Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 490, NWS Anchorage, AK

July 17, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 17, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT. It was in force for 48 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 17, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT (12:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
48 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

476 
FZAK51 PAFC 171136
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-180300-
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY SUN
AFTERNOON. A 1007 MB LOW 110 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY SUN
AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO MIDDLETON ISLAND BY MON MORNING AND THEN 
TO 90 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT BY LATE MON NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-180300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
MIDDLETON ISLAND NORTH...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
MIDDLETON ISLAND NORTH...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-180300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-180300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-180300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-180300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-180300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-180300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-180300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 KT N OF KALGIN 
ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND.
RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-180300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$
4 follow-up statements
094 
FZAK51 PAFC 172302
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-181500-
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 1008 MB LOW 30 NM NORTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTH OF
YAKUTAT MON MORNING THEN DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA TUE
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ120-181500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT NEAR GORE POINT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 8
FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-181500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ125-181500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-181500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-181500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WIND 10 KT NEAR KAMISHAK
BAY. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-181500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS
POINT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-181500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-181500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NORTH OF
KALGIN ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT.
AREAS OF FOG. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-181500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
AREAS OF FOG. RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$
267 
FZAK51 PAFC 181124
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-190300-
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1008 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTH 
OF CAPE SUCKLING BY TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN TO 100 NM SOUTH OF 
YAKUTAT BY LATE TUE NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-190300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SW OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE 
AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT W WIND 25 KT SW OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 7 FT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-190300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-190300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-190300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-190300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-190300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT ALONG THE COAST N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT ALONG THE COAST N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-190300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-190300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO W 15 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-190300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT OR LESS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
487 
FZAK51 PAFC 182310
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-191500-
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1008 MB LOW 50 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTH
OF CAPE SUCKLING TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE NIGHT.
$$

PKZ120-191500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N AND E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. S AND W OF
MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N AND E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. S AND W OF MIDDLETON
ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-191500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-191500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-191500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
25 KT DEVELOPING NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-191500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-191500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-191500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-191500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-191500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

JAM
787 
FZAK51 PAFC 191134
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-200300-
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1007 MB LOW NEAR CORDOVA WILL MOVE TO CAPE SPENCER BY LATE TONIGHT
THEN DISSIPATE WED MORNING. A 1008 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO
230 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND TO 140 NM SOUTH
OF SITKA LATE TONIGHT AT 1003 MB AND THEN MOVE WELL EAST OF THE AREA
WED MORNING. A 1008 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK EARLY WED MORNING WILL MOVE
TO KODIAK CITY BY LATE WED NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-200300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-200300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-200300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-200300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-200300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 
WIND LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-200300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY NOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-200300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-200300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ141-200300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 16, 5:00 PM AKDT, 11 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 5:00 PM AKDT, 11 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GENERALLY GOOD AGREEMENT. THE GFS
PROGRESSES A LOW ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS MONDAY NIGHT SLIGHTLY FASTER
THAN THE NAM AND EC. NAM EC SOLUTION HAS BETTER RUN TO RUN
CONSISTENCY AS WAS PREFERRED THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. CONSISTENCY IS
LACKING IN THE LONG TERM LOWERING CONFIDENCE IN ANY ONE
SOLUTION...LEANED TOWARDS HPC GUIDANCE IN THE EXTENDED.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED OVER THE
SEWARD PENINSULA REMAINS RELATIVELY STATIONARY THROUGH SUNDAY THEN
BEGINS TO SLOWLY TRACK SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE STATE...MOVING INTO
THE GULF BY TUESDAY MORNING. STACKED LOW NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL
MOVE EASTERLY ACROSS THE BERING DRAGGING A FRONT ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS
IN THE PROCESS. FOLLOWING THIS LOW...HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN OVER
THE ALEUTIANS SUNDAY NIGHT. THE RIDGE WILL QUICKLY MOVE TO THE EAST
AND BE OVER THE GULF AND SOUTHCENTRAL BY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

FOR THE EAST...COLD ADVECTION IN THE UPPER LEVELS WILL INCREASE
AIRMASS INSTABILITY ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA. THERE WILL BE A
CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS PRIMARILY IN THE MOUNTAINS AND A CHANCE FOR
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SUSITNA AND MATANUSKA VALLEYS AND THE
COPPER RIVER BASIN BOTH TODAY AND TOMORROW. SHORT WAVE TROUGHS
EMBEDDED IN THE CYCLONIC UPPER LEVEL FLOW WILL ENHANCE SHOWER
ACTIVITY...FIRST WAVE PASSES OVER THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON...SECOND
ARRIVES EARLY TOMORROW EVENING.

.FOR THE WEST...SOUTHWEST MAINLAND ALASKA WILL BE PRIMARILY RAIN FREE
FOR TODAY UNTIL THE NEXT SHORT WAVE MOVES IN FROM THE LATE TONIGHT.
RAIN SHOWERS WILL BEGIN OVERNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.
FURTHER WEST...AS THE LOW IN THE SOUTHWESTERN BERING AND ITS
ASSOCIATED FRONT CONTINUE TO TRACK EAST RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE SEEN
THROUGHOUT THE ALEUTIANS. HIGH PRESSURE FOLLOWING THIS LOW WILL CAUSE
FOG TO BECOME THE PRIMARY CONCERN FOR THE ALEUTIANS.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE NORTH PACIFIC HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BE A
DOMINANT FEATURE AND THIS WILL HELP TO KEEP FLOW OVER THE STATE ZONAL
BRINGING AN ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE BERING INTO MAINLAND
ALASKA.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

DWK/ASB JUL 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Jul 17, 4:00 AM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Jul 17, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC9 days

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.