Flash Flood Warning 81, NWS Springfield, MO

487 
WGUS73 KSGF 120047
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
747 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

MOC015-029-039-059-085-105-131-167-185-225-229-120500-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0081.000000T0000Z-100712T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-POLK MO-LACLEDE MO-CEDAR MO-DALLAS MO-HICKORY MO-
ST. CLAIR MO-CAMDEN MO-MILLER MO-BENTON MO-
747 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
CAMDEN...CEDAR...DALLAS...HICKORY...LACLEDE...NORTHERN WEBSTER...
POLK...SOUTHERN BENTON...SOUTHWESTERN MILLER...ST. CLAIR AND WRIGHT
COUNTIES...

AT 738 PM CDT...LOCAL EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED 
FLOODING IN BOLIVAR AND MARSHFIELD AS A RESULT OF HEAVY RAINFALL 
RECEIVED THIS AFTERNOON. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT TWO 
TO THREE INCHES OF RAIN FELL OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNED AREA SINCE 
430 PM.

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

ROUTE E NORTH OF HIGHWAY 38 AT THE GASCONADE RIVER...
ROUTE C NORTH OF BUFFALO AT LINDLEY CREEK...
HIGHWAY 32 EAST OF BUFFALO AT GREASY CREEK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3821 9300 3820 9302 3818 9301 3822 9297
      3822 9293 3819 9296 3819 9277 3822 9275
      3821 9249 3767 9243 3761 9228 3710 9226
      3747 9315 3757 9347 3759 9408 3821 9406
      3822 9300

$$

TERRY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
220 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

.DISCUSSION...

...MESOSCALE UPDATE...
INITIALLY DISCRETE CELLS STARTING TO FORM INTO AN MCS OVER WEST
CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MISSOURI AS OF 19Z. STILL SEEING SOME ROTATION
WITHIN A COUPLE OF THESE CELLS. CELL OVER HENRY COUNTY IN WEST
CENTRAL MO STARTING TO BOW AND ACCELERATE EAST-SOUTHEAST AND HAS A
HISTORY OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND. NEW 18Z SOUNDING FROM SGF
SHOWS 3600+ J/KG CAPES. WOULD EXPECT CURRENT TREND TO COUNTINUE
WITH AN ESE MOVEMENT AND POSSIBLE CONTINUED ACCELERATION WITH
FORWARD PROPAGATING CORFIDI VECTORS HEADING ESE. THIS WOULD KEEP
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT WITH THIS MCS MAINLY EAST OF AN OSCEOLA TO
BRANSON LINE THIS AFTERNOON.

LINDENBERG

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)...

UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH NORTHERN KANSAS
AND MISSOURI CONTINUES TO INTERACT WITH AN INCREASING UNSTABLE AIR
MASS TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY OVER SOUTHERN
MISSOURI WITH SEVERE STORMS FURTHER NORTH ACROSS CENTRAL MO.
DECENT JET MAX THIS FAR SOUTH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WAS HELPING IN
0-6KM SHEAR VALUES OF 40-50KTS OVER NORTHERN PART OF CWA AND WHEN
COMBINED WITH CAPES OF 3000-4000 J/KG WILL CONTINUE THE SEVERE
WEATHER RISK OVER WEST CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MO THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND LIKELY INTO THE EVENING HOURS. STILL HAVE NOT SEEN
ANY DEVELOPMENT IN THE SOUTHWEST PART OF THE CWA BUT STILL VERY
UNSTABLE AND WOULD NOT BE SURPRISED TO SEE ADDITIONAL DEVLEOPMENT
LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.

MODELS AS EXPECTED HAVE DIFFERING SOLUTIONS WITH ALL OF THE
MESOSCALE FEATURES BUT COULD SEE ADDITIONAL DEVELOPMENT MONDAY
INTO MONDAY NIGHT...DEPENDING ON WHERE THE EFFECTIVE SURFACE
BOUNDARIES SET UP. BETTER CHANCES FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT LOOK
TO BE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN CWA MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT. ANOTHER
STRONG UPPER LEVEL WAVE WILL SHIFT SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA MONDAY
NIGHT FROM THE SOUTHWEST WHICH SHOULD PUSH THE MAIN AREA OF
CONVECTION EAST OF THE AREA BY MIDDAY TUESDAY.

LINDENBERG

LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE ACROSS THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS
INTO THE MID AND LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGIONS AT THE START OF
THE EXTENDED PERIOD.  A STRONG UPPER LEVEL WAVE IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM FLOW ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS WILL TRACK EAST INTO THE
UPPER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WEDNESDAY NIGHT ALLOWING FOR A FLATTENING
OF THE UPPER RIDGE AND A SURFACE FRONT TO TRACK INTO THE FORECAST
AREA ON THURSDAY.  HAVE LOW POPS GOING FOR WEDNESDAY DAY NIGHT IN
THE NORTHWEST CWA AND CWA WIDE ON THURSDAY AS THE FRONT WASHES OUT
OVER THE AREA.  MAIN STORM TRACK FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST
PERIOD WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE NORTHERN CONUS AND HAVE KEPT
PRECIPITATION OUT OF THE FORECAST FOR NOW.

