Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 705, NWS Anchorage, AK

October 2, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Oct 2, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Oct 2, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired: Oct 3, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force: 36 hr
Issued by: NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

360 
FZAK51 PAFC 021153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-030300-
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 993 MB LOW 220 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY THIS MORNING MOVES TO 
180 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 992 MB SUN AFTERNOON. THIS 
LOW THEN MAKES LANDFALL OVER WESTERN COOK INLET SUN EVENING. 
A 990 MB LOW MOVES TO 250 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY MON MORNING 
THEN TO 340 NM SE OF KODIAK CITY AT 989 MB MON AFTERNOON. 
$$

PKZ120-030300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E OF CAPE CLEARE...SE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE
MORNING. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT. W OF CAPE CLEARE...VARIABLE 
WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-030300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED AND THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-030300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 13 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-030300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT BY LATE MORNING. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT OR LESS. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-030300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF 
THE BARREN ISLANDS. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 4 FT W OF THE 
BARREN ISLANDS. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-030300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT OR LESS. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-030300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-030300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-030300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TODAY...SOUTHEAST WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT 
BY LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

3 follow-up statements

370 
FZAK51 PAFC 030000
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-031500-
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL WEAKEN AND MOVE INLAND THIS
EVENING. A 994 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 220 NM SOUTH OF KODIAK CITY THIS
EVENING AND MOVE TO 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 990 MB MON
EVENING AND THEN DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-031500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE
WIND 45 KT WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE EVENING. WIND DIMINISHING TO 
SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT EXCEPT SEAS 16
FT E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-031500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-031500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. STRONGER
GUSTS 50 KT NEAR HINCHINBROOK ENTRANCE DURING THE EARLY EVENING. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-031500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO E 20 KT IN THE EVENING.
STRONGER GUSTS 60 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EARLY EVENING. SEAS 7 FT
SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-031500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT EXCEPT 5 FT W OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-031500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-031500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-031500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-031500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN OCT 2 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

185 
FZAK51 PAFC 031153
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-040300-
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONTAL BOUNDARY ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE
MON EVENING. A 990 MB LOW 240 NM S OF KODIAK CITY WILL TRACK 
AWAY FROM THE GULF AND ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC MON NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-040300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. NEAR THE 
COAST E OF MONTAGUE ISLAND...SE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT 
IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-040300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TODAY...N WIND LESS THAN 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 1 FT BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-040300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE WIND 20 KT W OF NAKED ISLAND. 
SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 3 FT W OF NAKED ISLAND. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-040300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-040300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-040300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT OR LESS BECOMING NE 15 KT 
OR LESS IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-040300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-040300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT OR LESS. 
SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-040300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

180 
FZAK51 PAFC 040001
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-041500-
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE TONIGHT. A NORTH
PACIFIC LOW AT 985 MB WILL MOVE TO 60 NM WEST OF KODIAK CITY WED
AFTERNOON.
$$

PKZ120-041500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SE WIND 35 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-041500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-041500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
30 KT EAST OF NAKED ISLAND IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-041500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AMD THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-041500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-041500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-041500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-041500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-041500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON OCT 3 2011

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Oct 1, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 1, 2:00 PM AKDT, 14 hours before

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
200 PM AKDT SAT OCT 1 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODEL INITIALIZATIONS WERE FAIR. FORECAST TRENDS LOOK THE BEST USING
THE 12Z GFS/OOZ ECMWF OUT WEST AND THE 12Z ECMWF IN THE EAST. STRONG
WESTERLY JET OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC AND WAVE MOVING NORTH ALONG A
BAROCLINIC ZONE IN THE DATA SPARSE NE PACIFIC WILL BE THE MAIN
FORECAST CHALLENGES.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

.UPPER LEVELS...A BROAD TROUGH REGION ENCOMPASSES MAINLAND ALASKA
FROM THE GULF TO THE ARCTIC OCEAN. WITHIN THIS TROUGH...AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND COVERS MUCH OF THE GULF OF
ALASKA. TO THE WEST...A RIDGE COVERS MUCH OF THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL
BERING SEA. AN UPPER LEVEL LOW IS DEVELOPING RAPIDLY OVER THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA. ITS ASSOCIATED JET IS CURRENTLY AT 150 KT AND
EXPECTED TO INCREASE TO 180 KT DURING THE DAY TODAY. THIS RAPIDLY
DEVELOPING LOW WILL IMPACT MUCH OF THE BERING THIS WEEKEND.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

