Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 549, NWS Anchorage, AK

August 6, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Aug 6, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 3 days.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 6, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Aug 9, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
3 days
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

474 
FZAK52 PAFC 061158
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-070300-
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1003 MB LOW 140 NM SOUTHWEST OF MEKORYUK WILL MOVE ONSHORE OVER 
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE SAT MORNING AT 1000 MB AND THEN DISSIPATE.
ANOTHER LOW WILL MOVE OUT OF SIBERIA AND TRACK TO 200 NM NORTHWEST 
OF MEKORYUK LATE SUN NIGHT AT 1001 MB.

$$

PKZ150-070300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ155-070300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-070300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-070300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW WIND 20 KT BY AFTERNOON. STRONGER
GUSTS 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-070300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ170-070300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
PATCHY FOG. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-070300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-070300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-070300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-070300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-070300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-070300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
6 follow-up statements
536 
FZAK52 PAFC 062322
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-071500-
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A LOW OVER SIBERIA WILL MOVE TO 75 NM WEST OF HOOPER BAY MONDAY
AFTERNOON AT 1004 MB. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE
BERING SEA THROUGH MONDAY AFTERNOON.  

$$

PKZ150-071500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-071500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 
6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-071500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-071500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-071500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-071500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-071500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-071500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-071500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-071500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-071500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W 30 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-071500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SAT AUG 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$
980 
FZAK52 PAFC 071151
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-080300-
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A LOW OVER SIBERIA WILL MOVE TO 150 NM NORTHWEST OF MEKORYUK MON
AFTERNOON AT 1005 MB AND MOVE ONSHORE NEAR HOOPER BAY AT 1008 MB MON
NIGHT. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL PERSIST OVER THE BERING SEA THROUGH
MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-080300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 25 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-080300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT BECOMING NW BY MIDDAY. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-080300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-080300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-080300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-080300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-080300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON THROUGH WED...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-080300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-080300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 14 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-080300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 19 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-080300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-080300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY MIDDAY. SEAS 6 FT. 
PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$
123 
FZAK52 PAFC 072311
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-081500-
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1004 MB LOW NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND MOVES TO OVER NORTHERN
NORTON SOUND AND WEAKENS MONDAY EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE
NORTHERN BERING SEA MOVES TO BRISTOL BAY MONDAY EVENING. A BROAD
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW SETS UP OVER THE BERING SEA TUESDAY. A 977 MB LOW
MOVES TO 750 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ150-081500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-081500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-081500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-081500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-081500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT SW 20 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-081500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-081500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-081500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-081500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-081500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-081500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SW WIND 30 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-081500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN AUG 7 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$
111 
FZAK52 PAFC 081159
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-090300-
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1004 MB LOW NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND MOVES INTO NORTON SOUND AND
WEAKENS MONDAY EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN BERING
MOVES TO BRISTOL BAY MON EVENING. A 984 MB LOW MOVES TO 450 NM
SOUTHWEST OF ATTU TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-090300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-090300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-090300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-090300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-090300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-090300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ171-090300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-090300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-090300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-090300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 21 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-090300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 16 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-090300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$
846 
FZAK52 PAFC 082331
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-091500-
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1003 MB LOW NEAR SAINT LAWRENCE ISLAND MOVES INTO NORTON SOUND AND
WEAKENS THIS EVENING. A WEATHER FRONT OVER THE NORTHERN BERING MOVES
TO BRISTOL BAY THIS EVENING. A 980 MB LOW MOVES TO 290 NM WEST OF
SHEMYA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-091500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.   

$$

PKZ160-091500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-091500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-091500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-091500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-091500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.   

$$

PKZ175-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
8 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-091500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.   

$$

PKZ185-091500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 25 KT W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-091500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON AUG 8 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$
162 
FZAK52 PAFC 091145
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100300-
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 1011 MB LOW NEAR THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL MOVE ONSHORE AND WEAKEN
BY MID MORNING. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WEAKENS TO 991 MB AS IT MOVES TO
280 NM WEST OF SHEMYA WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-100300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-100300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-100300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-100300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ172-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ175-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT THROUGH THU...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ176-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS SUBSIDING TO 9 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-100300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND DIMINISHING TO 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-100300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE AUG 9 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
AREAS OF FOG IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Aug 5, 1:35 PM AKDT, 14 hours 25 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 5, 1:35 PM AKDT, 14 hours 25 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
135 PM AKDT FRI AUG 5 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A LARGE ANOMALOUSLY DEEP UPPER LEVEL
LOW IS CENTERED OVER THE BERING STRAIT/FAR NORTHERN BERING SEA.
THERE ARE ACTUALLY TWO LOW CENTERS DUMB-BELLING AROUND WITH ONE
OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA MOVING NORTHWARD AND ANOTHER DROPPING
SOUTHEASTWARD OUT OF SIBERIA INTO THE NORTHERN BERING. BOTTOM LINE
IS THIS PATTERN CONTINUES TO BRING COOL AND WET CONDITIONS TO MUCH
OF MAINLAND ALASKA.

