Gale Warning 850, NWS Anchorage, AK

856 
FZAK51 PAFC 110020
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-111500-
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 990 MB LOW 75 NM SOUTHEAST OF CORDOVA WILL MOVE INLAND NEAR YAKUTAT
AT SAME INTENSITY THU EVENING. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE
WESTERN GULF THU EVENING AND MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON.
A 974 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 130 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY FRI EVENING AND
STRENGTHEN TO 969 MB NEAR YAKUTAT BY SAT MIDDAY.
$$

PKZ120-111500-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT TOWARDS MORNING. SEAS
12 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  
$$

PKZ121-111500-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT MAINLY IN THE EVENING. SEAS 4
FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
$$

PKZ125-111500-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
SNOW.
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  
$$

PKZ129-111500-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.SAT THROUGH SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
$$

PKZ130-111500-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF THE
BARREN ISLANDS...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
$$

PKZ132-111500-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ138-111500-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN
AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8
FT BUILDING TO 14 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ140-111500-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND...VARIABLE WIND 10
KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN
ISLAND...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
$$

PKZ141-111500-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 PM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT EARLY EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  
$$

898 
FZAK51 PAFC 111223
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-120300-
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN GULF THU EVENING AND
MOVE TO THE EASTERN GULF FRI AFTERNOON. A 972 MB LOW WILL DEVELOP 
60 NM EAST OF KODIAK CITY FRI EVENING AND MOVE ONSHORE NEAR ICY 
CAPE SAT MORNING. 
$$

PKZ120-120300-
CAPE SUCKLING TO GORE POINT
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 15 KT AROUND
NOON...THEN BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT BY LATE EVENING. MIDDLETON
ISLAND SOUTHWARD...WIND SHIFTING TO W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ121-120300-
RESURRECTION BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS BY 
LATE MORNING. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS 
S OF CAINES HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 5 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF 
CAINES HEAD.  
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 

$$

PKZ125-120300-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 3 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT AFTER 
MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES 
IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. 
SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ129-120300-
PASSAGE CANAL
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO W 15 KT OR LESS BY LATE
MORNING...THEN BECOMING E 15 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 
35 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE EARLY MORNING. SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING 
TO 2 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS BUILDING TO 4 FT DURING THE EVENING THEN SUBSIDING TO 2 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT NEAR WHITTIER IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 55 KT NEAR WHITTIER. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ130-120300-
BARREN ISLANDS AND KAMISHAK BAY WATERS
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 9 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
W OF THE BARREN ISLANDS...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ132-120300-
SHUYAK ISLAND TO SITKINAK
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT BY EARLY AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON AND TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ138-120300-
SHELIKOF STRAIT
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT 
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ140-120300-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KAMISHAK BAY AND ENGLISH BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT
BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...
SEAS 4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS. FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 9 FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF KALGIN ISLAND...SW WIND
30 KT...SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ141-120300-
KACHEMAK BAY
400 AM AKST FRI NOV 11 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 2 FT BUILDING TO 4 FT. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.SAT...SW WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
430 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
DEEP POLAR VORTEX OVER CHUKCHI SEA WITH A PROGRESSIVE PATTERN IN
PLACE ACROSS ALASKA. A STRONG TROUGH ROTATING THROUGH THE NORTHERN
BERING PRODUCED A VERY STRONG STORM THAT MOVED THROUGH THE BERING
YESTERDAY AND INTO THE CHUKCHI THIS AFTERNOON. THIS STORM PRODUCED
COASTAL FLOODING AND DAMAGING WINDS TO THE WEST COAST OF ALASKA. THE
STRONG WESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE STORM WILL CONTINUE TO BRING THE
THREAT OF HIGH SEAS AND SURGE TO THE WEST COAST THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. A SECONDARY WAVE IS MOVING THROUGH THE WESTERN BERING THIS
AFTERNOON AS WELL ENHANCING THE WESTERLY FLOW. THIS WAVE IS
ACCOMPANIED BY A RELATIVELY STRONG JET STREAM OF 170KT AND WILL PUSH
TO THE COAST TONIGHT. A WEAKER WAVE IS RIDING ALONG THE JET AND WILL
MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA TONIGHT.

