Coastal Flood Statement 1, NWS Fairbanks, AK

689 
WHAK49 PAFG 041300
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
500 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011

AKZ207-050000-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.S.0001.110905T1400Z-110907T2000Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
500 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...HIGH SURF LIKELY ALONG THE NORTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST
FROM SHISHMAREF WEST BEGINNING MONDAY...

NORTH WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
NORTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST FROM SHISHMAREF WEST MONDAY
THEN INCREASE TO 30 TO 40 MPH MONDAY NIGHT. THESE STRONG WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING
TO DIMINISH SLOWLY ON WEDNESDAY.

THE WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF IN AREAS ALONG THE COAST FROM
SHISHMAREF WEST BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON. IN THE SHISHMAREF
AREA...SEAS TO 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED OFFSHORE. THE WAVES ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH TO 4 TO 6 FEET AS THEY BREAK ONSHORE. MINOR
TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL BE LIKELY IN AREAS ALONG THE COAST
FROM SHISHMAREF WEST...INCLUDING THE VILLAGE OF SHISHMAREF.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE
OPERATING SMALL BOATS. PEOPLE OPERATING SMALL BOATS SHOULD
RETURN TO SHORE BY SUNDAY EVENING...AND PULL BOATS WELL AWAY
FROM THE SHORELINE TO AVOID DAMAGE BY HIGH SURF.

LITTLE OR NO STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED...SO COASTAL FLOODING WILL
BE UNLIKELY.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SURF ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DIMINISH
SLOWLY BEGINNING WEDNESDAY.

$$

AKZ213-050000-
/X.CON.PAFG.CF.S.0001.110905T1400Z-110907T2000Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
500 AM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...HIGH SURF LIKELY ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND
AND LITTLE DIOMEDE ISLAND BEGINNING MONDAY...

NORTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
BERING STRAIT COAST...AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING
TO SLOWLY DIMINISH WEDNESDAY.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE SEAS TO 13 FEET OVER THE NORTHERN
BERING SEA AND THE CHUKCHI SEA. HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED TO BREAK
ONSHORE AT LITTLE DIOMEDE ISLAND AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE VILLAGE OF SAVOONGA. MODERATE TO
MAJOR BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS BEGINNING
MONDAY. IN THE SAVOONGA AREA...THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE
BEACH EROSION WILL BE ALONG THE ROAD TO THE DUMP AND IN THE BOAT
LANDING AND WHALING AREAS. THE BEACH AREA NORTH OF THE VILLAGE OF
GAMBELL WILL ALSO BE VULNERABLE TO HIGH SURF.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL BE EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TO
PEOPLE OPERATING SMALL BOATS. PEOPLE OPERATING SMALL BOATS SHOULD
RETURN TO SHORE BY SUNDAY EVENING...AND PULL BOATS WELL AWAY FROM
THE SHORELINE TO PREVENT DAMAGE BY HIGH SURF.

LITTLE OR NO STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED...SO COASTAL FLOODING WILL
BE UNLIKELY.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SURF ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DIMINISH
GRADUALLY ON WEDNESDAY.

$$

135 
WHAK49 PAFG 042112
CFWAFG

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
112 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH
SURF ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

AKZ207-051400-
/X.CAN.PAFG.CF.S.0001.110905T1400Z-110907T2000Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.SU.Y.0004.110905T1400Z-110908T0000Z/
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG
112 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE NORTH SHORE OF THE SEWARD PENINSULA COAST FROM
  SHISHMAREF WEST AND POINT HOPE

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE BEACH EROSION OR FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS

* TIMING...6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY

NORTH WINDS 25 TO 35 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER POINT HOPE
AND THE NORTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST FROM SHISHMAREF WEST ON
MONDAY...THEN INCREASE TO 30 TO 45 MPH MONDAY NIGHT. THE WIND
WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH WEDNESDAY.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE SEAS TO 12 FEET OVER THE CHUKCHI
SEA. THE WINDS WILL GENERATE HIGH SURF IN AREAS ALONG THE COAST AT
POINT HOPE AND FROM SHISHMAREF WEST BEGINNING MONDAY AFTERNOON.
MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION WILL BE LIKELY AROUND POINT HOPE
AND ALONG THE COAST FROM SHISHMAREF WEST...INCLUDING THE VILLAGE
OF SHISHMAREF.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE
OPERATING SMALL BOATS. PEOPLE OPERATING SMALL BOATS SHOULD RETURN
TO SHORE BY SUNDAY EVENING...AND PULL BOATS WELL AWAY FROM THE
SHORELINE TO AVOID DAMAGE BY HIGH SURF.

LITTLE OR NO STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED...SO COASTAL FLOODING WILL
BE UNLIKELY.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SURF ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DIMINISH
WEDNESDAY. 

*

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

AKZ213-051400-
/X.CAN.PAFG.CF.S.0001.110905T1400Z-110907T2000Z/
/X.NEW.PAFG.SU.Y.0004.110905T1400Z-110908T0000Z/
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-
INCLUDING...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...TELLER...
WALES...DIOMEDE
112 PM AKDT SUN SEP 4 2011

...HIGH SURF ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FAIRBANKS HAS ISSUED A HIGH SURF
ADVISORY...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THE NORTH SHORE OF SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND AND LITTLE
  DIOMEDE

* SURF...HIGH SURF WILL CAUSE BEACH EROSION OR FLOODING OF LOW 
  LYING AREAS

* TIMING...6 AM MONDAY TO 4 PM AKDT WEDNESDAY

NORTH WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE BERING
STRAIT COAST...AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND ON MONDAY. THE WIND WILL
BEGIN TO DIMINISH WEDNESDAY.