A SHARP UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE AND SURFACE COLD FRONT CONTINUE TO
PROGRESS EASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS MORNING...WITH
A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN RIGHT ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
LOW LEVEL COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT HAS CREATED ENOUGH
INSTABILITY IN THE BOUNDARY LAYER (AS OBSERVED IN AREA SOUNDINGS
THIS MORNING) TO PRODUCE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES FROM THE WESTERN GULF
WESTWARD TO PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND THE EASTERN BERING SEA.
FREEZING LEVELS HAVE FALLEN SIGNIFICANTLY BEHIND THE FRONT...WITH
THE LOWEST OBSERVED LEVEL AROUND 2500 FEET IN BETHEL AT 12Z THIS
MORNING. THIS UNSEASONABLY COLD AIR WILL IMPACT HIGH TEMPERATURES...
PRIMARILY OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...WITH FORECAST HIGHS FOR TODAY
AVERAGING 6 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL.

IF YOU FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT SOUTHWARD TO THE NORTH-CENTRAL PACIFIC
IT CURVES BACK NORTHWESTWARD TO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS AND BECOMES
A WARM FRONT. THIS WARM FRONT IS DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD BRINGING
WITH IT MUCH WARMER LOW LEVEL AIR. THE RESULT OF THIS IS EVIDENT
IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY WHICH SHOWS STRATUS SLOWLY SPREADING
BACK NORTH AND EASTWARD INTO THE CENTRAL TO EASTERN BERING AND
TOWARD THE ALASKA PENINSULA.

THE LOW DROPPING OUT OB SIBERIA IS ALREADY SPREADING CLOUDS AND
RAIN TOWARD THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA...SO EXPECT CONDITIONS TO
QUICKLY HEAD DOWNHILL THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS SYSTEM
WILL ALSO BRING WITH IT A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS/ECMWF/UKMET HAVE ALL TRENDED TOWARD A
MORE NORTHERLY TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW AS IT CROSSES SOUTHWEST
ALASKA SATURDAY AND HEAD INTO INTERIOR ALASKA SUNDAY. THIS WILL
HAVE MINOR AFFECTS ON LOCATION AND TIMING OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS
THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND. DIFFERENCES ARE ALSO NOTED AT THE SURFACE
WITH DEVELOPMENT OF A SURFACE LOW ALONG THE FRONT SOUTH OF SEWARD
SUNDAY MORNING. ALTHOUGH PREFER NAM IN OTHER PLACES DUE TO ITS
SUPERIOR RESOLUTION AND HANDLING OF TERRAIN PLAN TO TREND TOWARD
THE GFS/ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTION WITH THIS LOW. MINOR DIFFERENCES
ALSO EXIST WITH TRACK OF NEXT SURFACE LOW DROPPING OUT OF SIBERIA
ON SUNDAY. PLAN TO USE AN AVERAGE POSITION FOR NOW.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE SOUTH END OF THE UPPER SHORT-WAVE WILL
SPEED RAPIDLY EASTWARD ACROSS THE GULF TONIGHT CAUSING THE TROUGH
TO BECOME NEGATIVELY TILTED. THIS MEANS THE SURFACE COLD FRONT AND
TROUGH WILL HANG UP OVER THE COPPER RIVER BASIN THROUGH TONIGHT.
THE SOUTHERN AND WESTERN SIDES OF THE MOUNTAINS IN PARTICULAR WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE MODERATE TO HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES THROUGH AT LEAST
THE EVENING HOURS BEFORE THINGS START TO DIMINISH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL WILL CONTINUE TO SEE IMPROVING CONDITIONS
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...ESPECIALLY FROM THE MAT-SU TO ANCHORAGE
AND THE KENAI PENINSULA WHERE MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WILL MAKE A BRIEF
APPEARANCE.

