Brisk Wind Advisory 178, NWS Fairbanks, AK

913 
FZAK51 PAFG 062257
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
157 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-071400-
157 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A 974 MB LOW IN THE FAR WESTERN ALEUTIANS WILL SPAWN A 976 MB LOW
IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA TUE EVENING. THIS NEW LOW WILL DEEPEN
INITIALLY TO 971 MB AND THEN MOVE NORTH TO 100 NM WEST OF SAINT
LAWRENCE ISLAND BY THU MORNING AT 982 MB. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER
FRONT WILL MOVE OVER THE EASTERN ARCTIC COAST BY WED AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ225-071400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
157 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. SNOW.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN...SE WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-071400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
157 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 40 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 40 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-071400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
157 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-071400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
157 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 15 KT BECOMING E. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-071400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
157 PM AKST TUE DEC 6 2011

.TONIGHT...W WINDS 20 KT. 
.WED...S WINDS 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SAT...W WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

CF/JM DEC 11

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
339 PM AKST MON DEC 5 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS IN SOMEWHAT DECENT AGREEMENT THROUGH 48 HOURS. STRONG
WESTERLY FLOW OVER THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE STATE WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH TUESDAY BEFORE THE NEXT BERING SEA LOW COMES CRASHING INTO
THE WEST COAST WITH ITS FRONTAL ATTACK. THIS WILL BE MUCH OF THE
SAME SORT OF SCENARIO AS SUCH THAT JUST PLAYED OUT.

EXPECT COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE TO BE DEPOSITED IN THE WEST
COAST ZONES WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS FROM THE BERING STRAIT COAST
SOUTHWARD. ALONG WITH THE SNOW WILL BE STRONG WINDS THAT WILL
LIKELY CAUSE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS ALONG MANY OF THE COASTAL AREAS
AND IN PARTICULAR ZONE 213.

WINDS ALONG THE ARCTIC COAST WILL CONTINUE TO SUBSIDE WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE EASTERN ARCTIC. ALTHOUGH A BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN
EFFECT FOR ZONE 245 IT IS HAVING PROBLEMS GETTING THE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS THAT WERE EXPECTED THUS FAR BUT WILL CONTINUE TO LEAVE
IT OUT WHILE THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BUILD SLIGHTLY.

WINDS OVER HIGHER TERRAIN IN THE INTERIOR WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
TUESDAY BUT THE WINDS AT VALLEY LEVEL ARE NOT REALLY HAMPERING
ANYTHING AT THE MOMENT. WINDS ON THE SUMMITS ARE A BIT STRONGER AND
WILL LIKELY BE SEEING GREATLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW.

SNOW MAY SPREAD EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL INTERIOR ON THURSDAY AND
AS IT STANDS AT THE MOMENT...THE FLOW WILL NOT BE AS SOUTHERLY AS
THE PAST SYSTEM.

COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL DAYS 3 AND 4...NONE

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ207-AKZ208-AKZ220-AKZ222-AKZ223-
AKZ224.

WINTER STORM WARNING FOR AKZ214.

BLIZZARD WARNING FOR AKZ204-AKZ206-AKZ213.

WINTER STORM WATCH FOR AKZ211-AKZ212-AKZ215-AKZ216.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ240-PKZ245.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ220.
&&

CF DEC 11