Gale Warning 734, NWS Anchorage, AK

000 
FZAK52 PAFC 141801 CCA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

CORRECTED ZONES 165 170

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-150300-
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 977 MB LOW NEAR CAPE NEWENHAM WILL MOVE INLAND BY NOON FRI. A 997
MB LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TO 250 NM WEST OF
SHEMYA FRI AFTERNOON AT 1002 MB THEN MOVE TO NEAR SHEMYA EARLY SAT
MORNING. THIS LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 230 NM SOUTH OF ATKA SAT EVENING
AT 1004 MB.

$$

PKZ150-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-150300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-150300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-150300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
1000 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 17
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-150300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT EXCEPT NW 25 KT N OF NUNIVAK ISLAND. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
1000 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES.
WINDS DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT BERING
SIDE...16 FT PACIFIC SIDE. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-150300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. WINDS DIMINISHING TO 
25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-150300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-150300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING NW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-150300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-150300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT AND SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

600 
FZAK52 PAFC 142303
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-151500-
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 985 MB NEAR KING SALMON WILL MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN GULF SAT
AFTERNOON. A 998 MB LOW 190 NM WEST OF ATTU WILL MOVE TO 200 NM SOUTH
OF ADAK AT 1006 MB SAT AFTERNOON THEN DISSIPATE SAT EVENING. A RIDGE
WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN BERING SUNDAY.

$$

PKZ150-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-151500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS 
TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 18 FT. PATCHY
FOG. 
.SAT...NW WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 

$$

PKZ160-151500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ165-151500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-151500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ170-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 15
FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-151500-
UNALASKA BAY
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3 FT.
PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-151500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. RAIN.
.SAT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-151500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT EXCEPT NW 30 KT FROM SHEMYA W. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN.
.SAT NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-151500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 15 KT. E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN AND SUN NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 

$$

PKZ179-151500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKDT FRI OCT 14 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. PATCHY FOG. 
.SAT NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
500 PM AKDT THU OCT 13 2011

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
A SURFACE LOW NEAR THE BERING STRAIT HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY
WITH A WEAKENING WEATHER FRONT MOVING EAST ACROSS THE CENTRAL
INTERIOR AND THE COPPER RIVER BASIN. STRONG SURFACE LOW JUST NORTH OF
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS CONTINUES TO MOVE NORTHEAST. THE ASSOCIATED
WEATHER FRONT EXTENDS TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW. AT THE UPPER
LEVELS...A LOW HAS BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY NEAR THE BERING STRAIT
WITH A TROUGH EXTENDING TO THE SOUTH. A WEAK UPPER RIDGE REMAINS OVER
EASTERN ALASKA AND THE YUKON TERRITORY. ANOTHER UPPER RIDGE IS
STARTING TO DEVELOP OVER THE WESTERN BERING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS HAVE FINALLY COME TO A COMMON SOLUTION FOR THE STORM
SYSTEM OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BERING AND THEY ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH ALL OTHER MAJOR FEATURES THROUGH SATURDAY.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
THE OLD WEATHER FRONT OVER CENTRAL AND EASTERN ALASKA WILL MOVE INTO
WESTERN CANADA TONIGHT. THE STRONG LOW NORTH OF THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS
WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN BRISTOL BAY FRIDAY AFTERNOON THEN CROSS OVER
INTO THE NORTHERN GULF SATURDAY. A SECOND LOW WILL DEVELOP OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY FRIDAY AND MOVE INTO NORTHWEST ALASKA SATURDAY. THE
ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BRISTOL BAY AND THE ALASKA
PENINSULA TONIGHT AND INTO THE KENAI PENINSULA AND WESTERN GULF
SATURDAY AFTERNOON THEN WILL SWING NORTHEAST AND WEAKEN ALONG THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST AND OVER THE EASTERN GULF SATURDAY MORNING. A WEAK
LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA TONIGHT WILL
MOVE TO NEAR ATTU FRIDAY EVENING AND MOVE TO ABOUT 250 MILES SOUTH OF
THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SATURDAY AFTERNOON.

.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE STORM SYSTEM IN THE
BERING WILL SPREAD INTO KODIAK ISLAND THIS EVENING AND INTO KENAI
PENINSULA, PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND AND THE SUSITNA VALLEY BY LATE
TONIGHT. RAIN WITH CHANGE TO SHOWERS SATURDAY NIGHT. STRONG SOUTHEAST
WIND WILL DEVELOP OVER THE GULF AND THE KENAI PENINSULA LATE TONIGHT
AND WILL KEEP THE MOST OF ANCHORAGE AND THE MATANUSKA VALLEY IN THE
RAIN SHADOW THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. STRONG EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
WILL DEVELOP ALONG TURNAGAIN ARM, THE HIGHER ELEVATION OVER EAST
ANCHORAGE AND THROUGH THE PORTAGE VALLEY. CURRENT THINKING IS TO
UPGRADE THE HIGH WIND WATCH TO A HIGH WIND WARNING OVER THE WESTERN
ARM AND KEEP THE EASTERN ARM IN THE STRONG WIND CATEGORY.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...RAIN OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE INTO
BRISTOL BAY AND THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA THIS EVENING AND INTO THE LOWER
KUSKOKWIM VALLEY TONIGHT. RAIN WILL BECOME RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND WESTERN BRISTOL BAY FRIDAY EVENING THEN WILL
CHANGE OVER TO MOSTLY SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS BY LATE FRIDAY NIGHT
OVER MOST OF THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND. GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WINDS
OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND BRISTOL BAY WILL BECOME WEST AND
NORTHWEST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY.

.ALEUTIANS AND THE BERING...RAIN OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL
CHANGE TO SHOWERS THIS EVENING. SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL REMAIN OVER
THE BERING SEA THROUGH SATURDAY. RAIN WILL MOVE THROUGH THE WESTERN
AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.

.LONG TERM FORECAST...
THE LOW OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SATURDAY NIGHT WILL REMAIN NEARLY
STATIONARY AND DISSIPATE SUNDAY MORNING. THE SHOWERS OVER
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA WILL DIMINISH THROUGH SUNDAY. A NEW
STORM SYSTEM DEVELOPING OVER THE CENTRAL NORTH PACIFIC SATURDAY WILL
MOVE INTO THE GULF OF ALASKA SUNDAY NIGHT AND BRING MORE RAIN TO THE
CENTRAL GULF COAST AND KODIAK ISLAND SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH AT LEAST
MONDAY NIGHT.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...HIGH WIND WARNING FOR WESTERN TURNAGAIN ARM BEGINNING LATE
TONIGHT.
MARINE...GALE 120 125 130 132 155 160 165 170 172 180
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

NM OCT 11