Alert archive / Illinois / Tornado Watches in 2010

Tornado Watch 770

December 31, 20105 states

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 31, 2010, 11:42 AM CST for 5 states. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 31, 2010, 11:42 AM CST (17:42 UTC)
Expired
Dec 31, 2010, 7:00 PM CST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 48 counties

Clay County, AR, Craighead County, AR, Greene County, AR, Lawrence County, AR, Mississippi County, AR, Poinsett County, AR, Randolph County, AR, Alexander County, IL, Edwards County, IL, Franklin County, IL, Gallatin County, IL, Hamilton County, IL, Hardin County, IL, Jackson County, IL, Jefferson County, IL, Johnson County, IL, Massac County, IL, Perry County, IL, Pope County, IL, Pulaski County, IL, Saline County, IL, Union County, IL, Wabash County, IL, Wayne County, IL, White County, IL, Williamson County, IL, Ballard County, KY, Carlisle County, KY, Fulton County, KY, Hickman County, KY, McCracken County, KY, Bollinger County, MO, Butler County, MO, Cape Girardeau County, MO, Carter County, MO, Dunklin County, MO, Mississippi County, MO, New Madrid County, MO, Pemiscot County, MO, Perry County, MO, Ripley County, MO, Scott County, MO, Stoddard County, MO, Wayne County, MO, Dyer County, TN, Lake County, TN, Lauderdale County, TN, Obion County, TN

The radar

The Paducah radar (KPAH), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

21 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 31, 12:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph59 min
Dec 31, 12:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHRipley51 min
Dec 31, 12:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHCarter, Ripley28 min
Dec 31, 12:56 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence64 min
Dec 31, 1:09 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGLawrence, Randolph51 min
Dec 31, 1:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene, Lawrence, Randolph66 min
Dec 31, 1:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHButler, Carter, Ripley, Wayne33 min
Dec 31, 1:57 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHWayne33 min
Dec 31, 2:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCraighead, Poinsett41 min
Dec 31, 2:16 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Butler, Ripley, Stoddard, Wayne44 min
Dec 31, 2:21 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHBollinger, Butler, Stoddard, Wayne10 min
Dec 31, 2:29 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHButler, Stoddard, Wayne31 min
Dec 31, 2:34 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Wayne41 min
Dec 31, 2:38 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay, Greene52 min
Dec 31, 2:42 PM CSTTornado WarningPAHButler, Stoddard, Wayne33 min
Dec 31, 3:02 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHBollinger, Butler, Cape Girardeau, Stoddard28 min
Dec 31, 3:05 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay40 min
Dec 31, 4:26 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGClay49 min
Dec 31, 4:33 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHNew Madrid, Stoddard27 min
Dec 31, 4:59 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningPAHFulton31 min
Dec 31, 5:12 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMEGCrittenden, Cross, Poinsett, St. Francis48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), launched 12:00Z, 5.7 hours before the alert went out and 301 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2010-12-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 874 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 2010-12-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 322 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
874 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
481 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
322 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
360 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.8
Supercell composite
8.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 30, 8:52 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Hempstead, Howard, Little River, Logan and 8 more113 min
Dec 31, 12:44 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Boone, Carroll, Madison, Marion, Washington61 min
Dec 31, 1:03 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBenton, Carroll, Crawford, Madison, Washington7 hr
Dec 31, 3:27 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBenton, Carroll2 hr
Dec 31, 4:56 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Clay, Cleburne, Cleveland, Craighead, Cross and 25 more2 hr
Dec 31, 5:45 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Cleburne, Conway and 25 more2 hr
Dec 31, 7:29 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCBaxter, Benton, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne and 31 more8 hr
Dec 31, 10:36 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Lafayette, Miller, Nevada114 min
Dec 31, 11:04 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClay, Craighead, Greene56 min
Dec 31, 1:34 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot6 hr
Dec 31, 3:58 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCAshley, Chicot, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Phillips and 1 more7 hr
Dec 31, 5:35 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Crittenden, Desha, Lee, Mississippi, Phillips and 1 more115 min
Dec 31, 2:25 AM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCMadison, Monroe, Saint Clair2 hr
Dec 31, 4:05 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBond, Calhoun, Greene, Jersey, Macoupin, Madison and 3 more115 min
Dec 31, 10:34 AM CSTTornado WatchSPCCass, Christian, DeWitt, Fulton, Logan, McLean and 13 more3 hr
Dec 31, 1:16 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCChampaign, Christian, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford and 22 more6 hr
Dec 31, 2:12 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlexander, Champaign, Clark, Clay, Coles, Crawford and 30 more93 min
Dec 31, 3:56 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrew, Buchanan, Caldwell, Clay, Clinton, Daviess and 3 more3 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Illinois, 2010Tornado Watches in Missouri, 2010Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2010Every tornado watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.