Gale Warning 786, NWS Anchorage, AK

301 
FZAK62 PAFC 031746 AAA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
945 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

UPDATED 412 413 414

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-040300-
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 975 MB LOW NEAR 58N 174W WILL MOVE INLAND OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA
BY EARLY EVENING AT 973 MB. A 995 MB LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA
THU AFTERNOON WILL TRACK TO NEAR 57N 175E FRI NIGHT AT 989 MB. A 997
MB LOW DEVELOPS NEAR 56N 175W FRI EVENING AND THEN STRENGTHENS TO 987
MB NEAR 58N 173W LATE FRI NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
945 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 35 TO 45 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT IN THE EVENING...BECOMING WEST 15 TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
945 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 TO 50 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
20 FT. 
.FRI AND FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-040300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
945 AM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 TO 45 KT BECOMING W 35 TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 TO 55 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 19
FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

292 
FZAK62 PAFC 032321
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-041500-
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 970 MB LOW NEAR 60N 166W MOVES INLAND OVER BETHEL THIS EVENING AND
DISSIPATES. A 996 MB LOW NEAR 55N 165E MOVES TO NEAR 57N 177E FRIDAY
NIGHT AND DISSIPATES. A 988 MB LOW DEVELOPS ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NEAR 57N 172W LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND MOVES TO NEAR 60N 168W SATURDAY
AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ411-041500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-041500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
18 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-041500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
19 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT. 
.FRI NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-041500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT THU NOV 3 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 50 KT TO 60 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.FRI...W WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT
SUBSIDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.FRI NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.  

$$

251 
FZAK62 PAFC 041137
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-050300-
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 995 MB LOW NEAR 55N 168E MOVES TO NEAR 57N 178E AT 988 MB FRIDAY
NIGHT AND DISSIPATES. A 985 MB LOW DEVELOPS ALONG A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
NEAR 58N 171W LATE FRIDAY NIGHT AND MOVES TO NEAR 59N 169W SATURDAY
AFTERNOON WHILE STRENGTHENING TO 971 MB. THIS LOW THEN MOVES TO NEAR
59N 165W LATE SAT NIGHT WHILE WEAKENING TO 976 MB. 

$$

PKZ411-050300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 15 TO 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N OF 56N...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. S OF 56N...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-050300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 15 TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 30 TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-050300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 TO 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-050300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

432 
FZAK62 PAFC 042331
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-051500-
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 993 MB LOW NEAR 57N 170E MOVES TO NEAR 59N 174W AT 977 MB SAT
MORNING AND MOVES NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM SAT NIGHT AT 973 MB...THEN MOVES
INLAND SUN MORNING. A LOW FORMS NEAR 48N 178E AT 1004 SUN MORNING AND
MOVES TO 49N 178W SUN AFTERNOON AT 999 MB.

$$

PKZ411-051500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. NORTH OF 56 N...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SAT...W WIND 40 KT. NORTH OF 56N...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-051500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...SW TO NW WIND 25 TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 30 TO 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-051500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT BUILDING TO 20 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-051500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT FRI NOV 4 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SAT...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

383 
FZAK62 PAFC 051124
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-060300-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 986 MB LOW NEAR 58N 174W MOVES INLAND OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE
SAT NIGHT AT 971 MB. A 1000 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO NEAR 48N
179E SUN MORNING AND THEN MOVES TO NEAR 52N 168W AT 993 MB LATE SUN
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N TO W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N TO W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

084 
FZAK62 PAFC 052123 AAA
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
125 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

UPDATED ZONE 412

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-060300-
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 986 MB LOW NEAR 58N 174W MOVES INLAND OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA LATE
SAT NIGHT AT 971 MB. A 1000 MB NORTH PACIFIC LOW MOVES TO NEAR 48N
179E SUN MORNING AND THEN MOVES TO NEAR 52N 168W AT 993 MB LATE SUN
NIGHT.

