Winter Storm Warning 4, NWS Anchorage, AK

611 
WWAK41 PAFC 291848
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
948 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

AKZ131-300800-
/X.EXB.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.111130T0900Z-111201T0100Z/
/X.EXB.PAFC.WS.W.0004.111130T0900Z-111130T2100Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
948 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM AKST
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THOMPSON PASS...

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO NOON AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO NOON AKST WEDNESDAY. A BLIZZARD WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN
ISSUED. THIS BLIZZARD WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THOMPSON PASS. HEAVY SNOW FOR
  THE ENTIRE ZONE.

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION 18 TO 30 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* WIND...EAST WIND INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH THROUGH THOMPSON
  PASS AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND PERSISTING THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL DEVELOP LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
  AND THEN BECOME HEAVY DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. HEAVY SNOW
  WILL PERSIST THROUGH MID-DAY WEDNESDAY AND THEN GRADUALLY
  DIMINISH IN INTENSITY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS
  WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THOMPSON PASS BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT
  TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. DRIVING WILL BE DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ125-300800-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.111130T0300Z-111130T1200Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
948 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO
3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY.

* SNOW...2 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCAL ACCUMULATION UP TO 10 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO ONE QUARTER MILE OR LESS.

* WIND...EAST 40 TO 55 MPH.

* TIMING...THIS EVENING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW WILL
  PRODUCE WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS. DRIVING WILL BE DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ145-300800-
/X.CON.PAFC.WS.W.0004.111130T0300Z-111201T0600Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
948 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6
PM THIS EVENING TO 9 PM AKST WEDNESDAY NORTH AND WEST OF
TALKEETNA...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING
TO 9 PM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...NORTH AND WEST OF TALKEETNA.

* SNOW...8 TO 16 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY THIS 
  EVENING AND BE HEAVY AT TIMES THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SNOW SHOULD 
  DIMINISH LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE SEVERELY
  LIMITED IN HEAVY SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM MEANS THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOW...
THAT MAY IMPACT TRAVEL. PEOPLE ARE ENCOURAGED TO CLOSELY MONITOR
THIS WEATHER SITUATION. PREPARATION FOR THIS POTENTIALLY
DANGEROUS WEATHER EVENT SHOULD BEGIN NOW.

&&

$$

AKZ121-300800-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0029.111130T0100Z-111130T0900Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
948 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM
THIS AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT SOUTH OF NINILCHIK...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS
AFTERNOON TO MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...SOUTH OF NINILCHIK.

* SNOW...4 TO 8 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE HEAVY AT
  TIMES INTO LATE TUESDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY BECOME MIXED WITH RAIN
  BEFORE IT COMES TO AN END AROUND MIDNIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED IN
  HEAVY SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

AKZ141-300800-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0030.111130T0900Z-111201T0000Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...
PAXSON...SLANA
948 AM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM AKST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 3 PM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THROUGHOUT THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ALTHOUGH HEAVIEST
  AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AS WELL AS SOUTH OF
  COPPER CENTER.

* SNOW...3 TO 9 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE TONIGHT ALONG THE MOUNTAINS AND 
  SPREAD THROUGHOUT THE VALLEY WEDNESDAY. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT. VISIBILITIES WILL BE LIMITED IN
  HEAVY SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

129 
WWAK41 PAFC 300128
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
428 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

AKZ131-301545-
/X.EXT.PAFC.WS.W.0004.111130T0900Z-111201T0500Z/
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.111130T0900Z-111201T0100Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
428 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4
PM AKST WEDNESDAY FOR THOMPSON PASS...

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW NOW IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 8 PM AKST WEDNESDAY...

THE BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 4 PM
AKST WEDNESDAY. THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IS NOW IN
EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 8 PM AKST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THOMPSON PASS. HEAVY SNOW FOR 
  THE ENTIRE ZONE. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION 18 TO 30 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* WIND...EAST WIND INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH THROUGH THOMPSON
  PASS AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY DURING THE OVERNIGHT
  HOURS. HEAVY SNOW WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
  EVENING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THOMPSON PASS
  BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. IN ADDITION SIGNIFICANT
  AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND
WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AKZ145-301545-
/X.EXT.PAFC.WS.W.0004.111130T0300Z-111130T1900Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
428 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM
AKST WEDNESDAY FOR NORTH AND WEST OF TALKEETNA...

