Flash Flood Warning 151, NWS Springfield, MO

745 
WGUS73 KSGF 160425
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1125 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

MOC057-065-077-105-109-161-167-169-203-215-225-229-160800-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0151.000000T0000Z-100916T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE MO-SHANNON MO-GREENE MO-WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-DADE MO-
TEXAS MO-POLK MO-LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-PHELPS MO-DENT MO-
1125 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
DENT...GREENE...NORTHERN LAWRENCE...NORTHERN SHANNON...SOUTHEASTERN
DADE...SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE...SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI...SOUTHERN
PHELPS...SOUTHERN POLK...TEXAS...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT COUNTIES...

AT 1117 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS WITH VERY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS HAVE AVERAGED BETWEEN ONE AND TWO INCHES SINCE
10 PM. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL ON AREAS ALREADY SATURATED FROM 
RAINFALL WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO OCCUR. 
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY 
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

&&

LAT...LON 3712 9126 3710 9406 3729 9409 3731 9369
      3746 9366 3747 9318 3742 9318 3742 9307
      3748 9307 3749 9237 3764 9227 3768 9188
      3782 9184 3784 9153 3779 9153 3778 9131

$$

TERRY

344 
WGUS73 KSGF 160621
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
121 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2010

MOC057-065-077-105-109-161-167-169-203-215-225-229-160800-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0151.000000T0000Z-100916T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE MO-SHANNON MO-GREENE MO-WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-DADE MO-
TEXAS MO-POLK MO-LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-PHELPS MO-DENT MO-
121 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2010

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 AM CDT FOR
DENT...GREENE...NORTHERN LAWRENCE...NORTHERN SHANNON...SOUTHEASTERN
DADE...SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE...SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI...SOUTHERN
PHELPS...SOUTHERN POLK...TEXAS...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT COUNTIES...

AT 110 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THAT RAIN HAD ENDED AT MOST LOCATIONS. RAINFALL AMOUNTS SINCE 
WEDNESDAY HAVE RANGED FROM ONE TO THREE INCHES. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO 
OCCUR. CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY 
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

ROUTE KK AT GLADDEN CREEK JUST NORTH OF AKERS...
ROUTE E NORTH OF HIGHWAY 38 AT THE GASCONADE RIVER...
ROUTE CC WEST OF FAIR GROVE AT THE POMME DE TERRE RIVER...
HIGHWAY 97 AT THE SPRING RIVER NORTH OF STOTTS CITY...
HIGHWAY 215 JUST EAST OF PLEASANT HOPE.


LAT...LON 3712 9126 3710 9406 3729 9409 3731 9369
      3746 9366 3747 9318 3742 9318 3742 9307
      3748 9307 3749 9237 3764 9227 3768 9188
      3782 9184 3784 9153 3779 9153 3778 9131

$$

691 
WGUS73 KSGF 160758
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
258 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2010

MOC057-065-077-105-109-161-167-169-203-215-225-229-160808-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0151.000000T0000Z-100916T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
LAWRENCE MO-SHANNON MO-GREENE MO-WRIGHT MO-WEBSTER MO-DADE MO-
TEXAS MO-POLK MO-LACLEDE MO-PULASKI MO-PHELPS MO-DENT MO-
258 AM CDT THU SEP 16 2010

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 300 AM CDT FOR DENT...
GREENE...NORTHERN LAWRENCE...NORTHERN SHANNON...SOUTHEASTERN DADE...
SOUTHEASTERN LACLEDE...SOUTHEASTERN PULASKI...SOUTHERN PHELPS...
SOUTHERN POLK...TEXAS...WEBSTER AND WRIGHT COUNTIES...

THIS FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH AN AREAL FLOOD 
WARNING UNTIL 1000 AM CDT. 

IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3712 9126 3710 9406 3729 9409 3731 9369
      3746 9366 3747 9318 3742 9318 3742 9307
      3748 9307 3749 9237 3764 9227 3768 9188
      3782 9184 3784 9153 3779 9153 3778 9131

$$

BOXELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
722 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

...MESOSCALE CONVECTIVE DISCUSSION...

