Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2011

Small Craft Advisory 215, NWS Anchorage, AK

March 21, 2011

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this small craft advisory at Mar 21, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT. It was in force for 12 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Mar 21, 2011, 4:00 PM AKDT (00:00 UTC)
Expired
Mar 22, 2011, 4:00 AM AKDT
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

668 
FZAK51 PAFC 212326
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221500-
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A WEAK WEATHER FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF TONIGHT. A 1000
MB LOW DEVELOPS LATE TUE MORNING OVER SITKINAK ISLAND AND THEN MOVES
75 NM NORTHEAST OF KODAK CITY TUE NIGHT AT 996 MB AND THEN DISSIPATES
WED AS IT MOVES OVER THE BARREN ISLANDS.
$$

PKZ120-221500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF MONTAGUE
ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT E 30 KT NEAR THE COAST E OF
MONTAGUE ISLAND. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ121-221500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. SNOW AND
RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.  
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-221500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
BUILDING TO 5 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ129-221500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 1 FOOT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS.  

$$

PKZ130-221500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT LATE EVENING. SEAS 6
FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-221500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TUE...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-221500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.TONIGHT...S WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.WED AND WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 

$$

PKZ140-221500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.THU AND FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-221500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT OR LESS. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

JAM MAR 11
1 follow-up statement
074 
FZAK51 PAFC 221142
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230300-
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 998 MB LOW 85 NM NORTHWEST OF SITKINAK WILL MOVE TO NEAR KODIAK
CITY THIS AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE WED MORNING. A 996 MB LOW 220 NM
SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND LATE TONIGHT WILL MOVE TO 90 NM NORTHEAST
OF KODIAK CITY AT 998 MB LATE WED NIGHT. 
$$

PKZ120-230300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-230300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-230300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-230300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.WED NIGHT AND THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 

$$

PKZ130-230300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.TODAY...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ132-230300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-230300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WINDS LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-230300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW
AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-230300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKDT TUE MAR 22 2011

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT AND WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.WED NIGHT AND THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Mar 21, 1:00 PM AKDT, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 21, 1:00 PM AKDT, 3 hours before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
100 PM AKDT MON MAR 21 2011

.MODEL DISCUSSION...GFS NAM AND EC ALL IN REASONABLE AGREEMENT ON
SURFACE WEATHER FEATURES IN THE SHORT TERM. ALL MODELS HAVE A LOW IN
THE CENTRAL BERING WHICH BY TUE AFTERNOON IS NEAR NUNIVAK
ISLAND...SOME VARIANCE IN ACTUAL TRACK BUT GENERAL IDEA IS FRONT
MOVES THROUGH SOUTHWEST ZONES OVERNIGHT WITH LOW CENTER MOVING NW.
ALL MODELS ALSO DEVELOP A WEAK LOW OVER KODIAK ISLAND TUE EVENING
WHICH THEN MOVES OVER THE BARREN ISLANDS AS IT WEAKENS ON WED NIGHT.A
WEAK NORTH PAC LOW GRAZES THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS WED
AFTERNOON BUT MINIMAL IMPACT.

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...A SERIES OF WEAK FRONTS ARE MOVING NE
ACROSS MUCH OF THE AOR. LOOKS AS IF FRONT THAT MOVES ONSHORE IN
SOUTHWEST ZONES THIS EVENING WILL PRODUCE WIDESPREAD SNOW AND RAIN
WEST OF 155W.  MODERATE STRONG ZONAL FLOW DEVELOPING ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN HALF OF THE BERING AND ALEUTIANS BUT PRIMARY FORCING SHOULD
REMAIN SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS LATER IN THE WEEK.  FRONT IN NORTHWEST
GULF WILL WEAKEN TONIGHT.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
BERING SEA REGION...SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH MODERATE
WEST WINDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

SOUTHWEST...CONTINUED SNOW AND RAIN AS NEXT FRONT MOVES ONSHORE LATER
THIS EVENING. EXPECT MODERATE TO STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS THROUGH TUE
MORNING...HENCE LOW VISIBILITIES AT TIMES.  CONDITIONS IMPROVING ON
WED.

SOUTHCENTRAL...MODELS INDICATING THE MAIN FRONT SLOWING DOWNING ONCE
IT ENTERS THE WESTERN GULF ON TUE EVENING. SNOW AND RAIN ON TAP FOR
KODIAK WITH SOME PRECIP ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF COAST BEGINNING TUE
MORNING.  BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIP FOR INLAND AREAS BEGINNING EARLY WED
AS LOW CENTER MOVES FROM KODIAK OVER THE BARREN ISLANDS. EXPECT
MODERATE EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS LATE TUE NIGHT THROUGH WED MID DAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...MAIN WEATHER FEATURE FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE
WEEK IS A NORTH PACIFIC LOW THAT TRAVELS EASTWARD ALONG 51N AND INTO
THE SOUTHERN GULF. MINIMAL IMPACT IN CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WED AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING. A WEEK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE
OVER THE EASTERN BERING MAY GENERATE WIDESPREAD CLOUDS AND SCATTERED
PRECIP FOR SOUTHWESTERN ZONES THURSDAY. NEXT SUBSTANTIAL WEATHER
SYSTEM IS PROGED TO MOVE NEAR 50N 175W THURSDAY NIGHT BUT ONCE AGAIN
LOOKS AS IT MAY STAY SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS...BIGGEST IMPACT WOULD BE
NORTHWEST WINDS ON THE BACKSIDE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE
MARINE... GALES 170 172
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JMP MAR 11

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 21, 4:00 PM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC4 days
Mar 22, 4:00 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC5 days
Mar 22, 8:35 AM AKDTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC31 hr
Mar 22, 12:20 PM AKDTGale WarningAFC16 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2011Every small craft advisory in 2011

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.