.SOUTHCENTRAL...THE MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE OVER THE NEXT 24 HRS IS
THE HANDLING OF A WAVE DEVELOPING ALONG THE N/S BAROCLINIC ZONE OVER
THE NE PACIFIC/GULF OF ALASKA. THE ECMWF SOLUTION OF BRINGING THE
WAVE TO NEAR THE BARREN ISLANDS WITH A PRESSURE IN THE UPPER 980S TO
LOWER 990S SUN AFTERNOON APPEARS TO BE THE MOST REASONABLE SOLUTION
IN LIGHT OF STRONG STEERING FLOW ALOFT AND DYNAMICS. THE TIMING OF
THE DIMINISHING OF THE WINDS WILL BE A CHALLENGE AND LIKELY WILL
REQUIRE SOME TWEEKING AS TIMING OF WAVE IS STILL SOMEWHAT IN
QUESTION. FOR NOW EXPECT GALE TO STORM FORCE WINDS OVER MUCH OF THE
NORTH GULF THROUGH SUN AFTERNOON...THEN DIMINISHING SUN NIGHT.
PRESSURE DRIVEN GAP FLOWS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL (ESPECIALLY TURNAGAIN
ARM/EASTERN KENAI) WILL INCREASE OVERNIGHT AND REACH THERE MAXIMUM ON
SUN...BEFORE DIMINISHING LATE SUN. RAIN OVER SOME INLAND AREAS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING WILL LARGELY BE CONFINED TO THE COASTS OVERNIGHT
WITH THE ONSET OF STRONG SE WINDS ALOFT. RAIN WILL LIKELY SPREAD TO
INLAND AREAS SUN AS LOW MOVES THROUGH COOK INLET.

.SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...GENERALLY NORTHERLY OFFSHORE FLOW WILL WEAKEN
THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. MOISTURE WILL SPREAD IN FROM THE GULF
OVERNIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...MAINLY THE EAST HALF OF THE
REGION. RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE BERING
SEA BRINGS IN RAIN TO THE DELTA AND BRISTOL BAY SUN NIGHT.

.ALEUTIANS/BERING SEA...A STORM FORCE LOW CENTER OVER THE WESTERN
BERING SEA SLOWLY WEAKENS AS IT MOVES EAST ACROSS THE BERING SUN AND
MON. STRONG WINDS ITS SOUTHERN PERIPHERY ARE SUPPORTED BY STRONG
SURFACE GRADIENTS AND DOWNWARD MOMENTUM TRANSPORT WITH UPPER
JET...AND WEAK COLD ADVECTION. THE NET RESULT WILL BE WESTERLY
GALE/STORM FORCE WINDS SPREADING ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND
SUN. BY MON AFTERNOON...THE ONLY GALES EXPECTED WILL BE ACROSS THE
FAR EAST ALEUTIANS.

.LONG TERM...THE JET STREAM WILL REMAIN IN THE NORTH PACIFIC OVER THE
NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT...AN ACTIVE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE AS A SERIES
OF TROUGHS AND RIDGES PROGRESS ACROSS THE AREA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...
MARINE...STORMS...120 175 176
         GALES...125 129 155 185 170 172
FIRE WEATHER...

RMC OCT 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Oct 1, 4:00 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	12 hr
Oct 1, 4:00 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	36 hr
Oct 1, 4:00 PM AKDT	Gale Warning	AFC	24 hr
Oct 1, 4:00 PM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	12 hr
Oct 1, 4:00 PM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	5 days
Oct 1, 4:00 PM AKDT	Storm Warning	AFC	24 hr
Oct 1, 4:00 PM AKDT	Storm Warning	AFC	24 hr
Oct 2, 4:00 AM AKDT	Small Craft Advisory	AFC	48 hr
Oct 2, 4:00 AM AKDT	Storm Warning	AFC	12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011 Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.