Alert archive / Alaska / Storm Warnings in 2011

Storm Warning 167, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 24, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this storm warning at Oct 24, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Oct 24, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Oct 25, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

501 
FZAK52 PAFC 242334
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-251500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 982 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO 966 MB
LATE TONIGHT NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF KODIAK ISLAND...THEN WEAKENS TO
988 MB AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE NORTHEASTERN GULF. A 977 MB LOW 70 NM
SOUTHWEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM MOVES TO NEAR PORT HEIDEN AND MERGES WITH
THE DEVELOPING LOW. A 995 MB LOW DEVELOPS LATE TONIGHT 300 NM NORTH
OF SHEMYA AND MOVES TO 90 NM NORTHWEST OF PORT HEIDEN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ150-251500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 55 KT...GUSTING TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 50 KT GUSTING TO 60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES...DIMINISHING TO W 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-251500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF
BAYS AND PASSES AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...W WIND
30 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 55 KT GUSTING TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND
PASSES...DIMINISHING TO W 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-251500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-251500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 23
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-251500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS EVENING. SEAS 11 
FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-251500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT LATE THIS EVENING.
BERING SIDE...SEAS 23 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. BERING
SIDE...SEAS 23 FT SUBSIDING TO 16 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. PACIFIC
SIDE...SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-251500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT 
LATE THIS EVENING. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT GUSTING TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 25 KT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-251500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-251500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. BERING SIDE...SEAS BUILDING TO 18 FT.
PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-251500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-251500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT...DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TUE...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 25 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...NE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO
25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-251500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT DEVELOPING LATE THIS
EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

JAM
2 follow-up statements
555 
FZAK52 PAFC 251202
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-260300-
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 965 MB LOW 50 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE INTO THE GULF
TODAY. A 998 MB LOW NEAR 300 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL BECOME A 988 MB
LOW 40 NM WEST OF PILOT POINT WED AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK
CITY WED NIGHT AT 988 MB. A 990 MB LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
WED MORNING WILL STRENGTHEN TO 979 MB 150 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WED
NIGHT.


$$

PKZ150-260300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES
DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-260300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-260300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT BY NOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-260300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING
TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-260300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-260300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT BECOMING W 40 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT BERING SIDE...14 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-260300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-260300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-260300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-260300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14
FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13
FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-260300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING N
25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-260300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$
698 
FZAK52 PAFC 252343
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-261500-
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 987 MB LOW 380 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTHWEST OF
KODIAK CITY THURSDAY MORNING AT 993 MB. A 978 MB LOW MOVES TO 280 NM
WEST OF SHEMYA WEDNESDAY EVENING...THEN MOVES TO 300 NM NORTHEAST OF
SHEMYA THURSDAY AFTERNOON AT 974 MB.

$$

PKZ150-261500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
60 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-261500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS
E. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-261500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-261500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM PORT
MOLLER E...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT EXCEPT 10 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT EXCEPT N 25 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 19
FT EXCEPT 13 FT FROM PORT MOLLER E. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-261500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-261500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
22 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-261500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-261500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...W OF SEGUAM ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. E OF SEGUAM ISLAND...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT BERING SIDE...13 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG.
RAIN.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-261500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15 FT
BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-261500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.THU...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-261500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT...EXCEPT 20 KT SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E. SEAS
11 FT. SNOW.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-261500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE OCT 25 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 19 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this storm warning went out at Oct 24, 3:55 PM AKDT, 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 24, 3:55 PM AKDT, 5 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
355 PM AKDT MON OCT 24 2011

.ANYALYSIS...
DYNAMIC AND CHALLENGING WEATHER PATTERN DEVELOPING EARLY THIS
AFTERNOON. CURRENTLY...THE MAIN LOW IS LOCATED JUST NORTHWEST OF
BRISTOL BAY BUT A JET FLOWING AROUND THE BASE OF THE TROUGH IS
HELPING TO DEVELOP A STRONG LOW THIS AFTERNOON. THE NEW SURFACE LOW
WILL RAPIDLY DEEPEN TO 966 MB AS IT TRACKS TO NEAR KODIAK ISLAND
OVERNIGHT. COLD AIR ADVECTION IS APPARENT ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
TROUGH BASED ON THE SATELLITE IMAGERY. FURTHER WEST...A WEAK RIDGE IS
BUILDING OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE BIGGEST CHALLENGE TODAY IS PICKING THE CORRECT MODEL SOLUTION.
SATELLITE IMAGERY SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS ALREADY SHOWING
CIRCULATION AS THE LOW BEGINS TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP. THE NAM CONTINUES
TO BE VERY SLOW AND TOO FAR SOUTH WITH ITS INITIALIZATION OF THIS
FEATURE. THE GFS AND ECMWF HAVE A BETTER HANDLING BUT STILL SEEM A
BIT TOO FAR NORTH. A CREATIVE BLEND OF PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS WAS USED
TO BEST INDICATE OUR PROJECTED PATH OF THE LOW AS IT DEEPENS AND
MOVES JUST SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND AND THEN INTO THE NORTHERN GULF
BY TUESDAY EVENING. GIVEN THE WIDE SPREAD OF MODEL SOLUTIONS AND LACK
OF OBSERVATIONS WHERE THE STORM IS ORIGINATING FROM...CONFIDENCE IS
BELOW AVERAGE FOR THE FIRST 48 HOURS.

