Special Weather Statement, NWS Philadelphia/Mount Holly

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
334 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

.SYNOPSIS...
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES
INTO NEW ENGLAND WILL PULL A WARM FRONT ACROSS OUR AREA OVERNIGHT.
THIS WILL BRING INCREASED HEAT AND HUMIDITY INTO THE AREA FOR THE
MIDWEEK PERIOD. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATE
THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR THE
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE ON SUNDAY. A COLD FRONT
SHOULD THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA ABOUT MONDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
THE WRF-NMM INITIALIZED SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN THE GFS WITH THE 12Z
SOUNDINGS, BUT THEN APPEARED TO GO INTO ITS SLOW BIAS AS THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD CONTINUED. SO WE STARTED USING ITS HIER RESOLUTION
SIBLINGS AND THEN BLENDED TOWARD THE GFS AT THE END OF THE SHORT
TERM. FYI NO CHANGES TO HEAT PRODUCTS.

ONCE AGAIN OUR CWA IS FACED WITH A SEPARATION OF THE BEST
THERMODYNAMICS AND KINEMATICS FOR CONVECTION. THE FCST BULK SHEAR
AND EXIT REGION OF THE 250MB JET WILL BE NORTH INTO THIS EVENING
WHERE THERE IS THE MOST CLOUDINESS. MEANWHILE TO THE SOUTH WHERE
SFC BASED CAPES WILL EXCEED 1000J, THERE IS STILL SOME CIN AND A
WEAKER WIND FIELD OVERALL. THE STRONGER SHORT WAVE AS DEPICTED BY
THE GFS OVER WV IS HARD TO FIND WHILE THE ONES OVER OHIO AND THE
ERN GREAT LAKES ARE A BIT MORE OBVIOUS. WE ARE GOING TO GO WITH
THE BETTER SHEARED ENVIRONMENT VS THE HIER CAPED ENVIRONMENT FOR
THE HIEST POPS INTO THIS EVENING WHICH IS NORTH VS SOUTH. THE
CLOUDINESS AND HENCE LOWER SFC BASED INSTABILITY IS CURRENTLY
PREVENTING THE SVR POTENTIAL FROM RAMPING UP SO FAR. THERE IS
RELATIVELY COLDER AIR MOVING IN AT 500MB WITH CLEAR WAA AND THE
THERMAL RDG W OF THE DEW POINT RDG. SKIES THOUGH ARE CLEARING OVER
WRN PA AND THERE MAY BE A SMALL WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY NW WHERE
ENOUGH INSTABILITY MIGHT FORM. IN THE SE, THE 850MB MOISTURE WAS
FAIRLY THIN AND THE CLOSER PROX TO THE RIDGE AND VIS A VIS REMOVAL
FROM THE EFFECTIVE SHORT WAVES HAVE SO FAR HAD A MUTED TSRA
RESPONSE. THUS WE WILL KEEP THE HYBRID ENHANCED WORDING GUSTY
WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING BUT THINK LIMITING FACTORS IN BOTH
AREAS WILL KEEP THE INCIDENCE OF TSRAS REACHING SEVERE LEVELS
RELATIVELY LOW. FCST POPS WERE MODELED AFTER THE 12Z 4KM HI RES
AND MOVED FORWARD IN TIME BY ABT 2-3HRS.

WE DID ADD PATCHY FOG WHERE WE CARRIED LIKELY POPS, THIS WILL
LIKELY NEED REFINEMENT IN THE EVENING.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
NO BIG CHANGES WERE MADE FOR WED. IN THE DRY BEGET DRY ENVIRONMENT
TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RESPOND QUICKLY AND STAT GUIDANCE MAX TEMPS
APPEAR TOO HIGH BASED ON FCST 1000-850MB THICKNESSES. BECAUSE OF THE
FORMER THOUGH WE ARE NOT GOING TO KNOCK DOWN MAX TEMPS BLO STAT
GUIDANCE. THERE SHOULD BE A CAP ACROSS OUR CWA AND NO CONVECTION
IS EXPECTED. ONCE IN A WHILE AN ISOLATED TSRA WILL POP, BUT ITS
COVERAGE AT THIS POINT WOULD BE TOO LOW TO CARRY POPS. HI RES WRF-
NMM IS DRY. EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING WILL BE CONTINUED FOR URBAN
AREAS AS THE HEAT INDEX SHOULD APPROACH 100. PLUS WED WILL BE DAY
4 OF THE CURRENT HEAT WAVE AFTER A WARM NIGHT. BTW HIEST TEMP IN
PHL IN ALL OF 2009 WAS 95F.

