Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2010

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 57, NWS Twin Cities, MN

June 25, 20104 counties in Minnesota

NWS Twin Cities, MN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 25, 2010, 5:59 PM CDT for 4 counties in Minnesota. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 25, 2010, 5:59 PM CDT (22:59 UTC)
Expired: Jun 25, 2010, 6:41 PM CDT
In force: 42 min
Issued by: NWS Twin Cities, MN
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 1.75 in
Wind: 65.0 mph

Counties Anoka County, MN, Hennepin County, MN, Sherburne County, MN, Wright County, MN

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 58 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:59 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 25, 3:35 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 58 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 38 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -225 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1153 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 66 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 119 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

791 
WUUS53 KMPX 252259
SVRMPX
MNC003-053-141-171-260000-
/O.NEW.KMPX.SV.W.0057.100625T2259Z-100626T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
559 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN THE TWIN CITIES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN SHERBURNE COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  WESTERN ANOKA COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...
  NORTH CENTRAL HENNEPIN COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 555 PM CDT...RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM...CAPABLE OF
  PRODUCING LARGE DAMAGING HAIL UP TO GOLF BALL SIZE AND DAMAGING
  WINDS IN EXCESS OF 65 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BECKER...OR
  ABOUT 18 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CLOUD...AND MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
  MONTICELLO...
  BIG LAKE...
  ALBERTVILLE...
  OTSEGO...
  ELK RIVER...
  RAMSEY...
  DAYTON...
  ST FRANCIS...
  ANOKA...
  CEDAR...
  ANDOVER...
  COON RAPIDS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS IS A DANGEROUS SITUATION. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM...PREPARE IMMEDIATELY FOR DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...WHICH CAN
SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGE WINDOWS...SIDING AND VEHICLES. DAMAGING WINDS
ARE ALSO EXPECTED...WHICH WILL UPROOT TREES AND DOWN POWER LINES.
SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

DOPPLER RADAR HAS INDICATED SOME WEAK ROTATION WITHIN THIS STORM.
WHILE NOT IMMEDIATELY LIKELY...A TORNADO MAY STILL DEVELOP. IF A
TORNADO IS SPOTTED...ACT QUICKLY AND MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY IN A
STURDY STRUCTURE...SUCH AS A BASEMENT OR SMALL INTERIOR ROOM.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SATURDAY MORNING
FOR SOUTHERN MINNESOTA AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

&&

LAT...LON 4544 9351 4542 9351 4542 9323 4515 9331
      4528 9401 4547 9399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2259Z 290DEG 28KT 4536 9386
WIND...HAIL 65MPH 1.75IN

$$

1 follow-up statement

891 
WWUS53 KMPX 252341
SVSMPX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
641 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

MNC003-053-141-171-252350-
/O.CAN.KMPX.SV.W.0057.000000T0000Z-100626T0000Z/
SHERBURNE MN-WRIGHT MN-ANOKA MN-HENNEPIN MN-
641 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL HENNEPIN...
WESTERN ANOKA...NORTHEASTERN WRIGHT AND SOUTHERN SHERBURNE COUNTIES
IS CANCELLED...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY...HOWEVER SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH
THIS THUNDERSTORM.

ADDITIONAL SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF HENNEPIN AND WRIGHT COUNTIES.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT.

LAT...LON 4544 9351 4542 9351 4542 9323 4515 9331
      4528 9401 4547 9399
TIME...MOT...LOC 2340Z 290DEG 28KT 4525 9343

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 25, 3:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 25, 3:37 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
337 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

.DISCUSSION...

CONCERNS REVOLVE AROUND THE SEVERE THREAT BOTH THIS EVENING AND
AGAIN SATURDAY EVENING. STORMS ARE STARTING TO FIRE NORTH OF THE
STRONG CAPE/MULI GRADIENT OVER EASTERN SD AND WEST CENTRAL
MN...AND NEAR THE EDGE OF +12 700 MB TEMP. STRONG WARM ADVECTION
AND MOISTURE TRANSPORT INTO THIS BOUNDARY AND GRADIENT WILL
EVENTUALLY DEVELOP AN MCS TRACKING ESE ACROSS MAINLY SOUTHERN MN,
EARLY ON...SUPER CELLS LIKELY IN THE AREA OF STRONG PRESS FALLS
CO-LOCATED WITH THE VERY UNSTABLE REGIME IN SW MN AND EASTERN SD.

