Alert archive / Minnesota / Tornado Watches in 2010

Tornado Watch 471

July 14, 201021 counties in Minnesota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jul 14, 2010, 3:50 AM CDT for 21 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2010, 3:50 AM CDT (08:50 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2010, 9:06 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 21 counties

Aitkin County, MN, Becker County, MN, Beltrami County, MN, Benton County, MN, Cass County, MN, Clay County, MN, Clearwater County, MN, Crow Wing County, MN, Douglas County, MN, Grant County, MN, Hubbard County, MN, Itasca County, MN, Kanabec County, MN, Mahnomen County, MN, Mille Lacs County, MN, Morrison County, MN, Norman County, MN, Otter Tail County, MN, Todd County, MN, Wadena County, MN, Wilkin County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 154 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:53 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
90%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
20%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

20 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 4:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Mahnomen, Norman, Otter Tail, Wilkin61 min
Jul 14, 5:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Norman, Pennington and 2 more64 min
Jul 14, 5:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Norman and 2 more61 min
Jul 14, 5:37 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Otter Tail, Wilkin53 min
Jul 14, 5:46 AM CDTTornado WarningFGFOtter Tail59 min
Jul 14, 5:53 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass, Itasca37 min
Jul 14, 6:12 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Clay, Grant, Otter Tail, Wilkin63 min
Jul 14, 6:23 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas67 min
Jul 14, 6:26 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFHubbard, Wadena34 min
Jul 14, 6:32 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBeltrami, Clearwater28 min
Jul 14, 6:34 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFOtter Tail4 hr
Jul 14, 7:01 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFBecker, Beltrami, Clearwater, Hubbard, Mahnomen, Otter Tail and 2 more43 min
Jul 14, 7:04 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHCass, Crow Wing56 min
Jul 14, 7:18 AM CDTTornado WarningFGFWadena23 min
Jul 14, 7:21 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXTodd39 min
Jul 14, 7:29 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXDouglas19 min
Jul 14, 7:51 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXMorrison, Todd54 min
Jul 14, 7:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Cass, Crow Wing, Itasca61 min
Jul 14, 8:35 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPXBenton, Isanti, Kanabec, Mille Lacs, Sherburne40 min
Jul 14, 8:36 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDLHAitkin, Carlton, Itasca, Pine, Saint Louis54 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 00:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 227 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2010-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2010-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1455 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
138 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 10:58 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCKittson, Marshall, Pennington, Polk, Red Lake, Roseau7 hr
Jul 14, 1:02 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCTraverse6 hr
Jul 14, 3:00 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBecker, Big Stone, Clay, Clearwater, Douglas, Grant and 14 more90 min
Jul 14, 6:19 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Becker, Beltrami, Benton, Carlton, Cass and 13 more86 min
Jul 14, 8:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Benton, Brown, Carlton, Carver, Chisago and 21 more64 min
Jul 14, 9:00 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCAnoka, Benton, Brown, Carlton, Carver, Chisago and 26 more9 hr
Jul 14, 10:29 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Freeborn, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Winona2 hr
Jul 14, 11:43 AM CDTTornado WatchSPCDodge, Fillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Wabasha and 1 more7 hr
Jul 14, 12:34 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnoka, Carver, Chisago, Dakota, Goodhue, Hennepin and 9 more116 min
Jul 14, 2:26 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFaribault, Freeborn94 min
Jul 14, 2:54 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFillmore, Houston, Olmsted, Wabasha, Winona96 min
Jul 14, 3:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAitkin, Benton, Crow Wing, Itasca, Kanabec, Kandiyohi and 5 more87 min
Jul 14, 3:53 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAitkin, Benton, Carlton, Chisago, Cook, Crow Wing and 11 more5 hr
Jul 14, 4:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnoka, Blue Earth, Brown, Carver, Cottonwood, Dakota and 21 more5 hr
Jul 14, 6:53 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCDodge, Fillmore, Houston, Mower, Olmsted, Wabasha and 1 more8 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Minnesota, 2010Every tornado watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.