Severe Thunderstorm Warning 155, NWS Shreveport, LA

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HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1047 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

ARZ050-051-059>061-070>073-LAZ001>006-010>014-017>022-OKZ077-
TXZ096-097-108>112-124>126-136>138-149>153-165>167-101100-
SEVIER-HOWARD-LITTLE RIVER-HEMPSTEAD-NEVADA-MILLER-LAFAYETTE-
COLUMBIA-UNION AR-CADDO-BOSSIER-WEBSTER-CLAIBORNE-LINCOLN-
UNION LA-DE SOTO-RED RIVER-BIENVILLE-JACKSON-OUACHITA-SABINE LA-
NATCHITOCHES-WINN-GRANT-CALDWELL-LA SALLE-MCCURTAIN-BOWIE-
FRANKLIN-TITUS-CAMP-MORRIS-CASS-WOOD-UPSHUR-MARION-SMITH-GREGG-
HARRISON-CHEROKEE-RUSK-PANOLA-NACOGDOCHES-SHELBY-ANGELINA-
SAN AUGUSTINE-SABINE TX-
1047 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ARKANSAS...SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...NORTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
NORTHWEST LOUISIANA...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...EAST TEXAS AND
NORTHEAST TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER CENTRAL TEXAS WILL GRADUALLY
DRIFT NORTH INTO NORTHEAST TEXAS THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...WHICH WILL
SEND AREAS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NORTH NORTHEAST INTO MUCH OF
NORTHEAST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AS WELL AS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS AND NORTHWEST LOUISIANA TODAY AND TONIGHT. GIVEN THE
STRONG INSTABILITY AND LOW LEVEL SHEAR IN PLACE...NEAR A SURFACE BOUNDARY
THAT WILL CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTH TOWARDS THE RED RIVER THROUGH THIS
EVENING...AN ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL EXIST...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE. HOWEVER...LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS...AS THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE REPEATEDLY OVER THE
SAME AREAS OF EAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON...AND POSSIBLY INTO SOUTHEAST
OKLAHOMA AND THE WESTERN SECTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS TONIGHT.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL LIKELY FALL OVER MUCH OF
EAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF UP TO
FIVE INCHES POSSIBLE. GIVEN THE CURRENT MODERATE TO SEVERE DROUGHT
CONDITIONS IN PLACE...ANY EXCESSIVE HEAVY RAINFALL WILL QUICKLY RUNOFF
AND CREATE FLASH FLOODING.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
FARTHER EAST ACROSS NORTHCENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHCENTRAL
ARKANSAS...WELL EAST OF THE UPPER LOW. GIVEN THE EXPECTED WARMER
TEMPERATURES...GREATER INSTABILITY...AND VERY MOIST AIR MASS IN
PLACE...ISOLATED STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. WIND GUSTS TO 45
MPH...BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL...AND CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREATS...WITH THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DIMINISHING
THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

THE UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH NORTHEAST INTO
NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS
THURSDAY...WITH THE HEAVIER RAINFALL AXIS SHIFTING NORTH INTO THESE
AREAS DURING THE DAY. FLASH FLOODING WILL AGAIN BE THE PRIMARY
THREAT...AS VERY HEAVY RAINFALL REDEVELOPS ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
LOW...AND TRAINS OVER THE SAME AREAS THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO THREE INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE
THURSDAY ACROSS NORTHEAST TEXAS...SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...AND POSSIBLY
PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS...BEFORE THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT
DIMINISHES FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THURSDAY NIGHT AS THE UPPER LOW
BEGINS TO LIFT NORTHEAST OUT OF THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF EMERGENCY MANAGERS...SKYWARN NETWORKS...AND HAM RADIO
OPERATORS...WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...ESPECIALLY
OVER EAST TEXAS.

15

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1018 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

TXZ136-149-150-152-091615-
CHEROKEE-NACOGDOCHES-RUSK-SMITH-
1018 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1115 AM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
     SMITH...SOUTHERWESTERN RUSK AND CHEROKEE...
IN EASTERN TEXAS...
     NORTHWESTERN NACOGDOCHES...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     ALTO...ARP...BULLARD...JACKSONVILLE...JOINERVILLE...MAYDELLE...
     MIXON...MORRILL...MOUNT SELMAN...NEW SALEM...OVERTON...PONTA...
     REESE...RUSK...SACUL...TROUP...TURNERTOWN AND WHITEHOUSE...

AT 1014 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 12 MILES
NORTHWEST OF JACKSONVILLE TO 15 MILES SOUTH OF RUSK...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES...AND WINDS AROUND 40 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.  IN ADDITION...THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS IN EXCESS OF AN INCH PER HOUR.

PEOPLE IN SMITH...RUSK...CHEROKEE...AND NACOGDOCHES COUNTIES SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THESE STORMS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
SHREVEPORT.

D. BUTTS

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
1117 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

TXZ124-125-136-137-149-150-152-165-091715-
ANGELINA-CHEROKEE-GREGG-NACOGDOCHES-RUSK-SMITH-UPSHUR-WOOD-
1117 AM CDT WED JUN 9 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SHREVEPORT HAS ISSUED A SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY...EFFECTIVE UNTIL 1215 PM CDT...FOR THE FOLLOWING
COUNTIES...

IN NORTHEAST TEXAS...
     EASTERN WOOD...UPSHUR...EASTERN SMITH...GREGG...RUSK AND
     CHEROKEE...

IN EASTERN TEXAS...
     NORTHERN NACOGDOCHES AND NORTHERN ANGELINA...

INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING LOCATIONS...
     ALTO...ARP...BIG SANDY...CLARKSVILLE CITY...DOUGLASS...EAST
     MOUNTAIN...FOREST...GILMER...GLADEWATER...HAINESVILLE...
     HAWKINS...HENDERSON...JOINERVILLE...KILGORE...LIBERTY CITY...
     LONGVIEW...MINDEN...MIXON...MORRILL...NACOGDOCHES...NEW
     LONDON...NEW SALEM...OVERTON...PINEHILL...POLLOK...PONTA...
     ROSEWOOD...SACUL...TRAWICK...TROUP...TURNERTOWN...TYLER...
     WELLS...WEST MOUNTAIN...WHITE OAK AND WHITEHOUSE...

AT 1111 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
DETECTING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM TYLER TO
NEW SALEM TO WELLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PENNIES...AND WINDS 40 TO 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED
WITH THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS LINE OF STORMS.

STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER UPDATES FROM YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
SHREVEPORT.

D. BUTTS