THOUGHT ABOUT A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PARTS OF THE SOUTH BUT THE
COMPLEX SHOULD MOVE ALONG QUICKLY BUT CERTAINLY WITH THE
POSSIBILITY OF 2+ INCH LOCALIZED RAIN. MAY NEED SOME FLOOD
STATEMENTS THOUGH. THERE ARE STILL SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE
GUIDANCE TRENDS FOR LATER SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT. WONDER IF
THE GFS IS A LITTLE ROBUST WITH THE SUB 1000 MB LOW
MOVING/DEVELOPING INTO THE AREA. PREFER MORE OF A NAM /SREF
SOLUTION WITH A BOUNDARY AND WEAKER LOW OVER SOUTHERN MN. WILL
DEPEND AGAIN ON HOW FAR SOUTH ANY OUTFLOWS END UP TONIGHT. THE
UPPER JET MAY ALLOW MORE OF PROLONGED RIGHT ENTRANCE REGION OVER
THE AREA SATURDAY NIGHT...WHICH COULD BE A RISK FOR HEAVY RAIN.
HAVE ALSO OUTLINED AN AREA OF SEVERE OVER SOUTHERN MN LATE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

THE SYSTEM APPEARS TO BE ON TRACK TO EXIT THE AREA ON
SUNDAY. THE BUILDING UPPER RIDGE STILL LOOKS TO GIVE US DRY
WEATHER FOR MOST OF NEXT WEEK. THE NAEFS METEOGRAMS AND GEFS POP
FIELDS SHOW A DECENT DRY PERIOD AS WELL.

&&

.AVIATION.../18Z TAF ISSUANCE/
WARM FRONT SEEMS TO BE DRAPED FROM EC SD ACROSS SRN MN... THROUGH
THERE IS SOME INDICATION OF BOUNDARY ALSO ACROSS CENTRAL MN PER
SPC MESOANALYSIS. SHOWERS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH/EAST OF COOLER
MID LEVEL TEMPS. FOR AVIATION PURPOSES...LOOKS LIKE SHOWERS WILL
CONTINUE FROM AXN/STC INTO WISC INTO MID AFTERNOON WITH A FEW
ISOLATED STORMS...THEN MUCH BETTER CHANCE OF THUNDER THROUGH MID
EVENING...TAPERING OFF FROM WEST TO EAST. RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND
LIGHT WINDS COULD BRING SOME MVFR CIGS AND VSBYS SATURDAY
MORNING... ESPECIALLY TO CENTRAL MN INTO WISC SITES.

KMSP...THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDER THE NEXT FEW HOURS BUT
PROBABILITY IS MUCH LOWER THAN LATE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.
VCSH SHOULD SUFFICE FOR NOW IN WARM ADVECTION ZONE. AS FOR STRONG
WIND POTENTIAL IN STORMS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...REMOVED
MENTION OF G45 MAINLY BECAUSE BEST CHANCE OF STRONG WIND SEEMS TO
BE LINING UP A LITTLE FARTHER SOUTH. MVFR CIGS/VSBYS POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT WITH LIGHT WINDS IN WAKE OF PRECIP.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
&&

JPR/TDK

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 25, 2:08 PM CDT, 3 hours 51 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
208 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

MNZ041>045-047>070-073>078-082>085-091>093-WIZ014>016-023>028-
261100-
DOUGLAS-TODD-MORRISON-MILLE LACS-KANABEC-STEVENS-POPE-STEARNS-
BENTON-SHERBURNE-ISANTI-CHISAGO-LAC QUI PARLE-SWIFT-CHIPPEWA-
KANDIYOHI-MEEKER-WRIGHT-HENNEPIN-ANOKA-RAMSEY-WASHINGTON-
YELLOW MEDICINE-RENVILLE-MCLEOD-SIBLEY-CARVER-SCOTT-DAKOTA-
REDWOOD-BROWN-NICOLLET-LE SUEUR-RICE-GOODHUE-WATONWAN-BLUE EARTH-
WASECA-STEELE-MARTIN-FARIBAULT-FREEBORN-POLK-BARRON-RUSK-
ST. CROIX-PIERCE-DUNN-PEPIN-EAU CLAIRE-
208 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA...AND WEST CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE FOR TORNADOES WILL BE IN
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN MINNESOTA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA. HEAVY RAINFALL IS
ALSO ANTICIPATED. A WARM FRONT EXTENDING FROM SOUTH DAKOTA INTO
SOUTHERN MINNESOTA WILL THE FOCUS FOR THE MOST SEVERE WEATHER.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO LINGER IN THE AREA ON SATURDAY...WITH
THUNDERSTORM REDEVELOPMENT ANTICIPATED ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE STORMS IS EXPECTED...WITH THE
POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW TORNADOES.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ON SATURDAY
NIGHT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AND AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:39 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
539 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0536 PM     HAIL             PLYMOUTH                45.02N 93.46W
06/25/2010  M1.00 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CEC