SHORT TERM...
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AND A RELATIVELY WARM
AIRMASS IS PROVIDING MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL WITH CLOUDY SKIES AND
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES REMAINED JUST COLD ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE SNOW OVER THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY AND THROUGH THOMPSON
PASS WHERE SEVERAL INCHES OF HEAVY WET SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL EARLY
THIS AFTERNOON.

CHANGES TO THE CURRENT FORECAST WILL INCLUDE MUCH STRONGER WIND
THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN OVERNIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING. AN INVERTED
TROUGH EXTENDING NORTH FROM THE ORIGINAL PARENT LOW WILL HELP TIGHTEN
UP THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE CHUGACH RANGE. UPPER LEVEL
SUPPORT OVERNIGHT WILL BE MINIMAL BUT THE GRADIENT SHOULD BE
SUFFICIENT TO BRING WARNING LEVEL WINDS TO TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

THEN AS THE FRONT APPROACHES...THE GRADIENT WILL CHANGE ITS
ORIENTATION ENOUGH TO ALLOW THE WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND HILLSIDE
WINDS TO SUBSIDE WHILE THE PORTAGE VALLEY WINDS INCREASE. WE ARE
CONSIDERING THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORT LIVED WARNING EVENT IN BOTH
PORTAGE AND CORDOVA AS THE FRONT APPROACHES AND THEN RAPIDLY MOVES
ONSHORE TUESDAY AFTERNOON.

SUCH A STRONG LOW IN THE NORTHWESTERN GULF WILL BE DIFFICULT TO
DOWNSLOPE...MEANING MOST OF THE TYPICALLY DRY AREAS SUCH AS THE
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA AND ANCHORAGE BOWL WILL LIKELY STILL SEE RAIN
DURING THIS EVENT DESPITE THE SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS.

ANOTHER CONSIDERATION IS THE FIRST MEASURABLE SNOWFALL ANCHORAGE LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS THE LOW TRACKS ACROSS THE
NORTHERN GULF...COLD AIR BEGINS TO FUNNEL IN FROM THE WEST AS THE
UPPER TROF APPROACHES. ASSUMING THERE IS ENOUGH MOISTURE...THESE ARE
ALL INGREDIENTS FOR MEASURABLE SNOWFALL IN ANCHORAGE. SO WE WILL
INTRODUCE RAIN CHANGING OVER TO LIGHT SNOW AND ACCUMULATING LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FOR THE ANCHORAGE BOWL.

.SOUTHWEST AK/AK PEN...
THE WEATHER PICTURE IS A LITTLE MORE CLEAR OUT WEST WHERE OVERRUNNING
MOISTURE IS SPREADING NORTH. RAIN AND SNOW IS FALLING OVER MUCH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS THE INVERTED TROUGH EXTENDS FAR INTO THE
INTERIOR. THE LOW DEVELOPS AND THE WINDS RESPOND WITH A 75 TO 80 KT
LOW LEVEL JET STRENGTHENING ACROSS THE ALASKA PENINSULA BY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON. A HIGH WIND WATCH WILL BE UPGRADED TO A WARNING AS 80 MPH
WINDS ARE LIKELY THROUGH CHANNELED TERRAIN IN THIS REGION. THE EVENT
WILL BE SHORTLIVED AS THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS FLATTENS
AND SHIFTS EAST THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS IS ALSO IN RESPONSE TO ANOTHER
DEVELOPING LOW OFF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA THAT WILL RACE ACROSS THE
BERING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...REACHING BRISTOL BAY BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

A TRANSIENT RIDGE GIVES WAY TO ANOTHER LOW WEDNESDAY NIGHT OUT WEST.
THE ACTIVE PATTERN CONTINUES.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...181
MARINE...STORM...120 125 130 132 150 155 160 165 170.
         GALE...129 138 140 171 172 175 176 179 180 185.
FIRE...NONE.

AB OCT 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 24, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 24, 6:40 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 hr
Oct 24, 7:37 PM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAFC4 hr
Oct 25, 12:08 AM AKDTHigh Wind WarningAFC26 hr
Oct 25, 12:30 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC9 hr
Oct 25, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 25, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC48 hr
Oct 25, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC24 hr
Oct 25, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC48 hr
Oct 25, 4:00 AM AKDTStorm WarningAFC12 hr
Oct 25, 7:07 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC21 hr
Oct 25, 7:15 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC25 hr
Oct 25, 9:00 AM AKDTHurricane Force Wind WarningAFC7 hr
Oct 25, 10:53 AM AKDTAreal Flood AdvisoryAFC24 hr

Nearby

Storm Warnings in Alaska, 2011Every storm warning in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.