Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011
Small Craft Advisory 488, NWS Anchorage, AK
NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 16, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 60 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 19, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
- In force
- 60 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Anchorage, AK
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
810 FZAK51 PAFC 162301 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-171500- 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL PERSIST ALONG THE NORTHERN AND EASTERN GULF COAST. A WEAK WEATHER FRONT PASSES OVER KODIAK ISLAND SUN MORNING AND STALLS OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MON MORNING. $$ PKZ120-171500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN AND SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ121-171500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...S WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-171500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-171500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-171500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-171500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 7 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON THROUGH THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ138-171500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SUN...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-171500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SUN NIGHT THROUGH MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-171500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SUN...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
5 follow-up statements
476 FZAK51 PAFC 171136 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-180300- 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH EARLY SUN AFTERNOON. A 1007 MB LOW 110 NM NORTHWEST OF KODIAK CITY SUN AFTERNOON WILL MOVE TO MIDDLETON ISLAND BY MON MORNING AND THEN TO 90 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT BY LATE MON NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-180300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TODAY...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. MIDDLETON ISLAND NORTH...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. MIDDLETON ISLAND NORTH...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED AND THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ121-180300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-180300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-180300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-180300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ132-180300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT AND MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED AND THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ138-180300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .MON NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE AND WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ140-180300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY... .TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT...DIMINISHING TO 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. RAIN. .MON...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT EXCEPT 3 FT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-180300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
094 FZAK51 PAFC 172302 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-181500- 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1008 MB LOW 30 NM NORTH OF KODIAK WILL MOVE TO 90 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT MON MORNING THEN DISSIPATE OVER SOUTHEAST ALASKA TUE AFTERNOON. $$ PKZ120-181500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .MON...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT NEAR GORE POINT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT EXCEPT 25 KT W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ121-181500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .MON NIGHT THROUGH TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-181500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-181500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 1 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT THROUGH FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ130-181500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE WIND 10 KT NEAR KAMISHAK BAY. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ132-181500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS POINT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ138-181500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 7 FT. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-181500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT... .TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .MON...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT SW 15 KT N OF KALGIN ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .MON NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-181500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT SUN JUL 17 2011 .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. AREAS OF FOG. RAIN. .MON AND MON NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$
267 FZAK51 PAFC 181124 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-190300- 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1008 MB LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING BY TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN TO 100 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BY LATE TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-190300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SW OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT W WIND 25 KT SW OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. SEAS 4 FT EXCEPT 7 FT S OF MIDDLETON ISLAND. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ121-190300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-190300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU AND FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-190300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .THU AND FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-190300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT AND TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-190300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT ALONG THE COAST N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS 7 FT EXCEPT 4 FT ALONG THE COAST N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ138-190300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ140-190300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DECREASING TO W 15 KT AROUND MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU AND FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ141-190300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT OR LESS AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUE...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. .TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$