THE WINTER STORM WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM AKST
WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...NORTH AND WEST OF TALKEETNA.

* SNOW...8 TO 13 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES THIS EVENING BEFORE
  DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...AND
WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AKZ125-301200-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.111130T0300Z-111130T1200Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
428 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY
FOR PORTAGE VALLEY AND TURNAGAIN ARM...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY.

* SNOW...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

* WIND...EAST 30 TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE THIS EVENING...THEN
  IMPROVE TOWARDS MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW
  WILL PRODUCE NEAR WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BE
  DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ121-300900-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-111130T0900Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
428 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT SOUTH OF NINILCHIK...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...SOUTH OF NINILCHIK.

* SNOW...4 TO 7 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND CONTINUE HEAVY 
  AT TIMES INTO LATE TUESDAY EVENING. SNOW MAY BECOME MIXED WITH 
  RAIN BEFORE IT COMES TO AN END AROUND MIDNIGHT. 

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
  HEAVY SNOWFALL

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

AKZ141-301545-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0030.111130T0900Z-111201T0000Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...
PAXSON...SLANA
428 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM
MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 3 PM AKST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT
TO 3 PM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...THROUGHOUT THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ALTHOUGH HEAVIEST 
  AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AS WELL AS SOUTH OF 
  COPPER CENTER. 

* SNOW...4 TO 9 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL BEGIN LATE THIS EVENING SOUTH OF GLENNALLEN
  AND SPREAD NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO
  HEAVY SNOWFALL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

JAM

277 
WWAK41 PAFC 300720
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1020 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

AKZ121-300830-
/X.CAN.PAFC.WW.Y.0029.000000T0000Z-111130T0900Z/
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...
COOPER LANDING
1020 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY. 

SNOW IS ENDING FROM SOUTH TO NORTH. SNOW HAS CHANGED OVER TO RAIN
SHOWERS AROUND KACHEMAK BAY.

$$

AKZ131-302030-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.111130T0900Z-111201T0100Z/
/X.CON.PAFC.WS.W.0004.111130T0900Z-111201T0500Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
1020 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY
FOR THOMPSON PASS... 
...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8
PM AKST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKST
WEDNESDAY. A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST
WEDNESDAY FOR THOMPSON PASS. 

THE BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST WEDNESDAY.
THE WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
AKST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THOMPSON PASS. HEAVY SNOW FOR 
  THE ENTIRE ZONE. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION 18 TO 30 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* WIND...EAST WIND INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH THROUGH THOMPSON 
  PASS AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND THEN DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY 
  AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...LIGHT SNOW WILL BECOME HEAVY DURING THE OVERNIGHT 
  HOURS. HEAVY SNOW WILL THEN PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY 
  EVENING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH THOMPSON 
  PASS BEGINNING AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH 
  WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. 

* IMPACTS...WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. IN ADDITION 
  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AKZ125-301200-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.000000T0000Z-111130T1200Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
1020 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY
FOR PORTAGE VALLEY AND TURNAGAIN ARM...

A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY. 

* LOCATION...EASTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY.

* SNOW...6 TO 10 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE.

* WIND...EAST 30 TO 45 MPH.

* TIMING...THROUGH 3 AM AKST WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...SNOWFALL COMBINED WITH STRONG WINDS AND BLOWING SNOW 
  WILL PRODUCE NEAR WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS. TRAVEL WILL BE 
  DANGEROUS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

&&

$$

AKZ145-301900-
/X.CON.PAFC.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111130T1900Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
1020 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM AKST WEDNESDAY NORTH AND WEST OF TALKEETNA...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM AKST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...NORTH AND WEST OF TALKEETNA.

