Gale Warning 83, NWS Fairbanks, AK

628 
FZAK51 PAFG 110915
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-120015-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 972 MB LOW NORTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
SOUTH AND WEAKEN TO 986 MB ALONG THE NORTHEAST KAMCHATKA COAST BY
4 AM AKDT MONDAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE ARCTIC COAST
NORTH OF BARROW TO DEMARCATION POINT WILL MOVE NORTH TODAY.

$$

PKZ225-120015-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM TONIGHT THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. FOG. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ230-120015-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT.
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ235-120015-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ240-120015-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SHOWERS. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. FOG.
.MON...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ245-120015-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
115 AM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. FOG.
.TONIGHT...SW WINDS DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 3 FT. FOG.
.MON...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

JK/CB SEP 11

465 
FZAK51 PAFG 112127
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-121300-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 978 MB LOW NORTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL DRIFT SLOWLY
SOUTH AND WEAKEN TO 989 MB ALONG THE NORTHEAST KAMCHATKA COAST BY
4 PM AKDT MONDAY. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OFF THE ARCTIC COAST
300 NM NORTH OF BARROW AND DEMARCATION POINT WILL MOVE NORTH
TONIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-121300-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY MONDAY MORNING
THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
.FRI...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-121300-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY MONDAY MORNING...

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT FROM EARLY
MONDAY MORNING THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WINDS  20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...NW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-121300-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON...S WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.TUE...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.THU...NW WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ240-121300-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING.  
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...W WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-121300-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
127 PM AKDT SUN SEP 11 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...SW WINDS 5 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.FRI...W WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

RL/DA SEP 11

173 
FZAK51 PAFG 121011
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
211 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-130115-
211 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 987 MB LOW ALONG THE NORTHEAST KAMCHATKA COAST WILL MOVE TO 
200 NM NORTH OF ADAK BY TUESDAY EVENING. A 1025 MB HIGH IN
NORTHWEST CANADA NEAR GREAT BEAR LAKE MOVES SOUTHEAST THROUGH
TUESDAY. A TROUGH WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE BROOKS RANGE TUESDAY. 

$$

PKZ225-130115-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
211 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...S WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ230-130115-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
211 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR HAZARDOUS SEAS IN EFFECT THROUGH
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON OFFSHORE...

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT...HIGHEST
WELL OFFSHORE.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ235-130115-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
211 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2011

.TODAY...S WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT...HIGHEST
WELL OFFSHORE.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ240-130115-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
211 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2011

.TODAY...SW WINDS 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER NOON.
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ245-130115-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
211 AM AKDT MON SEP 12 2011

.TODAY...SW WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.WED...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

RL/CB SEP 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
359 AM AKDT SAT SEP 10 2011

.DISCUSSION...
UPPER LEVELS...A FAST WEST TO EAST FLOW ACROSS NORTHERN AK
WILL TRANSITION TO A HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND. A JET MAX FROM THE NORTHERN SEA OF JAPAN TO THE SOUTHERN
TIP OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL AID IN DEVELOPING A STRONG
UPPER LOW IN THE NW BERING SEA THIS WEEKEND. ANOTHER NORTH PAC LOW
NEAR 40N 160W WILL DEEPEN AND LIFT NORTH OVER THE WEEKEND. THIS
WILL HELP TO PUMP UP A STRONG RIDGE ACROSS THE MAINLAND SUN THAT
WILL MOVE EAST INTO CANADA EARLY NEXT WEEK AND PRODUCE MILD SLY
FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF MAINLAND AK. EVENTUALLY THE BERING SEA LOW
MOVES EAST WITH MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA TO COME UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF AN UPPER TROUGH BY LATE NEXT WEEK.

SURFACE...A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE COVERS A LOT OF REAL ESTATE
FROM THE NORTHERN SEA OF OKHOTSK TO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA.
A 990 MB LOW IS DEVELOPING EARLY THIS MORNING ALONG THE NORTHEAST
KAMCHATKA COAST. THIS LOW DEEPENS TO 970-975 MILLIBARS JUST WEST
OF THE GULF OF ANADYR TONIGHT. THE TROUGH THAT EXTENDS EAST ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA WILL BEGIN TO LIFT OUT TO THE NORTHEAST
TODAY. A RIDGE IN THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC WILL BUILD NORTH THIS
WEEKEND...AND WILL COVER MUCH OF THE INTERIOR BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND.

