Gale Warning 272, NWS Anchorage, AK

488 
FZAK52 PAFC 060806 AAA
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
1100 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

UPDATED MARINE ZONES 155 165 171 

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-061500-
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 982 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL STRENGTHEN TO 968 MB 100 NM
SOUTH OF ATKA SUN AFTERNOON. THE LOW WILL THEN WEAKEN TO 982 MB 350
SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR MON AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT
WILL MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS SAT NIGHT AND INTO EASTERN
ALEUTIANS SUN THEN WILL MOVE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA MON.

$$

PKZ150-061500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.  
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-061500-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
1100 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT EXCEPT 8 FT E OF THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.   

$$

PKZ160-061500-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT.  
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-061500-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
1100 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED AND THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.   

$$

PKZ180-061500-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT.  
.WED AND THU...E WIND 15 KT.   

$$

PKZ170-061500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...20 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-061500-
UNALASKA BAY
1100 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-061500-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...BERING SIDE...E WIND 45 KT. PACIFIC SIDE...E WIND 40 KT
BECOMING SE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-061500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-061500-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-061500-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-061500-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 PM AKST SAT MAR 5 2011

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY SAINT PAUL
ISLAND N. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY SAINT PAUL ISLAND N. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY SAINT PAUL
ISLAND N. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.  

$$

329 
FZAK52 PAFC 061249
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-070300-
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 969 MB LOW 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF ATKA WILL MOVE TO 50 NM SOUTH OF
ADAK SUN EVENING AT 973 MB. THE LOW WILL THEN MOVE TO 275 NM SOUTH OF
NIKOLSKI AT 991 MB BY MON EVENING AND TO 475 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY AT
996 MB BY TUE MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED WEATHER FRONT WILL MOVE FROM THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SUN EVENING AND WEAKEN
IN PLACE THROUGH MON.

$$

PKZ150-070300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE
CAPE
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.  

$$

PKZ155-070300-
COASTAL WATERS SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE
SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT EXCEPT E 20 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

PKZ160-070300-
BRISTOL BAY WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO PORT HEIDEN
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ165-070300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.  

$$

PKZ180-070300-
SOUTHWEST ALASKA WATERS CAPE NEWENHAM TO DALL POINT
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.TONIGHT THROUGH MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. 
.WED...E WIND 10 KT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ170-070300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT BERING SIDE...19 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT BERING SIDE...18 FT PACIFIC SIDE. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ171-070300-
UNALASKA BAY
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.  

$$

PKZ172-070300-
EASTERN ALEUTIANS NIKOLSKI TO ADAK
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 
17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT BERING SIDE...21 FT PACIFIC 
SIDE. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ175-070300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS ADAK TO KISKA
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.  

$$

PKZ176-070300-
WESTERN ALEUTIANS KISKA TO ATTU
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.  

$$

PKZ185-070300-
ST MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 11 FT. HEAVY
FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING
SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.  

$$

PKZ179-070300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR-SHORE WATERS
400 AM AKST SUN MAR 6 2011

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.  

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
550 AM AKST SAT MARCH 5 2011

.UPPER LEVEL/SURFACE ANALYSIS...UPPER LEVEL PATTERN THIS MORNING
CONSISTS OF THREE MAIN FEATURES. A BROAD UPPER LOW OVER THE GULF OF
ALASKA WITH ANOTHER UPPER LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF KAMCHATKA WITH A
CUTOFF HIGH CENTERED OVER THE BERING STRAIT HAT ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF
THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE STATE. A STRONG 180KT JET STREAK LAYS SOUTH
OF THE ALEUTIANS ALONG 40N.

AT THE SURFACE...MAIN FEATURE OF NOTE THIS MORNING IS A 988 MB LOW
ROTATING INTO THE CENTRAL GULF AROUND THE UPPER LEVEL CENTER. GUSTY
NORTHERLY WINDS CONTINUE TO BLOW THROUGH GAPS ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL AS
A SOLID PRESSURE GRADIENT CONTINUES BETWEEN THIS LOW AND THE FIRMLY
ENTRENCHED HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE INTERIOR. STRATUS CONTINUES TO
COVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN BERING WHILE THE REMNANTS OF A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY CONTINUE TO DISSIPATE OVER THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS. TO
THE SOUTH OF THE ALEUTIANS THE NEXT STORM SYSTEM IS DEEPENING.

