Alert archive / New Mexico / Red Flag Warnings in 2011
Red Flag Warning 17, NWS Albuquerque, NM
NWS Albuquerque, NM issued this red flag warning at Mar 15, 2011, 3:47 AM MDT for Harding County, San Miguel County, Union County, New Mexico. It took effect at Mar 16, 2011, 1:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 7 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 15, 2011, 3:47 AM MDT (09:47 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 16, 2011, 1:00 PM MDT
- Expired
- Mar 16, 2011, 8:00 PM MDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Albuquerque, NM
Counties Harding County, NM, San Miguel County, NM, Union County, NM
The radar
The Cannon AFB radar (KFDX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 09:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 225 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2488 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 30 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 65 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 105 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
457 WWUS85 KABQ 150947 RFWABQ FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 347 AM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR EASTERN TORRANCE AND WESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING FOR NORTHEAST NEW MEXICO DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH LATE THURSDAY MORNING INTO EARLY EVENING FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SNOWPACK DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .INCREASING WINDS ALOFT AND SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL ALLOW BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP LEE OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN ON WEDNESDAY. THESE WINDS COUPLED WITH LOW HUMIDITIES WILL ALLOW CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP ACROSS EASTERN TORRANCE AND WESTERN GUADALUPE COUNTIES. MORE LOCALIZED CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY. A MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER EVENT COULD DEVELOP LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING FOR LOCALES ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK. STRONG WINDS WILL COMBINE WITH SINGLE DIGIT HUMIDITIES DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS. MARGINAL CONDITIONS MAY ALSO DEVELOP OVER WEST CENTRAL NEW MEXICO INTO THE MIDDLE/LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY. OFFICIALS SHOULD STAY ABREAST WITH THE LATEST STATEMENTS CONCERNING THIS POTENTIAL SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER EVENT. NMZ107-108-152130- /O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0014.110316T1800Z-110317T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0017.110316T1800Z-110317T0100Z/ /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0015.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107 SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108 EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ- 347 AM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED. THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS UP TO OR EXCEEDING 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES OF 10 PERCENT OR LESS EACH DAY. * TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND LINGER THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING. THE MOST DANGEROUS CONDITIONS WILL PEAK BETWEEN 2 PM AND 5 PM MDT. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THURSDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THIS SHOULD BE A MORE WIDESPREAD EVENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. && $$ NMZ103-104-152130- /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0015.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0014.110316T1800Z-110317T0100Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103 NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104 NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ- 347 AM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM LATE THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY EVENING. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS UP TO OR EXCEEDING 35 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. EVEN STRONGER WINDS ARE LIKELY ON THURSDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES OF 10 PERCENT OR LESS EACH DAY. * TIMING...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND LINGER THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING...MAINLY IN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN ON THURSDAY FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH EARLY EVENING. THIS SHOULD BE A MORE WIDESPREAD EVENT. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. && $$ DPORTER
4 follow-up statements