.UPDATE...
/ISSUED 710 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010/
CONVECTION THAT IMPACTED PORTIONS OF THE OZARKS WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON HAD DIMINISHED THIS EVENING LEAVING BEHIND A
CONTAMINATED AIR MASS. OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES FROM TODAYS HAD
REINFORCED A BOUNDARY THAT EXTENDED ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN KANSAS
INTO THE FAR SOUTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI. SEVERE CONVECTION HAD
DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE AND COLD FRONT. WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THESE STORMS AS
THEY SPREAD EAST AND INTERACT WITH THE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED
BOUNDARY. GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS EVENING
AFTER 02Z WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST
MISSOURI MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF HIGHWAY 71. A DIMINISHING RISK
OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL SPREAD EAST ACROSS THE OZARKS OVERNIGHT.
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED
TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT IN EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO THE
FAR SOUTHWEST CORNER OF MISSOURI.

IN ADDITION...WITH THE CONVECTIVE COMPLEX TAKING SHAPE TO OUR WEST
ACROSS KANSAS AND A STRENGTHENING LOW LEVEL JET NOSING INTO THE
REGION...THE POTENTIAL OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLOODING IS INCREASING
FOR TONIGHT. THEREFORE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR
AREAS NORTHWEST OF A BRANSON TO SALEM LINE.

FOSTER

&&

.DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 325 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010/

MAIN FOCUS IN THIS FORECAST PACKAGE WILL DEAL WITH ONGOING
CONVECTION ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS
ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.

CURRENTLY...A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH EAST
SOUTHEAST ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWESTERN CWA. AN AREA OF
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THE DECAYING MCS FROM THIS
MORNING...CONTINUES TO SLOWLY PUSH EAST ACROSS THE FAR EASTERN CWA
THIS AFTERNOON. INCREASED CLOUD COVER REMAINS OVER THE EASTERN AND
NORTHERN CWA FROM THE MCS AND THE CURRENT STORMS OVER THE AREA.
THIS HAD LIMITED HEATING AND INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS
ELEVATED INSTABILITY ACROSS THE AREA WITH IT BEING MUCH WEAKER
ACROSS THE EASTERN CWA. LOW LEVEL SHEAR VECTORS ARE PARALLEL TO
THE MOVEMENT OF THE STORMS...WHICH SHOULD KEEP THE STORMS OUTFLOW
DOMINANT AND LIMIT THE SEVERE POTENTIAL WITH THE ONGOING STORMS.
WITH THE ELEVATED INSTABILITY THESE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO
PUSH EAST AND WEAKEN DURING THE REMAINDER OF THE
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ONCE THEY MOVE EAST OF HIGHWAY 65 WHERE
WEAKER INSTABILITY RESIDES.

THE BIG QUESTION IS WHAT IS GOING TO HAPPEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON
INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS COLD FRONT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES
THROUGH THE REGION. MODELS DID NOT HANDLE THE MCS THIS MORNING OR
THE CURRENT CONVECTION VERY WELL AT ALL...SO THEIR DEPICTION OF
THE ACTIVITY ALONG THE FRONT COULD BE GREATLY FLAWED OVER THE AREA
DUE TO THE POOR INITIALIZATION OF THE MODEL. CLOUDS ARE STARTING
TO CLEAR ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON. MLCAPE
IS STARTING TO INCREASE IN THESE AREAS WITH TEMPERATURES ARE IN
THE UPPER 90S WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL KANSAS. THEREFORE...THINK STORMS SHOULD BEGIN TO INITIALIZE
AHEAD OF THE FRONT/OUTFLOW BOUNDARY ACROSS CENTRAL KANSAS TO NORTH
CENTRAL OKLAHOMA IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO. WIND SHEAR WILL SUPPORT
ORGANIZED STORMS ACROSS KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY
EVENING HOURS...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN DISCRETE STORMS ACROSS
THESE AREAS.

THESE STORMS SHOULD THEN MOVE TO THE EAST AND EVENTUALLY FORM
INTO A LINE OF STORMS AND THEN PUSH INTO THE WESTERN CWA THIS
EVENING. WIND SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN SIGNIFICANT ENOUGH TO SUPPORT
STRONG TO SEVERE WEATHER IF THERE IS ENOUGH INSTABILITY IN PLACE
ACROSS THE AREA. WITH THE BREAKS IN THE CLOUDS STARTING TO OCCUR ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO FAR SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...FEEL A SEVERE
POTENTIAL WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THESE LINES MOVE INTO THE
AREA...GENERALLY WEST OF THE HIGHWAY 71 CORRIDOR. THINK THE MAIN
RISK WILL BE STRONG WINDS. THE LINE OF STORMS SHOULD THEN WEAKEN
AS THEY PUSH EAST ACROSS THE AREA THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS...WHERE MORE STABLE AIRMASS SHOULD RESIDE.