.MODEL DISCUSSION...MODEL SOLUTIONS DIVERGE EARLY ON IN THE FORECAST
PERIOD...PARTICULARLY IN THE WEST AS THEY ARE SHOWING SIGNIFICANT
DIFFERENCES IN HOW THEY TRACK THE DEVELOPING LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALEUTIANS. THERE IS A SMALL SECONDARY LOW TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE
MAIN DEVELOPING LOW. THE NAM SEEMS TO BE DOING THE BEST JOB OF
CAPTURING THIS FEATURE WHILE THE ECMWF NEARLY MISSES IT ENTIRELY.
THUS THE NAM IS THE MODEL OF CHOICE OUT WEST. MODEL SOLUTIONS ACROSS
THE GULF OF ALASKA AND SOUTHCENTRAL ARE CLOSE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
AND THEN SIGNIFICANT DIFFERENCES APPEAR IN HOW THEY HANDLE THE
DEVELOPMENT AND TRACK OF THE TRIPLE POINT LOW FROM THE ALEUTIAN LOW
AS IT MOVES INTO THE WESTERN GULF. ONCE AGAIN THE NAM WAS THE
PREFERRED SOLUTION AS IT INITIALIZED WELL COMPARED TO THE ECMWF.

.SHORT TERM FORECAST...
.SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...THE LOW IN THE GULF WILL MOVE WESTWARD TODAY
AND TONIGHT BRINGING GALES AND A CHANCE FOR SIGNIFICANT SNOWFALL TO
KODIAK ISLAND BY TONIGHT AS THE FRONTAL BAND MOVES OVER THE ISLAND.
PRECIP SHOULD DEFINITELY FALL AS SNOW TONIGHT...HOWEVER IT IS
POSSIBLE THAT A CHANGE OVER TO RAIN COULD OCCUR ON SUNDAY GIVEN THE
LONG TRAJECTORY OF THE AIRMASS OVER THE RELATIVELY WARM GULF WATERS.
THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL FALL ON KODIAK...THOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MAY
MAKE IT OVER THE SOUTHERN KENAI LATER TODAY THROUGH TONIGHT. AREAS
FARTHER NORTH ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL WILL STAY DRY THROUGH MID TO HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE GULF LOW WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY AND TONIGHT. SHOWERS WILL LINGER ACROSS MUCH OF THE GULF AND
KODIAK ISLAND THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS THE LOW WEAKENS AND ITS PARENT
UPPER LEVEL WAVE IS SHUNTED INTO BRISTOL BAY.

.SOUTHWEST ALASKA...ANOTHER SUNNY DAY ON TAP FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
COURTESY OF CONTINUED OFFSHORE FLOW AND DRY AIR ALOFT. LOOK FOR
CLOUDS TO INCREASE BY TONIGHT...MAINLY ACROSS BRISTOL BAY...AS
MOISTURE FROM THE LOW IN THE GULF FILTERS OVER THE MOUNTAINS FROM THE
EAST. A FEW SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE CANNOT BE RULED OUT
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY AS WELL. OTHERWISE THE REST OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA
CAN LOOK FORWARD TO A SUNNY WEEKEND AS HIGH PRESSURE HANGS ON OVER
CENTRAL AND WESTERN ALASKA..

.ALEUTIANS AND BERING SEA...A RELATIVELY QUIET DAY ACROSS THE BERING
AND ALEUTIANS WITH THE MAIN AREA OF PRECIP CONSISTING OF PERIODS OF
VERY LIGHT SNOW PRECIPITATING OUT OF THE STRATUS DECK OVER THE
PRIBILOF ISLANDS. EXPECT EASTERLY WINDS TO PICK UP ACROSS THE
ALEUTIANS AND SOUTHERN BERING TONIGHT AS THE DEEPENING LOW IN THE
PACIFIC MOVES NORTH TOWARDS THE CHAIN PUSHING A WARM FRONT INTO THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS TONIGHT AND INTO THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON BRINGING SNOW AND RAIN. THE FRONT STALLS OVER THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS BY SUNDAY EVENING...KEEPING RAIN AND SNOW IN THE FORECAST
THERE AT LEAST THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

.LONG TERM FORECAST... LOOK FOR DRY AND SUNNY WEATHER TO CONTINUE
ACROSS MAINLAND ALASKA WELL INTO NEXT WEEK AS HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS
IN CONTROL OF MUCH OF THE STATE. UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL GENERALLY BE
CONFINED TO THE ALEUTIANS AND THE SOUTHERN/WESTERN BERING AS A SERIES
OF LOWS MOVE ACROSS THE REGION BEFORE RUNNING INTO THE BLOCKING HIGH.

.AER/ALU...WATCH/WARNING SUMMARY
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALE WARNING...120 121 130 132 138 140 170 171 172 175 176
                        179 185
         HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING...121 129 130 140 141 179 185
FIRE WEATHER...NONE.

WOOD FEB 11