368 WWUS85 KABQ 152134 RFWABQ FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 334 PM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR AN AREA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO SANTA ROSA AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WILLARD TO VAUGHN DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM THURSDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON THURSDAY FOR THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .STILL LOOKING AT AN AREA OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR A AREA TO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN FOCUS AREA WOULD BE FOUND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO SANTA ROSA AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WILLARD TO VAUGHN. THIS INCLUDES THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR BETWEEN CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE CRITICALLY LOW COMBINED WITH GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 MPH RANGE AND MAX TEMPERATURES AROUND 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS EXPECTED TO AFFECT SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. THE MORE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WHILE A FEW HOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS...ESPECIALLY LOWER ELEVATIONS. LOOK FOR LOW HUMIDITY...STRONG WINDS AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE DURING THIS PERIOD. NMZ103-104-161400- /O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0014.110316T1800Z-110317T0100Z/ /O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0015.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0018.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ /O.EXB.KABQ.FW.W.0017.110316T1900Z-110317T0200Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103 NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104 NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ- 334 PM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. A RED FLAG WARNING HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 40 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 6 TO 11 PERCENT BOTH DAYS DURING THE MAIN CRITICAL PERIOD. * TIMING...MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND BETWEEN 2 PM TO 6 PM MDT. MOST CRITICAL AREA FOUND ALONG A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO SANTA ROSA ON WEDNESDAY BUT EXPAND ACROSS MOST OF THE NORTHEAST ON THURSDAY. ESPECIALLY TO THE EAST OF LAS VEGAS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ NMZ107-108-161400- /O.UPG.KABQ.FW.A.0015.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.W.0018.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ /O.EXT.KABQ.FW.W.0017.110316T1900Z-110317T0200Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107 SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108 EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ- 334 PM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A RED FLAG WARNING...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. THE RED FLAG WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT WEDNESDAY. THE FIRE WEATHER WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 40 MPH ON WEDNESDAY. STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 6 TO 11 PERCENT EACH DAY DURING THE MAIN CRITICAL PERIOD. * TIMING...MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND BETWEEN 2 PM TO 6 PM MDT. MOST CRITICAL AREA FOUND ALONG A LINE FROM CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA ON WEDNESDAY BUT EXPAND ACROSS MOST OF THE ESTANCIA BASIN AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ NMZ105-106-109-161400- /O.NEW.KABQ.FW.A.0016.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105 NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106 MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109 WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ- GLZ- 334 PM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN ALBUQUERQUE HAS ISSUED A FIRE WEATHER WATCH...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL PERIOD WOULD BE FOUND BETWEEN 3 TO 6 PM MDT ESPECIALLY FOCUSED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS ACROSS THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. && $$ 50
878 WWUS85 KABQ 160940 RFWABQ FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 340 AM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR AN AREA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO SANTA ROSA AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WILLARD TO VAUGHN DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM THURSDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON THURSDAY FOR THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP TODAY FOR AN AREA TO THE LEE OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. THE MAIN FOCUS WILL BE FOUND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO SANTA ROSA AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WILLARD TO VAUGHN. THIS INCLUDES THE INTERSTATE 40 CORRIDOR BETWEEN CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL BE CRITICALLY LOW COMBINED WITH WIND GUSTS IN THE 35 TO 40 MPH RANGE AND MAX TEMPERATURES 15 TO 20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. A MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER EVENT WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA ON THURSDAY. THE MORE CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE EASTERN PLAINS WHILE A FEW HOURS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS...ESPECIALLY LOWER ELEVATIONS. A COMBINATION OF LOW HUMIDITY...STRONG WINDS AND AN UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL DEVELOP DURING THIS PERIOD. NMZ103-104-107-108-162130- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0017.110316T1900Z-110317T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0018.