A COLD FRONT WILL BE APPROACHING OUR CWA ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT, BUT NOT
FAST ENOUGH IN ALL LIKELIHOOD TO EITHER HELP LOWER MIN TEMPS FROM
MUGGY LEVELS OR BRING MUCH IN THE WAY OF RESIDUAL TSRAS INTO OUR
CWA. WE KEPT A LOW CHANCE UP NORTH WHICH BLENDS IN WITH THE CUR
DAY2 SEVERE CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

ON THURSDAY THE NEXT COLD FRONT SHOULD PASS THROUGH OUR CWA. THE
WIND FIELD ALOFT IS FORECAST TO BE MORE VIGOROUS THAN TODAY AND
THE ENTRANCE REGION TO THE H2.5 JET WILL BE MOVING ACROSS. THERE
WILL BE DRY AIR FCST AT THE MID LEVELS WHICH BY ITSELF WOULD
SUPPORT PULSE SVR TSRAS. THE RUB IS THAT THE FCST SFC WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE WEST AND THIS CUTS INTO STORM RELATIVE INFLOW.
ALSO THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN DURING THE DAY.
BOTH ARE THE PROBABLE REASONS AS TO WHY THE STAT GUIDANCE FCST
POPS ARE SO LOW. FOR NOW WE WILL CONTINUE TO GO ABOVE THEM BECAUSE
OF THE FNTL TIMING. WE PLACED THE HIEST POPS IN THE CENTRAL PART
OF OUR CWA BECAUSE OF SAID TIMING.

AS FAR AS EXCESSIVE HEAT GOES, WE WILL CONTINUE THE WATCH. LOOKS
LIKE THE HEAT INDEX SHOULD REACH NEAR 100F AGAIN (AND SOME LOW
100S SE OF URBAN AREAS). THE FCST WESTERLY WINDS ARE DROPPING THE
DEW POINTS LOWER THAN WHAT WE ARE CARRYING. THIS DOES ADD A LEVEL
OF UNCERTAINTY TO GO FROM WATCH TO WARNING AT THIS POINT.
REGARDLESS FCST 1000-850MB THICKNESSES SHOULD BE HIGHER AND NOT
BUYING INTO THE GFS DROP IN 850MB TEMPS AT 18Z THU. SO MAX TEMPS
LEANED TWD GFS MOS.

THE TSRA THREAT GIVEN THE PRESENT TIMING SHOULD END THU EVE AND
FRIDAY WILL BE A LESS HUMID AND NOT AS HOT A DAY. IF MOST OF OUR CWA
REMAINS DRY AFTER TNGT AND THU, IT WILL NOT BE HARD TO REACH 90F
AGAIN ALONG THE COASTAL PLAIN, BUT DEW POINT LEVELS SHOULD BE LOW
ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE NEEDING ANY HEAT RELATED PRODUCTS.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AT THE START OF THE PERIOD, WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE SITUATED
ACROSS THE AREA, AND THIS WILL YIELD FAIR AND DRY WEATHER THROUGH
THE REGION. SLIGHT CHANCE POPS ARE INTRODUCED ON SUNDAY AS A WEAK
BOUNDARY WILL BE NEARBY. A SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL RETURN TO THE
AREA, AND THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BUILD ACROSS THE REGION FOR
SUNDAY INTO MONDAY. 90 DEGREE TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH OUR
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN ZONES AT THIS TIME. AS THE BOUNDARY PASSES
THROUGH, CHANCE POPS FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE MAINTAINED
FOR MONDAY AND INTO EARLY TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THEN
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. COOLER CONDITIONS WITH TEMPERATURES
CLOSER TO NORMAL ARE ALSO ANTICIPATED FOR TUESDAY.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THE FOLLOWING DISCUSSION IS FOR KPHL, KPNE, KTTN, KABE, KRDG, KILG,
KMIV, KACY AND SURROUNDING AREAS.

VFR CONDS AND GOOD FLYING WX IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE TAF PD.

CURRENT RADAR SHOWS SOME WEAKENING SHOWERS IN ERN PA AND SOME
HEAVIER SHOWERS WITH SOME EMBEDDED TSTMS OVER NERN PA.  ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT IS PSBL INTO THE EVENING. WHILE THE POPS ARE LOW WITH
THIS EVENT, ANY SHOWER OR TSTM THAT SHOULD IMPACT ANY AIRPORT COULD
BRING MVFR CIGS/VSBYS WITH IT, BUT OVERALL PROBABILITIES ARE
LOW.

