Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2011

Gale Warning 110, NWS Fairbanks, AK

November 7, 2011

NWS Fairbanks, AK issued this gale warning at Nov 7, 2011, 2:33 PM AKST. It was in force for 37 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 7, 2011, 2:33 PM AKST (23:33 UTC)
Expired
Nov 9, 2011, 3:04 AM AKST
In force
37 hr
Issued by
NWS Fairbanks, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

603 
FZAK69 PAFG 072333
OFFAFG

EXPERIMENTAL OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
233 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-081315-
233 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A VERY STRONG STORM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST INTO THE WESTERN
BERING SEA TUE MORNING. THIS LOW IS FORECASTED TO BE A 945 MB LOW
100 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN MOVE
NORTH OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ500-081315-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
233 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...
...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM EARLY TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH
EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...SE WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WINDS 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 60 KT. SEAS
13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...E WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 70 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 65 KT. SEAS
19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...SW WINDS 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-081315-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
233 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

PKZ510-081315-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
233 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

RF/CCC/CWA NOV 11
3 follow-up statements
279 
FZAK69 PAFG 081223
OFFAFG

EXPERIMENTAL OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
323 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-090330-
323 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A VERY STRONG STORM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EAST INTO THE WESTERN
BERING SEA TUE MORNING. THIS LOW WILL BECOME A 945 MB LOW
100 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY LATE TUE NIGHT...THEN
MOVE NORTH OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ500-090330-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
323 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING...

.TODAY...S WINDS 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 55 KT. SEAS 19 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ505-090330-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
323 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

PKZ510-090330-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
323 AM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

RL/TF/JK NOV 11
533 
FZAK69 PAFG 082331
OFFAFG

EXPERIMENTAL OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
231 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-091630-
231 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A VERY STRONG STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST IN THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THIS EVENING. THIS LOW WILL BECOME A 945 MB LOW
100 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND THIS EVENING...THEN MOVE
NORTH OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ500-091630-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
231 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...SE WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...SE WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 70 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.FRI...SE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-091630-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
231 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

PKZ510-091630-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
231 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

RF/CCC/CWA NOV 11
137 
FZAK69 PAFG 091204
OFFAFG

EXPERIMENTAL OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
304 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE US ARCTIC WATERS

SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF
THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. INDIVIDUAL WAVES MAY BE
TWICE AS HIGH.

PKZ599-100315-
304 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC WATERS...
A VERY STRONG STORM WILL CONTINUE MOVING RAPIDLY NORTHEAST IN THE
WESTERN BERING SEA THIS EVENING. THIS LOW HAS CURRENTLY BECOME A
945 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...THEN MOVE NORTH
OVER FAR EASTERN RUSSIA BY WED MORNING AS A 952 MB LOW.

$$

PKZ500-100315-
WESTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
304 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...
...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TODAY...SE WINDS 45 KT...WITH GUSTS UP TO 60 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW IN THE EVENING.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU...E WINDS 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ505-100315-
CENTRAL US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
304 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

PKZ510-100315-
EASTERN US ARCTIC OFFSHORE-
304 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

NO FORECAST AS AREA IS MOSTLY ICE-COVERED.

$$

JK/RL NOV 11

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Nov 7, 1:54 PM AKST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 7, 1:54 PM AKST, 39 minutes before
NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
154 PM AKST MON NOV 7 2011

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT MODELS AGREE WELL ON THE DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK
OF BERING SEA SUPERSTORM WHICH WILL CAUSE SEVERE BEACH
EROSION AND MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING OVER PARTS OF THE
WEST COAST. MAXIMUM WIND SPEEDS OVER MOST WEST COAST
AREAS WILL BE GALE TO STORM FORCE...HURRICANE FORCE GUSTS
IN AKZ207-AKZ213. OVER WATER...HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
EXPECTED PKZ210-PKZ220. THIS WILL BE ONE OF THE MOST SEVERE
BERING SEA STORMS ON RECORD. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS AND
SIGNIFICANT SNOW EXPECTED IN AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209-AKZ210-
AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214. WINDS INCREASING OVER MUCH OF
THE ARCTIC COAST WED...EAST TO SOUTHEAST 30-40 MPH IN AKZ201
AND 40-50 MPH IN AKZ201. BLIZZARD OR NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
POSSIBLE WED IN AKZ201.