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103 NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104 NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107 SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108 EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ- 340 AM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 40 MPH TODAY. STRONGER WINDS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES BETWEEN 7 TO 12 PERCENT EACH DAY DURING THE MAIN CRITICAL PERIOD. * TIMING...MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS WILL BE FOUND BETWEEN 2 PM TO 6 PM MDT. MOST CRITICAL AREA FOUND ALONG A LINE FROM CLINES CORNERS TO SANTA ROSA ON WEDNESDAY BUT EXPAND ACROSS MOST OF THE ESTANCIA BASIN AND EAST CENTRAL PLAINS ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ NMZ105-106-109-162130- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0016.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105 NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106 MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109 WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ- GLZ- 340 AM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL PERIOD WOULD BE FOUND BETWEEN 3 TO 6 PM MDT...ESPECIALLY FOCUSED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. && $$ DPORTER
194 WWUS85 KABQ 162123 RFWABQ FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 323 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT TO 8 PM MDT TODAY FOR AN AREA SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO SANTA ROSA AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WILLARD TO VAUGHN DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM THURSDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON THURSDAY FOR THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .LOCALIZED CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN PLAINS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. THE MAIN FOCUS AREA WILL BE FOUND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM LAS VEGAS TO SANTA ROSA AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WILLARD TO VAUGHN. HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ACROSS THIS AREA WITH WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES. A MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS STILL EXPECTED FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE EASTERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY. A FEW HOURS AND MORE LOCALIZED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 FOCUSED ACROSS LOWER PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS FOUND WITHIN THE FAR WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. NMZ103-104-107-108-170200- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-110317T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0018.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103 NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104 NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107 SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108 EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ- 323 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY... A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 MPH OR HIGHER WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 40 MPH TODAY. STRONGER WINDS WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40TO 45 MPH EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS THROUGH THE REST OF TODAY. SIMILAR READINGS FOR THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...MOST CRITICAL CONDITIONS TODAY WILL REMAIN THROUGH 6 PM. ANOTHER ROUND OF CRITICAL CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CENTER BETWEEN 2 TO 6 PM MDT ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ NMZ105-106-109-170200- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0016.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105 NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106 MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109 WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ- GLZ- 323 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL PERIOD WOULD BE FOUND BETWEEN 3 TO 5 PM MDT...ESPECIALLY FOCUSED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. && $$ 50