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:44 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
544 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0542 PM     HAIL             PLYMOUTH                45.02N 93.46W
06/25/2010  M0.88 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CEC

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:47 PM CDT, 12 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
547 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0540 PM     HAIL             5 S FAIRFAX             44.46N 94.72W
06/25/2010  E4.25 INCH       NICOLLET           MN   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            HWY 4 AND COUNTY ROAD 5

&&

CEC

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:50 PM CDT, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
550 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0548 PM     HAIL             NEW HOPE                45.04N 93.39W
06/25/2010  E0.75 INCH       HENNEPIN           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CEC

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:55 PM CDT, 4 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
555 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     N NEW ULM               44.31N 94.46W
06/25/2010                   BROWN              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

0550 PM     FUNNEL CLOUD     NEW ULM                 44.31N 94.46W
06/25/2010                   BROWN              MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CEC

Local storm report, Jun 25, 5:59 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
559 PM CDT FRI JUN 25 2010

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0555 PM     HAIL             3 SE ST GEORGE          44.40N 94.53W
06/25/2010  M1.50 INCH       NICOLLET           MN   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

CEC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Twin Cities, MN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 25, 6:07 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Douglas, Morrison, Todd	68 min
Jun 25, 6:45 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Douglas, Pope, Stevens	60 min
Jun 25, 8:39 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Stevens	51 min
Jun 25, 9:25 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Chippewa, Swift	65 min
Jun 25, 9:36 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Lac qui Parle, Swift	39 min
Jun 25, 11:00 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Redwood, Renville	60 min
Jun 25, 11:04 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Kanabec	56 min
Jun 25, 11:07 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Redwood, Renville, Sibley	53 min
Jun 25, 12:35 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Le Sueur, Nicollet	55 min
Jun 25, 3:12 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MPX	Chippewa, Kandiyohi, Lac qui Parle, Meeker, Pope, Redwood and 4 more	63 min
Jun 25, 3:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Kandiyohi, Meeker, Pope, Stearns, Swift	59 min
Jun 25, 3:35 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Lac qui Parle, Renville, Yellow Medicine	55 min
Jun 25, 3:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Lac qui Parle, Swift	54 min
Jun 25, 4:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Sherburne, Stearns, Wright	55 min
Jun 25, 4:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Kandiyohi	57 min
Jun 25, 4:41 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Kandiyohi	49 min
Jun 25, 4:56 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Renville	49 min
Jun 25, 5:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Chisago, Hennepin, Isanti, Sherburne, Stearns and 1 more	60 min
Jun 25, 5:03 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Brown, Nicollet, Redwood, Renville, Sibley, Yellow Medicine	27 min
Jun 25, 5:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Stearns	33 min
Jun 25, 5:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Hennepin, Ramsey, Wright	67 min
Jun 25, 5:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Kandiyohi, McLeod, Meeker, Renville, Sibley	54 min
Jun 25, 5:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Kandiyohi, Renville, Stearns, Swift	59 min
Jun 25, 5:33 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Brown, Nicollet, Redwood, Renville, Sibley	42 min
Jun 25, 5:37 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Chippewa, Redwood, Renville, Sibley, Yellow Medicine	53 min
Jun 25, 5:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Chisago, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington	54 min
Jun 25, 6:05 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet, Watonwan	55 min
Jun 25, 6:08 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet, Sibley	52 min
Jun 25, 6:12 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Meeker, Wright	63 min
Jun 25, 6:24 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MPX	Anoka, Hennepin, Ramsey, Washington	3 hr
Jun 25, 6:28 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Brown, Nicollet	47 min
Jun 25, 6:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Anoka, Dakota, Hennepin, Ramsey	60 min
Jun 25, 6:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Brown, Redwood	56 min
Jun 25, 6:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MPX	Dakota, Hennepin	24 min
Jun 25, 6:52 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Blue Earth, Le Sueur, Nicollet	53 min
Jun 25, 6:54 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	MPX	Brown, Redwood	51 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2010 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2010

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.