Gale Warning 848, NWS Anchorage, AK

171 
FZAK52 PAFC 091909 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1010 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

UPDATED ZONE 179

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-100300-
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 947 MB LOW 100 NM NORTHWEST OF GAMBELL MOVES ACROSS EASTERN RUSSIA
TODAY TO THE CHUKCHI SEA. A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE NORTHERN BERING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DISSIPATING.
A NORTH PACIFIC LOW INTENSIFIES TO 976 MB AS IT MOVES TO 150 NM SOUTH
OF SAINT PAUL THU NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10
FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-100300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-100300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16
FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 55 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-100300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-100300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-100300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

.TODAY...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-100300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-100300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
23 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-100300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 35 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 
30 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-100300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
1010 AM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 26
FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25
FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.  

$$

273 
FZAK52 PAFC 100036
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-101500-
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTHEASTERN BERING SEA THIS
EVENING AND DISSIPATE INLAND OVERNIGHT. THURSDAY AFTERNOON...A 985 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW DEVELOPS 300 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK AND MOVES TO 100
NM WEST OF CAPE NEWENHAM AT 957 MB FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS 10
FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-101500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-101500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT
SUBSIDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 60 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-101500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 55 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-101500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 21
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.THU...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.THU NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 60 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT BERING SIDE...12 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
BERING SIDE...10 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-101500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-101500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-101500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-101500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 27 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.THU NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-101500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST WED NOV 9 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 25
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.THU...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 60 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

518 
FZAK52 PAFC 101248
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-110300-
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 989 MB LOW 700 NM SOUTH OF ATTU INTENSIFIES TO 957 MB FRI AFTERNOON
AS IT MOVES INLAND NEAR KIPNUK. A STRONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER
THE WESTERN BERING FRI AFTERNOON REACHES THE EASTERN BERING FRI
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-110300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-110300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14
FT BUILDING TO 19 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.FRI...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-110300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
18 FT SUBSIDING TO 14 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 60 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-110300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 55 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-110300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 60 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-110300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT
BERING SIDE...11 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT PACIFIC SIDE...16 FT BERING SIDE.
RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-110300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT AND SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-110300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-110300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-110300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
16 FT. SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-110300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 22 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY IN THE MORNING. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 40 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW
ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-110300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST THU NOV 10 2011

...STORM WARNING FRIDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT BECOMING W 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.FRI NIGHT...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
315 PM AKST TUE NOV 8 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
THE HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN ACROSS THE STATE IS RESULTING IN A MAJOR
STORM OVER THE WESTERN BERING SEA. OUT EAST...A SHARP TROF HAS HELPED
TO DEVELOP A POTENT SURFACE LOW JUST SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND
THIS AFTERNOON. THIS TROF AXIS WHICH IS LOCATED OVER PRINCE WILLIAM
SOUND WILL BEGIN TO RAPIDLY MOVE TO THE EAST THIS EVENING IN RESPONSE
TO THE APPROACHING SYSTEM FROM THE WEST.

A TRANSIENT RIDGE IS PROVIDING MUCH OF SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE
SOUTHWESTERN INTERIOR FAIR WEATHER TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES RANGING 5
TO 10 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR.

THE REAL STORY IS THE INTENSIFYING MAJOR STORM IN THE WESTERN BERING.
ALL INDICATIONS TODAY ON SATELLITE AND FROM THE FEW OBSERVATIONS
AVAILABLE ACROSS THE BERING SEA ARE THAT THIS STORM IS AS
ADVERTISED...A MAJOR STORM WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR SIGNIFICANT
IMPACTS.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
OUT EAST...THE MODELS DID NOT INITIALIZE WELL ON THE DEFORMATION ZONE
EXTENDING FROM THE LOW NEAR MIDDLETON ISLAND. THE POSITION OF THIS
BAND AND THE SURFACE LOW ARE FURTHER WEST THAN THE MODELS DEPICT.
FORECAST ADJUSTMENTS INCLUDE MORE SNOW FALLING OVER SOUTHEASTERN
COPPER RIVER BASIN AND SOUTHEASTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT TOOK A BIT LONGER TO INCREASE ALONG THE
SOUND...DELAYING OUR BLIZZARD WARNING THROUGH THOMPSON PASS SEVERAL
HOURS.

