIC LOW.  THE MODELS
CONTINUE TO STRUGGLE WITH THIS FEATURE AND DEVELOPMENT OF A POLAR
LOW MON NIGHT. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR THE FORMATION OF A
POLAR LOW ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE ICE PACK IN THE CHUKCHI
SEA. THE MODELS ARE PROBABLY NOT GOING TO HAVE MUCH OF A HANDLE ON
THIS FEATURE UNTIL IT DEVELOPS (IF AT ALL). THE ENERGY RESPONSIBLE FOR
FORMATION IS STILL SEVERAL HUNDRED MILES NORTHWEST OF WRANGEL
ISLAND. AGREE WITH PREVIOUS SHIFTS THAT THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR
THIS FEATURE TO BE QUITE STRONG. THAT BEING SAID...THE LATEST RUNS
OF THE MODELS ARE WEAKER WITH THIS FEATURE...SO FOR NOW WILL TAKE
A WAIT AND SEE APPROACH...BUT LEAN TOWARD A STRONGER SOLUTION
WHICH ALSO MAKES THE FORECAST MORE CONSISTENT. IN ALL LIKELIHOOD
WILL NEED TO SEE HOW THE LOW DEVELOPS ON SATELLITE PICTS TO GAIN
THE BEST HANDLE ON THE STRENGTH OF THE LOW. THERE IS ALSO A LOT OF
SPREAD BETWEEN THE ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WITH THE GFS AND ECMWF
ENSEMBLE MEANS WEAKER AND FURTHER NORTH WITH THE LOW. THE GFS IS
ABOUT 8 MILIBARS WEAKER WITH THE LOW THAN THE 00Z RUN LAST NIGHT.

NORTH SLOPE...NO CHANGES PLANNED TO THE BLIZZARD AND COASTAL FLOOD
WATCHES GIVEN THAT THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE
THE LOW DEVELOPS AND THE EVENTUAL DEPTH OF THE LOW.  RIGHT NOW IT
WOULD APPEAR THAT ANY COASTAL FLOODING THREAT WOULD BE FROM BARROW
SOUTH TO WAINWRIGHT TUE INTO TUE NIGHT.  THE LONG FETCH OF OPEN
WATER OFFSHORE WOULD BE FAVORABLE FOR BUILDING LARGE SEAS OFFSHORE
AND PUSH SOME WATER AND NEAR SHORE ICE ONSHORE. THE LATEST STORM
SURGE MODEL ONLY HAS ABOUT 1 FT OF SURGE...BUT AGAIN THIS IS
BASED ON A WEAK LOW AND THE POTENTIAL FOR A MUCH GREATER STORM
SURGE IS REMAINS IF THE POLAR LOW ENDS UP BEING MUCH DEEPER. THE
GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG THE BEAUFORT SEA
COAST WILL NOT LIKELY COME UNTIL WEDNESDAY AS THE LOW BEGINS TO
PULL AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND THE MAIN UPPER LOW CENTER.

NOTE...A HIGH SURF ADVISORY WAS ISSUED LATE LAST EVENING FOR THE
NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST AROUND BARROW BASED ON REPORTS OF HIGH SURF
IN THE AREA. CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO GET ANY WORSE
TODAY...AND WILL PROBABLY ACTUALLY IMPROVE SOME. DETEORIATING
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TUESDAY...BUT MUCH WILL DEPEND ON THE
STRENGTH AND POSITION OF THE POLAR LOW THAT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
DEVELOPING TONIGHT.

INTERIOR...COLDER WEATHER EARLY THIS WEEK IN THE WAKE OF AN UPPER
TROUGH AND COLD FRONT THAT WORKED ACROSS THE INTERIOR YESTERDAY.
CLOUDS AND A FEW FLURRIES LINGERING IN PARTS OF THE INTERIOR WITH
SPME BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS IN SOME AREAS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
A SFC LOW IS EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY DEEPEN IN THE GULF OF ALASKA TUE
AND MOVE TO NEAR YAKUTAT TUE EVENING. THIS WILL PRODUCE SOME
OVERRUNNING SNOW INTO THE SOUTHEAST INTERIOR TUE INTO TUE NIGHT
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW INCHES OF SNOW IN THE UPPER TANANA
VALLEY...AND POSSIBLY 6 INCHES OR MORE OF SNOW IN PARTS OF THE
EASTERN ALASKA RANGE. POSSIBLE THAT AN ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED FOR
AT LEAST ZONE 226 DOWN THE ROAD.

WEST COAST...MOST OF THE WEST COAST WILL BE EITHER SOUTH OF THE
POLAR LOW OR NORTH OF THE BERING SEA LOW.  POTENTIAL FOR SOME HIGH
SURF LATE TUE INTO TUE EVENING ALONG THE CHUKCHI SEA INTO THE
KOTZEBUE SOUND...BUT IT DEPENDS ON THE DEPTH/LOCATION OF THE POLAR
LOW.  SOME SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED...MAINLY ALONG THE WESTERN CAPES.
SNOW AND WIND POSSIBLE IN SOUTHWEST ALASKA BY THURSDAY AS THE NEXT
THE BERING SEA LOW MOVES EAST.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE
ALONG THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST WEDNESDAY AS THE
WINDS AND SEAS BEGIN TO DIMINISH...BUT WILL LIKELY REMAIN ROUGH
THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING ALONG THE BEAUFORT SEA COAST. LOW
PRESSURE IN THE BERING SEA MAY BRING ELY GALES TO THE SAINT
LAWRENCE WATERS AND NORTON SOUND ON THURSDAY.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ201-AKZ202-AKZ203-AKZ204.

HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ202.

COASTAL FLOOD WATCH FOR AKZ201-AKZ202.

HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225-PKZ230.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225-PKZ230.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CB OCT 11