204 WWUS85 KABQ 170145 RFWABQ FIRE WEATHER PRODUCT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 745 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM THURSDAY FOR AREAS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS BELOW SIGNIFICANT SNOWPACK DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH ON THURSDAY FOR THE LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS DUE TO STRONG WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY... .WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING...AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 30 PERCENT OR BETTER IN THE EASTERN PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO. HOWEVER...A MORE WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER EVENT IS STILL EXPECTED FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE EASTERN PLAINS ON THURSDAY. A FEW HOURS AND MORE LOCALIZED CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL AREAS...GENERALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40 FOCUSED ACROSS LOWER PORTIONS OF THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS FOUND WITHIN THE FAR WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS. NMZ103-104-107-108-171400- /O.EXP.KABQ.FW.W.0017.000000T0000Z-110317T0200Z/ /O.CON.KABQ.FW.W.0018.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 103 NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS/EASTERN CARSON AND SANTA FE NF/SNZ-TAZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 104 NORTHEAST PLAINS/EASTERN KIOWA AND RITA BLANCA GRASSLANDS/ABZ-TNZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 107 SANDIA-MANZANO AND GALLINAS MOUNTAINS/EASTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 108 EAST CENTRAL PLAINS/WESTERN KIOWA GRASSLANDS BLM/ABZ-SNZ- 745 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING... ...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY... THE RED FLAG WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 8 PM MDT THIS EVENING. A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 9 PM MDT THURSDAY. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS BETWEEN 40 TO 45 MPH EXPECTED ON THURSDAY. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES IN THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN THURSDAY AFTERNOON. * TIMING...THE PRIMARY WINDOW FOR CRITICAL CONDITIONS IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 2 TO 6 PM MDT ON THURSDAY. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS RED FLAG WARNING. && $$ NMZ105-106-109-171400- /O.CON.KABQ.FW.A.0016.110317T1700Z-110318T0300Z/ NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 105 NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS/WESTERN CIBOLA NF/ABZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 106 MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY/ALBUQUERQUE-SOCORRO BLM/ABZ-GLZ- NEW MEXICO FIRE WEATHER ZONE 109 WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS/SOUTHWEST CIBOLA NF AND SOCORRO BLM/ABQ- GLZ- 745 PM MDT WED MAR 16 2011 ...FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING... A FIRE WEATHER WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING. * WINDS...SUSTAINED 20 FOOT WINDS OF AROUND 20 MPH AND GUSTS BETWEEN 35 TO 45 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. * RELATIVE HUMIDITY...EXPECT HUMIDITIES OF 15 PERCENT OR LESS ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. * TIMING...THE MOST CRITICAL PERIOD WOULD BE FOUND BETWEEN 3 TO 5 PM MDT...ESPECIALLY FOCUSED ACROSS THE SOUTHERN RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE WESTERN HIGHLANDS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... PLEASE ADVISE THE APPROPRIATE OFFICIALS OR FIRE CREWS IN THE FIELD OF THIS FIRE WEATHER WATCH. && $$ 52
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this red flag warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before this red flag warning went out at Mar 15, 3:14 AM MDT, 33 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 15, 3:14 AM MDT, 33 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 314 AM MDT TUE MAR 15 2011 CORRECTED TYPO IN FOURTH PARAGRAPH .DISCUSSION... THE EASTERN PLAINS WILL BEGIN A MARKED WARMING TREND TODAY AS WEAK RIDGING PERSISTS OVER THE STATE. THUS...ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED AREAWIDE TODAY. THE WARMEST READINGS OF THE WEEK WILL BE WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AS A LEE SURFACE TROUGH DEVELOPS AND WINDS ALOFT GRADUALLY STRENGTHEN AND SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST. BY WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY AFTERNOONS HIGHS WILL REACH 5 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL CENTRAL AND WEST...AND 15 TO 25 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE EAST. AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL CROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THE SYSTEM WILL DRAG A PACIFIC COLD FRONT THROUGH THE STATE FROM THE NORTHWEST...AND THE FRONT SHOULD CAUSE TEMPERATURES TO BEGIN FALLING IN FARMINGTON AS EARLY AS THURSDAY AFTERNOON. THE SYSTEM WILL CARRY WITH IT ENOUGH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR A CHANCE OF GUSTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...AS WELL AS THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU. MINIMUM