LINDENBERG

&&

.AVIATION...

FOR THE 18Z TAF PACKAGE...HAVE INCLUDED VICINITY THUNDER THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON AT ALL AIRPORTS AND USED TEMPO GROUPS TO HIGHLIGHT
MOST LIKELY TIMING OF STORMS FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON AS AIR
MASS OVER THE REGION BECOMES MODERATELY TO HIGHLY UNSTABLE. HAVE
KEPT WIND PREDOMINANTLY FROM THE SOUTH THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD
BUT WOULD CAUTION THAT YOU COULD SEE A TEMPORARY SHIFT TO THE
NORTH OR WEST NEAR STORMS.

HAVE MAINTAINED MENTION OF LOW LEVEL JET FOR TONIGHT WITH TEMPO
GROUPS FOR FOG AND STRATUS FROM AROUND 09-12Z.

TERRY

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1154 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-121700-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1154 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

  WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  SIGNIFICANT THREAT FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH.
  ELEVATED THREAT FOR HAIL TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING THREAT.
  LIMITED THREAT FOR TORNADOES.
  LIMITED FLOODING THREAT.

  AREAS AFFECTED AND TIMING...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA. THE BEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL OCCUR THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING

  DISCUSSION...

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS NORTH AND WEST OF THE AREA WILL TRACK
EAST SOUTHEAST INTO THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THESE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND HAIL TO THE SIZE
OF QUARTERS. AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT ALSO EXISTS. WHILE THE
ENTIRE AREA HAS THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING...THE INITIAL SEVERE WEATHER RISK WILL AFFECT AREAS OF
WEST CENTRAL INTO CENTRAL MISSOURI EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

IN ADDITION TO THE POTENTIAL OF SEVERE STORMS...HEAVY RAIN WILL
LIKELY ACCOMPANY THESE STORMS...AND SHOULD MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS
MOVE OVER THE SAME AREA...A LOCALIZED FLOODING THREAT WILL BE
POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

  THERE IS AN ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT RISK OF THUNDERSTORMS ONCE
  AGAIN ON MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...AS WELL AS A THREAT FOR
  FLOODING.

  HEAT INDICES ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN EXCESS OF 100 DEGREES ON
  WEDNESDAY AND BETWEEN 95 AND 100 ON THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED OVER WEST CENTRAL AND
CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE POTENTIAL OF SPOTTERS
BEING NEEDED FURTHER SOUTH BY LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
440 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0435 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S ROLLA               37.86N 91.77W
07/11/2010                   PHELPS             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            SEVERAL LARGE TREES AND NUMEROUS LARGE LIMBS DOWN. REPORT
            RELAYED THROUGH PHELPS CO EM OFFICE.

&&

MSUTTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
451 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0420 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE ROLLA              37.94N 91.76W
07/11/2010                   PHELPS             MO   PUBLIC

            3 INCH DIAMTER LIMBS DOWN.

&&

JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
507 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0506 PM     HEAVY RAIN       COLE CAMP               38.46N 93.20W
07/11/2010  M2.05 INCH       BENTON             MO   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&

LINDENBERG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
507 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

MOZ066-077-078-112230-
BARTON MO-CEDAR MO-VERNON MO-
507 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR NORTHEASTERN BARTON...SOUTHEASTERN
VERNON AND SOUTHWESTERN CEDAR COUNTIES UNTIL 530 PM CDT...

AT 502 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR IRWIN...OR 8 MILES NORTH OF LAMAR...MOVING
EAST AT 25 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE
EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

THUNDERSTORMS POSE A VARIETY OF HAZARDS TO THOSE OUTDOORS...INCLUDING
HAIL... STRONG WINDS THAT CAN CREATE DANGEROUS FLYING PROJECTILES AND
DEBRIS...AS WELL AS DEADLY CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY SHELTER
IMMEDIATELY.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT
SUNDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHERN MISSOURI.

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
509 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0450 PM     TSTM WND DMG     SALEM                   37.65N 91.54W
07/11/2010                   DENT               MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

JSS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
520 PM CDT SUN JUL 11 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0350 PM     TSTM WND DMG     WAYNESVILLE             37.83N 92.20W
07/11/2010                   PULASKI            MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

            12 INCH DIAMETER TREES SNAPPED IN HALF. SHINGLES BLOWN
            OFF OF HOUSES WITH SECTIONS OF WOODEN FENCE BLOWN DOWN.

&&

JSS