* SNOW...8 TO 13 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...CONTINUING BEFORE DIMINISHING
  IN INTENSITY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AKZ141-302030-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0030.111130T0900Z-111201T0000Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...
PAXSON...SLANA
1020 PM AKST TUE NOV 29 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
AKST WEDNESDAY...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
AKST WEDNESDAY.

* LOCATION...THROUGHOUT THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ALTHOUGH HEAVIEST 
  AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AS WELL AS SOUTH OF 
  COPPER CENTER. 

* SNOW...4 TO 9 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL SPREAD SOUTH TO NORTH DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.
  SNOW WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO 
  HEAVY SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

189 
WWAK41 PAFC 300954
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1254 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

AKZ125-301100-
/X.CAN.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.000000T0000Z-111130T1200Z/
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...
MOOSE PASS
1254 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE
BLIZZARD WARNING. 

MODERATE SNOW HAS TAPERED OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS AND VISIBILITIES
HAVE IMPROVED. WINDS THROUGH TURNAGAIN ARM AND PORTAGE VALLEY
WILL DIMINISH TO 15 TO 35 MPH THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS.

$$

AKZ131-302300-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.000000T0000Z-111201T0100Z/
/X.CON.PAFC.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111201T0500Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
1254 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS
AFTERNOON FOR THOMPSON PASS...
...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8
PM AKST THIS EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM AKST THIS
EVENING. A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST
THIS AFTERNOON FOR THOMPSON PASS. 

* LOCATION...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THOMPSON PASS. HEAVY SNOW FOR 
  THE ENTIRE ZONE. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION 18 TO 30 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* WIND...EAST WIND INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH THROUGH THOMPSON
  PASS DIMINISHING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY
  EVENING. BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THOMPSON PASS
  UNTIL LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. IN ADDITION 
  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AKZ145-301900-
/X.CON.PAFC.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111130T1900Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
1254 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM AKST THIS MORNING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10
AM AKST THIS MORNING.

* LOCATION...NORTH AND WEST OF TALKEETNA.

* SNOW...8 TO 13 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...DIMINISHING IN INTENSITY BY LATE
  WEDNESDAY MORNING.

* IMPACTS...HEAVY SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AKZ141-302300-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111201T0000Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...
PAXSON...SLANA
1254 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
AKST THIS AFTERNOON...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 PM
AKST THIS AFTERNOON.

* LOCATION...THROUGHOUT THE COPPER RIVER BASIN ALTHOUGH HEAVIEST 
  AMOUNTS WILL BE ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AS WELL AS SOUTH OF 
  COPPER CENTER. 

* SNOW...4 TO 9 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW...LOCALLY HEAVY AT TIMES...TAPERING OFF WEDNESDAY
  AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO 
  HEAVY SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

111 
WWAK41 PAFC 301355
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
455 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

AKZ145-301500-
/X.CAN.PAFC.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111130T1900Z/
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...TALKEETNA...WILLOW...CANTWELL
455 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE
WINTER STORM WARNING. 

STEADY SNOW HAS TAPERED TO SNOW SHOWERS. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 2 INCHES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.

$$

AKZ131-010300-
/X.CON.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.000000T0000Z-111201T0100Z/
/X.CON.PAFC.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111201T0500Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
455 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM AKST THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR THOMPSON PASS... 
...WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8
PM AKST THIS EVENING...

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM
AKST THIS EVENING. A BLIZZARD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM
AKST THIS AFTERNOON FOR THOMPSON PASS.

* LOCATION...BLIZZARD WARNING FOR THOMPSON PASS. HEAVY SNOW FOR 
  THE ENTIRE ZONE. 

* SNOW...STORM TOTAL ACCUMULATION 18 TO 30 INCHES.

* VISIBILITY...REDUCED TO NEAR ZERO AT TIMES.

* WIND...EAST WIND INCREASING TO 30 TO 45 MPH THROUGH THOMPSON 
  PASS DIMINISHING THIS AFTERNOON. 

* TIMING...HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.
  BLIZZARD CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THOMPSON PASS UNTIL
  LATE THIS AFTERNOON.