973 MB STORM ABOUT 600 MILES SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA AT
MID AFTERNOON DEEPENING RAPIDLY TO AROUND 945-950 MB
MILES WEST OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND BY 00Z WED...MOVING
TO NORTH OF THE CHUKOTSK PENINSULA BY 00Z THU WITH
CENTRAL PRESSURE NEAR 950 MB. LOWEST CENTRAL PRESSURE
WILL BE NEAR 940 MB.

LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS SOUTHEAST INTERIOR AND EASTERN
ALASKA RANGE TONIGHT...TAPERING OFF TUE.

APPROXIMATE SNOW AMOUNTS EXPECTED TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...
AKZ207...5-9 INCHES
AKZ208...6-8 INCHES
AKZ209...5-8 INCHES
AKZ210...9-14 INCHES...SMALLER AMOUNTS NORTH PARTS
AKZ212...5-10 INCHES
AKZ214...4-8 INCHES

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL...

MAJOR COASTAL FLOODING AND SEVERE BEACH EROSION EXPECTED
TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED NIGHT FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS:

1. BERING SEA COAST FROM CAPE ROMANZOF TO POINT ROMANOF.
2. EASTERN AND NORTHERN SHORELINE OF NORTON SOUND.
3. SOUTH AND WEST FACING SHORES OF BERING STRAIT COAST...
   ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...LITTLE DIOMEDE.
4. CHUKCHI SEA COAST FROM CAPE KRUSENSTERN TO POINT HOPE.
5. ADDITIONALLY...HIGH WATER LEVELS IN NORTON SOUND WILL
   CAUSE COASTAL FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS ALONG
   THE SOUTHERN SHORE OF NORTON SOUND.

TIDAL LEVELS WILL BE AS HIGH AS 8-9 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
IN NORTON SOUND...ALONG THE BERING STRAIT COAST...AND
ALONG THE BERING SEA COAST FROM CAPE ROMANZOF TO POINT
ROMANOF. TIDES MAY AS HIGH AS 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ALONG
PARTS OF THE CHUKCHI SEA COAST FROM CAPE KRUSENSTERN
NORTHWEST TO POINT HOPE. STRONG WINDS AND WAVES WILL
PUSH ICE IN NORTON BAY ONSHORE.

IN THE NOME AREA...MAXIMUM STORM SURGE OF AROUND 8 FEET IS
EXPECTED EARLY WED EVENING.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
COASTAL FLOOD WARNING AKZ207-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ213-AKZ214.

WINTER STORM WARNING AKZ210-AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ214.

BLIZZARD WARNING AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ209.

BLIZZARD WATCH FOR AKZ201.

HIGH WIND WARNING AKZ213.

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ225.

GALE WARNING PKZ220-PKZ225.

STORM WARNING PKZ210.
&&

RF NOV 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fairbanks, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 6, 3:04 PM AKSTCoastal Flood WatchAFG14 hr
Nov 7, 3:11 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG24 hr
Nov 7, 4:58 AM AKSTCoastal Flood WarningAFG4 days
Nov 7, 5:49 AM AKSTBlizzard WarningAFG64 hr
Nov 7, 5:49 AM AKSTWinter Storm WarningAFG55 hr
Nov 7, 5:56 AM AKSTHigh Wind WarningAFG63 hr
Nov 7, 2:30 PM AKSTBlizzard WatchAFG25 hr
Nov 7, 2:32 PM AKSTGale WarningAFG29 hr
Nov 7, 2:32 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG13 hr
Nov 7, 2:32 PM AKSTStorm WarningAFG29 hr
Nov 7, 2:32 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG72 hr
Nov 7, 2:33 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFG37 hr
Nov 7, 2:33 PM AKSTGale WarningAFG24 hr
Nov 7, 2:33 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFG24 hr
Nov 7, 2:33 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG9 days
Nov 7, 2:33 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFG10 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every gale warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.