THE RIDGE OVER SOUTH CENTRAL ALASKA HAS BROKEN DOWN AND CLOUDS HAVE
FILTERED INTO THE AREA. AS THE NEXT WAVE MOVES INLAND TONIGHT ALONG
THE WEST COAST...A SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE GULF OF ALASKA
IN RESPONSE TO THE JET CORE AND THE WEAK WAVE MOVING INTO THE REGION.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
MODELS HAVE BEEN INITIALIZED WELL THIS MORNING WITH THE VERY LARGE
STORM IN THE NORTHERN BERING SEA. THE TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ALONG
THE NORTHERN GULF COAST HAS ALSO BEEN ANALYZED WELL. THE
PRECIPITATION AND WIND PATTERNS WERE ALSO ANALYZED WELL. THE MODEL
SPREAD IS QUITE LOW THROUGH FRIDAY. THIS IS WHEN THE POLAR VORTEX
BEGINS TO SHIFT EAST. HOWEVER...ALL THE MODELS HAVE AN AREA OF LOW
PRESSURE CONSISTENTLY OVER THE MAINLAND STRETCHING FROM THE EASTERN
BERING INTO THE YUKON THROUGH SUNDAY. A RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE BERING
MONDAY WITH A LINGERING LOW IN THE GULF AS THE POLAR VORTEX MOVES
INTO THE YUKON.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
A SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW AS A LOW DEVELOPS IN
THE GULF LATER TONIGHT. IN ADDITION...A SHORT WAVE TROUGH WILL RIP
THROUGH THE AREA PROVIDING EXTRA LIFT THURSDAY MORNING. THE
ORIENTATION OF THE JET STREAM ACROSS THE ALEUTIANS AND THE SPIN UP OF
THE LOW WILL BRING SOME MOIST AIR INTO THE REGION. SATELLITE IMAGERY
INDICATES AN ANOMALY OF MOISTURE WITH THIS DEVELOPING SYSTEM. IF WE
TAP INTO THE MOISTURE HEAVILY...SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE GREATER THAN
ADVERTISED. THE ONLY UNCERTAINTY IS THE TRACK OF THE LOW DEVELOPING
IN THE GULF. IF IT MOVES A BIT FARTHER EAST TOWARD CORDOVA...THE SNOW
IN ANCHORAGE WILL BE ABOUT HALF AS ADVERTISED. AS IT STANDS NOW...THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO TRACK INTO THE WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AREA.
SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 8 INCHES ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS THE
ANCHORAGE BOWL WITH THE HIGHEST AMOUNTS OVER THE MID AND UPPER
HILLSIDE. THE TROUGH THAT WILL BRING THE MORE INTENSE SNOWFALL
TOMORROW MORNING WILL ACT AS A SWEEPER AS WELL TOMORROW AFTERNOON. AS
THE AXIS OF THIS TROUGH MOVES THROUGH...STABLE AND DRIER AIR WILL
DOMINATE. WITH THE LOW EAST OF CORDOVA IN THE AFTERNOON AND HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING OVER THE MAINLAND...NORTH AND WEST GAP FLOWS WILL
BE STRONG. THE FLOW WILL WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AS THE HIGH IS
SHOVED EAST WITH ANOTHER LOW MOVING INTO BRISTOL BAY. ANOTHER LOW
WILL DEVELOP IN THE GULF FRIDAY EVENING AS THE BRISTOL LOW MOVES INTO
THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA. THIS COULD BE ANOTHER SNOW PRODUCER...BUT
UNCERTAINTY IS HIGHER WITH THIS STORM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
WILL EXPECT SOME TURNAGAIN ARM WIND WITH THIS STORM FRIDAY NIGHT
THOUGH. THE LOWS WILL LIFT INTO THE MAINLAND SATURDAY WITH AN AREA OF
LOW PRESSURE REMAINING INLAND THROUGH SUNDAY.

SOUTHWEST AND BERING SEA...
THE STRONG STORM IS ENDING THIS EVENING. HOWEVER...THE WESTERLY FLOW
REMAINS STRONG AND STORM SURGE WILL CONTINUE TO BE A PROBLEM THIS
EVENING. ANOTHER LOW WITH STRONG WESTERLY FLOW IS FOLLOWING THROUGH
THE BERING THIS AFTERNOON. THIS WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT OF COASTAL
STORM SURGE THROUGH THE NIGHT. THIS WAVE WILL ALSO BRING SOME HEAVIER
PRECIPITATION TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
TRAVERSE THE BERING TONIGHT AND INTO THE SOUTHWEST TOMORROW AHEAD OF
A DEVELOPING STORM OVER THE CENTRAL/WESTERN ALEUTIANS. THE LOW WILL
BE AROUND 980MB THURSDAY EVENING NEAR ADAK. HEAVY PRECIPITATION CAN
BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM. THERE IS A GOOD AMOUNT OF WARM ADVECTION
WITH THIS STORM AND PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE ALL RAIN ALONG THE
ALEUTIAN CHAIN THURSDAY NIGHT. THE WINDS WITH THIS STORM WILL BE
AROUND GALE FORCE AND DUE TO THE TRACK...STORM SURGE IS NOT EXPECTED
TO BE A PROBLEM. THE LOW WILL MOVE INTO BRISTOL BAY FRIDAY AT ROUGHLY
960MB. THERE MIGHT BE ENOUGH COLD AIR INLAND FOR SNOW AND BLOWING
SNOW FRIDAY NIGHT ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA. THE LOW WEAKENS TO 970MB
SATURDAY WITH LIGHTER WINDS AND PRECIPITATION AROUND SOUTHWEST ALASKA
AND THE EASTERN BERING SEA. THE REMAINS INLAND INTO SUNDAY BEFORE
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE BERING MONDAY.

EXTENDED...
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE INLAND AREAS MONDAY WITH A STRONG LOW
DEVELOPING WEST OF THE ALEUTIANS. THE WESTERN ALEUTIAN LOW WILL CREEP
EAST OVER TIME IN THE EXTENDED...BUT HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE
REMAINDER OF THE AREA INTO WEDNESDAY. NORTH AND WEST GAP FLOWS WILL
BE A PROBLEM IN THE EXTENDED. THE ALEUTIAN LOW SPREADS A FRONT INTO
THE WESTERN BERING SEA WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING...155
         SNOW ADVISORY...101
MARINE...STORM WARNING...179 412 414
         GALE WARNING....120 130 132 160 165 170 172 175 185
                         351 352 411 413
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

JN NOV 11