Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 684, NWS Anchorage, AK

September 22, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Sep 22, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 22, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Sep 23, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

939 
FZAK52 PAFC 222342
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231500-
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE EAST OF 170W THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. A
993 MB JUST SOUTH OF THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO NEAR ATTU
AT 996 MB FRI AFTERNOON AND TO 270 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 990MB
SAT AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-231500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-231500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-231500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-231500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-231500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-231500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 11
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-231500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-231500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...BERING SIDE...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. PACIFIC SIDE...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-231500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT
BERING SIDE...17 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-231500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-231500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-231500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$
2 follow-up statements
373 
FZAK52 PAFC 231128
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240300-
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 995 MB LOW 300 NM WEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE 500 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK
CITY LATE SUN MORNING AT 977 MB.
$$

PKZ150-240300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ155-240300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  
$$

PKZ160-240300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ165-240300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ180-240300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
$$

PKZ170-240300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT. 
SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
7 FT.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  
$$

PKZ171-240300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR
LESS. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ172-240300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. WEST OF SEGUAM ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT
BECOMING SE 25 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ175-240300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...WINDS BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BERING SIDE...NW 30 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 
15 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ176-240300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...WIND BECOMING SW 25 KT DURING
THE MORNING. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  
$$

PKZ185-240300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$

PKZ179-240300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  
$$
900 
FZAK52 PAFC 232257
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-241500-
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 998 MB LOW 80 NM SOUTH OF ATTU WILL MOVE TO 400 NM SOUTHEAST OF
DUTCH HARBOR AT 996 MB SAT AFTERNOON AND INTO THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC
SUN.

$$

PKZ150-241500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-241500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-241500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-241500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-241500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT THROUGH SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-241500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 9
FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-241500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-241500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-241500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BERING SIDE...SW 25 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 13
FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-241500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-241500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT AND MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-241500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI SEP 23 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Sep 22, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 22, 5:00 AM AKDT, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 AM AKDT THU SEP 22 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH 36 HOURS BUT
MAJOR DIVERGENCE ON SYSTEM ENTERING WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRI MORNING.
GFS HAD UNDERGONE A MAJOR SHIFT IN THE INTENSITY OF NORTH PACIFIC LOW
(FORMER TYPHOON ROKE) FROM PREVIOUS DAYS SOLUTIONS.  ECWMF CLOSER IN
ALIGNMENT WITH GFS BUT 4 TO 6 MB DEEPER. IN ANY CASE THERE IS
CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY IN THE POSITION AND DEPTH OF THIS SYSTEM AS
IT MOVES ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN FRI AFTERNOON THROUGH SAT NIGHT.
FORTUNATELY THE TRACK SEEMS FAIRLY CONSISTENT FROM MODEL RUN TO MODEL
RUN. FORECASTER FOR WESTERN DOMAIN USING SREF MODEL.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...AS NOTED PREVIOUSLY MAINLAND ALASKA IS
UNDER A BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT PERSISTS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
LIGHT WINDS OVER MOST LAND ZONES WITH EXCEPTION OF BERING REGION
WHERE WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDDAY FRI.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...GENERALLY CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH
ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THU THROUGH SAT FOR MOST ZONES. NEXT
MAJOR STORM AS NOTED ABOVE WILL ENTER WESTERN ALEUTIANS FRI MORNING.
DESPITE MODEL VARIANCE IT DOES STILL APPEAR THAT STRONG WINDS WILL BE
ON THE BACK SIDE AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE CHAIN FRI AND SAT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...ALEUTIAN STORM SHOULD MOVE TO THE VICINITY OF
48N 155W SUN MORNING STILL PRODUCING MODERATE TO STRONG NORTHWEST
FLOW ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS...TRACK AFTER THAT
APPEARS TO KEEP IT OUT OF THE GULF OF AK...BUT SUBJECT TO CHANGE.
WOULD APPEAR THAT BROAD UPPER LOW OVER GULF DOES MIGRATE TOWARD THE
SOUTHEAST ON TUE ALLOWS A SYSTEM FROM EASTERN SIBERIA TO MOVE ACROSS
THE NORTHERN BERING INTO WESTERN AK TUE EVENING...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE
IS LOW.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...ONGOING FLD ADV 121
MARINE...NONE
FIRE WEATHER...NO

JMP SEP 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 22, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.