COOLER CONDITIONS WILL THEN SPREAD INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE FRONT FOR
THE END OF THE WORK WEEK. AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL THEN START TO
BUILD TOWARDS THE AREA THIS WEEKEND. AN UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE
TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PUSH ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND
WHICH WILL TRY TO PUSH A FRONT TO THE SOUTH. THINK THE RIDGE WILL
HOLD STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE FRONT AND ALL PRECIPITATION CHANCES
WELL OFF TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA SO LEFT THE FORECAST DRY THIS
WEEKEND. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THIS WEEKEND INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE BUILDS OVER THE REGION. ANOTHER
SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MAY APPROACH AND MOVE THROUGH THE AREA
DURING THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...BRINGING CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS
TO THE REGION.

WISE

&&

.AVIATION...
/ISSUED 653 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010/

A FRONT WILL APPROACH THE TERMINALS TONIGHT BRINGING WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MVFR CONDITIONS WITH LOCALIZED IFR
CONDITIONS IN THE HEAVIER RAINFALL WILL ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL
PASSAGE. LOW LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL ALSO IMPACT AREA TERMINALS
OVERNIGHT. MVFR CEILINGS MAY PERSIST BEHIND THE FRONT INTO EARLY
THURSDAY BEFORE CLEARING.

FOSTER

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM BRANSON
TO SALEM.
KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT FOR EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.
&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
828 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-170130-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
828 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER RISK LEVEL IS...SIGNIFICANT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

 THE LIGHTNING RISK IS SIGNIFICANT.
 THE THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK IS ELEVATED FOR GUSTS GREATER THAN
 60 MPH.
 THE HAIL RISK IS ELEVATED FOR HAIL LARGER THAN THE SIZE OF
 QUARTERS.
 THE FLOODING RISK IS ELEVATED.
 THE TORNADO RISK IS LIMITED.

DISCUSSION...

  A COMPLEX OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH OUT OF
  KANSAS AND ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS TONIGHT AS A FRONT APPROACHES
  FROM THE NORTHWEST. THESE STORMS WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL OF
  DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT
  ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS INTO THE FAR SOUTHWEST CORNER OF
  MISSOURI...OR MAINLY SOUTHWEST OF A LINE FROM GIRARD KANSAS TO
  CASSVILLE MISSOURI.

  THERE WILL ALSO BE A THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH
  FLOODING TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...HOWEVER NO SEVERE STORMS ARE
  EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT MAINLY WEST OF
 HIGHWAY 65.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
913 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0907 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E SHERMAN             37.26N 95.02W
09/15/2010                   CHEROKEE           KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL POWER POLES DOWN.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
935 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0934 PM     FLASH FLOOD      VISTA                   37.99N 93.66W
09/15/2010                   ST. CLAIR          MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL LOW WATER CROSSINGS IN THE COUNTY FLOODING.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
944 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0932 PM     TSTM WND GST     N FRONTENAC             37.46N 94.69W
09/15/2010  M68 MPH          CRAWFORD           KS   STORM CHASER

            MEASURED WITH A HAND HELD WIND METER.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
957 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0933 PM     TSTM WND GST     2 S CRESTLINE           37.14N 94.70W
09/15/2010  E60 MPH          CHEROKEE           KS   STORM CHASER

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1009 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0945 PM     TSTM WND DMG     JOPLIN                  37.08N 94.51W
09/15/2010                   JASPER             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE DOWN. SOME DEBRIS IN THE ROAD. REPORT OVERHEARD ON
            SCANNER.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1017 PM CDT WED SEP 15 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0950 PM     TSTM WND DMG     BROOKLYN HEIGHTS        37.17N 94.39W
09/15/2010                   JASPER             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            DEBRIS ON THE GROUND. SPOTTERS REPORTED A FUNNEL CLOUD.

&&

DSA