CONDITIONS WILL HEAD DOWNHILL DURING THE DAY SATURDAY OVER THESE
SAME AREAS AS NEXT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH AND SURFACE FRONTAL SYSTEM
MOVE IN. AS WITH THE PAST COUPLE EVENTS THE DYNAMICS WILL BE STRONG
AND MOISTURE ABUNDANT. SO ONCE AGAIN EXPECT WIDESPREAD MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL. WITH A DEEP LAYER OF SOUTH-SOUTHWEST FLOW AND A
VORT-MAX PROGGED TO TRACK RIGHT UP THE INLET AND THEN OVER THE
TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS...EXPECT THE HEAVIEST RAINFALL ALONG THE WEST
SIDE OF THE CHUGACH AND TALKEETNA MOUNTAINS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW
STREAMS IN THE WESTERN SUSITNA VALLEY (WHERE A FLOOD ADVISORY IS
CURRENTLY IN EFFECT) TO CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY FALL. WILL NEED TO
KEEP AN EYE ON RIVERS AND STREAMS FURTHER EAST IN THE MATANUSKA
VALLEY FOR POTENTIAL SWELLING OF WATER LEVELS TO BANK FULL. ALL OF
THIS RAIN WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD TO PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN SATURDAY NIGHT. SIMILAR TO TODAY...CONDITIONS
WILL IMPROVE FROM WEST TO EAST ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL SUNDAY AND SUNDAY
AS EVERYTHING EXITS TO THE NORTH AN EAST. CYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL FLOW
WILL CONTINUE HOWEVER AND WEAK EMBEDDED WAVES WILL PRODUCE AT LEAST
A FEW CLOUDS AND SHOWERS.

THIS WHOLE SCENARIO LOOKS LIKE IT WILL PLAY OUT ONCE AGAIN ON MONDAY
AS ANOTHER MORE SIGNIFICANT SHORT-WAVE TROUGH ROTATES AROUND THE
UPPER LOW INTO SOUTHCENTRAL. AT THIS POINT IN TIME IT LOOKS LIKE
IT WILL BE WEAKER SO RAINFALL AMOUNTS WILL LIKELY BE LOWER.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...AFTER A BRIEF BREAK IN RAIN AND CLOUDS IN SOME
LOCATIONS...WIDESPREAD RAIN WILL RETURN TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA LATE
TONIGHT THROUGH TOMORROW. THE UPPER LEVEL SHORT-WAVE WILL MOVE AT
A DECENT CLIP SO DON'T EXPECT STEADY RAIN TO LAST MORE THAN 12 HOURS.
ANOTHER SHORT BREAK CAN BE EXPECTED LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY MORNING
BEFORE THE NEXT IN WHAT IS TURNING OUT TO BE A LONG LINE OF SYSTEMS
MOVES IN SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY. WITH A RE-SUPPLY OF COLD
AIR ALOFT WITH EACH OF THESE SYSTEMS SURFACE TEMPERATURES (ESPECIALLY
AFTERNOON HIGHS) WILL REMAIN WELL BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...ACTIVE WEATHER WILL REMAIN FOCUSED FROM THE
NORTHERN BERING TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA WITH SYSTEMS JUST CLIPPING THE
EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE
WILL DOMINATE THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS SO STRATUS AND FOG WILL PERSIST.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A PATTERN CHANGE
WILL OCCUR IN THE MIDDLE TO END OF NEXT WEEK. ECMWF/GFS BOTH DEPICT
ENERGY FROM THE UPPER LOW SPLITTING AND MOVING IN OPPOSITE DIRECTIONS
HELPING TO ELONGATE INTO AN EAST-WEST TROUGH AT THE HIGHER LATITUDES.
THIS IN TURN WILL ALLOW A RIDGE TO BUILD OVER THE BERING SEA MID WEEK
AND HEAD EASTWARD TOWARD THE MAINLAND AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEK.
ENSEMBLES SUPPORT THIS GENERAL SCENARIO. IF THE PATTERN DOES EVOLVE
THIS WAY EXPECT THE SOUTHERN MAINLAND TO FINALLY SEE A FEW DAYS IN
A ROW OF DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER. THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND WESTERN
BERING SEA WOULD ALSO BECOME MORE ACTIVE ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE
RIDGE LATE NEXT WEEK.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...FLOOD ADVISORY 145.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB AUG 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 5, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC36 hr
Aug 5, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Aug 6, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.