Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 457, NWS Anchorage, AK

July 5, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Jul 5, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 5, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Jul 6, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

509 
FZAK51 PAFC 052306
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-061500-
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1006 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE EAST AND DISSIPATE
WED NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE IN THE WESTERN GULF WILL MOVE INTO THE
CENTRAL GULF WED NIGHT AND THU. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE INTO 
THE SOUTHWEST GULF THU.
$$

PKZ120-061500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-061500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 
LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ125-061500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-061500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING W AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS 
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-061500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

PKZ132-061500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. AREAS OF FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ138-061500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-061500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 20 KT BY LATE EVENING. 
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ141-061500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.WED...S WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  
$$
4 follow-up statements
116 
FZAK51 PAFC 061146
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1015 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE TO THE AK PANHANDLE
WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL
MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH FRI. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE TO
THE SOUTHWEST GULF THU MORNING...THEN STALL AND WEAKEN OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF ON FRI.
$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
657 
FZAK51 PAFC 061629 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...AMENDED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
830 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

AMENDED AREA 129

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1015 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE TO THE AK PANHANDLE
WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL
MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH FRI. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE TO
THE SOUTHWEST GULF THU MORNING...THEN STALL AND WEAKEN OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF ON FRI.
$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
830 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
355 
FZAK51 PAFC 062023 AAB
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...AMENDED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1220 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

AMENDED AREA 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-070300-
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 1015 MB LOW 280 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT WILL MOVE TO THE AK PANHANDLE
WED NIGHT AND DISSIPATE. HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE WESTERN GULF WILL
MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF THROUGH FRI. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE TO
THE SOUTHWEST GULF THU MORNING...THEN STALL AND WEAKEN OVER THE
CENTRAL GULF ON FRI.
$$

PKZ120-070300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-070300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-070300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ129-070300-
PASSAGE CANAL
830 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-070300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-070300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-070300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-070300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.THU NIGHT AND FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. 
.SAT AND SUN...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.   

$$

PKZ141-070300-
KACHEMAK BAY
1220 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO LESS THAN 10
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$
319 
FZAK51 PAFC 062301
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-071500-
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CENTRAL GULF WILL MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF
FRI. A WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE TO THE SOUTHWEST GULF THU MORNING AND
THEN STALL AND WEAKEN OVER THE CENTRAL GULF FRI.