SW TO W WINDS HAVE FINALLY BEGUN OR WILL BEGIN SHORTLY OVER THE TAF
SITES.  WIND SPEEDS WILL GENLY BE 10 KT OR LESS.  OVERNIGHT, WINDS
WILL BECOME LIGHT, GENLY 6 KT OR LESS.  W WINDS WILL PREVAIL ON
WEDNESDAY, WITH SPEEDS UP TO 15 KT AND GUSTS PSBLY AS HIGH AS 20 KT.
HIGH CLOUDS ARE ALL THAT WILL BE EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY, WITH PSBLY
AN ISOLD AFTN TSTM IN VERY HOT AIR.

THERE COULD BE SOME FOG TWD DAYBREAK, MAINLY IN THOSE AREAS THAT
RECEIVE PRECIP, BUT WITH DEW POINTS INCREASING, IT CAN NOT BE RULED
OUT ANYWHERE.

OUTLOOK...
SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTMS ARE PSBL THU AS A CDFNT MOVES THROUGH LATE.
VFR CONDS WILL BE EXPECTED OUTSIDE OF ANY STORMS.  VFR WILL PREVAIL
AGAIN ON FRIDAY.

&&

.MARINE...
TRANQUIL WX IS EXPECTED ON THE AREA WATERS FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS
HIGH PRES IS IN CONTROL.  THERE COULD BE A SHOWER OR TSTM IMPACTING
THE WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING AND PSBLY AN ISOLD TSTM ON WEDNESDAY
THAT COULD BRIEFLY INCREASE WINDS OR SEAS.  SWLY TO WLY WINDS ARE
ANTICIPATED, GENLY 15 KT OR LESS.  A CDFNT WILL REACH THE AREA
WATERS THU NIGHT OR ERLY FRI.  WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NW AFTER
FROPA.  ATTM, WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY BELOW SCA
CRITERIA, EVEN WITH THE FROPA.

&&

.CLIMATE...
HERE ARE THE RECORDS HIGHS FOR OUR CLIMATE SITES ON WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY RESPECTIVELY...PHL...97 IN 1888 AND 99 IN 1923...ABE...95
IN 1965 AND 98 IN 1923...ACY...98 IN 1988 AND 96 IN 1966...ILG...100
IN 1894 AND 102 IN 1894...TTN...97 IN 1894 AND 98 IN 1894...
GED...100 IN 1988...96 IN 1988...RDG...96 IN 1908 AND 98 IN 1943...
MPO...90 IN 1908 AND 92 IN 1914.

&&

.PHI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR PAZ067>071.
     EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR PAZ067>071.
NJ...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR NJZ015-017>019.
     EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR NJZ015-017>019.
DE...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
     THURSDAY FOR DEZ001.
     EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH THURSDAY
     EVENING FOR DEZ001.
MD...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...GIGI
NEAR TERM...GIGI
SHORT TERM...GIGI
LONG TERM...KLINE
AVIATION...NIERENBERG
MARINE...NIERENBERG
CLIMATE...DELISI/GIGI

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
517 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

DEZ001-NJZ015-017>019-PAZ067>071-232130-
NEW CASTLE-MERCER-GLOUCESTER-CAMDEN-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON-CHESTER-
MONTGOMERY-BUCKS-DELAWARE-PHILADELPHIA-
517 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM WEDNESDAY TO 6 AM EDT
THURSDAY...
...EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN DELAWARE...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND SOUTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING.
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS, BUT ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING.
   EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

DEZ002>004-MDZ012-015-019-020-NJZ001-007>010-012-PAZ054-055-061-062-
232130-
KENT-INLAND SUSSEX-DELAWARE BEACHES-KENT MD-QUEEN ANNES-TALBOT-
CAROLINE-SUSSEX-WARREN-MORRIS-HUNTERDON-SOMERSET-MIDDLESEX-CARBON-
MONROE-LEHIGH-NORTHAMPTON-
517 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL DELAWARE...SOUTHERN
DELAWARE...NORTHEAST MARYLAND...NORTHERN NEW JERSEY...NORTHWEST NEW
JERSEY...EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA AND NORTHEAST PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING.
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS, BUT ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

