Gale Warning 62, NWS Fairbanks, AK

508 
FZAK51 PAFG 082130
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
130 PM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-091400-
130 PM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL PERSIST THROUGH
FRI. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE NORTH OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA
WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE OVER THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA THU.

$$

PKZ225-091400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
130 PM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 30 KT DECREASING TO 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FOG.
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-091400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
130 PM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-091400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
130 PM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-091400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
130 PM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-091400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
130 PM AKDT WED JUN 8 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.MON...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

RL/CWA/CF JUN 11

184 
FZAK51 PAFG 091140
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
340 AM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-100245-
340 AM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1032 MB HIGH 400 NM NORTH OF BARROW WILL DRIFT NORTH TO NEAR THE
POLE ON FRIDAY. A WEATHER FRONT THAT EXTENDS FROM THE SOUTHERN
CHUKCHI SEA AND INTO THE INTERIOR WILL WEAKEN TODAY AND HIGH
PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA TONIGHT.

$$

PKZ225-100245-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
340 AM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON
NORTH OF CAPE LISBURNE...

.TODAY...E WINDS 30 KT NORTH OF CAPE LISBURNE. SE WINDS 10 KT
SOUTH OF CAPE LISBURNE BECOMING SW AFTER NOON. SEAS 6 FT NORTH OF
CAPE LISBURNE AND 2 FT SOUTH OF CAPE LISBURNE.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT NORTH OF CAPE LISBURNE. SW WINDS 10 KT
SOUTH OF CAPE LISBURNE. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 3 FT NORTH OF CAPE
LISBURNE. SEAS 2 FT ELSEWHERE.
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT NORTH OF CAPE LISBURNE. W WINDS 10 KT
BECOMING N SOUTH OF CAPE LISBURNE. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-100245-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
340 AM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH EARLY
FRIDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-100245-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
340 AM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-100245-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
340 AM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-100245-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
340 AM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NW WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

DJH/CB JUN 11

380 
FZAK51 PAFG 092151
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
151 PM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-101400-
151 PM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 1031 MB HIGH 450 NM NORTH OF BARROW WILL DRIFT NORTH TO NEAR THE
POLE ON FRIDAY. A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE
ARCTIC COAST THROUGH SAT MORNING.

$$

PKZ225-101400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
151 PM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT DECREASING TO 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT BECOMING N. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.MON...N WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE...N WINDS 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ230-101400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
151 PM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WINDS 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE...NE WINDS 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ235-101400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
151 PM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT.  
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-101400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
151 PM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...N WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-101400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
151 PM AKDT THU JUN 9 2011

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT.  
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT.  
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  
.SUN NIGHT...NW WINDS 10 KT.  
.MON...NW WINDS 10 KT.  
.TUE...E WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

RL/CWA/CF JUN 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
321 PM AKDT TUE JUN 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN DECENT AGREEMENT. UPPER LEVEL LOWS IN THE BERING ARE
SOMEWHAT OFFSET EVEN AT INITIALIZATION BUT MODELS MAINTAIN THE
MOVEMENT IN SYNCH WITH EACH OTHER THROUGH AT LEAST 48 HOURS.

NEW ALONG THE ALEUTIANS WILL HAVE ITS ENERGY SUCKED IN BY THE
EXISTING BERING LOW AND THEN THE REMNANTS OF THE ALEUTIAN LOW
WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE GULF OF ALASKA.

THERMAL TROUGH HAS MOVED SOUTH TO CENTER ITSELF FROM ABOUT CHICKEN
TO BETTLES TO NOATAK. THE TROUGH WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY
SOUTHWARD THROUGH WED. THE TROUGH WILL BE PUSHED SOUTHWARD BY AN
ARCTIC BOUNDARY DROPPING SOUTHWARD FROM THE NORTHWEST CANADIAN
ARCHIPELAGO. HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE BUT WEAKEN OVER THE
ARCTIC OCEAN THROUGH THU.

OCCLUDED FRONT PUSHING NORTH ALONG THE WEST COAST WILL CONTINUE TO
SPREAD SHOWERS THROUGH TONIGHT AND POSSIBLY EARLY MORNING BUT THE
FRONT IS QUICKLY FIZZLING OUT.

THE ARCTIC COAST IS ALREADY EXPERIENCING A DECENT GRADIENT BETWEEN
THE HIGH IN THE ARCTIC AND THE THERMAL LOW IN THE CENTRAL PORTION
OF THE STATE. THIS HAS CREATED ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS IN MANY AREAS
ON THE ARCTIC COAST FOR THE MARINE AREAS. PERIODS OF SNOW AND FOG
WILL BE THE NORM FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO BUT TEMPERATURES MAY FALL
A BIT WITH THE PUSH OF COLDER AIR DROPPING SOUTH ON WED.

MODELS DIFFER SUBSTANTIALLY IN THE MEDIUM RANGE AS THE GFS BUILDS
BACK THE RIDGE INTO NORTHERN ALASKA WHILE THE ECMWF DROPS IN A
LOW FROM THE CANADIAN ARCTIC THROUGH NORTHERN ALASKA VIA NORTHEAST
ALASKA. THEN AT ABOUT 180 HOURS THE MODELS COME BACK MORE IN LINE
WITH EACH OTHER WITH BUILDING IN A RIDGE OVER CENTRAL PORTION OF
THE STATE.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...WEAK CHINOOK OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE
IS CREATING VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND WITH NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL
TODAY AND THIS EVENING...FIRES WILL CONTINUE TO BE ACTIVE.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON WED AS THE THERMAL
TROUGH SLIDES SOUTH WHICH WILL BE ENHANCED BY THE COLDER AIR ALOFT
SPILLING SOUTHWARD FROM NORTHWESTERN CANADA.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...NONE.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
RED FLAG WARNING FOR AKZ223-AKZ225-AKZ226.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FOR PKZ210.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ230-PKZ240-PKZ245.
&&

CF/DA JUN 11