$$

PKZ411-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N TO W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N TO W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
125 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW TO NW WIND 40 TO 55 KT...EXCEPT N 25 KT W OF 176W.
SEAS 12 TO 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-060300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 TO 45 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18
FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.  

$$

706 
FZAK62 PAFC 052309
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-061500-
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 974 MB LOW NEAR 59N 169W WILL MOVE ONSHORE ALONG THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA SAT NIGHT AND THEN WEAKEN AS IT TRACKS INLAND SUN. A 
DEVELOPING PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 50N 177W SUN NIGHT AT 995 MB 
AND THEN TRACK TO 52N 160W MON AFTERNOON. 

$$

PKZ411-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF
175W...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-061500-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 PM AKDT SAT NOV 5 2011

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 50 KT BECOMING NW 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
SEAS 21 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
19 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

936 
FZAK62 PAFC 061209
OFFALU

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

OFFSHORE WATERS FORECAST FOR THE BERING SEA

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ499-070300-
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR CENTRAL BERING SEA...

A 976 MB LOW NEAR 60N 164W MOVES INLAND BY MIDDAY. A 1005 MB LOW NEAR
47N 174E INTENSIFIES TO 993 MB MON MORNING NEAR 54N 164W AND THEN
WEAKENS AS IT MOVES INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA BY MON NIGHT. A NORTH
PACIFIC LOW INTENSIFIES TO 960 MB MON NIGHT NEAR 54N 172E.

$$

PKZ411-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE WEST OF 180 AND EAST OF THE INTERNATIONAL
DATELINE
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 TO 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 50 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  

$$

PKZ412-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND NORTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING E IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT.  

$$

PKZ413-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE 171W TO 180 AND SOUTH OF 56N
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ414-070300-
BERING SEA OFFSHORE EAST OF 171W
400 AM AKST SUN NOV 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 60 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
345 PM AKDT WED NOV 2 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN IS PROGRESSIVE BUT
AMPLIFIED. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS A STRONG RIDGE EXTENDING FROM
THE NORTH CENTRAL PACIFIC UP INTO THE EASTERN BERING WITH HIGH
AMPLITUDE TROUGHS ON EITHER SIDE OF IT. THE SUBTROPICAL JET RIDES
UP AND OVER THIS RIDGE WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS ON THE DOWNSTREAM
SIDE. THIS IS CAUSING THE LOW THAT AFFECTED SOUTHCENTRAL AND THE
GULF YESTERDAY TO MAKE A RAPID EXIT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC.
THE PRESSURE GRADIENT REMAINS QUITE TIGHT ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL...
PARTIALLY DUE TO ARCTIC AIR ADVECTING ACROSS THE COASTAL MOUNTAIN
RANGES CAUSING LOWER PRESSURE ON THE LEE SIDE. SYNOPTIC SUBSIDENCE
ON THE POLEWARD SIDE OF THE SUBTROPICAL JET AND MORE FOCUSED
SUBSIDENCE WITH A SHORT-WAVE DROPPING THROUGH SOUTHCENTRAL THIS
MORNING ARE CONTRIBUTING TO MIXING DOWN OF STRONGER WINDS FROM
ALOFT. SO AFTER WINDS DIMINISHED A BIT OVERNIGHT THEY HAVE INCREASED
THIS MORNING IN MANY LOCATIONS.

THE NEXT MAJOR SYSTEM IS BEGINNING TO TAKE SHAPE OUT ACROSS THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA. A MODERATE STRENGTH LOW APPROACHING

THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS HAS BECOME VERY ELONGATED DUE TO THE STRONG
SOUTHERLY JET JUST TO ITS EAST. EXPECT TO SEE A TRIPLE POINT LOW
DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WELL NORTH OF THE PARENT LOW AND STRENGTHEN
WITH THE HELP OF THE UPPER JET.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...THERE ARE SOME MINOR POSITION DIFFERENCES WITH
TRACK OF LOWS WHICH WILL MAKE LITTLE DIFFERENCE TO THE FORECAST.
OTHERWISE...MODELS ARE IN VERY GOOD AGREEMENT AND SHOW GOOD
RUN-TO-RUN CONSISTENCY. FORECAST CONFIDENCE IS ABOVE AVERAGE
FOR THIS NEXT STORM SYSTEM.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...

SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...WINDS WILL DIE DOWN RAPIDLY ACROSS MOST OF
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST...HOLDING ON LONGEST ALONG COASTAL LOCATIONS.

A POWERFUL BERING SEA STORM WILL SEND A STRONG FRONT INTO THE GULF
AND SOUTHCENTRAL DURING THE DAY THURSDAY SO EXPECT CONDITIONS TO
RAPIDLY DETERIORATE. THE GREATEST IMPACT FROM THIS STORM WILL BE
STRONG WINDS. THE COMBINATION OF A STRONG FRONT AND TRACK OF THE
BERING SEE LOW TO SOUTHWEST ALASKA IT IS A CLASSIC SET-UP FOR HIGH
WINDS ALONG WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM AND HIGHER ELEVATIONS THURSDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT...SO WILL ISSUE A HIGH WIND WARNING WITH THE
NEW FORECAST PACKAGE. ALTHOUGH WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW
WARNING CRITERIA OVER THE REST OF THE LAND AREA...WIDESPREAD GALES
WILL AFFECT THE MARINE AREAS. WITH A COLD AIR MASS IN PLACE
PRECIPITATION WILL START AS SNOW IN MOST AREAS. THE COMBINATION OF
SNOW WITH INCREASING WINDS WILL RESULT IN AREAS OF LOW VISIBILITIES
IN BLOWING SNOW. HOWEVER...THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN COASTAL
LOCATIONS WHERE TEMPERATURES WILL WARM UP THE QUICKEST...SO EXPECT
THESE LOW VISIBILITIES TO BE SHORT-LIVED. THE WARMER AIR WILL ALSO
CHANGE SNOW TO RAIN ALONG THE COAST. THE SUSITNA VALLEY HOWEVER WILL
REMAIN ALL SNOW AND STRONG SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL
ENHANCE THE SNOWFALL OVER PORTIONS OF THE VALLEY. A WINTER WEATHER
ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THIS THREAT. THERE WILL BE SOME
INITIAL OVERRUNNING AHEAD OF THE FRONT WHICH COULD BRING SOME LIGHT
SNOW TO ANCHORAGE AND THE MAT VALLEY...BUT EXPECT STRONG SOUTHEAST
WINDS TO RAPIDLY DEVELOP AND CAUSE DOWNSLOPE DRYING. SO EXPECT
LITTLE OR NO SNOW ON THE LEE SIDE OF THE CHUGACH AND KENAI MOUNTAINS.

A TRIPLE POINT LOW WILL DEVELOP NORTHEAST OF KODIAK ISLAND THURSDAY
NIGHT WHICH WILL CAUSE LOW LEVEL FLOW TO BACK OVER INTERIOR
SOUTHCENTRAL AND DIMINISH SNOWFALL OR IN SOME AREAS CUT IT OFF
COMPLETELY. AS HAS OCCURRED WITH THE LAST COUPLE SYSTEMS IN THIS
AMPLIFIED FLOW ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE TRIPLE POINT
LOW BRINGING STORM FORCE WINDS TO THE WESTERN GULF AND LIKELY SOME
SNOW TO THE REST OF SOUTHCENTRAL AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.