MDZ008-NJZ013-014-016-020>027-PAZ060-232130-
CECIL-WESTERN MONMOUTH-EASTERN MONMOUTH-SALEM-OCEAN-CUMBERLAND-
ATLANTIC-CAPE MAY-ATLANTIC COASTAL CAPE MAY-COASTAL ATLANTIC-
COASTAL OCEAN-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON-BERKS-
517 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST MARYLAND...CENTRAL
NEW JERSEY...SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY AND EAST CENTRAL PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING.
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS, BUT ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ450>455-232130-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SANDY HOOK TO MANASQUAN INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM MANASQUAN INLET TO LITTLE EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM LITTLE EGG INLET TO GREAT EGG INLET NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM GREAT EGG INLET TO CAPE MAY NJ OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE MAY NJ TO CAPE HENLOPEN DE OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM CAPE HENLOPEN TO FENWICK ISLAND DE OUT 20 NM-
517 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING.
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS, BUT ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

ANZ430-431-232130-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS NORTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
DELAWARE BAY WATERS SOUTH OF EAST POINT NJ TO SLAUGHTER BEACH DE-
517 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 384 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DELAWARE BAY WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS INTO THIS EVENING.
THE MAIN SEVERE THREAT IS DAMAGING WINDS, BUT ANY THUNDERSTORMS
THAT DEVELOP MAY PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL HAIL...GUSTY
WINDS
AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
529 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

DEZ001-MDZ008-NJZ016-017-PAZ060-067-068-070-222215-
BERKS PA-CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-
NEW CASTLE DE-SALEM NJ-
529 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT BERKS...CECIL...CHESTER...
DELAWARE...GLOUCESTER...MONTGOMERY...NEW CASTLE AND SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 527 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTH OF
READING TO 18 MILES SOUTH OF READING TO 14 MILES SOUTH OF
LANCASTER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
NEAR FLEETWOOD...NEW MORGAN...ST. LAWRENCE...REIFFTON AROUND 535
PM...MOUNT VERNON...HOMEVILLE...GLENMOORE...COCHRANVILLE AROUND 540
PM...GLEN ROY AND THORNDALE AROUND 545 PM.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER
TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

THE WARNING FOR CHESTER AND EXTREME SOUTHERN BERKS COUNTIES WILL
EXPIRE AT 530 PM.

LAT...LON 3978 7607 3987 7601 3992 7601 4003 7595
      4011 7595 4014 7590 4020 7598 4058 7600
      4027 7530 3980 7527 3952 7567 3973 7614

FORECASTER:DRAG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
650 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

DEZ001-NJZ008>010-012-013-015>020-022-027-PAZ067>071-222345-
ATLANTIC NJ-BUCKS PA-CAMDEN NJ-CHESTER PA-DELAWARE PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-
HUNTERDON NJ-MERCER NJ-MIDDLESEX NJ-MONTGOMERY PA-MORRIS NJ-
NEW CASTLE DE-NORTHWESTERN BURLINGTON NJ-OCEAN NJ-PHILADELPHIA PA-
SALEM NJ-SOMERSET NJ-SOUTHEASTERN BURLINGTON NJ-WESTERN MONMOUTH NJ-
650 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT
ATLANTIC...BUCKS...BURLINGTON...CAMDEN...CHESTER...DELAWARE...GLOUCES
TER...HUNTERDON...MERCER...MIDDLESEX...MONMOUTH...MONTGOMERY...MORRIS
...NEW CASTLE...OCEAN...PHILADELPHIA...SALEM AND SOMERSET COUNTIES...

AT 647 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
7 MILES NORTH OF SOMERVILLE TO 19 MILES NORTH OF PHILADELPHIA TO 5
MILES NORTHEAST OF WILMINGTON...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR MILLINGTON...SOUTH PHILADELPHIA AROUND
700 PM...WISSINOMING...TACONY AROUND 715 PM...VOORHEES...SPRINGDALE
AROUND 730 PM...YARDVILLE-GROVEVILLE AND EDINBURG AROUND 745 PM.

THIS BAND OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS IS LESS INTENSE THAN
THE SEVERE STORM MOVING OUT OF NORTHERN DELAWARE INTO DELAWARE BAY
AND SOUTHWEST NEW JERSEY.

LAT...LON 4028 7441 3970 7474 3969 7563 4027 7530
      4073 7462 4073 7437 4067 7445 4065 7445
      4066 7440 4059 7444 4060 7421 4057 7420
      4055 7423 4047 7427 4045 7422 4046 7417
      4044 7416

FORECASTER: DRAG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
701 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             KEMBLESVILLE            39.75N 75.82W
06/22/2010  E0.25 INCH       CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN KEMBLESVILLE.