WHILE THE INITIALIZATION IS POOR...MODELS ARE IN RELATIVELY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH ALL MAJOR FEATURES. THE FOCUS FOR THIS FORECAST
PACKAGE IS THE SHORT TERM AND THE WARNINGS/IMPACTS ASSOCIATED WITH
THE BERING LOW.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
SOUTHCENTRAL...
AS MENTIONED BEFORE...SOME MINOR MODIFICATIONS TO THE SHORT TERM
FORECAST BASED ON THE RADAR AND SATELLITE TRENDS. THE SNOW AND WIND
ASSOCIATED WITH THE LOW IN THE NORTHEASTERN GULF WILL QUICKLY
DIMINISH AND MOVE EAST THIS EVENING. THE ONLY FORECAST CHALLENGE FOR
THE EAST IS THE REMNANTS OF THE TROF OUT WEST AS IT CROSSES THE
ALASKA RANGE AND OVER SOUTHCENTRAL. THE SYSTEM WILL BE WELL OCCLUDED
BY THIS TIME. A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL DEVELOP NEAR KODIAK ISLAND
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE NORTHWESTERN GULF OVERNIGHT.
THE STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT AND ABUNDANT MOISTURE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE REMNANTS OF THIS HUGE SYSTEM WILL BE ENOUGH TO SPREAD SNOW
UP COOK INLET.

AT THIS TIME...EXPECTING LIGHT SNOW TO DEVELOP OVER THE SOUTHERN
KENAI PENINSULA WEDNESDAY MORNING AND SPREAD NORTH DURING THE DAY.
LIKE THE PREVIOUS STORMS...THERE COULD BE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVIER
SNOW BUT THERE ARE NO CLEAR INDICATIONS OF WHERE OR WHEN THAT WOULD
BE. SO FOR NOW...OUR FORECAST WILL MENTION ONLY LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS
THROUGH MID WEEK.

HIGH PRESSURE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THIS SYSTEM BUILDS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AS THE NEXT STORM DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS...BRINGING ANOTHER CHANCE OF SNOW BACK TO THE REGION LATE
IN THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST AND BERING SEA...
ALL THE ATTENTION SHOULD BE OUT WEST WHERE A 945 MB LOW RAPIDLY MOVES
TOWARD THE CHUKCHI SEA. WHILE THE MOST SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS WITH THIS
STORM WILL PLAY OUT IN FAIRBANKS AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY...STILL WORTH
MENTIONING THAT THIS IS A MAJOR STORM BRINGING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS
AND WAVES APPROACHING 40 FEET TO A GOOD PORTION OF THE BERING SEA.

CONDITIONS WILL RAPIDLY DETERIORATE OVER THE DELTA LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AS WINDS INCREASE AND SNOW BEGINS TO FALL. FEELING THAT
THERE IS STILL A VERY GOOD CHANCE OF BLIZZARD CONDITIONS FOR THE
INTERIOR PORTIONS OF THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA SO ISSUED A BLIZZARD WARNING
FOR THAT AREA WHILE LEAVING A HIGH WIND WARNING FOR THE COASTAL
COMMUNITIES. ALL MODEL GUIDANCE SUGGESTS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN IN
THE LOWER TO MID 20S THROUGH MIDNIGHT AS THE WINDS INCREASE TO 45 TO
60 MPH. ABOUT 6 INCHES OF SNOW ON THE GROUND HAS NOT FULLY CRUSTED
OVER WHICH WILL ALSO HELP REDUCE VISIBILITY AS WINDS INCREASE LATE
THIS AFTERNOON.

AS WINDS SHIFT FROM SOUTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST...WARMER AIR FLOWING OFF
THE OPEN WATER WILL FINALLY PUSH TEMPERATURES OVER FREEZING ENDING
THE THREAT FOR THE BLIZZARD. WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY...BUT DIMINISH
BELOW WARNING CRITERIA BY MORNING.

BRISTOL BAY WILL MOSTLY ESCAPE THIS STORM...WITH THE EXCEPTION OF A
BRIEF PERIOD OF SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW AS THE FRONT MOVES ONSHORE LATE
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY...BUT NOT NEARLY THE IMPACT THAT
AREAS NORTH WILL SEE.

THE ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA ARE SEEING THE WORST OF IT RIGHT NOW.
HIGH WIND WARNINGS ARE VERIFYING AS THE STORM AND ASSOCIATED FRONT
MARCH ACROSS THE REGION. CONDITIONS SLOWLY IMPROVE ACROSS THE BERING
OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS. THE NEXT LOW...ONLY PROGGED TO BE AT APPROX
985 MB WILL DEVELOP NEAR THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS LATER IN THE
WEEK...ALLOWING TIME FOR COASTAL COMMUNITIES IMPACTED BY THE MAJOR
STORM TO ASSESS ANY DAMAGE AND BEGIN THE CLEANUP PROCESS.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING...155 195
         BLIZZARD WARNING...131 155
MARINE...HURRICANE FORCE WIND WARNING...180 185 412
         STORM WARNING...170 411 413 414
         GALE WARNING...120 127 128 129 130 132 150 155 160 165 171
                        172 175 176 179
FIRE WEATHER...NONE

AB NOV 11