* IMPACTS...WHITE-OUT CONDITIONS AT TIMES. IN ADDITION 
  SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A BLIZZARD WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. FALLING AND BLOWING SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS
AND POOR VISIBILITIES ARE LIKELY. THIS WILL LEAD TO WHITE-OUT
CONDITIONS...MAKING TRAVEL EXTREMELY DANGEROUS. ALL TRAVEL AND
OUTDOOR ACTIVITY IS STRONGLY DISCOURAGED.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW
ARE FORECAST THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN
EMERGENCY. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL...KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT...FOOD...
AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

&&

$$

AKZ141-010300-
/X.EXT.PAFC.WW.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111201T0900Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...
PAXSON...SLANA
455 AM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT
AKST TONIGHT...

THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT.

* LOCATION...THROUGHOUT THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...WITH HEAVIEST
  AMOUNTS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTH OF COPPER CENTER.

* SNOW...AN ADDITIONAL 5 TO 12 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW...HEAVY AT TIMES...ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST BY
  MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO 
  HEAVY SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

342 
WWAK41 PAFC 010059
WSWAER

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
359 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

AKZ131-010200-
/X.CAN.PAFC.BZ.W.0041.000000T0000Z-111201T0100Z/
/X.CAN.PAFC.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-111201T0500Z/
NORTHEAST PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VALDEZ...THOMPSON PASS
359 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...BLIZZARD WARNING IS CANCELLED...

...WINTER STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ANCHORAGE HAS CANCELLED THE
BLIZZARD WARNING. THE WINTER STORM WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED. 

SNOW INTENSITY HAS DIMINISHED ACROSS EASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND...WITH RAIN BEGINNING TO MIX IN AT TIMES THIS EVENING. IN
ADDTION...WINDS HAVE BEEN SLOWLY DIMINISHING THROUGH THOMPSON
PASS...ENDING THE THREAT OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. LIGHTER INTENSITY
SNOW WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING TO SNOW SHOWERS THURSDAY.

$$

AKZ141-010900-
/X.CON.PAFC.WW.Y.0030.000000T0000Z-111201T0900Z/
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...
PAXSON...SLANA
359 PM AKST WED NOV 30 2011

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
MIDNIGHT AKST TONIGHT...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT AKST
TONIGHT. 

* LOCATION...THROUGHOUT THE COPPER RIVER BASIN...WITH HEAVIEST 
  AMOUNTS ALONG THE ALASKA RANGE AND SOUTH OF COPPER CENTER. 

* SNOW...ADDITONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 5 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL WILL BE DIFFICULT IN PERIODS OF MODERATE TO 
  HEAVY SNOWFALL. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS OF SNOW
WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR SNOW
COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION WHILE
DRIVING.