0633 PM     HAIL             NEWARK                  39.68N 75.76W
06/22/2010  E1.00 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN NEWARK.

0635 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELKTON                  39.60N 75.82W
06/22/2010                   CECIL              MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN CECIL COUNTY OF
            TREES, WIRES, AND A POWER POLE DOWN.

0640 PM     TSTM WND GST     BEAR                    39.62N 75.68W
06/22/2010  M62.00 MPH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED WIND GUST OF 62MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL
            REPORTED IN BEAR.

0642 PM     HAIL             NEWARK                  39.68N 75.76W
06/22/2010  E1.00 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN NEWARK.

0644 PM     HAIL             BEAR                    39.62N 75.68W
06/22/2010  E1.25 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN BEAR.

0645 PM     HAIL             BEAR                    39.62N 75.68W
06/22/2010  E0.88 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN BEAR.

&&

KLINE

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PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
745 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     HAIL             KEMBLESVILLE            39.75N 75.82W
06/22/2010  E0.25 INCH       CHESTER            PA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            PEA SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN KEMBLESVILLE.

0628 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ELKTON                  39.60N 75.82W
06/22/2010                   CECIL              MD   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS REPORTS ACROSS NORTHEASTERN CECIL COUNTY OF
            TREES, WIRES, AND A POWER POLE DOWN. TIME OF DAMAGE
            ESTIMATED BY RADAR.

0633 PM     HAIL             NEWARK                  39.68N 75.76W
06/22/2010  E1.00 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN NEWARK.

0640 PM     TSTM WND GST     BEAR                    39.62N 75.68W
06/22/2010  M62.00 MPH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            MEASURED WIND GUST OF 62MPH AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL
            REPORTED IN BEAR.

0642 PM     HAIL             NEWARK                  39.68N 75.76W
06/22/2010  E1.00 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN NEWARK.

0644 PM     HAIL             BEAR                    39.62N 75.68W
06/22/2010  E1.25 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN BEAR.

0645 PM     HAIL             BEAR                    39.62N 75.68W
06/22/2010  E0.88 INCH       NEW CASTLE         DE   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NICKEL SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN BEAR.

0721 PM     HAIL             GREENWICH               39.39N 75.34W
06/22/2010  E1.00 INCH       CUMBERLAND         NJ   TRAINED SPOTTER

            QUARTER SIZE HAIL REPORTED IN GREENWICH.

&&

KLINE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
748 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

DEZ001-002-MDZ008-012-015-NJZ016-017-PAZ067-230030-
CECIL MD-CHESTER PA-GLOUCESTER NJ-KENT MD-KENT DE-NEW CASTLE DE-
QUEEN ANNE'S MD-SALEM NJ-
748 PM EDT TUE JUN 22 2010

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT CECIL...CHESTER...GLOUCESTER...
KENT...NEW CASTLE...QUEEN ANNE'S AND SALEM COUNTIES...

AT 742 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEWARK TO 17 MILES
NORTH OF CENTERVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL
BE NEAR NEWPORT...ELSMERE...BOHEMIAS MILLS...GALENA AROUND 755 PM...
NEW CASTLE...WILMINGTON MANOR...WARWICK...SASSAFRAS AROUND 800 PM...
PENNSVILLE AND WILMINGTON AROUND 805 PM.

MOST OF THESE STORMS ON MARYLANDS EASTERN SHORE AS WELL AS NORTHERN
DELAWARE SHOULD NOT BE AS STRONG AS OTHER PREVIOUSLY WARNED STORMS.

VERY HEAVY RAIN WILL FALL FROM THESE STORMS...AND WILL CAUSE WATER TO
POND ON ROADS AND QUICKLY FILL ROADSIDE DITCHES AND SMALL STREAMS.

WIND GUSTS TO NEAR 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.

EXPECT INTENSE LIGHTNING FROM THESE STORMS. DO NOT SEEK SHELTER UNDER
TREES WHEN LIGHTNING THREATENS...MOVE INDOORS WHEN A THUNDERSTORM
APPROACHES.

LAT...LON 3938 7609 3942 7602 3945 7600 3946 7602
      3984 7569 3973 7526 3959 7544 3945 7554
      3946 7555 3950 7557 3957 7553 3958 7556
      3946 7558 3942 7553 3921 7551 3921 7623

FORECASTER:  DRAG