INTERIOR...THIS WILL BE A WEEKEND WITH TWO DISTINCT REGIMES.
UNSETTLED TODAY WITH CLOUDS AND SHOWERS/RAIN MOVING FROM WEST TO EAST
ACROSS MOST OF THE INTERIOR. THE WEATHER WILL DRY OUT RAPIDLY SUN
AS AN UPPER RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE INTERIOR...BUT MANY AREAS
LIKELY TO HAVE ENOUGH RESIDUAL MOISTURE TO REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY
FOR MUCH OF THE DAY. CLEARING EXPECTED BY SUN NIGHT WHICH SETS UP
A REAL NICE START TO THE WORK WEEK MON WITH A GOOD DEAL OF
SUNSHINE AND HIGH TEMPERATURES WELL INTO THE 60S FOR MOST LOW
ELEVATION SPOTS. POTENTIAL THAT A FEW SPOTS MAY TOP 70 DEGREES BY
TUESDAY BEFORE A GRADUAL COOL DOWN TO MORE SEASONABLE TEMPS MID-
LATE NEXT WEEK.

WEST COAST...THE LATEST RUN OF THE GFS STORM SURGE GUIDANCE PEAKS
OUT TODAY AROUND 3 FT AT NOME BUT 4-5 FT IN THE EASTERN NORTON
SOUND.  ALONG THE REMAINDER OF THE WEST COAST SURGES ARE GENERALLY 2
FT OR LESS.  WILL CANCEL THE HIGH SURF ADVISORIES WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF ZONES AROUND THE NORTON SOUND. THE TIDE GAGE AT NOME IS
RUNNING ABOUT 2.5 FT ABOVE PREDICTED TIDES EARLY THIS
MORNING...WHICH IS ABOUT 5.5 FT HIGHER THAN THE TIDES OBSERVED EARLY
THIS WEEK. THE THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING LOOKS MINIMAL...BUT SOME
WATER COULD SPLASH OVER PARTS OF THE NOME-COUNCIL WATER. MINOR
BEACH EROSION IS POSSIBLE TODAY...ESPECIALLY AROUND THE TIME OF
HIGH TIDE THIS AFTERNOON. SLY GALES WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE WEST
COAST SUN AND THIS MAY PRODUCE HIGH SURF ALONG THE SOUTH SHORE OF
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND AT TELLER AND WALES. THE STORM SURGE MODEL
INDICATES A SURGE OF 3-3.5 FT AT WALES...BREVIG MISSION AND
TELLER. WILL ISSUE A SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THE POTENTIAL
OF HIGH SURF SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY EVENING.

RAIN WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH TO SCATTERED SHOWERS ALONG MUCH OF THE
WEST COAST BY TONIGHT WITH SOME RAIN OUT ACROSS ST LAWRENCE ISLAND
ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY WITH THE NW BERING SEA LOW.

NORTH SLOPE...RAIN ALONG THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN ARCTIC COAST WILL
MOVE EAST TODAY IN THE FAST WEST TO EAST FLOW ALOFT.  THE ARCTIC
COAST WILL THEN DRY OUT SUN AS THE RIDGE BEGINS TO BUILD NORTH
ACROSS THE INTERIOR. DRY WEATHER WILL THEN PERSIST INTO THE MIDDLE
OF NEXT WEEK. TEMPS WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL SUN-TUE. AREAS OF SMALL
CRAFT ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS THIS WEEKEND AS THE TROUGH IN THE
SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA AND ALONG THE BEAUFORT SEA COAST LIFTS NORTH
WITH SLY GALES POSSIBLE ALONG THE WESTERN ARCTIC COAST SUN WITH
THE DEEP LOW WEST OF ANADYR AND RIDGING BUILDING INTO THE
INTERIOR.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...WINDS AND WAVES WILL
GRADUALLY SUN NIGHT INTO MON ALONG THE WEST COAST.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...NO ISSUES THIS WEEKEND.  WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH SOME GAP FLOW AT TIMES THROUGH THE AK RANGE.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...MOST RIVERS IN THE INTERIOR ARE EITHER STEADY OR FALLING.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS TODAY INTO TONIGHT MAY CAUSE SOME MINOR RISES ON
SMALLER STREAMS AND CREEKS...BUT WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON MAIN-STEM
RIVERS.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
HIGH SURF ADVISORY FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225-
PKZ230-PKZ235-PKZ240-PKZ245.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210.

&&

CB SEP 11