Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2010

Tornado Watch 2

January 20, 2010Little River County, Miller County, Sevier County, Arkansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma; 44 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jan 20, 2010, 3:52 PM CST for Little River County, Miller County, Sevier County, Arkansas; 13 counties in Oklahoma; 44 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jan 20, 2010, 3:52 PM CST (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Jan 20, 2010, 10:00 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 60 counties

Little River County, AR, Miller County, AR, Sevier County, AR, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bowie County, TX, Camp County, TX, Cass County, TX, Cherokee County, TX, Collin County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Gregg County, TX, Harrison County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Marion County, TX, Montague County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Panola County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Rusk County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
40%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
10%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 20, 4:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Rusk, Smith44 min
Jan 20, 4:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Marion, Panola, Rusk36 min
Jan 20, 4:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDallas, Kaufman, Rockwall65 min
Jan 20, 4:36 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDKaufman, Van Zandt54 min
Jan 20, 4:48 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCollin, Hunt57 min
Jan 20, 4:58 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDVan Zandt47 min
Jan 20, 5:01 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHarrison, Marion29 min
Jan 20, 5:14 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVHarrison46 min
Jan 20, 5:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt63 min
Jan 20, 5:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith, Wood63 min
Jan 20, 5:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDDelta, Lamar63 min
Jan 20, 5:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHopkins, Hunt58 min
Jan 20, 5:50 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVSmith, Wood40 min
Jan 20, 6:00 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Upshur45 min
Jan 20, 6:09 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVGregg, Smith, Upshur, Wood51 min
Jan 20, 6:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTSAChoctaw, Pushmataha55 min
Jan 20, 6:25 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDHenderson35 min
Jan 20, 6:29 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHopkins46 min
Jan 20, 6:35 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVWood40 min
Jan 20, 6:37 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson38 min
Jan 20, 6:39 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVCherokee, Smith51 min
Jan 20, 6:47 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMcCurtain43 min
Jan 20, 6:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLamar40 min
Jan 20, 6:55 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVCass, Marion, Morris, Upshur50 min
Jan 20, 7:10 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVCamp, Upshur50 min
Jan 20, 7:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHarrison, Marion39 min
Jan 20, 7:30 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVHoward, Sevier45 min
Jan 20, 7:38 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVGregg, Rusk37 min
Jan 20, 7:53 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVSmith13 min
Jan 20, 8:07 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVMiller38 min
Jan 20, 8:15 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHVGregg, Harrison, Panola, Rusk45 min
Jan 20, 8:57 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Comanche, Garvin, Grady, Jefferson, Stephens48 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 102 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2010-01-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 187 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2010-01-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
187 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-177 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1407 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
234 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
2.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

745 
WWUS20 KWNS 202157
SEL2
SPC WW 202157
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-210400-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 2
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
355 PM CST WED JAN 20 2010

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

       EXTREME SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
       SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
       NORTH CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 355 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 40 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
FORT WORTH TEXAS TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF TEXARKANA ARKANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 1...

DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AND INTENSIFY
ACROSS PART OF NORTH CENTRAL TX/SOUTH CENTRAL OK ALONG WARM FRONT IN
RESPONSE TO INCREASING DYNAMIC FORCING FOR ASCENT ASSOCIATED WITH
STRONG UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE WEST.  RELATIVELY STEEP
LAPSE RATES ABOVE MOIST PBL ARE CONTRIBUTING TO UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT
WITH MLCAPE OF 1000-1500 J/KG. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR CURRENTLY IN THE
35-45 KT RANGE IS SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT...AND LOW LCL
HEIGHTS AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL SHEAR/SRH WILL ENHANCE THREAT FOR A
FEW TORNADOES WITH DISCRETE CELLS THAT FORM.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 25035.


...WEISS

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 19, 10:11 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaxter, Boone, Carroll, Clark, Cleburne, Conway and 33 more2 hr
Jan 20, 3:13 PM CSTTornado WatchSPCColumbia, Hempstead, Howard, Lafayette, Nevada, Union7 hr
Jan 20, 1:49 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Bosque, Brown, Clay, Comanche and 18 more86 min
Jan 20, 2:22 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCHardin, Jasper, Newton, Orange, Sabine, Tyler83 min

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2010Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2010Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2010Every tornado watch in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.