Alert archive / Montana / Tornado Watches in 2010

Tornado Watch 228

May 27, 201014 counties in Montana; 8 counties in North Dakota

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 27, 2010, 4:39 PM MDT for 14 counties in Montana; 8 counties in North Dakota. It was in force for 8 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2010, 4:39 PM MDT (22:39 UTC)
Expired
May 28, 2010, 1:00 AM MDT
In force
8 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 22 counties

Big Horn County, MT, Carter County, MT, Custer County, MT, Dawson County, MT, Fallon County, MT, Garfield County, MT, McCone County, MT, Powder River County, MT, Prairie County, MT, Richland County, MT, Roosevelt County, MT, Rosebud County, MT, Treasure County, MT, Wibaux County, MT, Billings County, ND, Bowman County, ND, Dunn County, ND, Golden Valley County, ND, McKenzie County, ND, Slope County, ND, Stark County, ND, Williams County, ND

The radar

The Glasgow radar (KGGW), 157 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
30%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
40%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
50%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

16 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 27, 8:34 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Prairie26 min
May 27, 8:58 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWMcCone, Prairie47 min
May 27, 9:01 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWMcCone, Prairie59 min
May 27, 9:25 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWDawson, McCone, Prairie50 min
May 27, 9:29 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWMcCone61 min
May 27, 9:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield23 min
May 27, 10:11 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZBig Horn, Rosebud, Treasure, Yellowstone58 min
May 27, 10:14 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWDawson, Richland31 min
May 27, 10:27 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield63 min
May 27, 10:43 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Valley62 min
May 27, 10:47 PM MDTTornado WarningGGWGarfield28 min
May 27, 10:55 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone64 min
May 27, 10:57 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBYZRosebud, Treasure63 min
May 27, 11:17 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWDaniels, Roosevelt, Valley58 min
May 27, 11:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWGarfield, McCone, Roosevelt63 min
May 28, 12:40 AM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGGWMcCone, Roosevelt, Valley65 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Great_falls, MT (KTFX), launched 12:00Z, 10.7 hours before the alert went out and 356 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2010-05-27Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 13 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Great_falls, MT at 12:00Z on 2010-05-27The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -23 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
13 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-58 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
788 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
42 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 26, 8:30 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Carter, Custer, Powder River, Rosebud, Treasure60 min
May 27, 2:35 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCascade, Chouteau, Hill, Judith Basin, Liberty115 min
May 27, 2:54 PM MDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBig Horn, Custer, Dawson, Fallon, Garfield, McCone and 9 more96 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Montana, 2010Tornado Watches in North Dakota, 2010Every tornado watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.