$$

PKZ120-071500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-071500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH MON...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-071500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. STRONGER SW WIND 20 KT THROUGH MONTAGUE
STRAIT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-071500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-071500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. STRONGER GUSTS 30 KT WEST OF THE BARREN
ISLANDS IN THE EVENING. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-071500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.THU NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-071500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. 
.THU AND THU NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SUN THROUGH MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-071500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-071500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT WED JUL 6 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jul 5, 4:00 PM AKDT, 0 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 5, 4:00 PM AKDT, 0 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT TUE JUL 5 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...THE BROAD UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS OVER
THE STATE WITH A SIGNIFICANT COLE CENTER OVER THE NORTHERN BERING SEA
AND A SECOND ONE IN THE NORTHEAST GULF. THE MEAN TROUGH POSITION
BETWEEN THESE CENTERS HAS SHIFTED NORTHWARD ALLOWING AN UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE TO DEVELOP OVER BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY. THIS
RIDGE WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THE MAIN UPPER LOW
IN THE BERING SEA WILL NOT MOVE MUCH...STAYING IN THE NORTHERN BERING
SEA INTO THE WEEKEND.
AT THE SURFACE THERE IS AN UNSEASONALLY STRONG LOW AND FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LOW IN THE BERING SEA. VISIBLE SATELLITE
SHOWS THE WELL DEVELOPED FRONTAL STRUCTURE AND ENOUGH SUBSIDENCE
BEHIND THE FRONT TO CLEAR OUT THE STRATUS IN THE NORTHWEST BERING
SEA.
A LOW IN THE EASTERN GULF SHOWS UP NICELY ON VISIBLE SATELLITE. THIS
LOW WILL MOVE SLOWLY EASTWARD AND WEAKEN. THERE IS ENOUGH OF A SWELL
BEING GENERATED BY THIS LOW TO GENERATE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SEAS
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODELS CONTINUE TO BE IN GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT
ON THE MAJOR FEATURES ARE NOT IN GOOD ALIGNMENT WITH THE MEANDERING
NATURE OF THE BERING SEA LOW AND ALSO WITH THE TRIPLE POINT LOW
DEVELOPING SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND
THURSDAY. THE EC HAD THE BEST INITIALIZATION FROM THE SET OF 12Z
MODEL RUNS AND THE EC NAM AND GFS ALL WERE A LITTLE DIFFERENT IN THE
EXACT MOVEMENT OF THE LOW. SINCE THIS MOVEMENT IS SO SLOW AND IT
ESSENTIALLY WILL REMAIN IN THE VICINITY OF ST MATTHEW ISLAND FOR THE
NEXT FEW DAYS THE MAIN IMPACT WILL BE FOR THE WIND DIRECTION IN THE
MARINE AREAS OF THE BERING SEA.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE ATMOSPHERE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA IS UNSTABLE TODAY WITH
THUNDERSTORMS ALREADY DEVELOPING EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE
NORTHERN COPPER RIVER BASIN. THOUGH THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BEEN UNSTABLE
QUITE A BIT LATELY DUE TO THE PERSISTENT COLD AIR ALOFT THERE HAS
GENERALLY NOT BEEN ENOUGH OF A TRIGGER TO GET THUNDERSTORMS GOING.
THERE IS A BETTER TRIGGER TODAY WITH LARGE AREAS OF CLEARING ALLOWING
THE LOW LEVEL LIFT TO BE GREATER THAN MANY OTHER DAYS. THEREFORE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING PRESENTS A GOOD CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP IN THE SUSITNA AND MATANUSKA VALLEY AS WELL AS THE COPPER
RIVER BASIN. THERE MAY EVEN BE A FEW ALONG THE CHUGACH AND KENAI
MOUNTAINS. WEST OF THE ALASKA RANGE THE ATMOSPHERE QUICKLY BECOMES
MORE STABLE AND KEEPING THE CONVECTION TO NOTHING MORE THAN A FEW
SHOWERS ALONG THE MOUNTAINS.
PRECIPITATION ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA COAST WILL SLOWLY SPREAD
EASTWARD OVERNIGHT AND MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY REGION BY TOMORROW
MORNING.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...THE OVERALL PATTERN IS SLOW TO CHANGE AS THE
DOMINANT WEATHER FEATURE...THE COLD UPPER LEVEL LOW IN THE BERING
SEA...DOES NOT MOVE MUCH. THERE IS A BIT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO HOW FAR
SOUTH AND EAST IT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WEEKEND SO THAT IS A FACTOR
IN THE FORECAST. WHAT LOOKS LIKELY IS THAT IT WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH
COOL SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA AND KEEP RAIN AND SHOWERS
IN THE AREA THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK. A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL
DEVELOP NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND MOVE TOWARD THE
WESTERN GULF THURSDAY. WHILE THIS LOW WILL BE WEAK IT WILL HAVE A
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH IT THAT WILL BRING CLOUDS AND MOISTURE BACK
INTO SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA. THE BIG QUESTION ABOUT THE SOUTH CENTRAL
FORECAST IS WHETHER THERE WILL BE ENOUGH SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT TO
COUNTERACT THE SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL FLOW THAT WILL PRODUCE DOWNSLPOING
ON THE LEEWARD SIDE OF MOUNTAINS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE 160 180.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

JUL 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 5, 4:00 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Jul 5, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr
Jul 6, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC24 hr
Jul 6, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC60 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.