HUMIDITIES SHOULD BE LOW ENOUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON THAT MANY OF THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE LITTLE OR NO RAIN...ESPECIALLY AT LOWER ELEVATIONS. THE LATEST MODEL RUNS INDICATE SOME OF THE SHOWERS MAY LINGER ACROSS NW NM AS THE COLD FRONT BEGINS TO MAKE REAL PROGRESS INTO THE STATE THURSDAY EVENING...WITH A FEW SHOWERS PERSISTING AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE NORTHERN MOUNTAINS. THE SAN JUANS STAND THE BEST CHANCE OF RECEIVING AN INCH OR TWO OF SNOW THURSDAY NIGHT. THE PASSING TROUGH WILL ALSO PACK STRONG WINDS. WINDS ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS CROSSING THURSDAY. THUS...WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY TO WINDY WEDNESDAY AND ESPECIALLY THURSDAY. THE STRONGEST WINDS BOTH DAYS LOOK TO FAVOR THE EAST SLOPES OF THE CENTRAL AND NORTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS...WHERE WIND GUSTS COULD PEAK AROUND 50 OR 55 MPH THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HUMIDITIES WILL ALSO BE LOW ENOUGH FOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS BOTH AFTERNOONS...WITH THE MOST WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THURSDAY. FRIDAYS WEATHER LOOKS CALMER AND COOLER IN THE WAKE OF THE SYSTEM. WINDS ALOFT WILL MODERATE IN STRENGTH...BUT SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN A BIT GUSTY AS THEY SHIFT OUT OF THE SOUTH IN RESPONSE TO A DEEPENING LONG WAVE TROUGH ON THE WEST COAST. THE WEST COAST TROUGH WILL BECOME QUITE LARGE BY THIS WEEKEND WHEN IT SHOULD MOVE INLAND STEERING THE POLAR JET STREAM SQUARELY OVER NM. SOUTH SOUTHWEST WINDS LOOK BREEZY TO WINDY BOTH DAYS WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS EXPECTED SUNDAY. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH IN THE SANGRES SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA ALONG AND EAST OF THE MANZANO...SANDIA AND SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS SUNDAY. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS LOOK WIDESPREAD BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY...EXCEPT FOR THE NORTHWEST WHERE THE APPROACHING TROUGH COULD BEGIN TO DELIVER SOME PRECIPITATION BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON. ALSO...THE DRYLINE MAY BECOME ACTIVE FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT WITH THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ACROSS THE PLAINS NEAR THE EASTERN NM BORDER WITH TX AND OK. SINCE THE WINDS ALOFT WILL BE STRENGTHENING...ENOUGH SHEAR MAY BE PRESENT FOR SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO TURN SEVERE. AT THIS TIME MODELS ARE PROGGING THE DRY LINE TO PUSH EAST OF NM BY SUNDAY AS THE UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO MOVE INTO THE STATE FROM THE WEST. THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN MOUNTAINS COULD RECEIVE SOME WELCOME SNOW SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AS PRECIPITATION BECOMES MORE WIDESPREAD. 44 && .AVIATION... VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL AIRPORTS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THE ONLY FORECAST CHALLENGE WILL BE WHETHER IFR CIGS WILL CLIP THE SE PLAINS...PRIMARILY ERN CHAVES AND SRN ROOSEVELT COUNTIES AFTER 09Z/WED. CONFIDENCE IS LOW...THOUGH SUSPECT IT WILL NOT IMPACT THE KROW TAF SITE. NEXT AVIATION DISCUSSION SCHEDULED FOR 21Z. DPORTER && .FIRE WEATHER... TRANQUIL WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY...HOWEVER A PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL LOCALLY DEVELOP WEDNESDAY WITH A MORE WIDESPREAD THREAT ON THURSDAY. A BRIEF BREAK IS EXPECTED FRIDAY... WITH WIDESPREAD CRITICAL CONDITIONS RETURNING FOR THE WEEKEND. THE LATEST MODELS HAVE SHIFTED THE MORE DANGEROUS PERIOD FROM SATURDAY TO SUNDAY...HOWEVER CONFIDENCE IN A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER EVENT REMAINS HIGH FOR THE WEEKEND. A WEAK RIPPLE ALOFT AND A LOOSELY DEFINED SURFACE FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE NE/EC PLAINS OF NEW MEXICO THIS MORNING. THIS WAVE WILL BE LACKING SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE TO OFFER ANY QPF...HOWEVER MINIMUM HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN IN THE TEENS. MEANWHILE...THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE AOB 15 PERCENT BELOW ANY SNOWPACK. THIS WILL ALLOW MUCH OF THE CWFA TO EXPERIENCE CURING FUELS AS HUMIDITY RELIEF WILL NOT BE FOUND FOR SEVERAL DAYS. VENTILATION TODAY WILL BE VERY GOOD/EXCELLENT FOR MUCH OF THE CWFA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THE ERN PLAINS. POOR OVERNIGHT HUMIDITY RECOVERIES ARE PROGGED FOR THE MIDDLE/LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY AND THE CENTRAL HIGHLANDS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 40. THE FAR SE PLAINS MAY EXPERIENCE SOME DECENT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ADVECTION IN ADVANCE OF A DEVELOPING DRYLINE...BUT THIS WILL BE FOCUSED ONLY IN CURRY/ROOSEVELT COUNTIES. UPPER LEVEL ZONAL FLOW WILL INCREASE