Small Craft Advisory 802, NWS Anchorage, AK

453 
FZAK51 PAFC 051425 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
625 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

UPDATED ZONE 138

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-060300-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE GULF TODAY. A 990 MB LOW
DEVELOPS 70 NM NORTH OF KODIAK SAT EVENING AND MOVES TO NEAR VALDEZ
AT 988 MB LATE SUN MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-060300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-060300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-060300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-060300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 1 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-060300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 25 KT
BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-060300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-060300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
625 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT BY LATE MORNING...THEN
INCREASING TO S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-060300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3
FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE
WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-060300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

182 
FZAK51 PAFC 052234
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061500-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW WILL FORM 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF HOMER THIS EVENING AND
DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES QUICKLY INLAND ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 
EARLY SUN MORNING. A BERING SEA LOW WILL CROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUN 
AND MOVE TO 50 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND EARLY MON AT 992 MB.

$$

PKZ120-061500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW WIND 35 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-061500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO
2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-061500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT BY LATE EVENING SHIFTING
TO SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-061500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT NEAR WHITTER IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-061500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF BARREN ISLANDS...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. BARREN ISLANDS
W...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO SW 30 KT TOWARD MORNING. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 8 FT SEAS W OF BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 11 FT SEAS W OF BARREN
ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-061500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-061500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-061500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT EXCEPT N OF
KALGIN ISLAND N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY.  
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
7 FT EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-061500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

389 
FZAK51 PAFC 060530 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
930 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

UPDATED ZONES 121 125 129 130

PKZ197-061500-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 990 MB LOW WILL FORM 70 NM SOUTHWEST OF HOMER THIS EVENING AND
DISSIPATE AS IT MOVES QUICKLY INLAND ACROSS PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 
EARLY SUN MORNING. A BERING SEA LOW WILL CROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA SUN 
AND MOVE TO 50 NM NORTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND EARLY MON AT 992 MB.

$$

PKZ120-061500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO SW WIND 35 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-061500-
RESURRECTION BAY
930 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-061500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
930 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT SHIFTING TO SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-061500-
PASSAGE CANAL
930 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-061500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
930 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF BARREN ISLANDS...SW 35 KT. BARREN ISLANDS W...NE 
WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30  KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO
15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 8 FT SEAS W OF BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT EXCEPT 11 FT SEAS W OF BARREN
ISLANDS. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...NW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-061500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-061500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-061500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT EXCEPT N OF
KALGIN ISLAND N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING
SPRAY.  
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS
7 FT EXCEPT 2 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-061500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW.  
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

770 
FZAK51 PAFC 061224
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 MB LOW 40 NM EAST OF SEWARD WILL MOVE OVER PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
AND DISSIPATE SUN AFTERNOON. A 976 MB LOW NEAR KIPNUK WILL WEAKEN TO
987 MB SUN EVENING NEAR KENAI AND THEN DISSIPATE. A 993 LOW NEAR
DUTCH HARBOR MON MORNING WILL WEAKEN TO 1005 MB MON NIGHT 130 NM
SOUTH OF CAPE SAINT ELIAS.
$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW
AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO S 20 KT BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 13 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.MON...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
DANGEROUS CAPE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED AND THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...,NE WIND 15 KT...BECOMING W 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON S OF
KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 3 FT...BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON S OF
KALGIN ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...N WIND 15 KT IN THE
EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS 8 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN
ISLAND. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS
8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...NW
WIND 15 KT...SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...IN THE SHORT TERM MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT.
PLACEMENT AND INTENSITY OF THE LOW MOVING ACROSS THE BERING FROM THE
WEST IS CONSISTENT BETWEEN MODELS AND FROM RUN TO RUN. MOVING INTO
THE MID TERM MODELS ARE STILL DOING WELL BUT HAVE SOME
DIFFERENCES...SPECIFICALLY WITH THE NEW LOW IN THE NORTH PACIFIC THAT
WILL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS FROM WEST TO EAST SUNDAY
THROUGH MONDAY. THE GFS IS SLIGHTLY FASTER AND MORE NORTH THAN THE EC
OR NAM WHILE THE EC BECOMES SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE NAM MONDAY MORNING.
FOR THE WEST WE WENT WITH THE EC AND IN THE EAST WE WENT WITH THE NAM
OVER THE LAND FOR DETAIL AND THE EC OVER THE WATER.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE LOW COMPLEX OVER THE SOUTHERN PART
OF THE STATE CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AND DRIFT EAST WHICH HAS CAUSED
PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE AREA TO SLOW DOWN. BEHIND THIS LOW
COLD AIR ADVECTION MOVES ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL. FURTHER TO THE
WEST A RIDGE IS BUILDING IN OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS FROM THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS. THIS RIDGE WILL MOVE EAST ACROSS THE STATE AND OUT
OF THE REGION BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. BEHIND THE RIDGE A STRENGTHENING
LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING BEGINS TO MOVE ACROSS THE BERING AND WILL
MAKE ITS WAY TO THE MAINLAND NEAR BETHEL SATURDAY NIGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
FOR THE EAST...WIDESPREAD VERY LIGHT SNOW IS FALLING AROUND
SOUTHCENTRAL THIS AFTERNOON. COLD AIR ADVECTING EAST ACROSS THE
ALASKA RANGE WILL BRING SOUTHCENTRAL ANOTHER BRIEF SHOT OF MEASURABLE
SNOW THIS EVENING...MOSTLY UP AGAINST THE MOUNTAINS...BEFORE A
SHORTWAVE RIDGE BUILDS FROM SOUTHWEST AK. THE COLD ADVECTION AND
DEPARTING SURFACE LOW WILL STRENGTHEN THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ALONG THE
GULF COAST...BRINGING GUSTY WINDS BACK TO THE TYPICAL AREAS LATE
TONIGHT. THIS WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT EXCEPT WHERE SNOW IS
TRANSPORTABLE LIKE THOMPSON PASS AN ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW MIGHT
BE WARRANTED OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY MORNING.