THE STRONG WINDS WILL GENERATE SEAS UP TO 14 FEET OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA. HIGH SURF IS EXPECTED TO BREAK ONSHORE AT
LITTLE DIOMEDE AND ALONG THE NORTH SHORE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND.
MODERATE TO MAJOR BEACH EROSION WILL BE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS
BEGINNING MONDAY. 

AT SAVOONGA...THE GREATEST BEACH EROSION WILL BE ALONG THE ROAD
TO THE DUMP AND IN THE BOAT LANDING AND WHALING AREAS. THE BEACH
AREA NORTH OF THE VILLAGE OF GAMBELL WILL ALSO BE HAVE HIGH SURF.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SEAS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO PEOPLE
OPERATING SMALL BOATS. PEOPLE OPERATING SMALL BOATS SHOULD RETURN
TO SHORE BY SUNDAY EVENING...AND PULL BOATS WELL AWAY FROM THE
SHORELINE TO AVOID DAMAGE BY HIGH SURF.

LITTLE OR NO STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED...SO COASTAL FLOODING WILL
BE UNLIKELY.

THE STRONG WINDS AND HIGH SURF ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN TO DIMINISH
WEDNESDAY. 

*

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A HIGH SURF ADVISORY MEANS THAT SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS
EXPECTED. PRECAUTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN TO PROTECT PROPERTY.

&&

$$

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
103 PM AKDT SAT SEP 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
THE MAJOR FORECAST ISSUE TODAY WILL BE INCREASING WINDS AND
SEAS OVER THE WEST COAST MARINE AREAS...AND INCREASING
WINDS OVER NEARBY LAND AREAS.

CURRENT SURFACE AND UPPER PROGS TODAY AGREE WELL OUT THROUGH
00Z WED AND HAVE GOOD CONTINUITY WITH THE CORRESPONDING MODEL
RUNS AVAILABLE YESTERDAY AS WELL AS THE IMMEDIATELY PRECEDING
RUNS. THUS FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THIS SCENARIO IS HIGH.

18Z SYNOPTIC PLOT INDICATES A SURFACE LOW AROUND 1003 MB OVER
THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA...AND THE CURRENT
RUNS OF THE GFS/NAM/EUROPEAN MODELS HAVE PICKED UP THIS FEATURE.
THIS SYSTEM WILL MOVE RAPIDLY EASTWARD WHILE DEEPENING THROUGH
00Z MON. FORECAST POSITION FOR 00Z MON WILL BE NEAR DUTCH HARBOR
WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE 980-982 MB. SUBSTANTIAL FURTHER DEEPENING OF
THE LOW IS EXPECTED THROUGH 00Z TUE AS THE LOW MOVES INTO THE
NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO BE AROUND 200
MILES SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND BY 00Z TUE WITH CENTRAL PRESSURE
955-960 MB.

ALOFT...WEAK UPPER LOW DEVELOPING TODAY WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND
WILL MOVE SOUTHEAST AND DEEPEN RAPIDLY...REINFORCED BY A SHORT
WAVE IMPULSE MOVING RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHERN PACIFIC.
500 MB HEIGHTS IN THE UPPER LOW DROPPING TO TYPICAL MID-WINTER
VALUES BY 12Z MON AS THE CENTER DIVES SOUTHEASTWARD TO ABOUT 500
MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF KODIAK. LONG WAVE TROUGH POSITION WILL BE
MAINTAINED OVER THE ALASKA MAINLAND WELL INTO NEXT WEEK.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...
NORTHERLY GALES TO 40-50 MPH EXPECTED TO BEGIN OVER
PKZ210-PKZ220-AKZ213 EARLY MON. SEAS TO 11-13 FEET DEVELOPING IN
PKZ210...AND IN PKZ220 AND THE BERING STRAIT AREA...BY MON
AFTERNOON. WAVES MAY DECREASE SOME AS THEY BREAK ONSHORE ALONG
THE NORTH SHORE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...BUT WILL STILL BE HIGH.
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION IS LIKELY IN AREAS ALONG THE NORTH
FACING SHORE OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND...INCLUDING THE VILLAGE OF
SAVOONGA. AT SAVOONGA...THE AREAS MOST LIKELY TO EXPERIENCE BEACH
EROSION WILL LIKELY BE ALONG THE ROAD TO THE DUMP AND NEAR THE
BOAT LANDING AND WHALING AREA. HIGH SEAS TO 11-13 FEET MAY PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AT LITTLE DIOMEDE BEGINNING MON. LITTLE
OR NO STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED SO THE THREAT OF COASTAL FLOODING
WILL BE MINIMAL AT LITTLE DIOMEDE OR ON THE NORTH SHORE OF ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND.

ALONG THE NORTHERN COAST OF THE SEWARD PENINSULA FROM SHISMAREF
WEST...NORTH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 30-40 MPH MON...
PRODUCING SEAS 9 TO 11 FEET OFFSHORE. AT SHISMAREF...WAVES TO
AROUND 9 FEET ARE EXPECTED OFFSHORE...DIMINISHING TO AROUND 4 TO 6
FEET AS THEY BREAK ONSHORE. MINOR TO MODERATE BEACH EROSION IS
POSSIBLE AT SHISMAREF...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO BE LESS SEVERE THAN
AT SAVOONGA OR LITTLE DIOMEDE. COASTAL FLOODING IS UNLIKELY AT
SHISHMAREF WITH LITTLE OR NO STORM SURGE EXPECTED.

STRONG WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN DIMINISHING WED.

COASTAL HAZARD MESSAGE WILL BE ISSUED LATER TODAY.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN PARTS OF THE INTERIOR THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING AND AGAIN SUN AFTERNOON/EVENING.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

RF SEP 11