Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 942, NWS Anchorage, AK

December 27, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Dec 27, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Dec 27, 2011, 4:00 AM AKST (13:00 UTC)
Expired
Dec 27, 2011, 4:00 PM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

261 
FZAK51 PAFC 271248
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR WHITTIER WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND TUE AFTERNOON.
A 976 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH
OF YAKUTAT AT 967 MB TUE NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE NEAR CORDOVA
AT 985 MB WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT S OF KALGIN ISLAND DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
4 follow-up statements
579 
FZAK51 PAFC 271409 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

UPDATED ZONES 130 140 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR WHITTIER WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND TUE AFTERNOON.
A 976 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH
OF YAKUTAT AT 967 MB TUE NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE NEAR CORDOVA
AT 985 MB WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14
FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS E...W WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
301 
FZAK51 PAFC 271605 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
705 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

UPDATED ZONES 121 125 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR WHITTIER WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND TUE AFTERNOON.
A 976 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH
OF YAKUTAT AT 967 MB TUE NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE NEAR CORDOVA
AT 985 MB WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
705 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT THIS MORNING. 
SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
705 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
OR LESS. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
705 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO E 15 KT BY NOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS E...W WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
224 
FZAK51 PAFC 271919 AAC
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1020 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

UPDATED ZONE 121

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-280300-
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR WHITTIER WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND TUE AFTERNOON.
A 976 MB LOW 450 NM SOUTHEAST OF COLD BAY WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH
OF YAKUTAT AT 967 MB TUE NIGHT. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE NEAR CORDOVA
AT 985 MB WED NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-280300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 14 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-280300-
RESURRECTION BAY
1020 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-280300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
705 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT
OR LESS. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-280300-
PASSAGE CANAL
705 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT SHIFTING TO E 15 KT BY NOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW SHOWERS.  
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. 
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-280300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...WEST OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 25
KT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE BARREN ISLANDS E...W WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-280300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
$$

PKZ138-280300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-280300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT S OF ANCHOR POINT DURING THE
MORNING. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-280300-
KACHEMAK BAY
510 AM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
362 
FZAK51 PAFC 280020
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-281500-
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 972 MB PACIFIC LOW WILL TRACK TO SOUTHEAST ALASKA WED AFTERNOON 
AND THEN DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES INLAND WED EVENING. A 985 MB LOW 
WILL FORM 40 NM WEST OF CORDOVA WED EVENING AND REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY THROUGH THU.

$$

PKZ120-281500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE 20 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. E OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.   

$$

PKZ121-281500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT
SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-281500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
25 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS
TO 25 KT OUT OF WESTERN BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-281500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS
2 FT OR LESS. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW
SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 4 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-281500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-281500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
.SAT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ138-281500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-281500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.THU AND THU NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-281500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST TUE DEC 27 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Dec 26, 12:40 PM AKST, 15 hours 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 26, 12:40 PM AKST, 15 hours 20 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
1240 PM AKST MON DEC 26 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A STRONG LOW IS BOTTOMING OUT AROUND
960 MB OVER THE EASTERN GULF THIS MORNING. 12Z MODELS INDICATE
THERE MAY BE A SMALL AREA OF HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ON THE SOUTH
SIDE OF THE LOW...BUT SO FAR THERE IS NO AVAILABLE OBSERVATIONS
TO VERIFY THAT. THE FORWARD SPEED OF THE LOW HAS SLOWED AND IT
IS NOW TRACKING TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. THE BULK OF MOISTURE
REMAINS OFFSHORE OF SOUTHCENTRAL. A SURFACE TROUGH ROTATING AROUND
THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW IS BRINGING AREAS OF LIGHT SNOW TO THE
KENAI PENINSULA. STRONG OFFSHORE GAP WINDS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD
OF THE LOW AND ARE PRODUCING BLIZZARD CONDITIONS THROUGH PORTIONS
OF THOMPSON PASS AND LOCALIZED AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW IN THE
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA.

A CLOSED LOW REMAINS ANCHORED OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA MAINTAINING
MOSTLY DRY AND COLD CONDITIONS...BUT WITH A FEW AREAS OF LIGHT
SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH WAVES ROTATING AROUND THE LOW CENTER. TO
THE WEST OF THIS CENTER IS A LARGE AREA OF WEAK CYCLONIC FLOW
ACROSS THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS ALONG WITH WEAK LOW LEVEL
COLD ADVECTION...WHICH IS RESULTING IN SNOW SHOWERS AND LOCALLY
GUSTY NORTHERLIES.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ALL INITIALIZED FAIRLY WELL WITH GULF
LOW. HOWEVER...THERE ARE DIFFERENCES IN THE TRACK OF THIS LOW THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT. BASED ON SATELLITE TRENDS THIS MORNING
THE FURTHER WEST SOLUTIONS (ECMWF/UKMET/GEMGLB) SEEM MORE LIKELY.
THIS MATCHES UP WELL WITH THE INHERITED FORECAST. THERE ARE ALSO
MINOR DIFFERENCES IN FORMATION OF A SECONDARY LOW IN THE PRINCE
WILLIAM SOUND AREA TONIGHT AND IN WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THIS LOW
TUESDAY. THIS WILL HAVE MINOR IMPACTS ON TIMING OF PRECIPITATION
IN THE COOK INLET REGION. PREFER THE NAM IN THESE CIRCUMSTANCES
DUE TO ITS HIGHER RESOLUTION.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH DEEP GULF LOW WILL
INTERACT WITH TROUGH ROTATING AROUND SOUTHWEST ALASKA UPPER LOW
TO PRODUCE AREAS OF SNOW ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT AS THE AREA OF GREATEST
VERTICAL MOTION CONTINUOUSLY CHANGES LOCATION AS UPPER LOW/TROUGH
MOVE THROUGH THE REGION. CYCLONIC FLOW WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE
WEEK AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES INTO INTERIOR ALASKA. AS IS TYPICAL
WITH A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE AREA A SEMI-PERMANENT SURFACE LOW
WILL SET UP IN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. EXPECT CALM AND COLD CONDITIONS
WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW IN THIS PATTERN.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AS THE UPPER LOW HEADS INTO THE INTERIOR TUESDAY
NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL SEE A REINFORCING SHOT
OF ARCTIC AIR. EXPECT COLD AND DRY CONDITIONS TO PERSIST FOR MOST
OF THE REGION...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHICH
WILL SEE SOME SNOW SHOWERS WHERE COLD AIR MOVES OVER OPEN WATER.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...BROAD NORTHERLY FLOW AND SNOW SHOWERS WILL
PERSIST THROUGH MOST OF THE WEEK AS THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS
REMAIN ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER TROUGH.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...UPPER LOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE ALASKA
MAINLAND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND MAINTAINING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND GENERALLY DRY CONDITIONS. MEANWHILE THE STORM TRACK WILL STAY
WELL SOUTH OF ALASKA OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THUS...IT LOOKS LIKE
A FAIRLY CALM PERIOD FROM THE BERING SEA AND ALEUTIANS TO THE
SOUTHERN MAINLAND.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WARNING ZONE 131.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 130 132.
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...130 132 138 140 141 155
                                        160 180 185.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB DEC 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 4:00 PM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Dec 26, 4:00 PM AKSTHeavy Freezing Spray WarningAFC12 hr
Dec 27, 5:10 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC11 hr
Dec 27, 5:10 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC11 hr
Dec 27, 5:10 AM AKSTStorm WarningAFC11 hr
Dec 27, 10:20 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC6 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.