SOUTHWEST ALASKA...STRONG WINDS AND MODERATE TO HEAVY PRECIPITATION
WILL ARRIVE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST LATE THIS EVENING INTO THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS AND SPREAD INLAND THURSDAY. PRECIP WILL INITIALLY
START AS SNOW WHICH WILL CAUSE BLOWING SNOW ISSUES. WARMER AIR WILL
QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE BRISTOL BAY COASTAL REGION SHORTLY AFTER PRECIP
ARRIVES WHICH WILL WARM TEMPERATURES TO NEAR FREEZING AND PREVENT
BLIZZARD CONDITIONS. THE WARMER AIR WILL TAKE LONGER TO REACH THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA COASTAL AREA...ESPECIALLY THE NORTHERN COAST UP TO
AROUND HOOPER BAY. THEREFORE...PLAN TO UPGRADE TO A BLIZZARD WARNING
FOR THE COAST. FOR INTERIOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA THERE WILL BE A AS MUCH
AS 9 TO 12 HOURS OF SNOW ACCUMULATION PRIOR TO ENOUGH WARM AIR MOVING
INTO TO CAUSE MIXING WITH RAIN OR A COMPLETE CHANGEOVER SO WILL
INCREASE TO ADVISORY AMOUNTS FOR THESE AREAS (6 INCHES OR MORE).
STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO MAKE IT INTO INTERIOR BRISTOL BAY AHEAD OF
THE FRONT. WITH TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO HOVER NEAR FREEZING FOR
MUCH OF THIS TIME WILL GO WITH A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY OVER A
BLIZZARD WARNING. COLD AIR IS HARD TO SCOUR OUT OF THE KUSKOKWIM
VALLEY SO AS WARM AIR OVERRIDES THIS COLD AIR COULD ALSO SEE SOME
FREEZING RAIN...BUT THE BULK OF PRECIP WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW.
THE LOW WILL TRACK ACROSS SOUTHWEST ALASKA TO THE INTERIOR ON FRIDAY
SO ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE BACK IN AND CHANGE ANY REMAINING PRECIP TO
SNOW.

BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...AN ALREADY STRONG SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL JET
AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT WILL STRENGTHEN FURTHER THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AS NEWLY FORMED TRIPLE POINT LOW DEEPENS. THE NAM
MODEL IS STRONGEST WITH 90 KT AT AROUND 850 MB...BUT THE OTHER
MODELS AREN'T FAR BEHIND. WITH UPWARD VERTICAL MOTION DON'T EXPECT
THESE WINDS TO REACH THE SURFACE BUT IT GIVES AN IDEA OF JUST HOW
STRONG THE LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL BE. MOUNTAIN WAVES AND GAP WINDS
WILL ADD TO ALREADY STRONG SYNOPTIC WINDS TO PRODUCE DANGEROUS
HIGH WINDS FROM THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS TO SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA
AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. WINDS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE LOW WILL
ALSO BE QUITE STRONG DUE TO WEAK COLD ADVECTION AND RAPID PRESSURE
RISES ON THE ORDER OF 2 TO 3 MB PER HOUR. THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN ALASKA PENINSULA TO REACH HIGH
WIND CRITERIA AGAIN...BUT WILL WAIT UNTIL THE CURRENT WARNINGS ARE
OVER BEFORE CONSIDERING ISSUING NEW WARNINGS.

AS THIS FIRST STORM EXITS ANOTHER WILL ENTER THE WESTERN BERING ON
FRIDAY...BUT IT IS EXPECTED TO BE CONSIDERABLY WEAKER DUE TO A LESS
AMPLIFIED UPPER JET.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...UPPER PATTERN LOOKS MORE ZONAL THROUGH THE
EXTENDED PERIOD WHICH MEANS STORMS WILL MOVE EVEN FASTER FROM WEST
TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION BUT WON'T BE AS STRONG AS THE ONES
WE ARE CURRENTLY EXPERIENCING. ACTIVE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING 131 181 185.
         BLIZZARD WATCH 155.
MARINE...STORM WARNING...155 165 170 171 172 179 180 185.
         GALE WARNING...120 125 127 128 130 132 138 140 141
                        150 160 175 176.
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

SEB NOV 11