Severe Thunderstorm Warning 131, NWS Tulsa, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
353 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

.DISCUSSION...
CURRENT CONVECTION PRIMARILY OVER NORTHEAST PORTIONS
OF THE FORECAST AREA  WILL DISSIPATE OR MOVE EAST OF
NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA NORTHWEST ARKANSAS BY MID EVENING.
CARRIED A PRE-FIRST PERIOD IN ZONES TO COVER ONGOING
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS.   OTHER THAN ISOLATED THUNDER
OVER THE HILLS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THURSDAY LITTLE
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION..AT LEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK.  HOT H500 BUILDS AND REMAINS ANCHORED OVER THE
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. LOOKS A LOT LIKE SUMMER.  HIGHS
WELL INTO THE 90S AND LOWS IN THE 70S.
GW

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   75  95  78  95 /  10   0   0   0
FSM   74  96  75  97 /  10  10   0  10
MLC   74  95  75  95 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   72  94  73  95 /  10   0   0   0
FYV   71  91  72  91 /  20  10   0  10
BYV   70  91  72  91 /  40  20   0  10
MKO   73  94  74  93 /  10   0   0   0
MIO   74  93  74  94 /  30  10   0  10
F10   73  93  75  93 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   74  95  74  95 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...22
LONG TERM....21

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
102 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-171000-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
102 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
	RISK...ELEVATED.
	AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DANGEROUS HEAT.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS INTO SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
A COMPLEX OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WAS ENTERING NORTHEAST
OKLAHOMA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
INCREASE IN INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AS THEY ENCOUNTER A VERY
UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. A
FEW SEVERE STORMS ARE LIKELY...ESPECIALLY NORTH OF AN OKEMAH TO
POTEAU LINE...WITH WINDS TO 70 MILES AN HOUR AND HAIL UP TO HALF
DOLLAR SIZE POSSIBLE. THE STORMS WILL MOVE OUT OF THE AREA EARLY
THIS EVENING ENDING THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.

HOT AND HUMID WEATHER WILL RESULT IN HEAT INDICES THIS AFTERNOON IN
THE UPPER 90S TO AROUND 100 SOUTHEAST OF THE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
ACTIVATION OF THE REGIONAL SPOTTER NETWORK LIKELY.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...DANGEROUS HEAT POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...
PRIMARILY WITHIN THE HIGHER TERRAIN AREAS OF NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA. THE TREND WILL BE TOWARD
DRIER AND WARMER WEATHER INTO NEXT WEEK...WITH AFTERNOON
HEAT INDEX VALUES POSSIBLY NEARING 100 DEGREES IN SOME PLACES.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
404 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

ARZ001-162145-
BENTON AR-
404 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 445 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     BENTON

AT 405 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER VAUGHN...
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THIS STORM INCLUDE...BENTONVILLE...ROGERS...LOWELL...PEA RIDGE...
HIGHFILL...CAVE SPRINGS...HIWASSE AND BELLA VISTA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE
AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS
UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3621 9425 3621 9433 3618 9433 3641 9448
      3650 9419 3650 9403 3631 9388
TIME...MOT...LOC 2105Z 242DEG 11KT 3629 9430

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
405 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

ARZ002-011-162130-
CARROLL AR-MADISON AR-
405 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 430 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     EASTERN CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN MADISON

AT 406 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES NORTH OF
MARBLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...BERRYVILLE...OSAGE...GREEN FOREST...
RUDD...CARROLLTON...RULE AND MARBLE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE
AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS
UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3612 9337 3613 9346 3609 9347 3606 9361
      3628 9372 3650 9333 3614 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 2106Z 239DEG 11KT 3619 9356

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
408 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0222 PM     TSTM WND DMG     7 SSE TULSA             36.04N 95.87W
06/16/2010                   TULSA              OK   BROADCAST MEDIA

            3 TO 4 FOOT DIAMETER TREE DOWN ON A HOUSE ... NEAR 38TH
            AND TROOST IN TULSA

&&

SFP

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
420 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

ARZ001-002-162200-
BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-
420 PM CDT WED JUN 16 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 500 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     NORTHWESTERN CARROLL AND NORTHEASTERN BENTON

AT 420 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 3 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF BUSCH...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...EUREKA SPRINGS...GRANDVIEW AND
BEAVER.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZE HAIL. THIS STORM
WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. RESIDENTS IN THESE
AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY IS
UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3632 9384 3648 9392 3650 9384 3650 9357
      3637 9352
TIME...MOT...LOC 2120Z 246DEG 13KT 3642 9380