Small Craft Advisory 818, NWS Anchorage, AK

020 
FZAK52 PAFC 140155 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

CORRECTED ZONE 199 (SYNOPSIS)

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-141500-
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1000 MB LOW NEAR ST MATHEW ISLAND WILL MOVE ONSHORE NEAR TOKSOOK
BAY SUN NIGHT AT 1003 MB. A 1004 MB LOW 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA
WILL MOVE TO 100 NM SOUTHEAST OF ST PAUL MON AFTERNOON AT 1008 MB.
THIS LOW WILL MOVE TO NELSON LAGOON LATE MON NIGHT AND TO 105 NM
SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK MON AFTERNOON AT 1000 MB. 

$$

PKZ150-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-141500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-141500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-141500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-141500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF
NUNIVAK ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-141500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-141500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-141500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 12
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-141500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-141500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

822 
FZAK52 PAFC 141208
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150300-
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1010 MB LOW 100 NM NORTH OF KISKA WILL MOVE NEAR 60 NM SOUTH OF
KODIAK ISLAND TUE NIGHT AT 1004 MB. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE
NEAR SHEMYA TUE NIGHT AT 991 MB.

$$

PKZ150-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12
FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT
BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. S OF NUNIVAK
ISLAND...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT.
HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT. S OF NUNIVAK ISLAND...NE
WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 15
FT BERING SIDE...7 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT BERING SIDE...7 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...BERING SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. PACIFIC SIDE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST MON NOV 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT
SUBSIDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKST SUN NOV 13 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...SUNDAY MORNING GOES IMAGERY SHOWS SEVERAL IMPULSES
CAUGHT UP IN THE STRONG WESTERLY FLOW THAT EXISTS ACROSS ALL OF THE AREA.
FORECAST PROBLEM CONTINUES TO BE HOW MUCH SNOW EACH PASSING IMPULSE DROPS
IN ANY GIVEN AREA, AS WELL AS THE TIMING OF ARRIVAL. SOUTHCENTRAL SNOW FROM
LAST NIGHT BROUGHT AT LEAST 9 INCHES TO THE WEST SLOPES OF THE CHUGACH
RANGE AND THE ANCHORAGE HILLSIDE. AT MID DAY SUNDAY NEXT SURGE APPEARS TO
HAVE PUSHED TO THE WESTERN ALASKA RANGE WITH MERRILL PASS BACK TO REPORTING
MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW. EXPECT THIS FEATURE TO BRING SNOW BACK INTO SOUTH
CENTRAL ALASKA BY THIS EVENING, OR EARLIER, WITH THE MAIN SNOW AREA
REMAINING NORTH OF KENAI OR SO WITH THE HEAVIEST AMOUNTS OCCURRING NEAR AND
ALONG THE WESTERN SLOPES OF TERRAIN. BEHIND THAT A SHORTWAVE RIDGE WILL DRY
THINGS OUT AGAIN AND POSSIBLY ALLOW SOME CLEARING LATER TONIGHT AND EARLY
MONDAY.

YET ANOTHER SURGE OF SNOW PUSHES ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON
OR EVENING. THIS WILL NOT ONLY BE THE LAST IN THE SERIES BUT WILL ALSO BE
THE ONE THAT PULLS THE MUCH COLDER ARCTIC AIR SOUTHWARD. VERY COLD UPPER
LOW NOW SITTING OVER THE ICE COVERED BEAUFORT SEA IS SCHEDULED TO DROP
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE COPPER RIVER BASIN TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVE. IT
APPEARS ONE FINAL SHORTWAVE DROPS ACROSS SOUTHERN ALASKA LATE TUESDAY
AFTERNOON, HOWEVER, NOTHING MORE THAN FLURRIES WILL (SHOULD) OCCUR WITH
THIS ONE.

BIG NEWS WILL BE THE STRONG THRUST OF ARCTIC AIR THAT SURGES SOUTHWARD ON
VERY BRISK NORTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORTWAVE. ICE AGE
LIKE THICKNESSES FORECAST TO COVER ALL OF EASTERN ALASKA BY TUE EVENING
WITH THE COLDEST CORE HOLDING BACK OVER THE EASTERN TANANA VALLEY AND YUKON
FLATS. TEMPERATURES WILL BECOME NOTICEABLY COLDER MONDAY MORNING WITH THE
COLDEST AIR ARRIVING OVER THE AREA TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY CONTINUING
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

LOW PRESSURE MOVING EAST ACROSS THE SOUTHERN BERING SEA MONDAY AND MONDAY
NIGHT FORECAST TO DEVELOP RAPIDLY AFTER IT CROSSES THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
REACHES 155W. AS THE STORM PULLS EAST INTO THE GULF ARCTIC CONDITIONS WILL
SPREAD DOWN ACROSS KODIAK ISLAND WITH PRETTY STRONG NORTHERLY SURFACE
WINDS. STEEP PRESSURE GRADIENT TO FORM ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY FOR STRONG OUTFLOW WINDS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND COPPER RIVER DELTA. HEAVY SNOW SITUATION DEVELOPING FORM CORDOVA
EASTWARD TO YAKUTAT AS EARLY AS TUESDAY EVENING.

ANOTHER STORM FROM THE NORTHWEST PACIFIC WILL BRING GALES, POSSIBLE STORMS,
AND RAIN TO THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE THE FIRST IN ANOTHER SERIES OF POWERFUL STORMS THAT
MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE WESTERN, AND THEN CENTRAL BERING BY THE END OF
THE WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE...SEE MARINE FORECASTS
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

D PERCY NOV 11