&&

$$

JAM

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKST MON NOV 28 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A PROGRESSIVE HEMISPHERIC PATTERN IS
IN PLACE WITH A LONG-WAVE TROUGH ENCOMPASSING ALL OF THE ALASKA
REGION AND A FAIRLY STRONG WESTERLY JET ACROSS THE NORTH PACIFIC.
CONDITIONS ARE FAIRLY QUIET ACROSS THE REGION AT THE MOMENT. A WEAK
LOW NEAR CAPE SUCKLING IS HEADED INLAND ACROSS THE EASTERN COPPER
RIVER BASIN. A WEAK SHORT-WAVE TROUGH IS EXITING SOUTHWEST ALASKA
AND ENTERING COOK INLET AND THE WESTERN GULF. KENAI RADAR SHOWS
SOME WEAK RETURNS BEGINNING TO SHOW UP OVER THE SOUTHERN INLET.
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW OVER THE CENTRAL BERING IS SINKING
SOUTHWARD AND WILL BE ABSORBED BY THE DEVELOPING NORTH PACIFIC
LOW TONIGHT. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NORTH PACIFIC LOW RAPIDLY
DEEPENING WHICH IS BEGINNING TO AMPLIFY THE UPPER PATTERN. THIS
IN TURN WILL CAUSE THE LOW TO CURVE NORTHWARD AND BECOME THE MAJOR
WEATHER MAKER ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THE 12Z NAM IS A BIT OF AN OUTLIER WITH TRACK
OF PACIFIC LOW AS IT MOVES TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA ON WEDNESDAY ALONG
WITH TRACK OF FRONTAL WAVE TO SOUTHCENTRAL ON WEDNESDAY. THE 18Z
NAM IS COMING IN AND APPEARS TO BE TRENDING TOWARD THE REST OF THE
MODELS...BUT IS STILL A LITTLE FURTHR WEST. THE TRACK OF THE FRONTAL
WAVE IS ESPECIALLY IMPORTANT TO WIND AND PRECIPITATION FORECASTS
ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA AND IS THE AREA OF BIGGEST FORECAST
UNCERTAINTY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. FOR NOW WILL TREND HEAVILY
TOWARD THE 12Z GFS SOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EXPECT SOME LIGHT SNOWFALL AHEAD OF THE UPPER
LEVEL SHORT-WAVE AS IT CROSSES SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT. SNOWFALL
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE VERY LIGHT...GENERALLY FROM A DUSTING TO AN INCH
WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE ALONG SOUTH TO WEST SLOPING FACES
OF THE MOUNTAINS WITH WEAK UPSLOPE FLOW. THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK
BETWEEN THIS TROUGH AND THE AFFECTS OF THE MAJOR STORM HEADED TOWARD
SOUTHWEST ALASKA. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO DETERIORATE ACROSS THE GULF
AND SOUTHCENTRAL TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT. AS HAS BEEN
ADVERTISED EXPECT A LONG FETCH OF MOISTURE ALONG WITH STRONG DYNAMICS
TO PRODUCE HEAVY PRECIPITATION....ESPECIALLY IN THE PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND REGION AND SUSITNA VALLEY. THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRAJECTORY OF
LOW LEVEL FLOW IS NOT FAVORABLE FOR HEAVY SNOW ACCUMULATION OVER
THE INTERIOR KENAI PENINSULA. HOWEVER...WITH AN INCREASING PRESSURE
GRADIENT EXPECT WINDS TO PICK UP THROUGH PORTAGE VALLEY AND TURNAGAIN
ARM WHICH COULD RESULT IN A BLIZZARD BEFORE WARMER AIR ARRIVES ON
WEDNESDAY. SOUTHERLY FLOW IS VERY FAVORABLE FOR THE SUSITNA VALLEY
AND PLAN TO ISSUE A HEAVY SNOW WATCH WITH THE AFTERNOON PACKAGE.
THE MORE SOUTHERLY TRAJECTORY COMPLICATES THE PRECIPITATION FORECAST
OVER THE WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND ANCHORAGE BECAUSE THERE WON'T
BE NEARLY AS MUCH DOWNSLOPE DRYING AS IS TYPICAL WITH A MORE EASTERLY
WIND. IN FACT...IN THESE SCENARIOS THERE CAN BE QUITE A BIT OF QPF
IN THE KACHEMAK BAY AREA AS WELL AS ALONG THE INLET. WILL CONSIDER
ISSUING A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW FOR THIS AREA.

PRECIPITATION AND WIND WILL BE RE-INFORCED ON WEDNESDAY AS A WAVE
MOVES UP THE FRONT TO SOUTHCENTRAL. THERE IS GREAT UNCERTAINTY IN
THE FRONTAL POSITION AND TRACK OF THE WAVE. IF IT WERE TO TRACK WEST
OF ANCHORAGE THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR HIGH WINDS ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM
AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS WITH SOME WIND MAKING IT DOWN TO THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL AS WELL. THIS WOULD ALSO RESULT IN SIGNIFICANT WARMING OF
TEMPERATURES. MOST OF THE COMPUTER MODELS ARE NOW LEANING TOWARD
TRACKING THIS WAVE TOWARD PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND WHICH MEANS A LOT
LESS WIND FOR TURNAGAIN ARM AND ANCHORAGE AND LESS INTRUSION OF
WARM AIR. WILL GO WITH THE LESS WINDY SCENARIO AND ADJUST FORECAST
ACCORDINGLY ONCE MODELS LOCK IN ON THIS FEATURE.