FOR WEDNESDAY WITH A LEE-SIDE TROUGH DEVELOPING IN THE ERN PLAINS. THE LATEST NAM ALSO SUGGESTS THAT A 998MB SURFACE LOW WILL DEVELOP IN EC COLORADO...BUT THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE LESS AGGRESSIVE. NONETHELESS...THE MOISTURE ADVECTION IN SOUTHEAST NM WILL BE SHOVED EASTWARD...EXPANDING THE DRY AIRMASS INTO THE ERN PLAINS. WITH SINGLE DIGITS DEWPOINTS COUPLED WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES 15-25F ABOVE NORMAL...CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS ERN TORRANCE/WRN GUADALUPE COUNTIES. CONFIDENCE IN A RED FLAG WARNING IS HIGH ENOUGH TO UPGRADE NMZ107-108 FOR THE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON PERIOD. AREAL COVERAGE OF SRN NMZ103-104 COULD LIMIT THE THREAT FOR THESE ZONES AND WILL LET THE DAY CREW CONSIDER THEIR FATE. GRADIENT STRENGTHENS FOR THURSDAY AS AN UPR LEVEL DISTURBANCE FROM THE GREAT BASIN INVADES THE FOUR CORNERS REGION. ALL MODELS SUGGEST A 999MB LOW WILL DEVELOP IN SE COLORADO...BOOSTING THE THREAT IN A STRONGER SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF NM. THIS INCREASES CONFIDENCE SIGNIFICANTLY IN A FIRE WEATHER EVENT OVER THE ERN PLAINS AS MINIMUM HUMIDITIES CRATER INTO THE MID-SINGLE DIGITS. HAVE OPTED TO HOIST A FIRE WEATHER WATCH ACCORDINGLY. MEANWHILE...A THREAT COULD ALSO EXIST IN THE WC/SW ZONES AS WELL AS THE RGV. THE POTENTIAL FOR INCREASED MARGINAL MOISTURE AND HIGH CLOUDS MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR...THUS OPTED TO HOLD OFF FOR THESE ZONES. NAM12 HAS 700MB DEWPOINT DEPRESSIONS ELEVATED IN THE NW ZONES...HOWEVER THERE MAY BE A THREAT FOR A MIXTURE OF WET AND DRY CELLS NEAR THE LEADING EDGE OF CONVECTION...WHICH MAY OVERLAP THE SAME AREA WHERE CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY ARISE. THIS MAY NEED TO BE WATCHED FOR POTENTIAL FIRE STARTS...PARTICULARLY WHERE DRY FUELS EXIST. PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE RELATED TO THE NRN MTS...THOUGH SIGNIFICANT WETTING QPF IS NOT PROGGED. SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL INVADE THE ERN PLAINS IN THE WAKE OF THE UPR LEVEL TROUGH...HOWEVER HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL STRUGGLE. IN FACT... MANY AREAS IN WRN/CENTRAL NEW MEXICO WILL CONTINUE TO CURE FUELS AS POOR OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES ARE LIKELY BELOW SNOWPACK. ALL EYES SHIFT TO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND AS A LONGWAVE TROUGH CARVES ITS WAY THROUGH THE WRN UNITED STATES. THIS WILL ALLOW THE SFC DRYLINE TO ESTABLISH ITSELF OVER THE ERN ZONES ONCE AGAIN. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR IMPROVED OVERNIGHT RECOVERIES FRIDAY NIGHT...ALTHOUGH IT COULD BE THE FOCUS FOR SAT AFTERNOON STORMS. FUELS MAY NOT HAVE ENOUGH TIME TO RESPOND TO THE ELEVATED HUMIDITIES AND LIGHTNING STRIKES MAY POSE A THREAT FOR FIRE STARTS. MEANWHILE....CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS ERN TORRANCE/WRN GUADALUPE COUNTIES AND THE WEST CENTRAL ZONES. MODELS ARE NOW SUGGESTING THE MORE CRITICAL DAY WILL DEVELOP SUNDAY AS WINDS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE AND THE SFC DRYLINE IS SHUNTED EAST INTO TEXAS. WILL NEED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE MODELS AS THIS PATTERN MAY SUPPORT A SIGNIFICANT FIRE WEATHER OUTBREAK. DPORTER && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... FARMINGTON...................... 67 34 71 41 / 0 0 0 0 DULCE........................... 62 24 67 31 / 0 0 0 5 CUBA............................ 63 26 69 33 / 0 0 0 0 GALLUP.......................... 67 27 69 37 / 0 0 0 0 EL MORRO........................ 64 21 67 29 / 0 0 0 0 GRANTS.......................... 68 26 71 34 / 0 0 0 0 QUEMADO......................... 69 27 71 34 / 0 0 0 0 GLENWOOD........................ 75 34 78 38 / 0 0 0 0 CHAMA........................... 55 25 60 32 / 0 5 0 5 LOS ALAMOS...................... 59 37 66 41 / 0 0 0 0 PECOS........................... 64 31 70 38 / 0 0 0 0 CERRO/QUESTA.................... 59 25 65 33 / 0 5 0 0 RED RIVER....................... 50 23 58 32 / 0 5 0 5 ANGEL FIRE...................... 55 20 61 31 / 0 5 0 5 TAOS............................ 63 25 69 34 / 0 0 0 0 MORA............................ 64 30 71 39 / 0 0 0 0 ESPANOLA........................ 68 28 74 33 / 0 0 0 0 SANTA FE........................ 64 34 70 39 / 0 0 0 0 SANTA FE AIRPORT................ 66 32 72 37 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE FOOTHILLS........... 67 39 72 41 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE HEIGHTS............. 69 42 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE VALLEY.............. 70 38 76 40 / 0 0 0 0 ALBUQUERQUE WEST MESA........... 69 37 75 41 / 0 0 0 0 LOS LUNAS....................... 71 34 78 38 / 0 0 0 0 RIO RANCHO...................... 69 36 73 41 / 0 0 0 0 SOCORRO......................... 74 39 79 41 / 0 0 0 0 SANDIA PARK/CEDAR CREST......... 59 31 66 36 / 0 0 0 0 TIJERAS......................... 64 32 70 39 / 0 0 0 0 MORIARTY/ESTANCIA............... 