A MORE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER SYSTEM WILL APPROACH SATURDAY. A LOW WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE OCCLUSION NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE KENAI
PENINSULA...HELPING TO ENHANCE THE PRECIPITATION AROUND SOUTHCENTRAL.
THE QUICK MOVING SYSTEM WILL DROP SIGNIFICANT SNOW FROM KACHEMAK BAY
UP TO THE SUSITNA VALLEY OVER A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME. THE CURRENT
THINKING IS THAT THE SPEED OF THE SYSTEM WILL LIMIT THE SNOWFALL
TOTALS TO BELOW ADVISORY CRITERIA. SNOW TAPERS OFF RAPIDLY SUNDAY
MORNING ALTHOUGH THE UPPER TROUGH AXIS REMAINS NEAR BRISTOL BAY...SO
MORE SNOW IS LIKELY BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND WITH THE MOIST
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW PREVAILING. NOT UNTIL MONDAY WILL THE TROUGH MOVE
THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL AND COLDER AND DRIER AIR SETTLES OVER THE
REGION.

FOR THE WEST...WINDS HAVE STARTED TO TAPER DOWN THROUGHOUT MUCH OF
THE ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA AS THE LOW OVER THE STATE PUSHES
FURTHER EAST. THEY WILL PICK BACK UP AS THE FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE
LOW IN THE WESTERN BERING MOVES ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS ARE ALSO EXPECTED IN THE ALEUTIANS AS THE FRONT PASSES WITH
THE PREDOMINANT CONDITION BEING RAIN DUE TO THE WARM AIR BEING
ADVECTED IN AHEAD OF THE LOW. AS THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT REACH
SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND WINDS PICK UP ALONG THE COAST THE QUESTION IS
WHAT KIND OF PRECIPITATION WILL BE EXPECTED. IN THE SOUTHERN AREAS IT
LOOKS TO BE MOSTLY RAIN...HOWEVER IN AREAS NEAR BETHEL WE ARE LOOKING
AT SNOW WITH STRONG WINDS INDICATING THE POSSIBILITY FOR BLIZZARD
CONDITIONS. CURRENTLY WE HAVE A BLIZZARD WATCH OUT FOR THE AREA
STARTING SATURDAY MORNING.

EARLY NEXT WEEK...A STRONG IMPULSE MOVES OUT OF SOUTHEAST ASIA AND A
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC. THIS SYSTEM
CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN AS IT MOVES INTO THE BERING SEA
TUESDAY...BRINGING WIDESPREAD STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE REGION. THE
STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FETCH HAS THE POTENTIAL TO CAUSE HIGH SURF
LEADING TO SIGNIFICANT BEACH EROSION AND POSSIBLE COASTAL FLOODING
FROM BRISTOL BAY TO NORTON SOUND. THIS STORM WILL HAVE OUR ATTENTION
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE MODELS NAIL DOWN THE EXACT STRENGTH AND
PATH.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...BLIZZARD WATCH...155
MARINE...STORM...185
         GALES...129 130 132 138 127 150 155 160 165 180 170 171 172
         175 176 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

DWK/AB NOV 11