487 FZAK51 PAFC 182310 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-191500- 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1008 MB LOW 50 NM WEST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTH OF CAPE SUCKLING TUE AFTERNOON AND THEN DISSIPATE. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE WESTERN GULF TUE NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-191500- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...N AND E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. S AND W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE...N AND E OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. S AND W OF MIDDLETON ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. .TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ121-191500- RESURRECTION BAY 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. .TUE...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-191500- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. .TUE...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-191500- PASSAGE CANAL 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 25 KT DEVELOPING NEAR WHITTIER AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SHOWERS. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED THROUGH THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-191500- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU AND FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ132-191500- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. $$ PKZ138-191500- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. .TUE...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TUE NIGHT AND WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ140-191500- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. .TUE...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI AND SAT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. $$ PKZ141-191500- KACHEMAK BAY 400 PM AKDT MON JUL 18 2011 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT... .TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT. .TUE...W WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TUE NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. $$ JAM
787 FZAK51 PAFC 191134 CWFAER COASTAL WATERS FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET. WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT. PKZ197-200300- 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+ COOK INLET... A 1007 MB LOW NEAR CORDOVA WILL MOVE TO CAPE SPENCER BY LATE TONIGHT THEN DISSIPATE WED MORNING. A 1008 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK WILL MOVE TO 230 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND THIS AFTERNOON AND TO 140 NM SOUTH OF SITKA LATE TONIGHT AT 1003 MB AND THEN MOVE WELL EAST OF THE AREA WED MORNING. A 1008 MB LOW NEAR CHIGNIK EARLY WED MORNING WILL MOVE TO KODIAK CITY BY LATE WED NIGHT. $$ PKZ120-200300- CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ121-200300- RESURRECTION BAY 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT OR LESS. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ125-200300- PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NW 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ129-200300- PASSAGE CANAL 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 2 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. .FRI...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. $$ PKZ130-200300- BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ132-200300- SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT BY NOON. SEAS 5 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. .WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. .FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. $$ PKZ138-200300- SHELIKOF STRAIT 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. .SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. $$ PKZ140-200300- COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. .THU THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$ PKZ141-200300- KACHEMAK BAY 400 AM AKDT TUE JUL 19 2011 .TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT BY AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. .TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT. .WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. .WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. .THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. .FRI AND SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 16, 5:40 AM AKDT, 10 hours 20 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 5:40 AM AKDT, 10 hours 20 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK 540 AM AKDT SAT JUL 16 2011 .ANALYSIS... .UPPER LEVELS...A COLD CORE LOW IS CURRENTLY CENTERED OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND COVERS MUCH OF WESTERN MAINLAND ALASKA. A BROAD UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE STRETCHES ACROSS THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY AND SUSITNA VALLEY AND IS SUPPORTING SHOWERS THIS MORNING. THIS SAME SHORTWAVE HAS THE POTENTIAL TO SUPPORT CONVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A SECOND MORE DYNAMIC LOW IS LOCATED IN THE BERING TO THE NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA. A RIDGE COVERS THE NORTH PACIFIC AND GULF OF ALASKA. .AT THE SURFACE...A 1003 MB LOW IS LOCATED BENEATH THE UPPER LEVEL COLD CORE LOW OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA. A 998 MB LOW IS LOCATED BENEATH THE LOW TO THE NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA AND IS GRADUALLY WEAKENING. THE THERMAL TROUGH HAS NOW RETREATED TO THE NORTH OF THE ALASKA RANGE. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS BEGINNING TO BUILD INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BEHIND THE SHOWERS PROGRESSING INTO THE SUSITNA VALLEY. .MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN THE SHORT TERM BUT HAVE BEEN SHOWING POOR RUN TO RUN CONSISTENCY. MODELS HAVE BEEN TOO SLOW IN CAPTURING THE PROGRESSION OF THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE THAT IS MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION AND ARE NOW SPEEDING UP THE PROGRESSING OF A SECOND WAVE FOLLOWING ON ITS HEELS. IN THE LONG TERM...MODELS DIVERGE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE BERING...SO CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW. CONFIDENCE REMAINS HIGHER OVER THE EASTERN FORECAST AREAS WHERE THE NORTH PACIFIC RIDGE IS A MUCH MORE STABLE FEATURE. .SHORT TERM FORECAST... .SOUTHCENTRAL...A BROAD UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IS PROGRESSING ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL THIS MORNING...BRINGING THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS TO MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS TO THE SUSITNA AND MATANUSKA VALLEYS AND COPPER RIVER BASIN. THE SHORTWAVE SHOULD ADVECT ENOUGH COLD AIR TO SUPPORT DECENT LAPSE RATES AND CAPE IN THESE REGIONS. IN THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL...BOTH A LACK OF MOISTURE AND WARMING OF MID-LEVELS BY AFTERNOON WILL LIMIT CONVECTION. SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT OF MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON TODAY DUE TO THE STRONG SUBSIDENCE BEHIND THIS SHORTWAVE. A SECOND MORE POTENT SHORTWAVE WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS TO MUCH OF THE SOUTHCENTRAL REGION BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON INTO MONDAY. .SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ARE COVERING THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THE UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE. HOWEVER...LOCAL PATCHY FOG HAS BEEN FORMING IN THE BRISTOL BAY REGION THIS MORNING DUE TO THE CLEARING OVERNIGHT AND EVENING SHOWERS. MID-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AS THE NEXT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM APPROACHES AND RAIN WILL BEGIN TO IMPACT MUCH OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND BY TONIGHT. .BERING AND ALEUTIANS...A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM NORTHEAST OF SHEMYA WILL BRING RAIN TO THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TODAY. SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO BE A POSSIBLE THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THIS LOW MOVES TOWARDS THE SOUTHWEST ALASKA MAINLAND. WHILE THIS SYSTEM HAS A GOOD MOISTURE SUPPLY...NO GALE FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO OCCUR ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS THIS WEEKEND. .LONG TERM FORECAST...THE NORTH PACIFIC HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO BE A DOMINANT FEATURE FOR THE EASTERN FORECAST ZONES IN THE LONG TERM. TROUGHING AND UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE BERING. .AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY PUBLIC...NONE MARINE...NONE FIRE WEATHER...NONE ELN JUL 11
The office that day
Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 17, 4:00 AM AKDT | Gale Warning | AFC | 12 hr | |
| Jul 17, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 9 days | |
| Jul 17, 4:00 AM AKDT | Small Craft Advisory | AFC | 48 hr |
Nearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.