68 27 75 34 / 0 0 0 0 CLINES CORNERS.................. 64 33 70 41 / 0 0 0 0 GRAN QUIVIRA.................... 71 38 75 41 / 0 0 0 0 CARRIZOZO....................... 75 40 77 48 / 0 0 0 0 RUIDOSO......................... 66 34 69 42 / 0 0 0 0 CAPULIN......................... 61 31 75 41 / 0 0 0 0 RATON........................... 66 29 78 38 / 0 0 0 0 SPRINGER........................ 67 29 78 40 / 0 0 0 0 LAS VEGAS....................... 65 34 75 42 / 0 0 0 0 CLAYTON......................... 63 38 82 48 / 0 0 0 0 ROY............................. 62 35 76 44 / 0 0 0 0 CONCHAS......................... 71 38 86 49 / 0 0 0 0 SANTA ROSA...................... 72 38 85 46 / 0 0 0 0 TUCUMCARI....................... 72 39 86 47 / 0 0 0 0 CLOVIS.......................... 72 38 85 44 / 0 5 0 0 PORTALES........................ 74 40 86 43 / 0 5 0 0 FORT SUMNER..................... 76 39 87 47 / 0 0 0 0 ROSWELL......................... 79 40 89 45 / 0 0 0 0 PICACHO......................... 78 41 83 50 / 0 0 0 0 ELK............................. 75 40 77 47 / 0 0 0 0 && .ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... RED FLAG WARNING FROM NOON TO 7 PM MDT WEDNESDAY FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ107-108. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104-107-108. FIRE WEATHER WATCH FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES...NMZ103-104. && 44/46
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 14, 6:00 AM MDT, 21 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBUQUERQUE NM 600 AM MDT MON MAR 14 2011 NMZ501>540-151200- NORTHWEST PLATEAU-CHUSKA MOUNTAINS-FAR NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS- NORTHWEST HIGHLANDS-WEST CENTRAL PLATEAU-WEST CENTRAL MOUNTAINS- WEST CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS- SAN FRANCISCO RIVER VALLEY-SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS-JEMEZ MOUNTAINS- WEST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS- NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET/RED RIVER- SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 9500 FEET- EAST SLOPES SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS-UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY- LOWER CHAMA RIVER VALLEY-SANTA FE METRO AREA-ALBUQUERQUE METRO AREA- LOWER RIO GRANDE VALLEY-SANDIA/MANZANO MOUNTAINS-ESTANCIA VALLEY- CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-SOUTH CENTRAL HIGHLANDS-UPPER TULAROSA VALLEY- SOUTH CENTRAL MOUNTAINS-RATON RIDGE/JOHNSON MESA- FAR NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-NORTHEAST HIGHLANDS-UNION COUNTY- HARDING COUNTY-EASTERN SAN MIGUEL COUNTY-GUADALUPE COUNTY- QUAY COUNTY-CURRY COUNTY-ROOSEVELT COUNTY-DE BACA COUNTY- CHAVES COUNTY PLAINS-EASTERN LINCOLN COUNTY-SOUTHWEST CHAVES COUNTY- 600 AM MDT MON MAR 14 2011 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL NEW MEXICO. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY WEDNESDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON IN THE VICINITY OF LAS VEGAS...CLINES CORNERS..ENCINO AND VAUGHN. THURSDAY...SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL BECOME BREEZY TO WINDY AREAWIDE. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO...SANDIA AND MANZANO MOUNTAINS...AND ACROSS THE ADJACENT HIGH PLAINS DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR WIDESPREAD CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN. A PATCH OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS. SATURDAY...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL REDEVELOP AREAWIDE AS SOUTHWEST WINDS RESTRENGTHEN. GUSTS TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG THE EAST SLOPES OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS AND EASTWARD ACROSS THE PLAINS ALONG AND NORTH OF I-40. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ALONG AND EAST OF THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN...AND ALSO ACROSS THE NORTHWEST PLATEAU AND THE WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS. SUNDAY...BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST ACROSS EASTERN NEW MEXICO WITH GUSTS TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE EAST OF THE SANGRE DE CRISTO AND SANDIA MOUNTAINS. CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY AGAIN FAVOR THE CENTRAL MOUNTAIN CHAIN AND EASTERN PLAINS. WEATHER CAN CHANGE VERY RAPIDLY. ALWAYS USE THE LATEST FORECASTS... WATCHES AND WARNINGS FOR PLANNING PURPOSES. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED. 44
The office that day
Everything else NWS Albuquerque, NM issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 3:47 AM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | ABQ | Harding, San Miguel, Union | 12 hr |
| Mar 15, 3:34 PM MDT | Fire Weather Watch | ABQ | Bernalillo, Catron, Cibola, McKinley, Sandoval, San Juan and 2 more | 39 hr |
| Mar 15, 3:34 PM MDT | Red Flag Warning | ABQ | Harding, San Miguel, Union | 52 hr |
Nearby
Red Flag Warnings in New Mexico, 2011Every red flag warning in 2011
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.