Brisk Wind Advisory 179, NWS Fairbanks, AK

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
611 AM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

.DISCUSSION...

MODELS IN SOMEWHAT DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. ANOTHER STORM
IS BREWING IN THE WESTERN BERING. ENERGY WILL TRANSFER INTO THE
BERING AND A 970 LOW WILL DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LOW
WILL DEPOSIT COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE FROM THE BERING STRAIT
COAST SOUTHWARD. ALONG WITH THE SNOW WILL BE STRONG WINDS THAT
WILL LIKELY CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG MANY OF THE COASTAL
AREAS AND IN PARTICULAR ZONE 213. WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR ZONE 214 AND WATCHES FOR 215 216 AND 211. UPGRADES
TO THESE WATCHES LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON.

WINDS ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC. ALTHOUGH A BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR ZONE 245 IT IS HAVING PROBLEMS GETTING THE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS THAT WERE EXPECTED THUS FAR BUT WILL CONTINUE TO LEAVE
IT OUT WHILE THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD SLIGHTLY.

WINDS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY BUT THE WINDS AT VALLEY LEVEL ARE NOT REALLY HAMPERING
ANYTHING AT THE MOMENT. WINDS ON THE SUMMITS ARE A BIT STRONGER AND
WILL LIKELY BE SEEING GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW.

ANOTHER CHINOOK IS ON TAP FOR THE ALASKA RANGE ON WEDNESDAY AS THE
LOW RAMPS UP ALONG THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA AND STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS DEVELOP AGAIN.

SNOW MAY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR ON THURSDAY AND
AS IT STANDS AT THE MOMENT...THE FLOW WILL NOT BE AS SOUTHERLY AS
THE PAST SYSTEM.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ214.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ204-AKZ206-AKZ213.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ215-AKZ216.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215.
&&

JK DEC 11

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
1200 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

AKZ207>217-227-072100-
CHUKCHI SEA COAST-LOWER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-
BALDWIN PENINSULA AND SELAWIK VALLEY-
NORTHERN AND INTERIOR SEWARD PENINSULA-
SOUTHERN SEWARD PENINSULA COAST-
EASTERN NORTON SOUND AND NULATO HILLS-
ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND BERING STRAIT COAST-YUKON DELTA-
LOWER YUKON VALLEY-LOWER KOYUKUK AND MIDDLE YUKON VALLEYS-
UPPER KOBUK AND NOATAK VALLEYS-UPPER KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...POINT HOPE...SHISHMAREF...KIVALINA...ESPENBERG...
NOATAK...KIANA...RED DOG MINE...KOTZEBUE...SELAWIK...NOORVIK...
BUCKLAND...DEERING...CANDLE...COUNCIL...HAYCOCK...
PILGRIM SPRINGS...SERPENTINE HOT SPRINGS...TAYLOR...NOME...
WHITE MOUNTAIN...GOLOVIN...UNALAKLEET...STEBBINS...ST MICHAEL...
ELIM...KOYUK...SHAKTOOLIK...GAMBELL...SAVOONGA...BREVIG MISSION...
TELLER...WALES...DIOMEDE...MOUNTAIN VILLAGE...EMMONAK...
ALAKANUK...KOTLIK...PILOT STATION...ST MARYS...SCAMMON BAY...
MARSHALL...NUNAM IQUA...PITKAS POINT...RUSSIAN MISSION...
GRAYLING...HOLY CROSS...SHAGELUK...ANVIK...FLAT...GALENA...
NULATO...HUSLIA...KALTAG...RUBY...KOYUKUK...AMBLER...SHUNGNAK...
KOBUK...MCGRATH...NIKOLAI...TAKOTNA...FAREWELL LAKE
1200 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

...ANOTHER STRONG STORM IMPACTING THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA...

A 968 MB LOW NEAR AMCHITKA ISLAND WILL MOVE INTO THE BERING SEA
TODAY THEN CONTINUE NORTH TO NEAR ST LAWRENCE ISLAND BY THURSDAY
MORNING AS IT WEAKENS TO 978 MB.

BLIZZARD AND WINTER STORM WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED.

WINDS HAVE ALREADY INCREASED ON ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND IN THE
LOWER YUKON VALLEY. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON WITH BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ON ST LAWRENCE ISLAND GRADUALLY
MOVING INTO COASTAL AREAS AND THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENTUALLY
WORKING NORTH TONIGHT THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT.

IN THE LOWER YUKON VALLEY FROM ANVIK SOUTH...NEAR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS DEVELOPING TODAY...THEN A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN
WEDNESDAY DURING THE DAY AS WARM AIR IS PULLED NORTH BY THE STORM.
SNOW ACCUMULATION OF UP TO 1 FOOT POSSIBLE BY FRIDAY. PEAK WINDS
TONIGHT WILL BE NEAR 50 MPH.

NORTH OF ANVIK IN THE MIDDLE YUKON VALLEY NORTH TO THE BROOKS
RANGE...SNOW WILL BEGIN TODAY CONTINUING INTO FRIDAY. THE SNOW
WILL BE HEAVY AT TIMES AND AROUND 1 FOOT CAN BE EXPECTED...WITH
THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS IN AND AROUND THE NULATO HILLS AND THE SOUTH
SLOPES OF THE BROOKS RANGE...BY FRIDAY.

ON THE SEWARD PENINSULA...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DEVELOPING
TONIGHT WITH SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO A FOOT THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. PEAK WINDS TONIGHT WILL BE NEAR 50 MPH.

ST LAWRENCE ISLAND AND THE BERING STRAIT COAST INCLUDING LITTLE
DIOMEDE...WINDS GUSTING TO NEAR 60 MPH THROUGH TONIGHT. BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS WITH VISIBILITY NEAR ZERO WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
WEDNESDAY MORNING IMPROVING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS
OF UP TO ONE FOOT POSSIBLE THROUGH FRIDAY.

KOTZEBUE SOUND AND VICINITY...NEAR BLIZZARD CONDITIONS DEVELOPING
WEDNESDAY MORNING CONTINUING INTO THURSDAY. SNOWFALL AMOUNTS UP
TO ONE FOOT BY FRIDAY. PEAK WINDS OF 45 MPH WILL OCCUR WEDNESDAY
MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.

THIS STORM WILL BRING DANGEROUS CONDITIONS TO THE AREA...TRAVEL
WILL BECOME DIFFICULT AS HEAVY DRIFTING OF SNOW OCCURS AND
VISIBILITY IS REDUCED BY BLOWING SNOW. EXTREME CAUTION SHOULD BE
USED IF TRAVEL IS REQUIRED.

FOR THE MOST UP TO DATE INFORMATION GO TO

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FAIRBANKS.