NO MATTER WHERE THE FRONTAL WAVE TRACKS THE FRONT ITSELF WILL STILL
CROSS SOUTHCENTRAL DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY GIVING EVERYONE A SHOT
OF SNOW. AS THE FRONT REACHES THE VALDEZ AREA AND FLOW BEGINS TO
COME AROUND MORE TOWARD THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST THERE IS GOOD
POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY SNOW IN VALDEZ ALONG WITH A BLIZZARD THROUGH
THOMPSON PASS. STILL TOO EARLY TO ISSUE ANYTHING FOR THERE...BUT
WILL LIKELY ISSUE SOMETHING WITH TOMORROW MORNING'S FORECAST PACKAGE.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY IN THE EXACT
TRACK OF THE PACIFIC LOW AS IT MOVES TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TUESDAY
NIGHT. HOWEVER...BASED ON THE AVERAGE POSITION OF THE DIFFERENT
MODELS FEEL CONFIDENT THAT THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL REMAIN ON THE
COLD SIDE OF THE LOW AND WILL EXPERIENCE BLIZZARD CONDITIONS.
THE FORECAST ACROSS THE BRISTOL BAY REGION WILL BE MUCH MORE
VARIED AND COMPLICATED WITH THE LOW TRACKING RIGHT THROUGH IT.
WITH ARCTIC AIR MASS IN PLACE WHEN SNOW FIRST ARRIVES TUESDAY
AFTERNOON EXPECT A SHORT PERIOD OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS NORTH AND
WEST OF KING SALMON. ENOUGH WARM AIR SHOULD ARRIVE BY EVENING TO
WARM UP TEMPERATURES AND IMPROVE VISIBILITIES. AREAS NORTH AND WEST
OF DILLINGHAM WILL LIKELY REMAIN ALL SNOW WHILE EAST OF THERE COULD
SEE A PERIOD OF FREEZING RAIN OR A COMPLETE CHANGEOVER TO RAIN. WILL
ISSUE A BLIZZARD WARNING...BUT HIGHLIGHT THE OTHER IMPACTS IN THE
FORECAST AND OVERVIEW PORTION OF THE BLIZZARD STATEMENT. ARCTIC AIR
WILL QUICKLY MOVE BACK IN AS THE LOW HEADS INLAND WEDNESDAY AND
CHANGE ANY REMAINING PRECIPITATION BACK TO SNOW.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...PACIFIC LOW WILL POSE MAINLY A WIND THREAT
ACROSS THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS/ALASKA PENINSULA/EASTERN BERING SEA AS
IT MOVES THROUGH. AIR WILL BE WARM ENOUGH THAT PRECIPITATION WILL
FALL AS RAIN. A SERIES OF WEAKER SYSTEMS WILL THEN AFFECT THE
ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA THROUGH MID TO LATE IN THE WEEK AS A MUCH
MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN PUSHES THE JET WELL SOUTH OF THIS REGION.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MEDIUM RANGE MODELS AGREE ON FURTHER
AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN AS WE HEAD THROUGH DAYS
4 THROUGH 7. A STRONG RIDGE WILL BUILD FROM THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC
TO THE YUKON WITH A CORRESPONDINGLY AMPLIFIED TROUGH FROM THE BERING
SEA TO NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC. THIS WILL SET UP A STORM TRACK FROM
THE PACIFIC NORTHWARD ACROSS WESTERN ALASKA. AREAS EAST OF HERE WILL
LIKELY SEE A SIGNIFICANT WARM-UP WHILE THE CENTRAL TO WESTERN BERING
WILL REMAIN ON THE COLD SIDE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...155.
         GALE WARNING 120 130 132 150 160 165 170 171 172 175 176
                      179 180 185.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING 179 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 11